XCH Main trend. 05/08/2024Logarithm. Time frame 1 week (no less is needed). One of the lagging cryptocurrencies. The reason is that the crowd was previously imprisoned thanks to PR by bloggers. Little by little, “faith is being killed.” It is worth paying attention to cryptocurrency, but without fanaticism, observing risk management.
🟡 Secondary trend — the price is still in the range of the accumulation channel, just over 100% of the main set zone.
🟣 Local trend —downward channel. There is a pullback from the channel resistance. Its reversal levels are indicated in yellow. It is also important to break through the resistance of the local downward channel.
📊 Volatility range of trend development now — horizontal channel range levels + fan (partial reference).
📊 After exiting the horizontal channel range (conditional set) — the main focus is on dynamic fan support and resistance zones + partially resistance levels.
This is what it looks like on linear.
Chianetwork
XCH/USDT Ready for a Bullish Reversal? 🚀👀XCH Analysis💎Paradisers, focus on #XCHUSDT! We’re expecting a price jump from the bottom of the ascending channel to the upper line.
💎What’s up with $ChiaNetwork? It’s moving within an ascending channel. Right now, it’s more likely to visit the support level the $34.09. The low volume and profit taking by users increases the probability of this scenario. We are confident that this support will hold and asset will rally towards the upper line of the channel.
💎What if #XCH price drops? If it falls below $34.09, we might see it go down to $28.81 before it starts to climb again. If it doesn’t start going up from there, the price could drop even more.
💎Paradisers, stay sharp. It’s important to watch the market closely and be ready to change our plans quickly as the price of #XCH changes.
Chia - Long Term HoldThis one isn't so much of a technical entry as much of a long term buy and hold position.
Technically this could be a right translated cycle low as we have already exceeded the previous low by a couple weeks.
Chia's proof of space and time takes the best of Bitcoin and Ethereum and combines them into one block chain. They are also the only ones who did it correctly in terms of releasing the coin under the proper rule structure. Make sure you do your research on this one.
Compared to the value of the Ethereum, this coin has room to really run.
Cheers
Chia network and few words about regulationRegulations are coming, I have been talking about this for a long time, but even the projects themselves are not ready. Projects that will not be affected by the regulation are Bitcoin, Chia, Eth, Dydx, Rose, Astar, Shaiden network, Compound, Aptos, Flow, Kusama, Dot, Imx, Mina, etc..
Of course, some projects have their risks.
I have an assumption that the liquidity can flow into those in which there is less risk from the regulation side.
There are no public sales and initial sales of tokens in Chia . There have funds, but they had not received coins.
The ideal situation for a project - no public sale and the funds are not receive tokens, and there are only farmed tokens in circulation.
Who will survive the regulation is an open question, but I am sure in Bitcoin, Chia, Eth . There may be questions to the latter, but they will solve them.
It all depends on the project: how ready the team for and what kind of security they have to pay the fine. To what extent they have prepared documents that their public sale took place according to a coordinated legal process, most likely Coinlist was secured by such documents. Subsequently, the projects that came out there will be legal: Flow, Mina, Near..
Rose - no public sale, just an airdrop for USDC stakers on the Coinlist platform.
Astar had a lock-drop in exchange for the pledged eth and had an auction for parachains. There should be no questions about such a project.
Mina - there was a public sale, but it was on the Coinlist , and maybe from a legal point of view - everything was correct.
Dydx - there was no public sale, there was a private sale, and there were rewards and drops for activity. Looks more reliable than Mina, Flow, and others.
Aptos - the airdrop and private sale.
I can't tell you about all the projects.
Do your own research. The main thing is to understand where there was no public sale (or very legally correct) and a right private sale (or better without it). There are no such projects except for CHIA . Therefore, I bought this project for 10% of the portfolio.
Best regards, EXCAVO
XCH looking good in this rangeAfter the price drops massively the first year after trading started from the low volume ~1k USD per XCH during feature trading and a peak up above 2k USD the price now is in a range between ~30 USD and ~50 USD. The network space slowly started to grow ~10% since january 2023 and can be considered stable since july 2022. The node count is ~115k (ETH ~7k, BTC ~17k). The inflation is still high with ~9k XCH per day, 1st halving is ~ Q1 2024. Meanwhile the circulating supply reaches 25% of the total supply, 75% is hold by the Chia Company. The company announced a few days ago to have submited the registration to the U.S. SEC. In my opinion that is a positive sign but it should also not be overrated at this point. They still need to build valueable partnerships and the global market may dip again. ETH could build up sell pressure or other bad news can shock that market again. On the other side people could buy crypto because they think it is worth more in the future than keeping their fiat. I also still expect the tech market to dip again and maybe the financial market too. I just hope that china does not do the russian a**h*** move and invades it's neighbors too. Climate crises also can have a bigger impact on the markets the next years than many expect. I am still surprised that people think that buying a Tesla or "green" fuel does save us from destroing our own environment we need to live in. I just hope for a bullrun or two before the people wake up. ;-) But who knows what happens next, pls tell me. ;-)
As always, no financial advice.
Unexpected +100% - maybe more pump, or a dump back to realityI rly did not expect the XCH USD price to rise quickly that much. Maybe it happend because of the low volume and because the two quick dumps before and therefore the sell pressure was low. The general downtrend is still intact. I am curious if and when we will see a retest of the resistance arround 30 USD and if it can hold. I am also very curious how high the price can rise. I still expect a decreasing price below 20 USD in mid term because of the high supply before the first halving will happen in ~ Q1 2024. But we will see. At the moment farming is still not covering the costs for many people, even with the still decreasing netspace. This could result in more farmers to hodl and waiting for higher prices to sell at and therefore lower the real supply at the market. And AFAIK there are no major announcements in the pipeline for rly big unique features or new industrial, financial or state partners. I also don't expect the company to go public within the current global market situation.
As always: No financial advice, just my thoughts.
Bear Market = Altcoin Season? BTC and ETH Losing Ground to AltsBoth stocks and crypto markets have been down in most of 2022 (largely due to inflation, rising interest rates, and talks of an upcoming global recession), but in the last month we've seen a few interesting patterns emerge:
- Proof-of-Storage coins, particularly Chia Coin (XCH) and STORJ (STORJ) have seen very favorable gains.
- The two major crypto coins, Bitcoin and Ethereum, has actually been performing worse than the majority of "altcoins" out there - a sign that crypto investors are reallocating their portfolios towards alts.
- Weekends are usually when crypto investors typically make their move - and we see that coins that offer staking rewards (interest rates start to look more favorable during recessionary periods) have been gaining ground. (XTZ +4.5%, ATOM +4.5%, MATIC +3%)
This is a PSA but beware of newly minted coins' "staking rewards" because a lot of them are based on the idea of certain assets (BTC, ETH, even fiat) always going up. When that inflow dries up, we're going to see a lot of services and platforms go through a LUNA-style collapse - if you don't DYOR carefully here, you may get caught up in the storm. Many coins that currently offer "staking rewards" have cut a lot of corners to keep up with last year's hype and is living on borrowed time.
cobie.substack.com
In theory, Layer-2 coins built on top of the EVM network operate independently of ETH's price, but we don't actually know all the details of what goes on behind the scenes - some of them may collapse just as well if their model has been reliant on speculative gains on ETH itself. (Something that the project teams will never admit to, even if true.) Time will tell whether it turns out this way or not, of if the Merge in August will stabilize or destabilize these economies as a whole. A lot of uncertainty in the big-name coins right now, either way - meanwhile, altcoins have been gradually chipping away at their lead.
it can continue like this for a whilebefore Chia could be traded, just a few weeks after the mainnet went live, people where absolute overhyped for no reasons. Thats why the price was way overrated at the features market. I told people that I would expect 20 USD. IMO there is one thing people get wrong with crypto networks again and again. They think that if the network has a big hashrate, or the hasrate rises, that the price will also rise automaticaly. But that's not true. It is mostly the opposite: If the price rises, then the hasrate will rise if it gets profitable for new miners/farmers annd existing miners/farmers to sell coins and reinvest. The demand of a coin and the supply is the only thing wich realy influences the price.
The potential tradeable supply is 3363840 after 1st year. 6727680 after year two (Q1 2023) and 10091520 after year three. The market cap was ~200M for the most of the time the first year. That resulted in a Price of ~ 59 USD after the first year. The market cap was stable in comparison to other coins (but that can change fur sure). If this will stay arround that 200M the price will go down to ~29 USD in Q1 2023 and ~ 19 USD in Q1 2024.
This is not a scientific calculation. Just over the thumb. The markets change, demands and tradeable supply change. (IMO there is also a decrease in supply and demand at the moment)
What I expect:
1. The price falling more. I expect the bottom ~ 5 to 15 USD
2. Decreasing network size of the next year or two
3. A tech market crash within the next two years
What I think is possible:
1. a FOMO bullrun before the crash with up to 10x from current price
2. Market cap could fall below 100M
What Chia needs:
1. Network kept stable
2. Network size to not fall too low
3. Features and -> Adoption
4. Better software and app (IMO it is still unbelivable that it is based on Python)
5. Get into the sustainability discussion as a compromise between decentralised PoW and more centralaised and unsave PoS
6. Sustainable not hyping marketing -> Adoption
Then it can break out of the top and price will rise over time.
Just my 5 Cents
Chia Network, set for a price explosion???Chia network has seen quite the drop in price by 97% since its launch.
We have a few things going on here:
On the bearish:
1) Price is trading below the ema ribbon, and even then the spread of the ribbon is not offering a whole lot of resistance but it is there.
2) The red ichimoku cloud spans around 80% above our current price action. XCH will have to break above this zone to even begin talks of a potential uptrend.
That's really about it for the bearish side of things.
On the bullish:
1) The rate of the downtrend has slowed significantly
2) Chia's maximum circulating supply is very close to bitcoins. In the 20 million coin range, and chia is only valued at ~$70 as of right now, coupled with an extremely low market cap.
3) We have bullish daily RSI and MACD divergence on not only the USDT pair but the BTC pair as well.
Here are the main reasons why I believe Chia will struggle to start an uptrend unless something changes:
1) Since the coin has launched, the market cap has pretty much stayed the same. If coins are slowly introduced into the ecosystem but there are no more buyers than there are sellers, the price is going to go down. Simple supply and demand.
2) The coin is only listed on 3-4 exchanges I believe. This is likely why the market cap has stayed relatively the same since introduction.
Since Chia runs off of the Nakaomoto consensus like Bitcoin, the introduction of new coins into the ecosystem will slow down over time becoming "deflationary".
If Chia can start to increase its market cap, which will likely happen with more exchange listings, it is very possible to see chia trading back at Ethereum level prices again.
Overall I'm more bullish on this coin than bearish. I would not be surprised if the short/medium term price of this coin drops because of what I have outlined above. I would HODL this coin rather than trade it if that makes sense.
Remember, this is not financial advice and always do your own analysis/research before making any decisions on the market.
Chia Network (XCH) – Where to buy?Hello, everyone!
Last time there are a lot of hype around the Chia Network. A lot of people bought this coin and if we take a look at the chart – most of them lost their money. The XCH is in free fall for a long time yet. But I suppose that the trend reverse can be soon.
What is the only one way to catch the bottom? The true divergence for sure! We can see MACD have already flashed the bullish signal, after that we saw the 60% pump. Now the price broke down the monthly S1, I suppose the it is going to test it and 20MA again before the last drop to the S2, after that we will, probably see the divergence. Now I want to buy XCH at 62$, but this price can be changed if the signal will be earlier or later. I will give you an update when buy it.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
🆓Chia Network (XCH) Dec-3 #XCH $XCH
XCH is falling sharply and the support zone that can stop this drop of XCH is the $115 zone, where XCH could rally sharply to the $140, $170 and $200 zones in December. But if it continues to hit If we lose this zone, we will wait to buy back at the $100 zone
📈RED PLAN
♻️Condition : If 1-Day closes ABOVE 115$ zone
🔴Buy : 115
🔴Sell : 140 - 170 - 200
📉BLUE PLAN
♻️Condition : If 1-Day closes BELOW 115$ zone
🔵Sell : 115
🔵Buy : 100
❓Details
🚫Stoploss for Long : 10%
🚫Stoploss for Short : 5%
📈Red Arrow : Main Direction as RED PLAN
📉Blue Arrow : Back-Up Direction as BLUE PLAN
🟩Green zone : Support zone as BUY section
🟥Red zone : Resistance zone as SELL section
Decentralized Storage for #NFTs and More - $STORJ, $FIL, $XCHHave you guys noticed that there isn't any video NFTs out there? That's because there's nowhere to store them right now on the blockchain.
STORJ ($STORJ) has done well this year due to the fact that people are seeking decentralized storage systems due to massive demand for #NFTs.
Filecoin ($FIL) has yet to make a move but in my opinion that's because they're targeting enterprise and institutional money
Chia ($XCH) is an interesting system that uses Proof-of-Space algorithms to verify transactions, similar to Bitcoin's Proof-of-Work. It's a very obscure project but it could potentially have big upsides once the ecosystem matures since it's a way for miner-types to make a few extra bucks with the HD space that they have sitting around.
Either way, decentralized storage systems being a thing in the future seems like a sure thing at this point. Hedge your bets accordingly. 👍
Chia Network, a long term vision. XCHUSDTHello my friends, A multi timeframe analysis of Chia and a long term vision for investment. The price had a very deep correction and now is in the side area. So If the price breakup the major resistance and usually after that at pullback to level as a retest, will good point to buy. Totally I expect price growth and investing for 1 year. You can consider it and the price actions in the circle to buy it. Good luck
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XCHUSDT Waiting For a Clear Breakout
Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
Hi Traders, XCHUSDT on H4 if we get a clear Breakout above the Resistance then on the lower TF we can look fo potential entries.
⬆️Buy at Resistance Breakout or Buy at 200
⭕️SL @ 190
✅TP1 @ 245
✅TP2 @ 270
✅TP3 @ 320
We will have more FREE forecasts in TradingView soon
❤️ Your Support is really appreciated!❤️
Have a Profitable Day
XCH on Daily (chia-pooling-protocol-officially-released)The Chia Network created the coin with a focus on the environmental implications of digital currency "mining" — the highly specialized, energy-intensive computing process that creates new coins by solving complex equations.
The Chia Network was founded by Bram Cohen, who also invented the peer-to-peer file-sharing system BitTorrent,
The key difference between chia and other cryptos, according to its founders, is its "proofs of space and time" method of verifying transactions that utilizes unused disk space on users' hard drives and is more energy-efficient than bitcoin's "proof of work" model.
It starts to look good for XCH on Daily as well as on lower time frames
DYOR
blog.pool.space
www.chia.net
pool.space
ChaChain
-------------
Disclaimer:
I´m not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and therefore I´m unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
KEYWORDS
R:R, money management, risk, reward, technique, style, trading, bitcoin , bitcointrading, profitable trading, profittrading, profit trading, secret, divergence, bull divergence, bear divergence, divergencetrading, divergence trading, trading strategy, how to trade bitcoin , bitcoin trades, bitcoin trading, make profit, take profit, trading strategy, trading technique, successful, successful trader, successful technique, successful strategy, successful secret, how to trade, trend analysis, technical analysis , indicators, rsi , relative strenght index, let it rain, successful life, easy strategy, easy trading, easy technique, make money, crypto investing, investing, crypto, cryptocurrency, cryptocurrencies, mentoring, money, chartart, beyond technical analysis
Lets start to plot XCH - Chia is interesting project & its Official pool is finally alive.
Lets start to plot and farm on our free disk space to earn with POST ( Proof Of Space & Time) instead of classic
graphic cards POW (Proof Of Work) e.g. BTC/ETH which is less egological compared form long term perspective with XCH
DYOR
www.chia.net
pool.space
ChaChain
-------------
Disclaimer:
I´m not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and therefore I´m unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
KEYWORDS
R:R, money management, risk, reward, technique, style, trading, bitcoin , bitcointrading, profitable trading, profittrading, profit trading, secret, divergence, bull divergence, bear divergence, divergencetrading, divergence trading, trading strategy, how to trade bitcoin , bitcoin trades, bitcoin trading, make profit, take profit, trading strategy, trading technique, successful, successful trader, successful technique, successful strategy, successful secret, how to trade, trend analysis, technical analysis , indicators, rsi , relative strenght index, let it rain, successful life, easy strategy, easy trading, easy technique, make money, crypto investing, investing, crypto, cryptocurrency, cryptocurrencies, mentoring, money, chartart, beyond technical analysis
XCH pennant before 'inverse price discovery'The Chia Network - XCH is a new coin and protocol, while it has potential in the future the slow rollout of pooling protocol and lack of actual usage is spurring interest.
XCH is currently in a period of consolidation before continuing downward trend. We see distribution during the pennant even though the price remains rangebound reflecting the general trend, this contrasts with more bullish alts which are seeing accumulation.
XCH rocketed up on initial listing by exchanges/mainnet transfers unlocking, difficult to say when and where it will find support hence inverse price discovery
Keep in mind log chart, difficult to capture in this scenario otherwise.
Descending wedge found here. What do you think?Haven't done any TA in a while, but since this is a coin I have been more invested into than others thought I would try to cure my sanity a bit by attempting to get back into analysis. Usually descending/ falling wedge results in an upward breakout, but with how the current market sits... could be anybody's best guess.