Strong Close but Can FFHL Continue Higher?HUGE day today but I'm not sure if this news is enough to make a reason to keep this on the radar or not. I'm sure after today, the weekend warriors will notice this volume and price move.
"This is what happens when penny stocks release news afterhours. Just because the closing bell rings at 4PM EST, doesn’t mean you stop watching the market. Those who had access to aftermarket trading on Thursday could have reacted to the companies latest announcement. FuWei reported its quarterly and 6-month results, which seems to be the spark that lit this fuse."
From Top 3 Penny Stocks To Watch On Friday on PennyStocks.com
Results:
FuWei reported 10.7% growth in sales compared to the same quarter last year. It also saw EPS come in at $0.04 per share versus last year’s period of a $0.4 loss per share. The company’s plastic film products are widely used for food, medicine, cosmetics, and even tobacco.
NASDAQ:FFHL
Chinastocks
600276, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co. Ltd - Cup & HandleSSE:600276
Classic pattern, Cup & Handle, which in this case acts as a figure of continuation of the primary trend.
Let's take advantage of this breakout of resistance level.
Statistically as we know from our backtest based on our Entry Points, Stop Loss, Take Profit, we have a % positive realization of this trade equal to 35%.
China 50 Possible Head and Shoulders PatternWe have had a recent downtrend to the 13400 zone where it looked like we could see an inverse head and shoulders to the downside.
However, we failed to break below. Now we are attempting to create a head and shoulders pattern to the upside. Waiting for a break above 13700 with a nice close.
Equities seem to be ready to get a boost from world central markets with the promise of more cheap money. The ECB is tomorrow and they are likely to cut rates even negative and provide more stimulus. The US Federal Reserve is then on tap to do the same next week on the 31st.
The Chinese markets may have other issues. Talks of a banking crisis with Baoshang bank, and other economic problems...China's last GDP reading of 6.2% was the lowest in 27 years.
Long IqTradingView
Open position at $18.5
Stop loss at $17.5
Take profit at $20
Why this play?
As much as i would love to see a triple bottom for a long, I'm not sure we would get it. The china related stocks has been very beat up, especially IQ.
I have a seen a few of them reversal off already but iq hasn't really reacted much yet.
if we expect positive news on china trade deal, this would be a pretty good stock to go on long.
China Mobile buy signalsChina Mobile (CHL), Monthly chart: 10 years long(!) support zone + "Harami" candle pattern + Side of Bollinger bands (120,2) + Extended divergence on RSI(14)
China Mobile (CHL) buyChina Mobile (CHL), D1: Support zone + Convergence & Oversold on RSI(14) + Powerful mirror level on MN.
Chinese Growth Rebound? The chattering class is clearly leaning towards the sentiment that Chinese growth is stabilizing as GDP growth was strong (compared to its 6.0 to 6.5 percent range) in conjunction with strong PMI numbers and, as can be seen by the Shanghai Composite, strong capital markets.
While Europe is unsure what to do with the euro from the prospect of Brexit still on the table and the United States obsessed with the Mueller Report being released today, China is considerably devoid of these types of political risks that are mostly distraction. The market is much more focused on fundamentals and while the political risk in Europe or the US is not likely to significantly shift markets today per se, the Chinese are technocratically attempting to solve their financial problems.
China's Large Cap: Ready to test the 10 year Highs?With the U.S. - China trade deal developments ongoing and reportedly staying on positive grounds, the stock markets are globally on the rise in 2019. This is a good time to examine how the heavy Chinese companies are performing.
FXI is the index that tracks China's stocks with the largest capitalization. On the monthly (1M) chart we see that since the 2009 crash, it has been recovering on Higher Highs and Higher Lows, effectively constructing a Channel Up on 1M (RSI = 56.535, MACD = 0.600, Highs/Lows = 0.3822). These indicators show that it recently hit a low point and is on the early stages of a new bullish leg. On the chart this is evident by the January 2019 bounce on the inner lower Higher Low trend line (indicated in dash). What is also evident are the 1M Support Zone (28.20 - 28.70) and 1M Resistance Zone (52.90 - 54.00). The 1M Resistance Zone is our immediate target although the 10 year Channel Up suggests that it may break it and peak as high as 61.00.
In our opinion it is definitely a time to start looking at China's Large Cap more favorably.
We have already warned of this upcoming bullish leg on the Shanghai Composite Index on December 2018:
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Hang Seng Set for Renewed UptrendUS China trade war resolution more forcefully impacts Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component, but Hang Seng should also see some gains. Moreover, we have seen a bit more progress in the negotiations apparently with tech transfers, tech war. Let's see if it pans out though. For more, check out www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
Tides May Turn for USDCNHJust minutes ago, Reuters reported that Lightheizer and Mnuchin are going to Bejing for talks. However, trade war detente is now not on the table until June. Trump threatens to keep tariffs on if China won't hold up their end of the deal on intellectual property. Honestly its not looking good. It is difficult to tell if this trend will continue to go negative and if Trump holds an all out assault in the trade war against everyone and anyone he can get his hands on. This may be the world we live in by the end of 2019. Who knows. But clearly, the talks are no longer going as well as we once thought and also let's keep in mind how Trump walked away from Kim Jong Un in Hanoi. This is what we are trending towards now which would be quite detrimental to markets in spite of Trump's desire for a deal which is quite strong and in spite of his sensitivity towards the stock markets which we also know he is quite sensitive to as well. However in the end, in order for these negotiations to go well Trump needs at least the idea that he can create a positive message at the end.
That's the fundie picture. I'll much more briefly talk technicals. Overall, we are trending towards oversold with the USD even though the momentum is still trending in that direction. If you like my analysis, read some more words and check out some more charts here: www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
Stochastic Flashes Sell, But Has Changed BeforeWhile moving averages at the weekly level only half bullish, the stochastic is now consistently flashing to sell while RSI heads in that direction. While this has been reversed in the past such as 2017, conditions are different. Recently, Trump indicated a trade war detente may not come until June if it comes at all as he threatens to keep tariffs on against the Chinese if they don't clean up their act, summing up his sentiment not my own. Overall, trade wars are for now here to stay and could put on downward pressure on this index as had been the case for mostly of 2018.
If you would like to look at more of my work with more charts, check out www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
Overall Long on ShenzhenShort-term short, but overall I'm still positive on this index. That said, this can turn ugly very, very, very quickly as the Shenzhen is the most speculative index in Asia for sure, maybe even the world. Definitely the highest volatility. So, if we do see a short-term pullback, this could quickly be followed by 5 percent gains on the day that the US and China sign a trade war deal which is expected to happen sometime in April. Overall though, I'm net positive. And when that trade war deal comes, that's the day I'll sell because I'm not sure what is driving this Chinese market upwards with follow through given the fact that the Chinese economy is still slowing down which should really put into question why we are seeing such huge gains in their three main indexes.
Shanghai Composite Trades on Trade War HeadlinesQuite a run since February. One of the most volatile world indies though with a volatility percentage of 1.91 percent while the most volatile index is Iceland's 2.54 percent and the global average of .96. Trade deal headlines really influence Chinese equities. Inspires me to stay away.
Fibonacci Retracements on the Shanghai Composite 3117 and 3136 remains short-term support over the next week while 2794 and 2829 could be support. Fib retracements could also be pivot points as they have been in the past.