PowerPool might retest the trend line lower - buy opportunity!Blue DeFi chips will fly and smash all resistances, but keep an eye on this as we might get rejected, if so you can buy lower.
Chip
NAS100 / LONG Position FoundHello everyone,
I hope you're all well...
We have a great position coming, to grab more pips before the next major retracement happens, please keep in mind that entering this position, you may see drawdown in the retracement zone, however, I don't believe we're having a 50% retracement at this point.
We can see it's heading down through the centre of our trend line, providing this 4H candle closes on or below, we will see the retracement happen slowly but surely down to our Pay Attention zone. This is why it's called that. We're looking at entering when people are selling, take advantage of the grizzly bears being greedy, tranquillize them while they're not looking so to speak.
You can see there is a lot of bullish pressure in the market with Trump being the dude he is, knowing money, knowing business, then also having power to have blank cheques written and signed with " T's " - I do think we have his support. NAS is also an ascending index, meaning it will always continue up stronger than it does fall, remember this.
This is set up for those who have 500 USD+ equity.
Pay Attention Zone:
9056 - 8897
Entry Zone:
8985 - 8897
Total Pips 5393
XILINX #XLNXAfter brokeout the daily 50SMA pulled back and holded above. It has been for 4 days above 50SMA which is a good signal to be long.
Chip Stock Island GapChip stocks look waaay overdone, yet I don't think it's over. If you look at just 2019, this gap looks like an exhaustion gap, but if you look at the semiconductor ETF (SMH), you can see that it looks more like an island gap.
Wait at least until SMH hits $106 before shorting chips. Also, chip stocks were strong last Feb/March.
Not sure if SMH is worth chasing at this point, NXPI reports AH tonight though, I have some calls for that.
Apple China ChipApple took a major hit, along with many other companies, from the allegations of hardware infiltration. I believe AAPLE will rebound back to 225-227 before 11/16/2018 if the allegations are false. My diagram is just a visual of what I just said.
I have included
Time and Date Bloomberg released the story and you can see soon after that AAPL took the dip
Time and Date AAPL denied the allegations
My personal support and other information to be ignored
AMD just went Bull. Shorts to CoverGood news keeps trickling out of AMD and this stock has HUGE short interest. If this climbs higher then shorts will have to buyback at considerable loss and this will drive the stock higher.
Resistance at 15.65 52 week high
Take a position with a tight limit. If this breaks 15.65, we can easily see 17-18 by August
HPQ - Hewlett Packard Enters Profit Taking AreaNYSE:HPQ
HPQ is entering a take profit area. A lmt order can be set around the $15.30 level up to around $16.50 with a chance of getting filled over the next week depending on your expectation. Late December and January represented buying and accumulation phases.
About the Analysis
The first step in this trading method is to pick stocks that are likely to outperform. In my opinion it is useful to use fundamental screening for this, but technical screens like moment can be applied. More importantly the screen needs to be backtested for outperformce. Using Portfolio123 and a buy and hold approach for the screen HPQ shows up in, has been circa 18% on average over the past 10 years just targeting S&P500 stocks. Screens on smaller cap stocks show much higher returns.
Next step is if I find a stock I think "should outperform" from the screen I want to pick it up for as low a price as possible in the short term. Risk is managed using diversification and staggered entries (i.e. not buying a full portfolio on the same day) as opposed to a stop loss.
So, when the squeeze momentum indicator is bright green as shown in the chart I'll buy using a limit order. When a period of falling prices comes along, identified by the bright green highlight in the squeeze momentum indicator it means I can probably set a limit order below the current price and expect to get filled in the next few days.
Once in a position and the indicator goes dark green it is confirmation that price direction is changing back to UP. It's still ok to buy here but once the indicator goes red this is when price is "and has" already rallied, sometimes strongly in the short term. Meaning LMT orders can be placed to take profit (or loss if I get it completely wrong) and exit. The good thing is LMT orders can be placed above the current price as there is good chance price might continue to rally in the short term and reach the limit price. Trailing stops could also be implemented to ride a trend as long as possible in the take profit zone.
The key to the strategy is picking stocks that might outperform. This method gets killed in downtrends when you have to wait for a short term rally to exit (backtesting shows it is better to wait than use stops), hence why stock selection is so important. BUT works well in general.
A 150 day moving average could also be used as a filter to make sure trades are taken in sync with the trend. The issue will be that final position that get filled before a trend change to the downside comes along.
Suggestions on risk management welcome, in particular ideas on how to avoid that potential big loss appreciated.