Hash Ribbon Buy Signal + CHoCH Structure and Holding Equilibrium
💥 The Hash Ribbon indicator has flashed a buy signal for the first time in 8 months. On the chart, we see a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) and price holding above the Equilibrium level — adding confluence for a bullish setup.
Chart Highlights:
- Key support at 85,185 USDT (PDL zone).
- Parabolic SAR & EMA trendlines are confirming bullish bias.
- Resistance near 88,000–89,000 USDT could trigger short-term sell-offs.
Conclusion:
If BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P holds above the PWH level, momentum may push it toward the 90K zone. Bulls still in control — for now.
Choch
XAG/USD (Silver) – 1H Technical Analysis & Trade SetupThis analysis presents a high-probability bullish trade setup based on key price action principles, market structure, and technical indicators. The chart illustrates a potential reversal from a support zone, a descending channel breakout, and an overall shift in trend dynamics.
1. Market Structure & Key Price Levels
Before placing any trade, it's essential to analyze the bigger picture, including support and resistance levels, trend structure, and liquidity zones. Let's break down the key areas:
A. Resistance Area (Supply Zone) – $34.20 to $34.60
This horizontal resistance zone has historically acted as a selling pressure area where price faced rejection.
It represents a profit-taking zone for bulls and a possible reversal point for bears.
If price successfully breaks and closes above this resistance, it could signal further upside potential.
B. Support Level (Demand Zone) – $32.90 to $33.10
The price has consistently bounced from this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This level has acted as a demand zone, where institutions or large traders are likely accumulating positions.
A strong bullish reaction from this zone strengthens the reversal scenario.
C. Change of Character (CHoCH) – Key Structural Shift
A Change of Character (CHoCH) is marked on the chart, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
This is one of the most reliable signals when transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend.
2. Chart Pattern & Price Action Analysis
A. Descending Channel Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
The market has been forming a descending channel, which is a corrective pattern rather than a continuation pattern.
This structure consists of lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term selling pressure.
However, when such a pattern forms near strong support, it often precedes a breakout and trend reversal.
A confirmed break above the channel's upper trendline will serve as a bullish breakout signal.
B. Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt Consideration
Many retail traders place stop-loss orders below the support zone, making it an area of liquidity accumulation.
The market may attempt to sweep these stops before moving up, which aligns with institutional trading behavior.
If price momentarily dips below the support and then quickly reverses with strong bullish momentum, it confirms a stop hunt and a possible reversal setup.
3. Trading Strategy & Setup
To maximize profits while managing risk, we need a well-structured entry, target, and stop-loss strategy.
📌 Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry:
Enter a buy position within the support zone ($33.00 - $33.10) if bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing candle) confirms buying pressure.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a clear breakout from the descending channel’s upper trendline, then buy on a retest.
This reduces the risk of a fakeout and provides higher confirmation.
🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit Zones)
First Target (TP1) – $34.26
This is a key resistance level where price previously reversed.
Partial profit-taking is recommended here to secure gains.
Second Target (TP2) – $34.60
If momentum continues, price could reach this extended target.
Strong breakout volume would support this move.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Placement
Stop-loss should be set below the support zone ($32.45).
This ensures adequate risk management and avoids premature stop-outs.
If price breaks below this level with strong selling volume, the bullish setup is invalidated.
4. Risk Management & Trade Considerations
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
The trade setup offers an RRR of at least 1:3, making it a high-probability trade.
📌 Possible Fakeouts & Confirmation Signals:
If price breaks above the descending channel but fails to hold above support, it's a sign of a fake breakout.
Watch for strong bullish volume and clear break of previous lower highs before entering long.
📌 Fundamental Factors:
Keep an eye on economic reports, Federal Reserve speeches, and USD strength, as they heavily influence Silver prices.
5. Conclusion – High-Probability Bullish Setup
Descending channel breakout, strong support level, and CHoCH indicate a potential bullish reversal.
If buyers successfully defend the support zone, price is likely to target $34.26 – $34.60.
Risk management is crucial – waiting for confirmation reduces chances of a failed trade.
🚀 Watch for bullish confirmation before entering!
Possible CHOCH - Sell to Buy / EURJPYCurrently EUR/JPY has managed to pushed itself all the way back into last week Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) . Personally I believe that the zone from last week won't be as strong as it used to be so there are also possibilities where EUR/JPY will use the zones from last week and bounce off. This means that there is a chance that EUR/JPY will touch Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) retrace for a little bit into the High Risk Zone (ORANGE) and from then on bounce off to its respective structure. <--- Scenario 1
If EUR/JPY does not follow the first idea then I would prepare myself to buy at a more lower price which is in our Medium risk Zone (WHITE) & Low Risk zone (WHITE). I will only BUY if there are signs of reversals or at least a CHOCH in the smaller timeframe within these areas of interest.
GBP/CAD Potential short opportunity 📉 Price is back into a key supply zone, signaling a potential reversal. Before executing, I’m watching for:
✅ Further confirmation on H1 or H4
✅ A clear Change of Character (CHoCH)
✅ Liquidity sweep to trap early buyers
⚠️ Patience is key! Let the market show its hand before entering. A strong rejection and lower timeframe breakdown could confirm the setup.
📊 What’s your take? Are you seeing the same setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#GBPCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #PriceAction #ForexSetup
Yesterday, the chart dropped sharply. What should we do next?Based on the plan I made for the week, I anticipated that the price of XAUUSD wouldn’t drop below 2735. However, the result was that on just Monday alone, the chart dropped significantly, breaking through all 3 demand zones I had planned for.
Therefore, today we’ll adopt a day-to-day strategy. For today, the focus will be on selling since the price has shifted CHoCH at 2735 in both H1 and H4. We will wait for the chart to retrace to our POI zone , form a CHoCH in the smaller timeframe , and then look for an entry point from the newly created supply zone."
SHIB1000USDT: Reversal or Breakdown?
📉 BYBIT:SHIB1000USDT.P is currently trading at a critical support zone around 0.019900 USDT . After multiple tests of this level, buyers are stepping in, but is it enough to trigger a rally?
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🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
0.018347 USDT — the last support level, a breakdown here could lead to further downside.
0.019825 USDT — current liquidity accumulation area.
Resistance:
0.022000 USDT — the first target in case of a bounce.
0.026403 USDT — a liquidity zone that could act as a magnet if the price breaks through local resistances.
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🚩 Trading Strategy:
Entry Point:
- Consider a long position if 0.019825 USDT holds with increasing volume.
Stop-Loss:
- Below 0.018347 USDT to minimize risks in case of a breakdown.
Take-Profit Targets:
0.022000 USDT — first target for partial profit-taking.
0.026403 USDT — potential target if a bullish impulse kicks in.
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📈 Technical Analysis:
The price is testing a support level with repeated buyer reactions.
A breakout could trigger a recovery phase with potential movement towards 0.026403 USDT.
If the support fails, a drop to 0.018347 USDT is likely.
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💡 Conclusion:
The price is at a crossroads: a bounce could yield great profits, but a breakdown could spell trouble. Stay alert! What’s your take? Waiting for a retest or already in? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀
CHoCH (Change of Character) in Crypto TradingWhat is CHoCH?
CHoCH (Change of Character) is a concept from Smart Money Concept (SMC) used in technical analysis. It signals a shift in market behavior and often marks the beginning of a new trend phase, whether a trend reversal or consolidation.
Unlike Break of Structure (BoS), which confirms trend continuation, CHoCH indicates a potential change in direction.
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How to Identify CHoCH?
1. In an Uptrend:
Price forms Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
If the price breaks the last HL but fails to create a new HH, this is CHoCH, signaling a potential bearish reversal.
2. In a Downtrend:
Price forms Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH).
If the price breaks the last LH but does not form a new LL, this is CHoCH, suggesting a bullish reversal.
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How to Trade CHoCH?
CHoCH is a powerful tool for spotting trend weakness and entering trades early.
1. Spotting Trend Weakness:
In an uptrend, if the price fails to make a new HH and breaks the last HL, a trend shift might be occurring.
In a downtrend, if the price fails to form a new LL and breaks the last LH, expect bullish momentum.
2. Entry Strategies After CHoCH:
Wait for confirmation with a retest of the key level.
Use volume indicators to check if the breakout is significant.
Enter the trade after the retest of the broken support/resistance level.
3. Combining CHoCH with Other Tools:
CHoCH works well with Order Blocks, Liquidity Zones, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
Volume analysis helps confirm institutional activity in the trend change.
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CHoCH Trading Example
Imagine an uptrend where price forms Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Suddenly, the price fails to create a new HH and breaks the last HL. This is CHoCH, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish.
💡 Traders can use this signal to exit long positions and prepare for short setups.
EUR/USD short from 1.05993With the extreme bullish price movement on the dollar and the continual downtrend on the HTF of the Euro we can expect price to continue in its downward move.
I can expect to see market open and Asian session consolidation before price pushes up taking the Asian session liquidity and reacting from my LTF zone to continue in its downtrend. This is further supported by the fact we see a large wick to the upside before seeing a strong bearish candle suggesting price strength is to the downside.
It is also possible price could push up slightly further as we are beginning to see some HH and HL forming on the LTF signifying a retracement to collect more liquidity before price continues in its downtrend from a 6H supply above.
XAU/USD to continue dropping?From both technical and fundamental analysis I believe we should be seeing the beginning of a gold drop. Gold has been nothing but bullish with extreme euphoric movement. Following Donald Trumps win in the American election we can expect the dollar to begin its bullish ascent meaning that its time for the XAU/USD to finally start its descent.
from my charts we can see that I predict a slight bullish move from the market open reacting of an 8H Imbalance taking Asian high liquidity from the upside and reacting from another 8H IMB to ultimately continue in its downtrend at least until the daily zone that caused a previous break of structure to the upside.