SHIB1000USDT: Reversal or Breakdown?
📉 BYBIT:SHIB1000USDT.P is currently trading at a critical support zone around 0.019900 USDT . After multiple tests of this level, buyers are stepping in, but is it enough to trigger a rally?
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🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
0.018347 USDT — the last support level, a breakdown here could lead to further downside.
0.019825 USDT — current liquidity accumulation area.
Resistance:
0.022000 USDT — the first target in case of a bounce.
0.026403 USDT — a liquidity zone that could act as a magnet if the price breaks through local resistances.
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🚩 Trading Strategy:
Entry Point:
- Consider a long position if 0.019825 USDT holds with increasing volume.
Stop-Loss:
- Below 0.018347 USDT to minimize risks in case of a breakdown.
Take-Profit Targets:
0.022000 USDT — first target for partial profit-taking.
0.026403 USDT — potential target if a bullish impulse kicks in.
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📈 Technical Analysis:
The price is testing a support level with repeated buyer reactions.
A breakout could trigger a recovery phase with potential movement towards 0.026403 USDT.
If the support fails, a drop to 0.018347 USDT is likely.
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💡 Conclusion:
The price is at a crossroads: a bounce could yield great profits, but a breakdown could spell trouble. Stay alert! What’s your take? Waiting for a retest or already in? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀
Choch
CHoCH (Change of Character) in Crypto TradingWhat is CHoCH?
CHoCH (Change of Character) is a concept from Smart Money Concept (SMC) used in technical analysis. It signals a shift in market behavior and often marks the beginning of a new trend phase, whether a trend reversal or consolidation.
Unlike Break of Structure (BoS), which confirms trend continuation, CHoCH indicates a potential change in direction.
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How to Identify CHoCH?
1. In an Uptrend:
Price forms Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
If the price breaks the last HL but fails to create a new HH, this is CHoCH, signaling a potential bearish reversal.
2. In a Downtrend:
Price forms Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH).
If the price breaks the last LH but does not form a new LL, this is CHoCH, suggesting a bullish reversal.
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How to Trade CHoCH?
CHoCH is a powerful tool for spotting trend weakness and entering trades early.
1. Spotting Trend Weakness:
In an uptrend, if the price fails to make a new HH and breaks the last HL, a trend shift might be occurring.
In a downtrend, if the price fails to form a new LL and breaks the last LH, expect bullish momentum.
2. Entry Strategies After CHoCH:
Wait for confirmation with a retest of the key level.
Use volume indicators to check if the breakout is significant.
Enter the trade after the retest of the broken support/resistance level.
3. Combining CHoCH with Other Tools:
CHoCH works well with Order Blocks, Liquidity Zones, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
Volume analysis helps confirm institutional activity in the trend change.
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CHoCH Trading Example
Imagine an uptrend where price forms Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Suddenly, the price fails to create a new HH and breaks the last HL. This is CHoCH, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish.
💡 Traders can use this signal to exit long positions and prepare for short setups.
EUR/USD short from 1.05993With the extreme bullish price movement on the dollar and the continual downtrend on the HTF of the Euro we can expect price to continue in its downward move.
I can expect to see market open and Asian session consolidation before price pushes up taking the Asian session liquidity and reacting from my LTF zone to continue in its downtrend. This is further supported by the fact we see a large wick to the upside before seeing a strong bearish candle suggesting price strength is to the downside.
It is also possible price could push up slightly further as we are beginning to see some HH and HL forming on the LTF signifying a retracement to collect more liquidity before price continues in its downtrend from a 6H supply above.
XAU/USD to continue dropping?From both technical and fundamental analysis I believe we should be seeing the beginning of a gold drop. Gold has been nothing but bullish with extreme euphoric movement. Following Donald Trumps win in the American election we can expect the dollar to begin its bullish ascent meaning that its time for the XAU/USD to finally start its descent.
from my charts we can see that I predict a slight bullish move from the market open reacting of an 8H Imbalance taking Asian high liquidity from the upside and reacting from another 8H IMB to ultimately continue in its downtrend at least until the daily zone that caused a previous break of structure to the upside.
REFIXED !!! Wait for lower time frame change of character !.Hello everyone, hope we are all having a wonderful day !.
I still strongly believe price is going to continue its sell.
Wait for a change in character in M5 to M15 then wait for a retest after the CHOCH before selling...these are the confirmations i'm mainly looking forward to before risking my money.
Do not forget to use proper risk and money management if and when you decide to tag in for the sell.
A1+ setup, lets catch 100pips tomorrow while risking just 10pipsSwitch to a lower timeframe (M15/M39) to properly see the change of character with the breaker block that took the low. Price is now trying to push up to the order block which it should reject from then push down to give us our 100 pips setup which is highly probable considering this week is CPI !.
The stop is just 10 pips, look for entries before or during London session tomorrow.
Apply proper risk and money management !.