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Circle

Analysis on circle using tpo and regular chart longs and shortMust watch video giving 2 really nice Risk reward entries on the Newley listed stock Circle In this video I highlight a region using limited data of where to get filled if you missed the IPO and want to buy some circle . We are currently in a no trade zone for buyers as I anticipate that price will gravitate down to the .786/.886 level over time . In this video I also use the TPO chart "Time price opportunity" and demonstrate what i am looking for from using this type of chart to add to my confluences for a high probability trade . Also identified in the chart is a short trade off of the weekly pivots and the value area high of the range . Thankyou for watching and i welcome any questions
NYSE:CRCL
by SJTRADESFUTURES
5
Stablecoins will Supercharge Cryptos AdoptionCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ), #microfutures On June 5th, Circle Internet Group ( NYSE:CRCL ), issuer of the #USDC #stablecoin, debuted its initial public offering at $31 per share. By June 23rd, NYSE:CRCL prices peaked at $298.99, up nearly ten folds in just 13 trading days. At Friday's closing of $180.43, Circle has a market cap at $40.2 billion. Wall Street gave a mindboggling price earnings ratio of 234, based on Circle’s $0.77 earnings per share. How to Invest in Stablecoins Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that aim to maintain price stability. Both USDC and #USDT (issued by #Tether) peg their value to the US dollar. Paying $1 for 1 stablecoin, you will get exactly $1 back in one month, one year, or ten years. Unlike buying Bitcoin, there is no investment return for holding stablecoins. So why would anyone want them? Because stablecoins are not investment instruments, instead, they are payment methods. Like PayPal and Apple Pay, USDT and USDC enable users to move money fast and cheaply globally, but now in the crypto world. How do stablecoin issuers make money? They generate revenue through interest on reserves, transaction fees, lending, and partnerships with financial institutions. • The biggest source of revenue is interest income. When it comes to stablecoin issuers, size matters, and the Fed matters. • Based on a study by Artemis, Castle Island Ventures, and Dragonfly on May 29th, USDT and USDC have a combined market capitalization of over $214 billion. • With the Fed Funds rate averaging above 5% last year, the $214 billion reserve investing in Treasury and other high-quality bonds could yield at least $12 billion between Tether and Circle. • Tether reported 2024 profit of $13 billion, while Circle generated $1.68 billion last year. Investing in stablecoins means buying Circle stock, not converting cash into USDC. The difference is like buying Apple stock vs. adding money in your Apple Pay account. Headwinds and Tailwinds On June 17th, the US Senate passed the GENIUS Act of 2025. It establishes a regulatory framework for the $250 billion market for stablecoins. “Stablecoins are a paradigm-shifting development that can bring our payment system into the 21st century", declared Sen. Bill Hagerty of Tennessee, who introduced the bill. With regulatory certainty, real-world utility and adoption will quickly follow. The future for stablecoins is very bright, and I expect the market size to double soon. However, market leaders Tether and Circle both face strong headwinds going forward. • Real world utility brings in fierce competition. Big banks and credit card issuers will create their own stablecoins to keep customers on the book. This will slow down Tether’s and Circle’s efforts to attract mainstream financial investors. • I expect the Fed to cut interest rates by a lot during the remaining 3-1/2 years of the Trump Administration. Some cuts will happen under the current Fed Chair. A lot more will come by his successor beginning June 2026. Lowering interest rates by 100-200 basis points will cripple stablecoin issuers’ main income. In my opinion, the high dependency in growth and interest rate policies make NYSE:CRCL a very risky investment at the current lofty valuation. Bullish Signal for Bitcoin In the past, stablecoins were mainly used by crypto investors. Going forward, mainstream investors will find compelling offerings from their banks, stockbrokers and credit card companies. When mainstream financial intermediaries begin making serious inroad into cryptos, there will be a paradigm shift. In my opinion, the new development in stablecoins will supercharge the growth of crypto market size. Bitcoin, being well established as a Digital Gold, will benefit the most from the global asset reallocation to cryptocurrencies. An investor sharing a bullish view on bitcoin could explore the CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( LSE:MBT ). Last Friday, the August MBT contract (BTCQ5) was settled at 108,640. Each contract has a notional value of 0.1 bitcoin, or a market value of $10,864. To buy or sell 1 contract, trader is required to post an initial margin of $2,598. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 4-to-1, which is more cost-effective that buying bitcoins from any ETF fund. A long MTC strategy with a stop-loss would enhance the returns while limiting the potential losses. Below is a hypothetical trade for illustration purposes only: On Day T+0, buy 1 BTCQ5 at 108,640 and set a stop loss at 105,000 • The portfolio value is 10,864 • Upfront margin is $2,598 Rising Bitcoin Scenario: On Day T+N, Bitcoin goes up 20% to $130,368 • Futures gain will be $2,172.8 (= (130368-108640) x 0.1) • Investment return will be +86.6% (= 2172.8 / 2598), excluding transaction fees • This compares to a 20% gain with bitcoin ETF, with no leverage Falling Bitcoin Scenario: On Day T+N, Bitcoin drops 20% to $86,912 • With a stop-loss at 105,000, losses will be capped at $364 (= (108640-105000) x 0.1) • Investment return will be -14% (= -364 / 2598) • This compares to a 20% loss with bitcoin ETF, with no stoploss provision Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
Circle Collapse - Will COIN follow? Circle stock has been on a wild ride lately After a meteoric rise of over 700% since its IPO on June 5, it's now facing some turbulence: - Today, the stock dropped nearly 16%, partly due to Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest selling $110 million worth of shares. - Analysts are also sounding caution. Compass Point initiated coverage with a $205 price target—below its current trading price—citing rising competition in the stable coin space. - Despite the dip, some still see long-term potential. A recent Forbes analysis explored whether Circle could hit $500 per share, driven by growth in USDC reserves and infrastructure revenue.
NASDAQ:COINShort
by Trading-Capital
CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)📉 CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09) 🔍 Ticker: NYSE:CRCL Multi-model AI consensus indicates a bearish short-term outlook for CRCL this week, driven by weak technicals, downside pressure from max pain, and poor option liquidity. 🧠 Model Summaries: 🔹 Grok/xAI • 📉 Bearish: Price below 10EMA, negative MACD, RSI near 41 • 🧊 Support: $115.20 | Resistance: $116.34 • ⚠️ Max Pain: $100 → downside bias • 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put (Jun 20) → PT: +50%, SL: –50% 🔹 Claude/Anthropic • 📉 Bearish intraday: below EMAs, negative MACD, RSI ~41 • ⚠️ Max pain at $100, light OI → downside risk • 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ ~$12.95 → Target 30–50%, SL: 25% 🔹 Llama/Meta • ⚖️ Mixed: Slight short-term bearish tilt, but warns against poor liquidity • 💸 Trade: No Trade due to spread/premium inefficiency 🔹 Gemini/Google • 📊 Daily trend bullish, but intraday showing exhaustion • ⚠️ Extreme spreads, no open interest • 💸 Trade: No Trade recommended 🔹 DeepSeek • 🚨 Strong Bearish: Breakdown of $115.20 w/ volume, negative MACD, RSI ~41 • ⚠️ Sentiment: Max pain at $100 + bid-side put action • 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ $12.70 → PT: $18.90 (+50%), SL: $8.82 (–30%) • 🔥 Confidence: 80% ✅ Market Consensus: 📉 Outlook: Bearish Bias – Short-term momentum is weak (price < EMAs, MACD negative) – RSI ~41 suggests downside room – Max pain at $100 = gravity effect – VIX falling = no panic relief for bulls – Key Level to Watch: Breakdown below $115 = confirmation 📌 Suggested Trade Setup 🎯 Symbol: NYSE:CRCL 🟢 Strike: 115 PUT 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20 💵 Entry: $13.30 (ask) 🎯 Profit Target: $19.95 (+50%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $9.31 (–30%) 📈 Confidence: 75% ⏰ Entry Timing: At open ⚠️ Risk Watch: • ☠️ High premium & wide bid-ask spreads = slippage risk • ⛔ Low open interest = exit uncertainty • 🕒 Theta decay accelerates late in the week • 📈 Invalidated if price breaks above $116.34 • 📰 Unexpected crypto/news rallies = trend reversal risk 📊 TRADE JSON 💬 Are you trading this NYSE:CRCL bearish setup? Share your thoughts below. 📉📈 Follow for daily AI-powered trade breakdowns.
NYSE:CRCLShort
by quantsignals
3
USDT vs USDC The Last Rush- Everything is in the chart. - So my own deduction ( and only my own ) is : " Actually BTC not dipped so much " - They pushed it hard, many peoples turned their BTC and Altcoins to USDT/USDC for safety. - BTC is still not yet considered as a reserve like Gold in case of crises, peoples still scare and back really fast to the old paper money system when panic is around. - i will link following this post a PAXG/BTC Chart to show what happened when BTC dipped. - just look at indicators and you will clearly understand how much stables coins pushed high and Mooned/Marsed in the red " Overbought " Zone. - Results : TheKing is still around 20k. - that said, we can notice that USDC is gaining much more interests than USDT, just because USDC (Circle) is backed by cash and short-term U.S. government bonds as collateral. - after the "LUNA-UST" Crash peoples started to fear and they are right, so they turned their Stables to USDC. - in near future, USDC will gains more dominance on USDT and the next Dip could results in an Equal Dominance ( 3.80% - 3.20% ) i hope this post help to understand the situation, be H4ppy and St4y S4fe ! Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:USDC.DShort
by thecryer
9
LOOPRING, Cuz if you like it, then ya shoulda put a RING on itLoopring chart update to reflect an unlikely move, but also possible, and also allows for me to add in the higher lines and show the full potential retracement scenario. In other words, buy the dip, but like .9 is around a 200% gain from here. Don't be greedy at that point, be greedy now and on the way up. I'm not sure what else to add. Follow the trends. Something is definitely going on with crypto and the alts. Good luck!!
CRYPTO:LRCUSDLong
by nicktussing77
2
Binance introduces USDC/USDT pair to help Circle CollapseAfter Luna`s stablecoin collapse, UST: Now Binance, the biggest crypto exchange, recently introduced the USDC/USDT pair, and now it`s users are able to transform their USDC into Tether. And let`s be honest, who wouldn`t to that amid this market uncertainty?! On Saturday, the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin experienced a drop in value below its dollar peg and reached a historical low. However, it later recuperated most of the losses after Circle, the company in charge of it, provided reassurance to investors that they would uphold the peg despite their connection to the struggling Silicon Valley Bank. Circle stated in a tweet on Friday that $3.3 billion of their $40 billion in USDC reserves are held in Silicon Valley Bank!! I think CZ listed this USDC/USDT pair on purpose, to generate a bank run out of its rival Circle, while they don`t have access to the full USDC liquidity. Watch out for those Top 5 investors in Circle as well: 1. Goldman Sachs: Goldman Sachs was one of the earliest investors in Circle, participating in a $50 million funding round for the company back in 2015. Since then, the investment bank has continued to support Circle, participating in subsequent funding rounds and helping to promote the adoption of Circle's products. 2. Digital Currency Group: Digital Currency Group is a venture capital firm focused on investing in companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space. The firm has invested in numerous companies in the industry, including Circle. Digital Currency Group participated in a $110 million funding round for Circle in 2018, and has continued to support the company since then. 3. Breyer Capital: Breyer Capital is a venture capital firm founded by Jim Breyer, a prominent investor in the technology industry. Breyer Capital has invested in a number of successful technology companies, including Facebook and Spotify. The firm participated in a $50 million funding round for Circle in 2015. 4. Accel: Accel is a global venture capital firm that has invested in numerous successful technology companies over the years, including Facebook, Dropbox, and Slack. Accel participated in a $60 million funding round for Circle in 2016. 5. Pantera Capital: Pantera Capital is a hedge fund focused on investing in cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. The firm has invested in numerous companies in the industry, including Circle. Pantera Capital participated in a $50 million funding round for Circle in 2015, and has continued to support the company since then. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Short
by TopgOptions
Trading Stablecoins: USDC/USDT (New Market) About 2 hours ago, the crypto exchange OKX opened the futures market for the USDC/USDT pair. Both are stablecoins, but one of them is actually not stable at all. Combined with good timing & a safe strategy, you can actually make a lot of money here. Due to the small range this ratio is moving in, you'll have to use leverage/ trade the perpetual-futures contract. Therefore, you need to be careful when it comes to the liquidation of your position. Use a tight stop-loss, set your take-profit order & try not fall into a gambling pattern by risking it all. Everything else is mentioned on the chart. I hope you like it, ARESABI
by Anton_XBT
4
November 3 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart The Federal Reserve announced it was raising its key interest rate by 0.75 percentage points, the latest increase takes the bank's benchmark lending rate to 3.75% - 4%, a range that is the highest since January 2008. Bitcoin is down 1.52% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $20,060.12. The largest cryptocurrency briefly notched a daily high at $20,800 before the Fed's announcement as the market was hoping the Fed could slow down the rate hikes. But Bitcoin price fell after the announcement because the Chair Jerome Powell said: “it was premature to think about pausing and that the peak for rates would likely be higher than previously expected.” The BTC/USDT pair is trading slightly above the $20,000 level, the buyers must hold the pair above this level in order to avoid further decline. Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline Circle Earns In-Principle Regulatory Approval in Singapore Circle Internet Financial, a global digital financial technology firm and the issuer of USD Coin (USDC), has received In-Principle Approval as a Major Payments Institution License holder from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). This allows Circle to offer digital payment token products, cross-border and domestic transfer services in the city-state. “As one of the world’s leading financial hubs, Singapore is instrumental to Circle’s regional and global expansion plans in raising global economic prosperity,” said Jeremy Allaire, Co-Founder and CEO of Circle. Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
by BingX
September 29 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart Bitcoin is up 1.71% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday high of $19,777.00. The largest cryptocurrency rebounded alongside the traditional equity market after the Bank of England launched a bond-buying program to prevent 'material risk' to UK financial stability. But this does not necessarily mean that the central banks across the world would change their tight monetary policy against inflation. For now, the BTC/USDT pair is trading slightly below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA)($19,518), and the bulls are likely to push the price above the 20-day EMA. If the price is maintained above the 20-day EMA($19,518), the pair could then rise to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($20,706). Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline Circle to Launch Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol for USDC Circle, crypto payments company and USDC issuer, has announced the upcoming launch of a cross-chain transfer protocol to support USDC interoperability. The company is expected to launch on the Ethereum and Avalanche mainnet later this year. The new product is permissionless and allows for USDC to be sent natively across ecosystems, which improves liquidity and reduces fragmentation of bridging assets. At the same time, Circle also announced that it plans to offer USDC on five blockchain ecosystems including Arbitrum, Cosmos, NEAR, optimistic and Polkadot in the coming months. Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
by BingX
1
sketchpad rektpad i think i was playing with pitching the circle here (tilt your head), and considering it could be pitched in two different (probs more) ways. then did pitchfans of triggernometric triangles and copied and pasted them to diff reversal points. trying to learn thru play...putting it all together slowly and messily :-) maybe i should just get a coloring book learn: michael s jenkins larry pesavento jim bartelloni (bartscharts) gann, probably candleboxAI on twitter (and most of the ppl he follows esp GannJourneyman)
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FinanciallyCodependently
6
Triggernometry aka "Trig identities on charts??????....rekt"Posting this mostly so I can find it later, and some thoughts/guidance from actual mathemagicians would be wonderful :-) . these types of thoughts are constantly dancing around my unmedicated adhd brain like "too many notes" all the time...coupled with a math career cut short right at trig and i'm just confuuuuuused but intrigued and would love to talk to other wannabe/real nerds about this stuff! Chart is scaled 100:1 (though I've also played with scaling / squaring the chart to a particular move, so that it looks geometrically 1:1...like a square. yes the ruler and the protractor come out. i always think of the resulting circle as a lens) Sine, cosine, and tangent of unit circle. Not sure if changing the quadrant of the circle matters. or if the quadrant you place the identities in should depend on the direction you're projecting the move in (you could draw them in all four if you wanted?) But placement does matter, obvi. Just like with fib extensions. Where you're deriving from, and where you're placing them. I'm sure there are other identities that work...but what do they mean? Sine: Price (Opposite aka y axis/Hypotenuse) Cosine: Time (Adjacent aka x axis/Hypotenuse) Tangent: Price of squared circle (as i understand it ... the square in general is total possibilities...theoretical limit...IIRC it was 3BlueBrown on youtube who described the square, in general, as probability? Least-squares? IDK. And then the circle, according to this framework, would be the actual limit/resistance/boundary of the move?) So the difference between the square and the circle is theoretical vs actual? Something something calculus???? I've also played with spirals of 90 degrees and 0 degrees (which would be the limits of sine and cosine aka price and time? of the circle?) but with multiples and factors of the unit circle...so, .707, .314, .577...some phi ratios as well. and phi multiples and square roots seem to work too. So I'm wondering in what sense angles and their trig identities ...and what they represent which is speed? are the same thing as, just a different translation/vibration of, smaller / bigger circles. the max time/price change (aka at 0 and 90 degrees) in a .707 circle, for example, would mean the same thing as sine and cosine of ... 63 degrees? (90 x .707) depending on placement. because circle harmonics are just shorter and longer time cycles/fractals? I literally just figured out what radians are so be nice to me :-) Gurus Michael S. Jenkins (a few videos on youtube) is my favorite, and he is inspired by Gann who I need to read more of. Jenkins' idea (possibly Gann as well?) is that time=price. Lots of examples of, say, price increasing by $1000 over 1000 days (or whatever the time unit is...you have to find it). Larry Pesavento Jim Bartelloni CandleboxAI and GannJourneyman on twitter but I don't really understand their charts yet
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FinanciallyCodependently
(Un)stablecoinsBe aware, there's a reoccurring theme in stablecoins lately, and doesn't seem to be getting better yet. Many crypto/assets are down more about 50% in a few weeks! Now would be a good time to partially close some shorts issued against stablecoins, or if you sold lots of crypto and hold stablecoins which are still lucky enough to be stable: USDT, BUSD, and a few small others. There seems to be a theme like falling dominoes of failing pegs, for various reasons, including a combination of cyclical pressure, delays in peg liquidity, activist traders, and others. In all the panic and crazyness, a decent short-term long entry is not out of the question if you are into swing trading. I don't want to know will happen if USDT breaks more than a few percent away from the peg, though. Does that mean the dollars are useless and suddenly assets become a good hedge again? Or does everything become worthless? There's risk everywhere and it's often worth waiting. We DO NOT know if it's about to get much worse or not. It's hard to ultimately judge upward/downward risk with such volatility. We could be at the beginning of capitulation or near the middle, but I don't think we are near the end yet. We shouldn't assume it will simply go up if we decide to buy it simply because it's cheap. I'm seeing risky long-term longs until at least June or July. Historically it's not safe to buy a falling knife like this unless you like serious risk, and I wouldn't automatically assume the general market is oversold enough to recover yet, even though it looks oversold. Hopefully this raises some macro awareness if you didn't know about this crazy situation! Let me know what you think, and I hope you weren't holding too many UST. Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets.
U
by fringe_chartist
1
Geometry: Ellipses on an Adjusted AxisHey! Hope you are doing well! In both charts the native resolution is five minutes. In this example, the ellipse is precisely derived from the angulation of the move. In this example, the ellipse is derived through various harmonics. Enjoy! And be well! Suggested Reading: Law of Vibration - Tony Plummer Michael Jenkins - Geometry of Stock Market Profits, Chart Reading for Professional Traders, Complete Stock Market Forecasting Course Scott M. Carney - The Harmonic Trader, Harmonic Trading Volume I, Harmonic Trading Volume II, Harmonic Trading Volume III H.M. Gartley - Profits in the Stock Market Bill Wiliams - Trading Chaos, New Trading Dimensions, Trading Chaos 2nd Edition J.M. Hurst - The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, Cyclic Analysis: A Dynamic Approach Fabio Dreste - Quantum Trading Michael Jardine - New Frontiers in Fibonacci Trading The Wave Principle, Nature's Law Ralph Nelson Elliot Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets John J. Murphy A Complete Guide to Volume Price Analysis Anna Coulling Mastering The Elliot Wave Glenn Neely
Education
by UnknownUnicorn27791825
Geometry: Ellipse and Adjusted AxisHey! Hope you are well! Here is an adjusted axis on the five minute chart; the native chart I was using is five minute; here is the picture of what it looked like. The varying eccentricity of the ellipse comes from the varying circular levels such as .25, .5, .75, 1, 1.25, 1.5, 1.75, 2 Imagine the circle as a 1x1 ellipse; now imagine the next ellipse as a 1x1.25; imagine the next one as a 1x1.5; go all through the varying harmonics of 1xn. Enjoy! Suggested Reading: Law of Vibration - Tony Plummer Michael Jenkins - Geometry of Stock Market Profits, Chart Reading for Professional Traders, Complete Stock Market Forecasting Course Scott M. Carney - The Harmonic Trader, Harmonic Trading Volume I, Harmonic Trading Volume II, Harmonic Trading Volume III H.M. Gartley - Profits in the Stock Market Bill Wiliams - Trading Chaos, New Trading Dimensions, Trading Chaos 2nd Edition J.M. Hurst - The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, Cyclic Analysis: A Dynamic Approach Fabio Dreste - Quantum Trading Michael Jardine - New Frontiers in Fibonacci Trading The Wave Principle, Nature's Law Ralph Nelson Elliot Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets John J. Murphy
Education
by UnknownUnicorn27791825
2