Citigroup
$C $C last candle reflect a nice indication property of the pattern is very easy to read , sell-off as today was expected for a whole week, regarding the scare tactics of new disease
money managers are jumpy on the news ..but then realism comes to and reflects on price and trade volume accordingly. Long on dip today 74.01 fill
C - Long Waited Breakout?since the end of march 18 Citigroup was trading below resistance levels 72-73.2
one attempt to break above failed in September 18
yesterday stock finally closed above resistance level and price action looks positive
its not a long as of yet.
the close of the monthly candle is near and if price could stay above the level at the close on Friday i would go long on the stock.
ex-dividend set on Friday
support an resistance lines on chart
C Golden Cross and similar price action to 2016/7Citi (C) has just made a Golden Cross (50d SMA crossing 200d SMA). The crosses in Sep 12 and Sep 16 were followed by 75%+ increases in price, so this is primarily a Golden Cross trade. The price/action into the Sep 16 GC is very similar to that from Jan 18.
Also the bullish consolidation into earnings, followed by the pullback on account of the macro market and going ex-div May 3, means we can hope for a retouch of the 200SMA and enter at 65.70. The stop is placed at 60, the consolidation low, and a modest 36% target of 90 gives us 4.26:1 trade.
THE WEEK AHEAD: DAL, C, JPM, WFC EARNINGS; EWZ, TLT/TBTAlthough the earnings season has already kicked off modestly, a bevvy of financials announce next week: C, JPM, and WFC (all on Friday). I generally don't play these underlyings for volatility contraction around earnings primarily because the implied volatility just doesn't ramp up to the degree I'd like to see for a play. I thought I'd mention them here since there will be possible broad sector (XLF) impact depending on how these earnings go -- i.e., there could be a play that develops in one of these underlyings post-announcement or in the sector as a whole that may be worth playing.
Other Earnings: DAL (rank 41/30-day 32) announces earnings on Thursday before market open. The metrics don't look promising here for a directionally neutral premium selling play, but I could see going for something bullish if earnings experience engine failure and crash into the 52-week low around 48 and implied volatility remains high such that a bullish assumption play would be productive (e.g., short puts, Jade Lizard, etc.).
Although there are some other single names that are "ripe" for a volatility contraction play right here (TSLA (earnings in 31) comes to mind), my general tendency is to resist the urge to put plays on in single name with earnings announcements that are near the monthly and instead wait until the eve of the announcement. With a rank of 99 and implied of >100%, though, it's understandably tough to sit on one's hands and wait.
On the Exchange-Trade Fund Front:
Brazil is voting today, so it's likely that you're too late to get into a volatility contraction play that may evolve after the results are finalized (the time to have put that play on was last week). That being said, it's also possible that EWZ gets even more volatile depending on the outcome, even though implied volatility is at the top of its 52-week range at 56.2%.
The financial media has returned to covering 10-year T note yield hand-wringing and/or the spiking of bond yields in general as a general, explanatory theme of why the broad market gave some up last week. TLT broke through long-term support at 116 last week, cratering to 113. I was previously shorting TLT from the 122 level via put diagonals, but it appears that play may have temporarily played out in the absence of some risk-off event that drives treasuries back up. I will continue to short TLT on retrace, but there is little that sticks out to me in terms of horizontal resistance other than 122 and 116, and I'm hesitant to short from 116, since it literally just broke that level "seconds ago" in the scheme of things.
CitiGroup shares pulled back after breaching trend line C - CitiGroup shares breached a long term trend line to the upside, only to be pushed back down. Stocks fell on Tuesday trades but found support at 63.00, a critical Fibonacci retracement price level and closed at 63.41. Its next challenge is to remain above 63.00 and have another go at 64.45. It has the potential to reach 66.65 targets in a short period if it makes it through 64.45
Citigroup Short July Iron Condor w/ sideways channelCitibank has been trading within a horizontal range and sideways channel between 65.50 and 69 for the past fourteen trading days. Because of this, we are shorting the iron condor by writing the 69 calls and 65.5 puts for the initial strangle, and going half a dollar out on each side to acquire the protection (longing the 69.5 calls and 65 puts), thus turning the strangle into an iron condor. Being slightly below the money, it is somewhat bearish but created such that it aligns with the historical channel. By using the July 5th options, which are eight trading days away, we expect Citi to stay within the channel. This trade is done for a max profit of 30 and a max loss of 20 because the credit is .30/contract. This gives us break-evens of 65.2 and 69.3, and a better risk reward ratio (30/20) is received when the trade is done with calls instead of puts (29/21). This maximizes profit potential.
Daily C(Citi) forecast timing analysis by Supply-Demand strength21-Jun
Investing strategies by pretiming
Investing position about Supply-Demand(S&D) strength: In Rising section of high profit & low risk
Supply-Demand(S&D) strength Trend Analysis: In the midst of an adjustment trend of downward direction box pattern price flow marked by limited rises and downward fluctuations.
Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand(S&D) strength flow appropriate to the current trend.
View a Forecast Candlestick Shape Analysis of 10 days in the future: www.pretiming.com
(You can easily create a trading plan.)
D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: RED Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: 0.3% (HIGH) ~ -1.7% (LOW), -1.0% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 1.6% (HIGH) ~ -0.5% (LOW), 1.3% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 0.4% (HIGH) ~ -1.5% (LOW), -0.7% (CLOSE)
Price Forecast Timing Criteria: Price forecast timing is analyzed based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
CITI: The Citi of Compton Rising Wedge, will we hit the target?Rising Wedge, will we hit the target? Will probably take some time to hit it but seeing similar pattern in BAC etc.
Hit me with a follow and let's retire.
C: Pre-earnings run pattern ahead of Monday reportCitigroup has a pre earnings run pattern which tends to be caused by Pro Traders setting up to take advantage of the earnings reaction. The company will report its 1st quarter earnings on Monday. C had a reactionary gap up at open caused by the JPM gap today. It formed an indecision day candle rapidly. The early gap could interfere with the technical patterns for the report release day.
Earnings for C, Citigroup Bank: HFT Gap ExpectedCitigroup reported ahead of open today which indicates it hoped that the market open would inspire buying of its shares of stock. HFTs are set to trigger on earnings news. How it might gap depends on the algorithm focus, retail crowd reactions, retail broker expectations, and the triggers set ahead of open. C has the same negative divergence as AAPL has on the weak “rally run” up after bouncing off of technical support levels best seen on a weekly chart. Today’s chart is a daily chart to show that the run is weak and poised for a potential gap.