(Daily) "They" say it will be deeper than we think // Structure NYSE:C
It has started with the Head & Shoulders :D
Sorry about the "mess"
Safe Trades;
Citigroup
Citigroup - Expecting a short term correction to the downsideSince the start of 2016, price has been rallying in a 5-wave structure to the recent high at 69.81 earlier this year in August.
RSI has formed a divergence as well, giving us another confluence of a potential retracement lower from here.
We are expecting price to correct to the downside towards 61.60 or even lower towards 56.44 area in the short term before another move higher.
*Disclaimer - ensure that you have analysed the fundamental of this company and do your own due diligence before trading.
Citigroup (C) still has a ways to runI'm simply posting this chart as a reminder how far Citigroup (C) has fallen since its 2008 highs. Rising long rates will benefit the banking sector as banks borrow short and lend long, keeping the spread. Even though the stock has doubled off the lows, it's still priced at 1.0x book (cheapest in the sector, JPM is 1.7x book) and Barron's thinks the shares could appreciate another 50%: www.barrons.com
Citigroup Inc. $C - Channel Up Citigroup Inc. $C - Possible bullish price movement towards the resistance $68.70
CITIGROUP TEXTBOOK LONG SIGNALI really like this setup. Fundamentals are in favour of a long position.
I believe we are starting the next leg higher, it could take us in to 68-70$ area.
Blessings to you all.
Another Bearish Signal For Financials, CitigroupOn April 28, 2017, Citigroup stock ( C ) 20 day moving average (DMA) crossed below its 100 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 237 times and the stock does not always continue to drop. The median drop is 3.213% and maximum drop is 37.140% over the next 11 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 49.4113. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock has been neutral and not likely to produce volatile price swings.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -4.9549. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock has been moving down, but has begun to slightly move up.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.8428 and the negative is at 0.9875. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock has been moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 66.5123 and D value is 62.8527. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock did not make it to overbought territory before recently reversing downward. This indicator does not always have to break above the overbought level before reversing, but there is always the slightest chance it could move up. The latter is not likely however due to the stock's position in its multiple trend channels and lines of resistance.
Four days prior to this cross below the 100 DMA, the stock crossed above the 100 DMA. This similar cross up and cross down within 5 trading days has occurred 11 times since the financial crisis recovery began. It has occurred in May 2009, June 2009, July 2009, June 2010, July 2010, August 2010, December 2011, October 2013, June 2014, July 2014, November 2015. The stock dropped 0.595%, 15%, 8.571%, 8.354%, 2.036%, 8.845%, 13.444%, 3.559%, 1.159%, 1.938%, 1.27% on the respective occasions. The minimal drop was 0.595% while the median drop was 3.559% over the next 11 trading days on these occasions.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be pointing down in the near term. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop another 1.39% if not more over the next 11 trading days.
C - Citigroup respects the Medianlines.Price gapped up to the seller zone to the tick.
Even price made a hagopian, means that price did not reached the centerline, I bet on the short side since C. is respecting the Medianlines so good.
P!
Citigroup (C) A Great Candidate For A Downside SpreadAlthough the banking sector has largely had a rally since the Presidential election, regulatory headwinds and near-term fundamental outlook and projections have seemed bleak for Citigroup’s growth potential. Long-term, the stock is a great purchase at a somewhat discounted price to its recent trading, but for our swing strategy, the latest break to the downside into a possible downtrend or consolidation is an opportunity for us.
If you’re looking for a 1:1 risk/reward trade with a skewed probability curve starting at roughly 62% chance of success to earn 100% ROI, then Citigroup is a gem in this turbulent market. Actually, we found this trade while scanning due to possibly having to close for a loss on our recent Alphabet (GOOG) trade due to management’s screw-up on an epic scale regarding extremist videos and advertisements on Youtube .
Anyways, here’s the trade we see:
Current stock price $58.46
Buy X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58.50 Strike
Sell X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58 Strike
Max Return on Risk/ROI: ~100%
Fun times.
Citigroup showing signs of multi-month improvementMulti-month recovery from USD34.52 February lows gaining traction as prices accelerate higher to pressure critical resistance at the USD60.95 range high of July 2015.
In much the same vein as AIG, Citigroup is slowly recovering ground lost during the 2007-2008 mortgage crisis. investor sentiment and momentum studies are slowly improving, suggesting further gains in the coming months.
Next significant resistance is at the USD75.85 year high of January 2009.
Citigroup is also showing signs of Outperformance relative to the strengthening US Financials Index.
C: Systemic risk, extremely overboughtCitigroup shares might be poised for a retracement here, we can expect a selloff to take place, if we don't move back above 56.78. I'd reccomend either shorting it, or buying puts. You can buy out of the money puts and sell bear put spreads to reduce costs (vs buying at the money puts).
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
CITI BANK BARELY SURVIVING AFTER 2008CITI BANK IS ALSO A SHORT CANDIDATE FOR BANKRUPTCY. DON'T KEEPA NY HOPE AND IF YOU ARE BANKING WITH THEM CLOSE THE ACCOUNTS.
Barclays PLC GETTING READY TO FILE BANKRUPTCY BY 2022From 2007 high it is going down trend. And now in near future it will re-test the 2009 low around $2.75.(see green line in the chart) If it fails to hold then BCS will go pennies on the dollar. Though you might have missed the maximum profit ratio by shorting but still you guys have some hope as it is only trading around $8 range and soon it will free fall. Good luck to you all. It will be a painful as those trickling down might take some time.
DEUTCHE BANKS NEAR TO FILE BANKRUPTCY by 2019DEUTCHE BANK DIDN'T BOUNCE MUCH AFTER 2007 CRISIS. It may do some reverse spilt like CITIBANK IN 2008-9 to prop up the share price and may some government bailout but in long term it will suffer a lot. All the hedge fund managers are piling up short position and share price may tumble below $4 soon. Upper limit resistance is around $20 for any upside bounce. The red resistance line shows that there is a strong possibility that by 2018/19 it will be ready to file Bankruptcy. Time has come to short the Bank if you have any grudges against it. But policy makers may ban shorting stock, but then you can do it by LEAP options but then they may ban that too :) So beware of your greed. Global economy is all time high but theses banks goanna fall one by one even before the next financial crisis hits the market.
HSBC WILL FILE FOR BANKRUPTCY SOONFrom 2007 the bank has been always in downtrend. With all those fines from different countries and the bad mortgage loans, HSBC is not able to come back up yet. Yes HSBC may do some reverse stock split like CITI GROUP did around 2008-9 but it didn't help them much to boost up the share prices.
FAREWELL TO WELLS FARGOBlack line a Temporary bounce after hitting the black line but most aggressive manipulators can hold for the below line for max profit.
There will be a strong bounce once hits this Red support line but once broke it will go down to $4 or below. Take out profit and go short after few weeks.
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At least this is the start of the another financial crisis which well may come after election or post summer 2017. All the financials banks will start to collapse.
Citigroup - weekly repair of early 2016 drop.Just a specualtive idea : but looking at Bank stocks like Citigroup - it looks like many institutional investors were surprised by the sudden drop very early this year. Thus they might take this window of opportunity to drive price back up to at least the previous breakdown level ( just to get breakeven ). Therefore, a rise in Citigroup to approx. 50.00 USD area wouldn`t surprise me. Bullish with tight stops.
Banks are Bullish in near terms I am seeing bullish ascending/asymmetrical triangles forming on BAC and C, and rising wedges on WFC and JPM's hourly charts. Predicting positive reactions to economic data and interest rates in the upcoming weeks.
Citigroup in uptrend R/R = 4Citigroup is an upside channel and the stock reacted positively on the news that there might be an interest hike in June 2016 by the Fed as this might improve their operational margins
CITIGROUP head and shoulders patternPattern is confirmed, now I am waiting for pullback to advancing neckline area around 44 to enter long position. There is enough room to 52.
The Dimon Bottom Hype Is OverCNBC has loved to refer the recent pullback in the SPX as the "Dimon Bottom" because CEO Jamie Dimon purchased roughly $26 million worth of JPM shares. However, it's not looking for those wanting to hold to believe in the recovery dream.
Whether investors want to believe it or not, the U.S. economic cycle is rolling over; and, considering the very high correlation to the SPX, J.P. Morgan shares will unlikely be saved.
Since 2014, I been warning of potential headwinds from energy exposure in U.S. banks. It may not cripple the sixth-largest bank in the world, but death by 1,000 cuts won't be any better for shareholders.
On Tuesday, JPM reported a 20 percent decline in trading revenues, as well as a $500 million increase in provisions (up 60 percent) due to their energy exposure. Fee revenues were down 25 percent.
Technically, the weekly chart is showing more downside is to come. Traders are watching a 20-weekly bearish convergence with the 50- and 72-weekly EMA. Price action is, also, currently below the 200-weekly EMA.
The inability to show support above this level and challenge $59.60 could poise further stress on shares.
Near-term, we'll see price action test the trend/price demand between $52.30-$53.50. A close below $52.30 would open up $48.3 and trend lower to $43.74.
If looking at Fib. retracements, a close underneath Aug 24, 2015 Black Monday low, 1.618 Fib. extension would stand at $37.54. This would be my target for Q2-17.
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Possible Head & Shoulders breakoutLooks like our favorite investment bank may be have even more of a down swing in store. This head and shoulders pattern looks pretty well defined. The current candle however is sitting on a support level around 170 but if that is breached then 150-152 may be in store. as the next stop.
