Oil- long position triggeredPrice has found support at above neckline of head and shoulders (H&S more apparent on lower timeframe but easily seen on rsi). Rsi also find support at neckline. (You can read Rsi same as price action in most cases). Now middle of regression line (dashed black line)is support. Green arrow is proposed path to 1st target and second red arrow proposed path of breakdown of up wedge
Also see link for details about long trigger
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Cl!
Crude futures As we see sector rotation and interest rates rise crude continues to climb, we still have huge resistance above us that we must break.
Here are my two paths for crude futures going into next week. It will be important to watch this closely, a breakout of the upper trendline could cause historic rallies(Path A, red). However, I do believe we never retested that bottom trendline for a reason so I see path B(Blue) as our most likely option. There is a second option of path B where we fail the retest of that trendline and continue lower so keep a heads up.
Goodluck.
Continue short ES. So far so good.You see that price made through big resistance. Now maybe matter of time until target one. Possible big another
Drop to next target where no major supports. This be continuation of my previous ES trade. I come very close to stop out several times. But now in good profit. Now I let t run.
Adding to short for OIL.
Here you see long trend resistantant since 2008, and up trend support since 2019 Dec. Also ascended triangle. And now recent gap fill which now act as resistant. I am going to add more short on retest of this resistant line. Here is my setup: second RR grid is my second entry.
Go short on oil.I know gap not fill yet but I feel this is exhaustion gap. So even though I do not like to taking trade before gap this might be exception to rule. Look at volume on big candle after gap. This is good sign. Also indicators overbout, and though this can stay for a long time I think ready to drop.
CL Week Ahead 2/14/21 - 2/19/21> Very strong momentum higher
>> Past two weeks have had 9/10 green days
> Previous weekly value area: 57.75 - 58.75 w/ POC at 58.33
> Friday built a HVN above the weekly value area between 59.30 - 59.82.
>> buying the lower end of this area early in the week could offer good r:r if the market doesn't get any real pullback.
> If we do get a pullback, it will be important to see if last week's value area is defended.
>> if it gets back inside last week's VA, the weekly POC should act as a magnet for deciding further direction.
>> expect the weekly VAL to be heavily defended as well.
> No shorts on Monday; I don't want to try to fight this momentum. I need it to show me it's ready to pullback before I try to lean on levels for shorts.
>> Take short profits quickly next week if short positions are initiated.
> If there is a significant down move, watch out for the multiple untested daily POC & HVN below; one or more of those should be good for at least a relief bounce.
GBP/NZD : PRICE ACTION + BULLISH HARMONIC GARTLEY PATTERN 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #GBPNZD
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Strategy: Price action + Bullish Harmonic Gartley on H4 timeframe - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter in this trade.
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Still bullishUKOIL Brent (Gulf oil) is still to rise.
Monthly ATR is is 107 pips. And this month we did only 39 percent so far.
I believe we will end the year at 54.33.
But there will be BIG reaction at yearly low 52.28 from where price released in March. I would exit there.
Close with daily bearish candle below 8 daily ema on daily chart will be a signal of trend change.
Crude oil rise is one of the factors why euro, aud, nzd, cnh had been going up too.
FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
Considering short OILAfter a total of 130 days of sideways trading for 80 plus 50 days, crude oil started a unilateral long trend and experienced nearly 1100 pips in 38 days.
The main upward momentum comes from:
1. The depreciation of the U.S. dollar is good for commodities
2. Expectations of the future economy
3. Expectations that vaccines can solve core demand issues
But this is just expectation.
Considering the potential increase in production and the substitution effect of new energy sources,
the actual value of OIL should not be higher than US$45. Consider a reasonable short position at 48.50-53.50.
A strong potential buy signal on the 15M ChartHello Champs,
I see a very important buy signal configuration forming on the 15M. We need stronger volume in order to confirm our decision. Keep an eye on the chart, and once the volume explodes and breaks the 46.24 zone, you should not miss this oportunity!
Good muck every one