Crude looks bearishClues
(1) ascending wedge in downtrend is bearish (but agreeably the next major trend is bullish)
(2) price where a large resistance line exists and a former support line is now acting as resistance
I think it would be wiser to wait and buy when price goes back down to the stronger trend support line (in black).
That said, any short position here should have a tight stop.
Bear
Here is how I envision the short trade to go if you were to take it right now.
Bull
Here is the bullish case - buying the breakout retest.
Cl!
CRUDE OIL WAVE 3 SETUP Assalamualaikum & Hi Traders!
Key level = 75.27
We are tracking a recognizable setup of wave 3 on crude oil.
Bounce in price for wave (2) is already at 50% fibonacci level compare to wave (1) (declining impulsive movement from 75.27).
Breaking 67.80 will give us indication that wave (2) is already in place.
As for now, my personal view is bias to the downside and key level = 75.27 must hold for this wave 3 bearish idea.
Does the uptrend continue?If MPP (S1) functions as a support line, think long.
The first limit is 70.00
The second limit is under MPP (P) 70.77
The third limit is under YPP (R2) 72.62
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Does the uptrend continue?If MPP (S1) functions as a support line, think long.
The first limit is 70.00
The second limit is under MPP (P) 70.77
The third limit is under YPP (R2) 72.62
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Possible Long From Support In August WTI Crude (CL)If there has been such a large one week draw on supply, then why are WTI prices heading south? The big reason is news out of Saudi Arabia. Production for June spiked significantly, upwards of 500,000 barrels per day. Traders have latched on to this piece of news, predicting a glut of oil to hit the market in coming months.
As a result, we may get a shot to take a long from support on the daily time frame. Here it is:
1)Entry: Buy $70.91
2)Stop Loss: $70.44
3)Profit Target: $71.38
4)Risk Vs Reward Ratio: 1/1
This trade is a bit of a home run, as the stop loss is considerable. Keep a close eye on your leverage. The time table for this play is extensive, so it will stay on the board until the Friday close.
Gold / XAUUSD / GC - Looking to short from bearish pennantGold has formed a bearish pennant pattern just below the resistance level of 1300-1305. I expect a price break out sometime in the next day or two. There are two ways to enter this pattern, once is on a break down of the pattern by entering short, the other is waiting for a false break up and then entering short on a pull back. A false break is a much better setup and would offer a better risk reward trade with higher chance of success, at around a 1 : 3.5 Risk : Reward ratio. Without the false break and price simply falling through the bottom there is always a chance of a throwback, when price breaks down but then immediately pulls back in, essentially faking out the bears. While the latter setup is more risky, it is still tradable with the right trade management techniques. The near term price target would be 1165 and key support at 1135 for a more a more aggressive price target.
USDWTI - Price has reach critical support areaUSDWTI blew through near term support last Friday and has now fallen to a critical support. Due to the importance of this price level we may see it hold where the near term support levels were not able to hold. If your a contrarian trader and believe that this key support level will give you increased probability of price holding and popping higher in the near future this may be the right time to buy. There are a lot of different strategies to go long oil, a very bullish strategy would be to go long OIL or the futures. A neutral to bullish strategy would be to sell puts in OIL or XLE to collect the high premium that the options are fetching and profit from any move higher.
Long CL Swing TradeI'm in NYSE:CL at $62.00.
It counts with everything i look for in a swing trade.
Positive RSI and MACD about to crossover = Bullish.
I plan on taking profits at +- $68.
It somewhat a value play, due to that i believe the stock is very cheap right now.
Share your opinion, comments and questions. Good Luck!
Risk Level: Low - Moderate.
I will keep updating my position.
CL!Sometimes I enjoy zooming out to go pattern hunting. Found an interesting pattern with WTI that 8/10 times May into June was the end of a trend and the beginning of a reversal. With strong Bullish momentum leading into June '18 one does wonder if the leading average will prevail or if momentum will carry itself through the tumult of June?
Chow!