Cl!
USOIL: Expanding on the analysis$USOIL has given us further clues with the recent developments. After the futures expiration, we had a big drop, but bulls supported the price before hitting levels that would put the rally in danger in the short term. We now have an active uptrend in the daily, and the end of a short term daily downtrend today, which indicates to me that we will see immediate upside in oil. If you for some reason aren't long, you can definitely join longs here, or on slight dips, and aim for the targets on chart, at least. This might end fulfilling a monthly uptrend signal, which could propel oil to the upper 60s, to even $100+-5 as an extreme target.
Check out my previous publications, I have been moderately on point, capturing the extremes of the range, and I think now we might be able to catch the next trending leg, let's wait and see.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
USOIL: Long term and intermediate term viewI'm holding oil longs, and exposure to oil via correlated equities, and looking to ride the upcoming trend. It is likely to see a breakout in the short term, this might ignite a monthly, and potentially quarterly uptrend continuation signal. This falls in line with what the quarterly downtrend suggested, time and price wise. The price target was exhausted ahead of time, and after that we saw a strong rally, and for a long time, we have been in a consolidation and accumulation phase. The expected time to consolidate before rallying was reached now, so, it is highly probable to see a massive rally in oil from here onwards.
Daily charts show an already active uptrend, and a continuation signal after a pullback. Bears might get squeezed in little time. The potential upside is huge, so, don't miss it. If you didn't buy oil yet, you can try buying on dips, or at market open, and averaging in for a couple days with a wide stop under the recent lows. Energy stocks are also a good idea, you would have to do your own research here, but, focus on companies that have strong correlation to oil prices.
Best of luck!
Ivan Labrie.
Crude oil is in a good position to make a rally.The main idea is to buy oil futures. This conclusion was based on Elliott wave principle. I hope you know basics of this type of techical analysis, if not i suggest you to read elliott wave principle by Robert Prechter.
Lets come back to chart. Overall I suspect that we will see strong impulse move, that will end 4th wave and than we will see new bottom near 15 usd. The timing is always hard to predict, but depends on wave relations, its should take 2-3 years before we will see 15 usd per barrel. Yeah its a long run, but we have nice opportunity to enter a nice trade now, in the last move upside. I think that 4th wave of a big move down that started from 2011, will take form of a combination: zigzag - flat. We have already seen zigzag and AB of flat, now i hope to see a good impulse move labeled C that will end 4th wave.
CL on a larger TF / Start of crucial two months for USOILThis shows what, in my opinion, CL might do in the next couple of months. CL will reveal its hand on the day of the OPEC meeting (whatever people think, OPEC WILL create a strong reaction). After that meeting, the candle we get is going to show many things. However, I believe movement after the meeting, into summer, will be much more interesting and violent. It will be very strong, giving us a new HOY or a new LOY. During these months, I will provide maps daily / weekly showing what I think will be happening on smaller TF's using primarily Andrews, Indis and PA.
A: If we manage to get above the 1y TL, in my opinion it will drift around it until the OPEC meeting. Then we might see a surge to the TL5, quite possibly will try to take it out. If price manage to get above it, I believe new HOY will appear. If the OPEC candle will be anything like November, it is more than likely.
B: If we don't retake the 1y TL2, might retest the low (and TL3) around 44.60, which would on a bigger TF make a double bottom of sort. Then surge into OPEC meeting and the decision in the blue cluster.
Looking a bit further ahead, at July, that cluster (blue circle) might be very interesting, and a likely target for consolidation before the most important move in 2017 (after all the geopolitical nonsense and OPEC). If that TL5 isn't taken out with the OPEC candle, it might provide the roof for price and a consolidation zone.