Crude Oil futures: Big upside possibleIt seems Crude oil is about to stage a massive rally lasting 17 weeks. I can see it going between $51 and $77, best case scenario.
Ideally it should hold over 37.14 here, to not disrupt the currently active bullish signals on chart. The weekly timeframe and monthly timeframe are a good way to frame the price action patterns that have clearly indicated what price behavior would do since the COVID crash, so they are quite reliable here. Both suggest big upside is possible, so definitely time to be long and pay attention.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
CL
The market is bearing a tremendous resistanceAs i mentioned yesterday in my signal and technical analysis, the market couldn't reach the 44.00 price point as there was a strong resistance that could reverse the market down for a while. As for today, the market is trying to get up but it has to cross the 41.69 resistance zone to confirm whether the market will go up again or not. We'll just wait and see what the coming minutes would come up with.
Good luck champs!
Congratulations on the winning trade for todayI just wanted to thank you all for trusting my signals and your support, that means a lot to me and to my business. As i said earlier this morning, we went high and reached most of our target with significant profits. I think you should get out of the market as it is not stable and it might surprises you.
Congrats champs :)
A good buy signal on the 15M chartWhile i was posting the previous analysis, i saw a significant buy signal that is not a strong one though, as there not much volume supporting it. Remember we have a very strong resistance zone at 41.35 where the price could not pass through yesterday. If the price reaches that zone it may reverse back again, or it may break it and go higher as long as long you see significant volume accompanied!
The market are going crazyI apologize to all my clients and followers who did not hear from me in while due to the lack of clarity of all the markets during the US presidential elections and after. The CL is no exception of that as well since it behaved in way that was unclear for me to take any decision that may lead to a big loss or even a disaster. I preferred to stay away and keep watching till i see what i am looking for.
Today, the market opened high giving us a buy signal but the probability to go higher remains at 60% as it is still unclear especially that the overall trend of the CL is low.
We will have to watch and if there is any strong signal, i will post it right away.
Good luck champs
A great buying signal pattern on the 15M chartI see that the CL is still keeping its beautiful uptrend giving us another winning trade especially after breaking the 36.65 resistance zone accompanied with strong volume that gave price the needed momentum to keep its way upward. Keep your positions till 16:00 to see if the elections will affect the price or not. Good luck
An important buy signal is forming nowAs you can see on the 15M chart, the CL is trying to go up but it has to break that important resistance area in order to keep its way to the top. If it breaks that resistance area you should buy the market.
On the other hand, if the market reverses now, it has to break that support area in order to keep its way down, in that case you should sell the market.
SPX | NAS |USOIL Immediate trade references 22SEPWe have failed to hold lower and have seen a bounce and hold of those levels.
SPX key areas is 3280F, Bullish on hold above and bearish below.
Hold above 3280 for a test of 3308/ 3324
Hold below 3280 for a move back to 3250
-----------------------------------------
NAS 10955 key reference areas, Has been the stronger of the two hence will expect to lead the way for longs.
Will look for a test of 11140 & 111240
Hold below 10950 will look for a rotation and traverse yday range of 10850/ 10790 & Lower
----------------------------------------
USOIL is looking bearish for a hold below 40.40-40.20 regions. Hold below that will look to trade bearish
for a move back to 39.50 and lower. swing targets remain at 37.50
Elliott Wave View: Correction in Oil CompletedElliott Wave View of Oil (CL) suggests the cycle from August 26 high has ended as wave II. The correction unfolded as double three Elliott Wave Structure. Down from August 26 high, wave ((W)) ended at 40.22 low. The bounce in wave ((X)) ended at 41.87 high. Afterwards, the commodity resumed lower and ended wave ((Y)) at 36.21 low. This ended wave II pullback in the higher degree. Since then, the commodity has resumed the rally higher.
Up from wave II low, wave 1 ended at 38.45 high. Wave 2 dip unfolded as zigzag correction and ended at 36.67 low. Currently, wave 3 higher is in progress. The subdivision of wave 3 is unfolding as 5 waves impulse structure. Wave ((i)) ended at 37.82 high and wave ((ii)) dip ended at 36.82 low. Wave ((iii)) higher ended at 40.34 high. Afterwards, pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 39.51 low. Oil can push for another high before ending wave 3 and followed by a pullback in wave 4 later. As long as 36.21 low stays intact, expect the dips in 3,7 or 11 swings to find support. However, oil still needs to break above August 26 high at 43.78 to confirm that next leg higher in wave III has already started. Otherwise, wave II could still unfold as a double correction before upside resume again.
Technical Expectations for CRUDE OIL behavior (explanation)For the Moment, the volumes are weak comparing to previous ones. the red inclined line is a strong resistance which began since 2008, the horizontal yellow line is a support which serves for 16 years now (since 2004). Now there are 2 plans :
- If the market breaks (or tests then breaks as mentioned in the chart) the strong red resistance, the prices may fluctuate between the horizontal upper dotted line and the yellow support, since it was an ancient trading range -> see the green arrows
- If the market fails to break the strong red resistance, there is no other choice than going down, breaking the yellow support, and fluctuate between the below, dotted line and the yellow support to join the ancient range highlighted in the chart -> see the red arrows (the breaking of the yellow support needs to be strong)
Let's see how it would react with the mentioned lines.