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USOIL: Expanding on the analysis$USOIL has given us further clues with the recent developments. After the futures expiration, we had a big drop, but bulls supported the price before hitting levels that would put the rally in danger in the short term. We now have an active uptrend in the daily, and the end of a short term daily downtrend today, which indicates to me that we will see immediate upside in oil. If you for some reason aren't long, you can definitely join longs here, or on slight dips, and aim for the targets on chart, at least. This might end fulfilling a monthly uptrend signal, which could propel oil to the upper 60s, to even $100+-5 as an extreme target.
Check out my previous publications, I have been moderately on point, capturing the extremes of the range, and I think now we might be able to catch the next trending leg, let's wait and see.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
USOIL: Long term and intermediate term viewI'm holding oil longs, and exposure to oil via correlated equities, and looking to ride the upcoming trend. It is likely to see a breakout in the short term, this might ignite a monthly, and potentially quarterly uptrend continuation signal. This falls in line with what the quarterly downtrend suggested, time and price wise. The price target was exhausted ahead of time, and after that we saw a strong rally, and for a long time, we have been in a consolidation and accumulation phase. The expected time to consolidate before rallying was reached now, so, it is highly probable to see a massive rally in oil from here onwards.
Daily charts show an already active uptrend, and a continuation signal after a pullback. Bears might get squeezed in little time. The potential upside is huge, so, don't miss it. If you didn't buy oil yet, you can try buying on dips, or at market open, and averaging in for a couple days with a wide stop under the recent lows. Energy stocks are also a good idea, you would have to do your own research here, but, focus on companies that have strong correlation to oil prices.
Best of luck!
Ivan Labrie.
Crude oil is in a good position to make a rally.The main idea is to buy oil futures. This conclusion was based on Elliott wave principle. I hope you know basics of this type of techical analysis, if not i suggest you to read elliott wave principle by Robert Prechter.
Lets come back to chart. Overall I suspect that we will see strong impulse move, that will end 4th wave and than we will see new bottom near 15 usd. The timing is always hard to predict, but depends on wave relations, its should take 2-3 years before we will see 15 usd per barrel. Yeah its a long run, but we have nice opportunity to enter a nice trade now, in the last move upside. I think that 4th wave of a big move down that started from 2011, will take form of a combination: zigzag - flat. We have already seen zigzag and AB of flat, now i hope to see a good impulse move labeled C that will end 4th wave.