WTI CRUDE OIL: Aggressive sellingWTI Crude Oil is on a strong selloff that was accurately anticipated by our firm on the 1D MA200 rejection, making a LH on the long term Channel Down and providing us with the most optimal sell entry. The 4H technicals are oversold but the 1D remains on standard bearish price action (RSI = 42.644, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 42.786) and we don't expect this selling to take a pause before the 1D RSI tests the S1 (39.50).
Our short term target has always been 74.00 and after a short lived rebound we expect 72.00. Unless 1D closes a candle above the 1D MA50, in which case a bigger rebound is possible to 80.00 before an even deeper fall to 66.00.
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Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil 4/26/23For Wednesday, 80.06 can contain weekly buying pressures, below which 76.20 remains a 3 - 5 day objective able to contain selling through the balance of the week.
A daily settlement below 76.20 signals a good weekly high, the longer-term target at 71.76 by the end of next week, where the market can bottom out through May and a meaningful downside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Upside Wednesday, closing above 80.06 signals 82.29 within several days, long-term resistance able to contain buying into summer, and below which 71.76 remains a 3 - 5 week objective.
Inversely, a weekly settlement above 82.29 would indicate 95.91 over the following 2 - 3 months.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Detailed Structure Analysis 🛢
Here are the key levels to watch on WTI Crude Oil this week.
Resistance 1: 79.0 - 79.85 area
Resistance 2: 83.17 - 83.5 area
Support 1: 75.5 - 75.8 area
The market is in an attempt to fill the gap.
I am bearish biased and expect the gap to be filled.
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CL1! OilOil is looking good to buy after the correction, the triggers for entry are a breakdown of the downtrend, a consolidation breakdown and the high of 78.35, where there were large cluster volumes. The price remains above the breakdown so I opened a long position at 78.7, with an exit under the lower consolidation boundary below 76.7. The first target is 80, then 81.5-82.5-83.4.
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil 4/25/23For Tuesday, 80.11 can contain weekly buying pressures, below which 76.20 remains a 3-5 day target able to contain selling through the balance of the week. A daily settlement below 76.20 signals a good weekly high, the targeted 71.76 then expected by the end of next week, where the market can bottom out through May and a meaningful downside continuation point over the same time horizon. Upside Tuesday, closing above 80.11 signals 82.29 within several days, long-term resistance able to contain buying into summer, and below which 71.76 remains a 3- 5 week objective. Inversely, a weekly settlement above 82.29 would indicate 95.91 over the following 2-3 months.
CL1! Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for CL1!.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 79.46.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 73.95 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Oversold refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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CL1! Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers ,
I analysed this chart on CL1!, and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 81.07 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High/ anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 85.40
Recommended Stop Loss - 78.47
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Pullback From Key Level Explained 🛢
WTI Crude Oil reached a key daily structure resistance.
Testing that, the price formed a double top pattern on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was successfully violated then.
I expect a retracement from the underlined blue area.
Goals: 82.0 / 81.4
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WTI breaks out of consolidation, $90 up next?WTI broke out of consolidation and closed above its 200-day EMA and resistance zone. The OBV (on balance indicator) confirmed the breakout with a move to a new cycle high, and volumes (whilst below average) are turning higher to show buyers stepping back in.
Furthermore, we saw a gap ahead of the consolidation above HKEX:79 , although using classic definitions it doesn't quite fit into 'breakaway' or 'runaway' gap category. Regardless, we've seen a 30% rally from the March low with a gap along the way, OPEC+ cut oil production, and the trend points higher.
With that said, the 200-day MA is capping as resistance, so bulls may want to wait for a break (or daily close) above the level. But overall, the risks appear skewed to the upside.
- The bias remains bullish above 79 and an initial move to 90, then the 93.60 highs
- Wednesday's low could be used for tighter risk management