WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, DAILY Market Analysis 1/6/23For Friday, 76.98 - 77.19 can contain buying through next week, below which 66.71 long-term support remains a 2 - 3 week objective.
Downside Friday, 71.75 can contain selling into early next week, once tested 76.98 - 77.19 attainable within 3-5 days.
On the other hand, closing today below 71.75 indicates the targeted 66.71 within 1 - 2 weeks, where the market can bottom out into spring trade, possibly into later year.
Upside Friday, a settlement back above 77.19 signals 84.16 by the end of next week, the 88.27 - 88.80 region attainable within several weeks, able to absorb broader market buying through winter activity
Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
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Financial Wave. CLWe have adjusted our priority scenario in CL. Downward acceleration in wave 3 looks most likely and could bring oil prices to $62.92. If the price of oil rises to $81.72 we’ll change our view. In support of our opinion, we also want to note:
1. Strong winds and mild temperatures will certainly reduce energy demand.
2. Bubbles burst in the financial markets. One of them, the real estate market in Canada, UK, Sweden and Australia. This is another sign that social sentiment is turning negative.
WTI OIL 4H MA50 holding as Support. Levels to buy and sell.The WTI Oil (USOIL) is having so far a full-action day as it hit the 1D MA50 (yellow trend-line) for the first time since November 16 and got rejected and tested once again the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been holding as a Support since December 14.
This is basically the same time when the short-term Channel Up emerged and as you see so far has two clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows. We had forecasted this 1D MA50 test almost a month ago based on the 1D RSI Lower Lows fractal similarities with September:
This long-term Target is now done and we can only enter a new buy either after a candle close above the 1D MA50 or now with a tight SL at the bottom of the Channel Up. In both cases the target is 83.90, a new Higher High.
The 4H Golden Cross pattern (MA50 crossing above 4H MA200 (orange trend-line)), hasn't always been bullish though as on October 11 it signaled the top. Ideally that should be on the 1D RSI Lower Highs trend-line, but if the price closes below the 4H MA200, it would be a late sell signal, aiming at the 73.35 Support. Tight SL on both buys and sells, and this approach should work in your favor on the medium-term.
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, DAILY Market Analysis 12/30/22For Friday, 76.99 can contain selling through next week, above which 88.77 remains a 3 - 5 week objective.
Upside Friday, 81.14 can contain session strength, while closing today above 81.14 indicates 83.96 within 1 - 2 days, where the market can top out through the balance of next week.
A daily settlement above 83.96 would indicate the targeted 88.77 - 89.42 within another full week of activity, able to contain broader market buying pressures through winter.
Downside Friday, breaking/opening below 76.99 allows 76.04, also able to contain selling through next week and the point to settle below for pivoting the market south into later January, long-term support in the 63.95 - 66.28 region then expected within 3 - 5 weeks.
Crude Oil (WTI) Classic Trend-Following Setup 🛢️
Crude Oil nicely reacted to a confluence zone based on a horizontal daily structure support and fib.retracement levels.
The price broke and closed above a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on 4H.
I believe the market will go higher after a pullback.
Goals will be 79.5 / 80.89
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
wti would go to moonEU and USA is about to sanction Russia with crude oil.
This would blow the price of WTI sky rocket. within few months.
strong hold in 85 dollar.
strong support means plenty of rooms.
Movingavereage is turning to a bullish side also.
I will analyze with weekly candles.
This upper movement might show in few months.
Crude Oil (WTI): Bullish Outlook 🛢️
We have spotted earlier a confirmed breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
The price closed above that on a daily.
I believe that the next goal for buyers will be 81.4
I will expect a bullish continuation to there.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CRUDE OIL Bounces... how high?As previously mentioned, Crude was to break 76, and head down to a target of 67. It did break down below 76 decisively, but found a support at 70. And it appears to be bouncing off the 70 support level.
There are two main ranges and in combination, the yellow box denotes the current consolidation area over the next couple of months.
Noted the Bullish Divergence on the MACD, although the VolDiv (lower panel) is still showing some bearish momentum.
Expecting a (consolidating) bounce to 85-90, the latter being resistance.
Crude Oil (WTI) Time to Recover 🛢️
Hey traders,
I spotted a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling wedge pattern on a daily on WTI Crude Oil.
That indicates that, with a high probability, the market will keep recovering.
I expect a bullish continuation at least to 81.4 resistance.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Opening (Margin): /CL March 16th 37 Short Put... for a 1.60 credit.
Comments: Selling /CL premium on weakness, but giving myself plenty of room to be wrong, targeting the strike that is 50% of current price that has an ROC metric of >10%. 1.60 credit on buying power effect of 9.71. 16.5% ROC as a function of buying power effect; 8.2% at 50% max.
CL1! 1 IDEA HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT CL1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like and follow thanks
Crude Oil (WTI) Bearish Outlook For Next Week 🛢️
Hey traders,
Even though this week was bullish on Crude Oil,
I still remain bearish biased.
I spotted a falling parallel channel on a daily and the price has nicely respected its upper boundary.
I believe oil will drop next week.
Goal - 71.5
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
WTI OIL We caught a perfect buy entry, proceed as plannedOn our last WTI Oil (USOIL) analysis 6 days ago we caught the perfect buy entry after spotting the Lower Lows bottom fractal similar to September 26:
That chart was on the 1D time-frame and as you see, we got a perfect rebound that, moving into today's analysis on the 4H time-frame, broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We now have a similar pull-back to September 30 and the price is testing the 4H MA50 as Support. If we get the 1D closing above it, we expect this rebound to continue at least 79.50 (which is the former Channel Down top (1st red flag), below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). If the price closes above the 1D MA50 (yellow trend-line), be prepared for a potential new Lower High on the diverging Channel Down (dashed lines, 2nd red flag).
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Financial Wave. CLOur preferred scenario in CL is confirmed by the price action. We assumed a decrease in CL in the corrective wave (b). The down move looks complete or nearly complete, with wave (c) up to $79.87 most likely. For our scenario, the critical level is $72.37. A price drop below $72.37 will break our markup and change our view.