CL1!7.7.22 CL1! went up about 8 points in the last day. In this video, I gave a general review that I believe accurately reflects the market dynamics for what happened here. It will be much more useful if you listen to the video. You will see where the buyers and sellers are, and you will see reversal patterns. It is important to review the graphics if you want to understand the process. Tradingview is going to filter my videos in some way because of things I am not doing. If my students can follow my posts despite the filters, I can settle for that. However, I still felt that I had to express my point of view. Tradingview provides a good service, and I think I provide a good service with no cost to those who care to listen. Everyone has the choice to push the ''unfollow' button if they prefer to not listen to my videos. If I owned a business, I would want to run it my way, and I have no problem with that.
Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
WTI: Next step 👍WTI has made the next important step in the course of our primary scenario and has jumped below the support line at $101.53. We expect it to drop further still, namely below the next support at $92.93, where it should finish wave 3 in blue. After a short countermovement as part of wave 4 in blue, WTI should then fall into the white zone between $78.56 and $70.17. There is a 25% chance, though, that WTI could change direction and rise above the resistance at $130.50, thus enforcing further ascent.
CL - Crude Oil At Bounce PointCL reached the extremes short term.
From here I expect a bounce up, with a potential to the yellow CL (Center Line).
The idea is supported by the Stochastic, where the faster is overbought and the longterm is sloping up.
Risking small, aiming big, that's what I do in CL.
In contrarian I take profits quickly if it's not playing out like I want.
USOIL 6th JULY 2022USOIL fell below USD 100 as recession fears grew, fueling concerns that the economic slowdown would cut demand for petroleum products.
In the macro trend, oil tends to be bearish. By the end of this year if the economy is heading into a recession. In a recession scenario with rising unemployment, bankruptcy of households and firms, commodities will chase a downward cost curve as costs deflate and margins turn negative to encourage supply curbs.
However, the decline in oil prices will actually benefit manufacturing companies. They will take cheap prices for supplies, after 2 quarters of prices soaring.
USOIL D1
Crude Oil may fall rapidly to the 85 to 92 zone supportCrude oil futures CL1! Is making an ABC zigzag correction & may reach 92 where A=C. 88 is the 0.618 Fib retracement while 85 is the Nov2021 Top. This strong support zone will enable crude oil to retest the blue upchannel base before resuming rally thru 2022.
Crude oil is falling due to recesion fears & demand destruction. This should be temporary due to the supply issues created by the invasion & sanctions which will not go away soon.
Not trading advice
CL1! - Weekly Market Update, 7/5/22Crude Oil has exhibited weakness, however we have yet to see a "trend change" occur yet.
The market has been climbing now for 9 months in a row of positive gains.
A breather is in store, but we'll be watching closely to see if things start to crack.
No actionable ideas at this time, while the bias remains to the long side.
I've adjusted support and resistance structures accordingly for your review.
Oil Maintains Broad RangeOil rejected 113, and came crashing down through support at 106. It penetrated the vacuum zone between 101 and 106, but has since found support around 104, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. We have subsequently seen a pivot back to 108, but appear to be finding resistance confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. If momentum continues then the next target is 111. It is likely that we will begin to equilibrate in the broad range between 101 and 113, so watch these levels for a potential mean reversion trade.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Trend Continuation🛢
Hey traders,
Update for WTI Crude Oil.
As you remember, we were bearish biased, and we were patiently waiting for a confirmation to short.
The price broke a support line of a bearish flag pattern on a 4H.
I believe that the market will keep falling now.
Goals:
102.88
100.0
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DON'T PANIC - SPX USOIL BTCSo the rally appears to be over, Usoil holding up because bulls are expecting news this week on supply. Bitcoin has a new ETF BITI, might be handy in the coming weeks/years.
Arthur C. Clarke said Douglas Adams' use of "don't panic" was perhaps the best advice that could be given to humanity.
USOIL 30th JUNE 2022The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied producers are expected to confirm as a mere formality their decision to expand oil production by 650,000 barrels per day in July and August. The OPEC+ group of producers including Russia, began two days of meetings on Wednesday, though sources said there was little prospect of agreement to pump more oil.
The net drop in crude oil inventories was flattered by SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve) releases, while the gasoline stock jump is because U.S. refineries are running at over 95% capacity
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Your Detailed Trading Plan For This Week🛢
As you remember, traders, we spotted a confirmed bearish breakout of a rising parallel channel on WTI last week.
Now, we see its retest.
Watch a minor rising trend line on 4H.
Its bearish breakout will be your confirmation to short.
You need a 4H candle close below that to confirm the breakout.
The market will most likely drop to 102.8 / 100.0 levels then.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USOIL 27th JUNE 2022World crude oil prices tended to be bearish, continuing the correction a week earlier, amid the aggressive United States central bank in raising its benchmark interest rate.
Oil prices have been rising since last year and hit a record high this year on March 8, 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine.
The weakening of oil prices is the uncertain demand prospect from China. Although the spike in Covid-19 cases has been contained, it is still unclear how quickly Chinese businesses will be able to recover.
USOIL H1
USOIL D1 - JUNE
CL Daily up channelThe CL daily time frame is in an up channel.
The market is near the bottom of the channel.
If support holds. It is expected the market to
push bullish towards the top of the channel price
point 123.77 about +1,465 ticks above the market.
It will be a good idea to turn to the one hour time
frame and to look for low prices in the buy zone.