Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
Crude Oil UP ah!For the past month or so, been talking about higher Crude prices in the making. Here we are closer to that...
The Weekly chart closed at a monthly high, and with such gusto that it is the most bullish looking candle in the past 6 weeks! This came after many indications and warnings from weekly candlestick patterns and daily technicals as outlined previously in the last couple of weeks.
So, now the weekly technical indicators are showing a bullish turn.
The daily chart have a late week Crude Oil price spike, that is meeting a gap resistance, and the coming week should break through... this is supported by the RPM and MACD technicals.
125 then 155... and this is an off-cycle surge, so am expecting a quick surge really.
Oil Returns to Relative HighsOil has continued its rally, breaking through our level at $111 with ease. It is currently facing resistance in the middle of the vacuum zone between $111 and $116. The Kovach OBV has picked up sharply with the rally, but has since leveled off. We have few fundamental reasons why we should see lower oil prices, however if we do retrace, we should have support at $111, $108, then $106 in the event of a retracement. Otherwise, $116 remains our target, then $122.
Economic Outlook on OilOil has been ranging in between $108 and $113, with consistent resistance at $111, which we have added as a new technical level. The value area has consolidated immensely, which suggests that we may be preparing for a breakout. There is no fundamental reason yet why we should see significantly lower oil prices, though China's renewed Covid lock downs weigh on demand. We anticipate strong support from $108 and $106, with $100 an absolute floor. If we can break past $113, our next target is $116.
Oil ClimbsOil has found support, and continued its broad zig-zag rally. We dipped down below $106 briefly, but found support and quickly rebounded past $108, into the vacuum zone between $108 and $113. The Kovach OBV is still strong, and there is nothing fundamental to suggest lower prices. As targets we have $113 then $116. From below, $108 and $106 should provide support with $100 being a floor price for now.
Crude needs to bounce off retest support today...Previously bullish on Crude Oil, especially after it met expectations to break out of the triangle. However, it did meet resistance and failed with a gap down, pushing back to retest the triangle. At this point, pre-(US)market hours, Crude broke back into the triangle, which would be bearish in nature, expecting an exit on the other side to ensue in due course.
So, in short, be the end of the trading day, Crude needs to spike back up above 18 May close.
The OSL line is currently below the 55EMA.
Will review again...
Oil Attempts Highs AgainOil has kept steadily rising, blasting through our profit targets. We smashed through $106, then $108, then appeared to stabilize for a bit under $113. But yesterday, we were able to break that level too. We are currently hovering under $116, finding resistance just under this level confirmed by two red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up confirming the momentum.Our next target is $116, then we have a vacuum zone to highs at $122.