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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, DAILY Market Analysis 11/30/22For Wednesday, 76.48 can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 82.95 is likely within the week, possibly allowing 92.46 longer-term resistance by the end of December. Upside Wednesday, 80.46 can contain intraday strength, beyond which 82.95 is likely intraday and able to contain buying through the balance of the week. A daily settlement above 82.95 indicates 92.46 within 2-3 weeks, where the market can top out through winter activity. Downside Wednesday, breaking/opening below 76.48 allows 72.87, while closing today below 76.48 indicates 66.56 within 2-3 weeks, the start of a narrowing range of support down to 64.57 able to contain selling through winter.
NYMEX:CLF2023
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, DAILY Market Analysis 11/29/22For Tuesday, 76.48 can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 82.87 is likely within the week, possibly allowing 92.46 by the end of December. Upside Tuesday, 78.49 can contain intraday strength, beyond which 82.87 is attainable intraday and able to contain buying into later week. A daily settlement above 82.87 indicates 92.46 long-term resistance within 2-3 weeks, where the market can top out through winter activity. Downside Tuesday, breaking/opening below 76.48 allows 72.87, while closing today below 76.48 indicates 66.72 within 2-3 weeks, the start of a narrowing range of support able to contain selling through winter activity.
NYMEX:CLF2023
by SpecialeAnalysis
Oil buyers step in at $72/bbl: Is the downside limited?The oil market has seen a lot of activity, with recent developments mostly easing worries about market tightness. In China, Covid-related restrictions have been reinstalled in major cities, triggering rare protests and consequently reducing outlook for oil consumption, in striking contrast to perceived moves to reopen the economy at the beginning of November. On the supply side, reports that the United States granted Chevron Corp permission to restart oil production in Venezuela, as well as Iraq's statement that it will add 1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day of oil export capacity by 2025, weighed on oil prices. The oil future curve is no longer in a backwardation state. The price premium that spot WTI held over its future contracts ( 3A1! ; 4A1! ; 5A1! ) has been fully wiped away by the most recent leg of oil depreciation. In essence, the spot price of oil is currently trading at par compared to its 6-month future delivery, indicating that the market is not currently concerned about prompt supply. This condition has not been observed since January 2021, and it may be prudent to be wary of surprises at this time. Bad news is priced, but positive catalysts are still to come? With most bad news already priced in by the market, it may take something new to stop oil prices from falling. In October, the US White House signalled that it intends to repurchase crude to replenish its SPR stocks when WTI prices are at or below about $65/bbl and $72/bbl. Consequently, this area could present a strong price support and thus limit the downside relative to current market prices. Additionally, supply-side risks have not completely disappeared. The G7 has postponed a price ceiling on Russian oil, but Russia said that it may retaliate, restricting supply, if the G7 applies a price cap. In view of recent market developments, OPEC+ could also reinforce its very restrictive supply strategy on Sunday, December 4th. Dip buying to resume at $72? Technically speaking, oil has revised its lows for 2022 and is currently experiencing a negative year-to-date performance. The most recent wave of decline was dramatic, bringing the daily RSI close to oversold territory. In the past, massive selloffs in oil prices, with the daily RSI in oversold territory, produced some near-term price recovery. WTI prices are currently 14% and 30% below their respective 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which appears overly pessimistic considering the persistence of upside risks. Given how sharp the recent downward trend was and the fact that a positive catalyst might happen soon, dip buying may start to come back at these levels.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by Capitalcom
Light Crude to 54.09 by Jan 13th 2023Light Crude has lost a significant level at 78.16 and is reverting to the mean at 54.09 as demonstrated by my pitchfork trends and sigma measurments. Pitchfork Price Action Analysis Light Crude has broke out of the recent uptrend (with red median) and broke away from the (red) mean on Jun 14th 2022 (priced at 123.68). Since then it has started to follow the down trend median with an attempt to break out on Nov 7 2022 (priced at 93.74)but failed to do so. Price is looking for buyers at the 68.15 and if it fails to find them then this trend will revert to the median trend that broke out in Dec 22, 2021. That will take Light Crude to 54.09 by Jan 13th, 2023. Flash Crash Should we continue the trend down I can actually see a flash crash to 40.63 by Feb 28th 2023. This will be the full sigma move and will be an area where I'll look to buy into a reversal.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GammaRayGoated
1
OIL Homework for two of my students.11.25.22 I talked about oil and natural gas. The main discussion was on oil because door stop and reverse patterns that I want my two students to focus. I want them to battle through this, even if this causes physical injury because of a difference of opinion... because I think this will help them. Even if they are not stopped and reversed Traders, The Dynamics of this market support buyers and sellers... even though they may only trade one side of the market. Remember if there's a good setup for sellers and your long, at least you should get out of your long position. Likewise, short in the market and you're coming to strong buyers, you have to get out of your short position. You cannot forget about one side of the market. I had time to look at Natural Gas which came to a potential support area ....And I gave the potential set up with a scaling strategy.
NYMEX_MINI:QG1!
by ScottBogatin
oil 11-24 update.good evening, --- remember in my last oil post when i called the top? there was some really salty humans in the comment section who were most likely bag holders from the absolute peak of the bull run. this is an update for them. --- last post: --- i feel like oil has entered into a quatervois here, which is basically "crossroad" in french. currently seeing two potential trajectories: 1. -oil runs up to 100ish through an expanded flat (green targets most probable, grey are weak, and red is unlikely, but always possible). -after which, a swift downturn to my $57 target from the original post. 2. -oil simply see's a dead-cat bounce, creates another hidden bearish divergence, and rolls over yet again - continuing it's bearish trajectory to my original target. --- all paths lead down there, potentially even deeper - but the question as always is: which path's it gonna take? ps. no offense to all the people who talk smack on my posts, you're always welcome if you have a proper argument. just keep in mind, "fundamentals, is not a proper argument".
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by notoriousbids
2
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, DAILY Market Analysis 11/25/22For Friday, 76.45 can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 93.76 is likely over the next 2-3 weeks. Upside Friday, 82.70 can contain session strength, while closing above 82.70 indicates 93.76 within 1-2 weeks, where the market can top out into January, and a meaningful upside continuation point over the same time horizon. Downside Friday, closing below 76.45 indicates 67.03 within 1-2 weeks, the start of a range of long-term support on the 64.15 able to contain selling through winter activity.
NYMEX:CLF2023
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI OIL Buy opportunity to 83.00 and 86.00 short-termWTI Oil (USOIL) posted a Bull Flag pattern today similar to September 28 - 30, which is the rebound formation is shares many similarities with. The drop that led to the bottom on both sequences is very similar and you can see that by plotting the September 14 - 26 on November 09 - 18. The 4H MACD is also on the same pattern, it appears that the price is on the cross point (red flag). The target is now the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) with an early projected hit at 83.00 and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) around 86.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
CRUDE OIL Bullish entering DecemberWTI Crude Oil made a remarkable rebound yesterday marginally below the 76.30 Support (the Support Zone is now 76.30 - 75.30) and turned the 4H RSI around, approaching the 4H MA50 (yellow line). This is the first Resistance (short term) with the initial target of this late September/October-like rebound being the 1D MA50 (blue line). If then the price breaks above the 1D MA100 (green line), we can continue buying and aim the 93.75 Resistance, which happens to be on the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the June 14 Top. Being so symmetrical, is why we consider the 0.236 Fibonacci to also be a medium term Resistance as well. A break above the 93.75 Resistance targets the 1D MA200 (orange line), the long term bearish barrier. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:USOILLong
by TheCryptagon
WTI OIL: Strong bottom formation. 4H MA50 and MA200 eyed.Massive development yesterday as Oil broke even below the 76.20 Support of the September 26th Low and reached as low as 75.30 before a massive rebound back to 80.00 that almost closed the day with no losses. This turned 4H neutral again (RSI = 45.032, MACD = -1.560, ADX = 33.080). Since the price broke above the 1H MA50 (yellow) again, we have a confirmed bullish continuation and the target is the 4H MA50 (blue) and 4H MA200 (orange) in extension. Watch how this is so far the very same Inverted Head and Shoulders bottom into rebound formation as on the September 26th Low. That rebound hit the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200 and formed a Resistance level at 93.65 that was pushed to 93.75 on the November 7th High. We can't yet call for such a high test this time as there is the 1D MA100 (red) posing as a Resistance first, just above the 4H MA200. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
Oil Outlook 2022 🛢️With global political tensions on the rise, the expectation for crude oil price seemed to be bullish across the mainstream media. Everyone seems to think that war=high crude oil prices. This is true. However OPEC+ just said they will likely be upping production in Jan 23 so price has been plummeting. I was actually surprised that price wasn't moving higher yet before this announcement, however algobuddy was telling us on the weekly that it's still in bear mode so I have been weary of long positions on my short term charts. I try to stick with the overall weekly or monthly trend. I also keep remembering when the US president said he'd like to see price of oil closer to $72 before he stops emptying reserves, and when a US president says something like this I like to think there are enough strings to pull that he can make it happen. This seems to be working out, as price is almost down to that exact number now, especially after OPEC's announcement. I do notice a broadening formation happing on the weekly chart right now around this area. This gives me the feeling that a big slingshot move up is coming. I'll keep my head on a swivel, but until we get a weekly algobuddy bull signal I am staying on the bear side for now. IF the talk of WW3 turns more and more likely into becoming reality, then I will start to think of a move to the upside. IF weekly candle crosses and closes back above the algobuddy thick ribbon line then I'll turn bullish. It's already made a new low and peeked below the previous weeks bar and is now back above its low. This is bullish for me, however if price continues to make new lows and more production ramp announcements I will jump on shorts. Looking forward to seeing how this week candle closes. If red, then we can see more downside move. Stay solvent my friends 💪 AlgoBuddy
NYMEX:CL1!
by QuantVue
WTI OIL: Can have a huge upswing long term.Crude Oil seems to be virtually repeating since November 2020 the past Cycle that started after the January 2009 recession bottom. All levels are the same and even though this March 2022 top smashed through the symmetric Resistance Zone due to the war in Ukraine, it pulled back below it. Right now the price is rebounding on the Huge Pivot line as in August 2011 (see the Pivot acted as a Resistance on October 2018) after being rejected on the 1W MA50 (blue line). The RSI is also a copy paste of that period. The model suggests that WTI oil as long as it closes this week above the 1W MA100 (green), it should break above the 1W MA50 again and test the Resistance Zone again. There is also a Rising Support (Higher Lows) below since March 2021, which was also present from July 2009 to August 2014. The strongest technical support is the 1W MA200 (orange). It will be really interesting to see how the market handles this input. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
4