NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) AnalysisCompany Overview: NuScale Power Corporation NYSE:SMR is at the forefront of the nuclear energy revolution, leveraging its cutting-edge small modular reactor (SMR) technology to address the growing demand for clean, reliable energy. With the backing of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) certification, NuScale holds a strong first-mover advantage in the nuclear energy space, positioning it for significant growth as global efforts to transition to cleaner energy sources accelerate.
Key Catalysts:
NRC Certification: NuScale is the only SMR company with NRC certification, giving it a significant regulatory and market advantage in deploying its innovative nuclear reactors.
Growing Demand for Clean Energy: As countries worldwide commit to reducing carbon emissions, demand for clean nuclear energy is rising. NuScale’s scalable, safe, and cost-effective SMR technology is well-suited to meet this need.
Data Center Opportunities: In addition to energy generation, NuScale is exploring applications for its SMRs in the data center industry, offering on-site, scalable power solutions that align with the industry's increasing energy demands.
Global Expansion: NuScale's technology appeals to both developed and developing nations as a reliable and safe alternative energy source, with strong international interest in SMR deployment.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on SMR above $10.50-$11.00, reflecting the company’s first-mover status in the nuclear SMR market and its potential to capture significant market share in both energy and data center applications. Upside Potential: Our target range for SMR is $23.00-$24.00, driven by growth in clean energy adoption and increasing demand for scalable power solutions in high-growth sectors like data centers.
🚀 SMR—Pioneering the Future of Clean, Reliable Nuclear Power. #NuclearEnergy #CleanEnergy #SmallModularReactors
Cleanenergy
Copper Pulls Back as China Optimism FadesCopper extended the August rebound into autumn and reached three-month highs, helped by the Fed’s jumbo rate cut and massive stimulus from Chinese authorities aiming to prop the economy and the property sector. However the measures do little to address the structural problems and the real estate market is unlikely to return to its former glory, while the lack of follow through on the fiscal front this week caused prior optimism to subside. Furthermore, the Fed has struck a more cautious approach towards further easing and Friday’s strong jobs report supported the reserved commentary. Markets have now priced out previous aggressive bets for 75 bps of cuts this year, aligning with the Fed’s 50 bps projections.
Copper pulls back as a result, threatening the EMA200 (black line) and the 50% Fibonacci of the recent recovery. A breach would pause the upside bias, send the non-ferrous metal into the daily Ichimoku Cloud and expose it to the ascending trend line from the August lows. Deeper correction however does not look easy under the current technical and fundamental backdrop.
There are still hopes for additional Chinese stimulus (potentially within the weekend), while prospects of US soft-landing and easier monetary policies in major economies can support higher prices. So do the AI boom and the green energy transition. Copper tries to defend the EMA200 that maintains its recovery momentum. This will allow it to push again towards 4.791, but we are cautious around further strength at this stage.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
TAN - Invesco Solar ETFSimply go long, it's the future! If the USA doesn't want to increase this ETF by 20 or 30 or 40%, the world will end up on its last legs! NVDA won't save the planet!
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc. 10.11%
FSLR
First Solar, Inc. 8.64%
NXT
Nextracker Inc. 7.68%
RUN
Sunrun Inc. 7.10%
3800.HK
GCL Technology Holdings Limited 5.01%
0968.HK
Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited 4.45%
ECV.DE
Encavis AG 4.18%
HASI
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. 3.71%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. 3.47%
NEOEN.PA
Neoen S.A. 3.35%
ICLN - ISHARES GLOBAL CLEAN ENERGY ETF - USD Simply go long, it's the future! If the USA doesn't want to increase this ETF by 20 or 30 or 40%, the world will end up on its last legs! NVDA won't save the planet!
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc. 7.93%
FSLR
First Solar, Inc. 7.36%
ED
Consolidated Edison, Inc. 6.34%
IBE.MC
Iberdrola, S.A. 6.02%
VWS.CO
Vestas Wind Systems A/S 5.83%
600900.SS
China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. 4.09%
EDP.LS
EDP, S.A. 4.01%
9502.T
Chubu Electric Power Company, Incorporated 3.81%
ORSTED.CO
Ørsted A/S 3.74%
SUZLON.BO
Suzlon Energy Limited 3.17%
Copper Finds Support at Key Tech LevelsAfter hitting record highs in May, Copper has pulled back and heads towards a losing month, challenging critical tech levels. It has slipped below the EMA200 (black line), into the daily Ichimoku cloud and tests the 38.2% Fibonacci of the advance fromthe 2022 lows. This exposes it to 4.196, but sustained weakness does not look easy, technically nor fundamentally.
Copper already defends the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and tries to reclaim the EMA200. Successful effort would reaffirm the bullish bias and create prospects for new all-time highs (5.200). The favorable supply-demand dynamics also point to further upside. The market has tightened significantly as key miners lower their activity this year, while consumption is boosted by the AI boom and the clean energy transition.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Enphase EnergyThis is a chart of Enphase Energy (ENPH). For those who are not familiar with the company, Enphase Energy develops and manufactures microinverter systems for the solar photovoltaic industry. They are one of the preeminent companies in solar power. Recently, price gapped up on the daily chart following news that Congress would pass legislation to fund sustainable infrastructure projects.
In the above chart, each candlestick represents a 6-month period. Analyzing higher timeframes can often help us determine trend reversals long before they happen. This higher timeframe chart reveals a very peculiar candlestick pattern: the sneaky bearish tri-star pattern. This pattern occurs when three Doji candlesticks form after a bull run. This pattern can warn that a major reversal is coming. See below image.
A bearish tri-star pattern is an insidious topping pattern that Wall Street smart money would love for you to not know about. In short, it appears because Wyckoff distribution is occurring underneath the surface.
While I cannot describe the entirety of Wyckoff distribution in this post, I can say that, in short, Wyckoff distribution is when smart money gradually distributes or sells their shares near the top. The gradual nature of the selloff traps the unsuspecting "weak hands" (mostly small retail traders) who buy while unaware that the bull run is in its final phase. Sometimes, since smart money is especially manipulative, they manufacture a sudden upthrust in price near the end of the Wyckoff distribution, which may be what's happening right now.
This sudden upthrust (UT or UTAD) is a price move above resistance that quickly reverses and closes lower. The upthrust is a test of the remaining demand. It is also a bull trap: It appears to signal the resumption of the bull run but in reality, is intended to trick uninformed breakout traders. A UT or UTAD allows Wall Street smart money to mislead the public about the future trend direction and, subsequently, sell additional shares at elevated prices to breakout traders before the markdown begins. In addition, a UTAD may induce smaller traders in short positions to cover and surrender their shares to the larger interests who have engineered this move.
In my years of trading experience I have seen the above chart many times before, and the result is almost always the same. This chart is in the phase that some of us traders call a "fake out". A fake out occurs when price appears to be breaking out when actually it is just forming an upper wick. This occurs when price has been moving within an ascending wedge and after bearish divergence has occurred on the RSI. The final phase is when the RSI breaks out after bearish divergence and while in overbought territory. Price then pulls back down strongly and a long upper wick forms on the candlestick. In essence, this is just another way of visualizing the upthrust phase of Wyckoff distribution. The final RSI breakout is the UTAD of Wyckoff distribution.
Here's another Trading View user who is apparently seeing the same thing as I am, though this post is from before the current upthrust:
Also worth mentioning is that it is interesting that corporate insiders have been only selling their positions and there has been no reported insider buying for nearly a year (see below). This is not usually predictive of future price action, but it can give a general sense of sentiment among insiders at a company.
So it's worth watching to see if ENPH will reverse downward. Perhaps it will blast through this level and my analysis prove wrong. As a trader, you must always be willing to accept when you're wrong because your money is more important than your ego. With that said, just remember this is a long-term chart and price may continue moving up before reversing down. Some related charts, including the charts of ETFs that hold ENPH and the ENPH/SPY relative chart, suggest that ENPH does have the momentum necessary to break out to the upside. It's just looking very suspicious right now.
This post is not making a short call on ENPH, it is just an observation. It is not financial advice. Although I may choose to open a position, at the time of writing this, I have neither a long nor a short position open on ENPH. This is an objective, non-biased analysis.
I'll be keeping an investigative eye on this chart.
CLNE Pump to $5.66 in a few Days🐂 Trade Idea: Long - CLNE
🔥 Account Risk: 1.00%
📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option
🔍 Entry: +/- 4.90
🐿 DCA: No
😫 Stop-Loss: 4.21
🎯 Take-Profit #1: 5.66 (50%)
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
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Clean Energy has a strong weekly support over multiple years in the 4.00 region that was holding strong the last couple of months. After consolidating bullish inside the bigger box on the top right corner we saw a break-out yesterday. Considering the strong weekly support and the successful break-out with one large candle we can try to catch this trade right away. We do not want to see it falling below the it’s local higher low at around 4.22 which leads to our stop loss just below that. This trade should play out in a couple of days.
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Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG
The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only.
Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
From Fossil Fuels to Wind Power: The Transformation of Repsol Alright folks, today we're talking about Repsol, the Spanish energy company, and their joint venture with Ibereólica Renovables in Chile. They've just announced the opening of their second wind farm project, the Atacama wind farm, which has an impressive installed capacity of 165.3 megawatts and is expected to produce over 450 gigawatt-hours of clean energy a year.
Now, here's the thing - this is a positive step for Repsol in expanding their renewable energy portfolio and supporting Chile's goal of reaching 70% renewable energy by 2030. The 14-year power purchase agreement between the companies reflects a promising double-digit return on the asset, which is certainly a good sign for investors.
However, we can't overlook the fact that the energy industry is facing significant disruption and challenges due to increasing pressure to shift towards renewable energy sources and reduce carbon emissions. Repsol's financial performance has also been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and declining energy demand.
So, while this joint venture and the Atacama wind farm project are certainly positive developments for Repsol, investors should also consider the broader market conditions and potential risks associated with the energy industry before making an investment decision. It's a complex and rapidly evolving landscape, and it's important to stay informed and evaluate all the factors before making any investment moves.
Bloom Energy Cup and Handle BreakoutTLDR:
I believe that Bloom Energy is about to go through a massive adoption and growth period that will outshine the current geopolitical climate. Based on my cup and handle charting, I estimate that the lowest upgraded value for Bloom Energy's stock will be around $32. However, climate news will largely influence whether that value goes higher. Strong investor sentiment coupled with appropriate corporate growth measures could land a higher valuation closer to $50. Time will tell.
Prelude:
Given the recent discussions of hydrogen energy adoption amongst car manufacturers and energy suppliers alike, it seems most any solid oxide fuel cell company stands to benefit. It just takes time, especially in the face of so much post-covid geopolitical conflict.
Indeed, as Russia has likely anticipated, the Spring and Summer of 2023 will be decisive... but not in their favor. Political sentiment towards environmental remediation has grown among most Western and some Eastern nations. This means reduced reliance on fossil fuels, Russia's primary source of income. And while Bloom Energy still supplies products that can operate using hydrocarbon fuels, they're significantly more efficient than most other fossil fuel energy production methods. If one factors in the growing market adoption of carbon capture technology, it seems feasible for such devices to get retrofitted to Bloom Energy's solid oxide fuel cell stacks.
Bloom Energy has been developing its technology for as long as I've been mature enough to understand it. Their mission has always been to produce cleaner energy as we transition from our dependence on fossil fuels. Our grid will need modular systems with flexible fuel sources like Bloom Energy's while we stabilize battery production and implementation. Wind and Solar will remain, nuclear will grow, but fossil fuel powerplants are likely on their last few decades. Solid oxide fuel cells can replace powerplants before nuclear energy growth and battery integration on the grid happens.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice and I am not certified in any finance field to offer investment advice. I have a B.S. in Chemistry and am pursuing a Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering. I have taken one high-school-level economics course. These words are purely speculation and should not be acted upon. Any investment activity you undertake after reading this description is done by your hand, and your hand alone. You are liable for your actions after reading this post. I am not telling you to invest in or against any stocks or sectors discussed above. Be Safe!
NYSE:BE
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) bullish scenario:The technical figure Channel Down can be found in the daily chart in the US company Tesla Inc. (TSLA). Tesla, Inc. is an American multinational automotive and clean energy company. Tesla designs and manufactures electric vehicles (electric cars and trucks), battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla is one of the world's most valuable companies and is, as of 2022, the world's most valuable automaker. The Channel Down broke through the resistance line on 24/01/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 18 days towards 168.10 USD. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 108.76 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Tesla Inc. said Tuesday it plans to spend $3.6 billion to expand its Sparks, Nev., gigafactory where it currently makes batteries and electric-vehicle parts.
The announcement came a day before the EV maker reports crucial quarterly earnings, and after CEO Elon Musk completed his third day of testimony in a trial over shareholder losses following tweets he made in 2018 about taking Tesla private.
Tesla said the battery facility would have capacity to produce “enough batteries for 2 million light duty vehicles annually.” In early January, Tesla said it delivered about 1.31 million vehicles in 2022. Analysts expect Tesla to increase deliveries to about 1.92 million in 2023.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Plug PowerThis is a 2-month chart (each candle represents a 2-month period) of Plug Power (PLUG). For those who are not already familiar, PLUG is an alternative energy company that develops and manufactures hydrogen fuel cell systems.
I recently added PLUG to my portfolio as a long-term investment. In my opinion, it has one of the best long-term charts of any stock right now in terms of the potential for outsized gains in the future. I will explain my reasoning below.
Chart Analysis
The 2-month chart below shows the entire price history of PLUG.
Throughout much of its history, PLUG was resisted by the EMA ribbon (yellow and red lines). The EMA ribbon is a collection of exponential moving averages that act as resistance when price reaches it from below and support when price reaches it from above.
If we zoom in (see below), we can see that the EMA has tightened together and PLUG's price is now sitting right on the ribbon. When moving averages tighten like this, they can act as fairly strong support when the price falls to the moving averages from above.
Each time PLUG's price has fallen below these moving averages buyers have stepped in, thus causing lower wicks to form. This suggests the market is validating the support of these moving averages.
We can see in the chart below that the moving averages held as support even as the Stochastic RSI oscillated down. This is bullish.
Indeed, PLUG is forming a bull flag pattern on the log-scale, higher-timeframe chart. A bull flag of this nature can signal a potentially lucrative investment opportunity.
For those who read my post on using the money supply to gauge whether an asset is wealth-building, you would know that before entering a long-term investment position in PLUG one should first analyze the asset's chart relative to the money supply. (I've linked to this post in the related ideas below)
In the above chart, we see the performance of PLUG relative to the money supply (M2SL). This chart tells us that throughout much of its history, PLUG was a wealth-losing investment asset since the stock's price moved down over time relative to the money supply. The EMA ribbon largely acted as resistance.
However, the chart above shows that the moving averages are tightening together and that PLUG's price is consolidating within these tightening moving averages. This is a quite bullish sign. If a breakout occurs, an investment in PLUG could prove to be quite lucrative.
In the chart below, I apply Fibonacci levels to the length of the pole that forms the bull flag. We can see a perfect Fibonacci retracement is occurring, as price is finding support at the 0.618 level on the log-adjusted chart.
If the bull flag breaks out and a full Fibonacci spiral occurs, PLUG's price can move dramatically higher in the months and years to come.
In the below chart, I construct the Fibonacci levels using the all-time peak to all-time low. I drew projection arrows to show two plausible growth possibilities.
On a more complex, mathematical analysis, PLUG appears to be priming itself to "jump S-curves".
For a more in-depth analysis on what "jumping S-curves" means, you can read my post on the topic linked below. In short, I explain that price action can be graphically represented as a logistic function. Jumping an S-curve occurs when an inflection point is reached whereafter price begins to explode higher at a nearly exponential rate.
When the price of a company's stock jumps S-curves, there is usually some major impetus with regard to its earnings or profitability that occurs. For PLUG, that impetus could be hydrogen finally becoming a cost-effective form of energy. Hydrogen power is poised to benefit from multiple tailwinds in the years ahead: (1) Higher energy costs are driving capital into the development of alternative energy forms; (2) The transition to sustainable energy will drive investment capital into alternative forms of energy, including hydrogen fuel cells; (3) As hydrogen fuel cells gain massive adoption hydrogen power will become more cost-competitive.
My strategy with PLUG is to accumulate shares in my brokerage and retirement accounts up to a certain defined percentage. I can only ever lose 100% of that defined percentage of my portfolio if I am wrong, but if my analysis is right, the gains may reach as much as 8,000% over the course of years. I know most people on here trade on much shorter timeframes than years, but my opinion is that the greatest wealth-building occurs by staying invested over the long term.
Below are some interesting comparable charts. PLUG's current chart looks similar to Monster's chart in 2000 and AMD's chart in 2018.
What's remarkable about these charts is how little of an effect even recessions had on the stocks' price movements. In the case of Monster, its price remained generally flat, despite the S&P 500 experiencing major declines during the early 2000s recession. In the case of AMD, one of the worst stock market crashes in history (March 2020) is barely apparent on its chart. This lends hope that even if the U.S. or global economy experiences a recession in the years ahead and the S&P 500 declines, perhaps stocks like PLUG will be less affected.
To learn more about hydrogen energy including its advantages and disadvantages, you can check out this video from Bloomberg Quicktake:
www.youtube.com
As always, trade at your own risk. Anything can happen and my analysis can prove completely wrong. Feel free to leave constructive thoughts in the comments below. Thank you.
Constellation Energy $CEG leading the energy transition?Constellation Energy provides power, natural gas, renewable energy, and energy management products and services. They are the largest producer of carbon-free and low-emissions energy in the US.
NASDAQ:CEG is in a clear uptrend with great relative strength against its benchmarks. Just look at AMEX:XLE and NASDAQ:QCLN .
NASDAQ:CEG is clearly leading.
I see an actionable first buy at yesterday's high as that would cancel the outside reversal. It would be very bullish.
A second buy point is at $90.20, which would be an ATH.
Lets see if the MAs can hold the price.
Bullish Shark on SunrunI think based off how things went with Oil prices rising that we will likely invest more into clean energy rather that's the right answer or not it seems like it will be the next logical step to prevent a similar situation in the future.
Right now we are at the PCZ of a Bullish Shark with Bullish Divergence on the weekly and i will be accumulating shares within this zone.
ENPH doing W3 with a bullflag to 387, then W5 to 498?ENPH has been on a staircase to heaven fueled by the govt support on solar energy & the current supply
chain crisis on crude oil & natural gas.
The near term destination of the bullflag will be 387. After that a wave 4 correction may follow before the
final leg up to 498 for wave 5.
Not trading advice
ARRY - Array TechnologiesTop notch stock in the best group in the market right now (solar). Holding up well during the recent pullback in the broad market. It won't be able to buck the trend forever, but if the market as a whole begins to bounce or even just stabilize itself, it could allow this (and the other solar stocks) to really take off. The other two solar stocks on my focus list are SHLS & ENPH which arguably have cleaner setups, but the massive growth numbers draw me back to ARRY.
UROY LONG SETUPNASDAQ:UROY
On the daily chart UROY which is a uranium royalty play
is at a three month long. Outlook is good when energy
costs are rising and uraniums is widely considered
more green than Oil, natural gas and other CO2 producing
fuels.
The RSI Oscillator is in mid-range. Within the past
few days, a high spike of buying volume is noted.
A Doji candle a few days ago signaled the reversal.
It is there that I will set the stop loss.
I am targetting a 40-60 % retracement of the downtrend
mindful of the Fibonacci levels and so about a 20-25%
upside.
Ascending triangle on dailyHey traders, Its been a rough bear market and I have finally got back in.
There was a huge $369 billion climate bill announcement last week, which gave the clean energy sector a boost. FCEL, PLUG and ICLN etf.
Jan 2023 has over 73000 calls, while there are 18000 puts in OI.
Happy trading!
CSIQ - Clean & Renewable energy themeMaking breakout from pennant consolidation, volume behaving nicely. Clean&Renewable Energy showing signs of strength big time.
You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money ~Mark Douglas
Lose like a pro and keep trading, or lose like a novice and quit ~Mark Ritchie
ENPH M-pattern targets 328 if it BO of 283 D.top OR 222 retest?TAN solar etf together with its main component ENPHASE energy has been on a tear lately. ENPH made a W-pattern in 2021 & is again repeating it this 2022. It currently made a double top at 283 but shows no sign of rejection yet. If it retraces then the W=neck at 222 will be retested. But if it breaks above 328, then the Fib 1.272 at 328 will be the next target.
Not trading advice
Descending Channel Breakout for ADN?!?It appears as though ADN has broken flush to the upside of a descending channel which is drawn as two parallel declining lines drawn green on the chart, notice the rejection nearly exactly at the 200DMA.
On the KST there's a bullish cross where I've placed the green finger. More often than not when the KST gets this over-extended there's a sell-off immediately afterward with the rare exception of a continuation of s parabolic breakout on overwhelmingly bullish news.
A retrace to $1.40 is likely to re-test and build support on top of old resistance.
Or we're going to see a re-test of the 200DMA and a blue sky breakout.
Price target & trading range between $9.00 to $0.60c between now and the end of the year.
ENPH holds better than TAN;if mid165 fails, 120 will be retestedENPHASE is holding better than its mother ETF, TAN. Since 2021, it has basically been consolidating horizontally except for an overshoot 4Q2021. In contrast, the TAN etf is in a falling wedge formation.
BULLISH CASE: Better yet, it is holding above the middle of this conso box, the 165 to 170 zone. (Middle of 120 to 220). This is also a convergence of 3 VWAPs from recent highs & recent bottoms. If it holds 165, then 220 will be retested.
BEARISH CASE: If this midzone is lost, then a retest of 120 will be next or even a double bottom sometimes in 3Q2022 to create a divergence.
Not trading advice