AUD/JPY Targets 103.500 on RBA's Confidence and Yen Weakness
The AUD/JPY pair is gaining momentum, supported by the RBA's decision to maintain the cash rate at 4.35%, reflecting confidence in economic stability. Inflation has eased to 2.8%, reducing the risk of further rate hikes and boosting sentiment for the Australian dollar. With Japan's yen remaining weak due to the Bank of Japan's loose policy, AUD/JPY is set to push towards 103.500.
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GBP/CHF Surges as Bank of England Hikes Rates, Eyes 1.14000 Targ
Following the Bank of England's decision to raise the Official Bank Rate from 4.75% to 5.00%, GBP/CHF is expected to see bullish momentum. The rate hike reflects a more hawkish stance from the BoE, which could attract investors to the Pound, strengthening it against the Swiss Franc. With this upward pressure, GBP/CHF may continue its bullish trend, targeting the 1.14000 level as a potential resistance. Traders should monitor any follow-up commentary from the BoE for further confirmation of this upward movement.
USD/CHF Dips: Targeting 0.85735 on Bearish Momentum!The USD/CHF pair is currently experiencing a bearish trend, influenced by recent economic data and broader market sentiment. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change reported lower-than-expected growth, which signals a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy, adding to the downward pressure on the USD.
With an anticipated target level around 0.85735, the pair shows further downside potential if bearish momentum continues. The upcoming U.S. Presidential election and recent economic indicators have increased market caution, impacting USD strength as investors wait for clearer signals regarding future policy direction.
In addition, traders should monitor upcoming U.S. data releases, as any surprises may either reinforce or counter the current trend. If no significant support emerges from upcoming data, USD/CHF is likely to continue its downward trajectory towards the expected level at 0.85735.
CHF/JPY: Bullish Momentum Builds Amid Market SentimentContrarian Signal Boosts CHF
With 82% of traders positioned short on CHF/JPY, a strong bullish contrarian signal has emerged, pushing the pair upward as short-covering fuels gains. Technical support around 175.00 has held firm, reinforcing the bullish trend. Favorable Swiss economic stability vs. Japan's dovish policy further supports CHF’s strength in the near term.
EUR/AUD Bullish Setup: Target 1.6400EUR/AUD is showing signs of strength, rebounding from key support levels near 1.6185. A breakout above 1.6351 could push the pair to the 1.6400 target, aligning with Fibonacci resistance. With upcoming Eurozone data potentially surprising to the upside and global risks weighing on the AUD, a bullish move is likely. Watch for a daily close above 1.6351 to confirm the momentum.
Key Target: 1.6400
GBP/CAD Bearish Breakout Expected from RangeGBP/CAD is expected to break out to the downside after a period of ranging market conditions. Despite multiple market data releases, the pair remained unaffected and has shown a consolidation pattern. I believe the ranging phase is over, and GBP/CAD is now beginning a bearish trend. The first target for this move is 1.76450 , with potential for further downside
Currently, the RSI is below the oversold level, indicating a possible correction before the breakout continues. I plan to add some positions at this point, and if the RSI impulsively moves up to the 50 level, I will add more positions.
Best of luck with this bearish trade!
USD/CHF Poised for Bullish Break on Strong US DataThe USD/CHF pair is currently consolidating as it hovers between key support (0.84) and resistance (0.8550). The pair reflects the safe-haven nature of both currencies, leading to choppy price action. Upcoming US economic data, including the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, will play a pivotal role in determining the pair's next move. If US data shows strength, expect the USD to gain further momentum. Conversely, weak data may pressure the USD and strengthen the CHF, leading to potential downward movement.
AUD/CHF Targets 0.5820 as Bulls Regain Control!The outlook for AUD/CHF leans bullish, as the pair trades within an ascending channel and recently found support near 0.5750-0.5770. This level has held firm, signaling strong buying interest. The rebound aligns with an improving RSI, hinting at a possible shift towards higher prices.
The divergence in central bank policies adds to the potential for an upward move. While the RBA maintains a steady rate at 4.35%, the SNB might adopt a more dovish approach, making the AUD relatively more attractive. Any recovery in commodity demand or risk sentiment could further support the Australian dollar.
If the pair breaks above 0.5795, 0.5820 is expected, aligning with the upper trendline of the channel, signaling continuation of the bullish momentum.
EUR/JPY Eyes 164.80 Amid Bullish MomentumThe EUR/JPY pair exhibits a strong bullish trend, with prospects of reaching the 164.80 level soon. Recent movements reflect a recovery fueled by the divergence between the Eurozone and Japan's monetary policies. The European Central Bank (ECB) maintains higher interest rates, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues a cautious approach to normalization, leading to a weaker yen.
A break above 163 signals bullish momentum, possibly extending to 164.50-164.80 if supported by favorable eurozone data or dovish BOJ commentary. Caution is needed for potential resistance challenges.
Technical Factors:
- Key Resistance Levels: 163.00, 164.80
- Key Support Levels: 162.00, 161.50
USD/CAD Bullish Trend Hinges on ISM DataThe current USD/CAD outlook remains cautiously bullish, but the upcoming ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data will play a critical role in shaping the pair's next move.
Positive Factors for USD/CAD:
Strong US Data: The recent ISM Manufacturing PMI was strong, indicating resilience in the US economy. If the Non-Manufacturing PMI also shows growth, particularly in the services sector (a large part of the US economy), it would further strengthen the USD, pushing USD/CAD higher.
Hawkish Fed Outlook: The Federal Reserve has indicated it may keep rates elevated for a longer period if inflation remains a concern. Any robust economic data like a positive ISM print would reinforce this outlook, making USD more attractive to investors and pushing USD/CAD upwards
Potential for a Bearish Turn (Bullish for CAD):
Weaker ADP Employment Report: The ADP Employment report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, which could signal a slowdown in the US labor market. If the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data follows a similar pattern with weaker-than-expected numbers, it may lead to a bearish correction in USD. A softer labor market will reduce the pressure on the Fed to keep rates high, weakening the USD.
Oil Prices: CAD is closely linked to oil prices, and any upward movement in oil can strengthen the Canadian dollar. If ISM data disappoints and leads to a weaker USD, combined with rising oil prices, USD/CAD could see more downside.
What's Next ?
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While the current technical and fundamental indicators lean toward a bullish trend for USD/CAD, the upcoming ISM Non-Manufacturing data will be crucial. If the data surprises to the downside, it could trigger a bearish USD correction, allowing CAD to gain strength. On the flip side, strong ISM data would likely reinforce the bullish USD/CAD trend. Traders should be prepared for volatility based on this key economic release.
AUD/NZD Bullish Due to Diverging Rate Policies
The AUD/NZD is currently showing bullish momentum due to diverging monetary policies between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
- RBNZ: Having paused its rate hikes at 5.5%, signaling that further tightening is unlikely, has weakened NZD sentiment.
- RBA: With a more hawkish stance and potential future rate hikes, AUD is becoming more attractive to investors.
This narrowing interest rate differential and stronger outlook for AUD are driving the pair higher.
Expect Level : 1.09940
EUR/NZD Bearish Trend Expected After Double Top RejectionEUR/NZD is expected to enter a bearish trend after rejecting and forming a double top at the 1.80200 level. With the rate cut expected today, this bearish move could drop to 1.78520 without much resistance. Keep an eye on the RSI overbought/oversold zones for potential corrections along the way.
USD/CAD Bullish Turnaround After One-Month DowntrendUSD/CAD is signaling a bullish reversal after a month-long bearish trend. The pair is expected to reach 1.36140 as its first target in this upward movement. Additionally, the RSI indicator failed to pull the price back from its overbought condition, providing extra strength to this bullish rally
Bullish Outlook for GBP/CAD with Key Level at 1.78160The GBP/CAD pair is expected to move bullishly, targeting the 1.78160 level. On the 1-hour chart, the price has successfully broken out of a descending channel, creating a higher high before retracing. This movement is significant, especially with the RSI indicator reaching overbought levels, suggesting strong upward momentum.
I anticipate that a more favorable entry point would be when the RSI dips below the 50 level, indicating a potential pullback within the ongoing bullish trend. This setup strongly supports the view that the pair will continue its upward movement towards the 1.78160 target. We'll see how the market develops from here.
AUD/CHF Testing Strong Support at 0.56750 with Bearish OutlookThe AUD/CHF chart shows a strong bearish trend, with the price having retested the 0.56750 support level twice. Despite this support, the downtrend indicates that the pair may break below this level. The expectation is for the price to move further down toward 0.56472 if the support is breached. This support level has held previously, but current momentum suggests a potential breakdown, aligning with the bearish trend.
USD/CHF: Bearish Bias with Key Levels in FocusThe USD/CHF pair is showing a continued bearish outlook, with an expected range around 0.84481. A potential bullish scenario is only likely to emerge if the price breaks above the key resistance level of 0.85341.
⚠️ Key Pivot Level: The daily pivot at 0.85042 is critical, as it may serve as a reversal point for the current upward move. Keep a close eye on this level for any shifts in momentum.
BTC/USD Bearish Continuation with Head and Shoulders PatternThe BTC/USD chart indicates a continuation of the bearish trend due to the appearance of a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This classic reversal pattern, combined with the price breaking the neckline, suggests that more downside could be expected.
🔻 Key Pattern Insight:
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a strong indicator of a potential downtrend. With the neckline already broken, the market is likely to maintain its bearish momentum.
📊 RSI Analysis:
The RSI is currently in the oversold zone, indicating a possible temporary exhaustion of selling pressure. However, a confirmed bearish continuation may occur if the RSI moves above the 50 level, offering a better position for a sell entry.
📉 Target Level:
I expect this downtrend to potentially lead to a price target of 54,725, which could act as the next significant support level.
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Additional Insights:
The price is consolidating below the neckline, signaling that bears remain in control. If there's a retest of the neckline as resistance, it may offer another opportunity for short entries.
Be cautious of potential short-term bounces due to the RSI in the oversold zone, but any move below 55,500 could further confirm the bearish sentiment.