Trading ADA with crypto total volume - +2061% returns in a yearUsing the total crypto market cap as a trading indicator is an overlooked method. Traders get stuck on chasing complex new indicators when all they need is in front of their eyes. If you could be buying when the total crypto market volume rises and sell when it goes down it might be all you need. This strategy proves that you can comfortably beat ADA's holding at 1480.1% with +2061.1% in a year. And it's very easy to run and automate.
WILL POST ALL POSITIONS, OPEN/CLOSE PRICES/TIMES BELOW
The strategy goals:
1. Use Crypto Total Volume as the main indicator
2. Beat holding ADA over the past year
3. No additional indicators only price movements
The strategy:
The strategy that was the most successful consists of only 3 lines. Simplicity works as it reflects what is actually happening in the market. In our case this is the full strategy:
On the 1 hour time-frame:
1. We will open a position when Crypto Total Volume is up by 4% in last day
2. We will close the position when Crypto Total Volume is down by 4% in last day and Price is up by 3% in last 3 days
No stop loss or take profit we respect the strategy rules 100% of the time.
The results:
The strategy beat holding ADA convincingly by bringing in +2061.1% through the year. It did so by winning 64.1% of all trades with a an average of 11% per win to -5.76% when losing. You can expect to hold a position for an average of 3.5 days.
A strong aspect of the strategy is that it has above 5 positions per month, a total of 64 for the year. This exposes you to less fees than high-frequency ones.
Note that despite the fact that the strategy is executed on the 1h timeframe Crypto Total Volume is calculated daily so positions will be opened at midnight UTC, while the close is monitored on the hourly.
Further optimisations:
The winning positions were held on average for shorter than a losing ones, so seeing how you can shorten holding time for losing positions may improve results.
The strategy does beat the market on drawdown as well with 33%. However it is something you may seek to shrink further.
The positions:
26/06/2021 00:00
27/06/2021 01:00
1 day
OP 1.252
CP 1.2782
+2.09%
21/06/2021 00:00
24/06/2021 11:00
3 days
OP 1.4262
CP 1.3294
-6.79%
15/06/2021 00:00
16/06/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1.5769
CP 1.555
-1.39%
08/06/2021 00:00
11/06/2021 14:00
4 days
OP 1.5659
CP 1.5253
-2.59%
01/06/2021 00:00
07/06/2021 08:00
6 days
OP 1.7376
CP 1.7101
-1.58%
29/05/2021 00:00
31/05/2021 07:00
2 days
OP 1.5133
CP 1.5963
+5.48%
24/05/2021 00:00
26/05/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 1.3135
CP 1.5525
+18.2%
18/05/2021 00:00
22/05/2021 13:00
5 days
OP 2.0301
CP 1.5198
-25.1%
13/05/2021 00:00
15/05/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 1.5669
CP 2.0073
+28.1%
10/05/2021 00:00
12/05/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 1.7662
CP 1.7633
-0.164%
04/05/2021 00:00
08/05/2021 00:00
4 days
OP 1.3627
CP 1.6529
+21.3%
01/05/2021 00:00
02/05/2021 18:00
2 days
OP 1.353
CP 1.3419
-0.82%
29/04/2021 00:00
30/04/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1.3373
CP 1.3066
-2.3%
27/04/2021 00:00
28/04/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1.2377
CP 1.3063
+5.54%
23/04/2021 00:00
26/04/2021 04:00
3 days
OP 1.1444
CP 1.182
+3.28%
17/04/2021 00:00
22/04/2021 17:00
6 days
OP 1.4099
CP 1.2589
-10.7%
13/04/2021 00:00
16/04/2021 00:00
3 days
OP 1.3145
CP 1.4784
+12.5%
11/04/2021 00:00
12/04/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1.2175
CP 1.2638
+3.8%
06/04/2021 00:00
10/04/2021 15:00
5 days
OP 1.2117
CP 1.2298
+1.49%
01/04/2021 00:00
05/04/2021 23:00
5 days
OP 1.1917
CP 1.2252
+2.81%
24/03/2021 00:00
26/03/2021 07:00
2 days
OP 1.1156
CP 1.1306
+1.34%
08/03/2021 00:00
17/03/2021 00:00
9 days
OP 1.1307
CP 1.2497
+10.5%
04/03/2021 00:00
07/03/2021 20:00
4 days
OP 1.2132
CP 1.12
-7.68%
01/03/2021 00:00
02/03/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1.3128
CP 1.2968
-1.22%
27/02/2021 00:00
28/02/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1.2435
CP 1.314
+5.67%
23/02/2021 00:00
25/02/2021 12:00
3 days
OP 1.0973
CP 1.0464
-4.64%
20/02/2021 00:00
22/02/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 0.92597
CP 1.0996
+18.7%
16/02/2021 00:00
17/02/2021 15:00
2 days
OP 0.86128
CP 0.87196
+1.24%
08/02/2021 00:00
12/02/2021 00:00
4 days
OP 0.66109
CP 0.9281
+40.4%
05/02/2021 00:00
06/02/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 0.43903
CP 0.53874
+22.7%
28/01/2021 00:00
31/01/2021 00:00
3 days
OP 0.31142
CP 0.36395
+16.9%
20/01/2021 00:00
24/01/2021 10:00
4 days
OP 0.3672
CP 0.36329
-1.06%
16/01/2021 00:00
18/01/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 0.30189
CP 0.38077
+26.1%
11/01/2021 00:00
14/01/2021 00:00
3 days
OP 0.30154
CP 0.31246
+3.62%
08/01/2021 00:00
10/01/2021 11:00
2 days
OP 0.29917
CP 0.3197
+6.86%
03/01/2021 00:00
05/01/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 0.1774
CP 0.22518
+26.9%
23/12/2020 00:00
31/12/2020 00:00
8 days
OP 0.15645
CP 0.18389
+17.5%
16/12/2020 00:00
19/12/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 0.15385
CP 0.16502
+7.26%
09/12/2020 00:00
13/12/2020 09:00
4 days
OP 0.14117
CP 0.15392
+9.03%
05/12/2020 00:00
08/12/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 0.14779
CP 0.15401
+4.21%
01/12/2020 00:00
04/12/2020 13:00
4 days
OP 0.17207
CP 0.15631
-9.16%
27/11/2020 00:00
29/11/2020 00:00
2 days
OP 0.13835
CP 0.16487
+19.2%
21/11/2020 00:00
26/11/2020 00:00
5 days
OP 0.11826
CP 0.15474
+30.8%
12/11/2020 00:00
20/11/2020 21:00
9 days
OP 0.10597
CP 0.11497
+8.49%
10/11/2020 00:00
11/11/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 0.10555
CP 0.1059
+0.332%
03/11/2020 00:00
09/11/2020 00:00
6 days
OP 0.09222
CP 0.10652
+15.5%
27/10/2020 00:00
02/11/2020 00:00
6 days
OP 0.103
CP 0.09827
-4.59%
20/10/2020 00:00
23/10/2020 08:00
3 days
OP 0.10856
CP 0.10927
+0.654%
13/10/2020 00:00
14/10/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 0.10951
CP 0.10927
-0.219%
06/10/2020 00:00
12/10/2020 00:00
6 days
OP 0.0974
CP 0.10652
+9.36%
02/10/2020 00:00
05/10/2020 06:00
3 days
OP 0.09803
CP 0.09818
+0.153%
22/09/2020 00:00
26/09/2020 00:00
4 days
OP 0.07989
CP 0.09691
+21.3%
14/09/2020 00:00
19/09/2020 15:00
6 days
OP 0.09509
CP 0.09254
-2.68%
18/08/2020 00:00
12/09/2020 00:00
25 days
OP 0.14039
CP 0.09696
-30.9%
11/08/2020 00:00
15/08/2020 01:00
4 days
OP 0.14376
CP 0.1392
-3.17%
08/08/2020 00:00
09/08/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 0.13891
CP 0.14695
+5.79%
02/08/2020 00:00
04/08/2020 14:00
3 days
OP 0.14415
CP 0.14357
-0.402%
28/07/2020 00:00
29/07/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 0.13861
CP 0.14904
+7.52%
24/07/2020 00:00
27/07/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 0.1242
CP 0.14847
+19.5%
20/07/2020 00:00
23/07/2020 11:00
3 days
OP 0.12401
CP 0.12527
+1.02%
17/07/2020 00:00
19/07/2020 10:00
2 days
OP 0.12605
CP 0.12389
-1.71%
06/07/2020 00:00
15/07/2020 00:00
9 days
OP 0.09815
CP 0.13254
+35%
02/07/2020 00:00
04/07/2020 00:00
2 days
OP 0.09685
CP 0.09652
-0.341%
30/06/2020 00:00
01/07/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 0.08394
CP 0.083
-1.12%
Cleoone
The volume based approach that beats holding ETH with +940% Beating Ethereum's stellar +815% gains over a year is no easy feat. Add limiting drawdown to the task and it becomes even more complicated - especially vs USDT. However with longer term strategies like this it really becomes apparent how you should simply think about the best time to buy and sell, and try to express it though market metrics, rather than trying to plague your strategy with complexity.
It's really startling this simple strategy returned 940% in one year on spot!
WILL POST EVERY POSITION BELOW (including open/close time/SL level + how every position was closed)
The strategy goals:
- Beat holding Ethereum - so more than 815% profit
- Simple to execute and stay disciplined on
- Max drawdown of 30% - we don't want to be dipping as far as the market is
The strategy:
This strategy tries to strike a balance between catching solid dips and riding reversals based on volume. Volume precedes price. It does not have to be some extremely sophisticated trading system, especially when trading a trending asset as Ethereum. If market participants start buying rapidly, Ethereum will spike. If they start selling it will go down. The key is to use metrics that help you pin this, simple as that. So in our case on the 1 hour chart:
1. We will open a position when Crypto Total Volume is up by 4% in last day AND Price is below SMA(5)
2. We will close the position when Crypto Total Volume is down by 4% in last day AND Price is up by 3% in last 3 days
We will set a stop loss at 20% of market price, no take profit. All the rules are followed 100% of the time.
The result:
This strategy accumulated +940% over a year on spot. So If you started with 10,000 USDT you'd be sitting on 94,000 USDT without touching leverage. It's also so simple to execute that you can set all these rules as alerts and just act when you need to or automate it.
It's also great that although it's a lower time frame strategy it's still created only 63 positions. It wins 77.8% of them with a bit over 8%. When it loses it's at about 11% on average. Positions are usually opened and closed within 3 days.
The drawdown amounts to about 25% over the year - a solid performance for crypto. It performed well even in the past 3 months bringing in +74.4%.
The positions:
26/06/2021 00:00
28/06/2021 08:00
2 days
OP 1,809
CP 2,049
SL 1,447.2
+13.3%
22/06/2021 13:00
24/06/2021 17:00
2 days
OP 1,792.1
CP 2,011.4
SL 1,433.7
+12.2%
21/06/2021 00:00
22/06/2021 13:00
2 days
OP 2,243.5
CP 1,794.8
SL 1,794.8
-20%
Stop Loss
08/06/2021 00:00
16/06/2021 00:00
8 days
OP 2,592
CP 2,543.6
SL 2,073.6
-1.87%
01/06/2021 02:00
07/06/2021 06:00
6 days
OP 2,662.1
CP 2,786.1
SL 2,129.7
+4.66%
29/05/2021 00:00
31/05/2021 12:00
3 days
OP 2,412.3
CP 2,551.8
SL 1,929.9
+5.78%
24/05/2021 05:00
26/05/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 2,104.1
CP 2,705.1
SL 1,683.3
+28.6%
20/05/2021 00:00
23/05/2021 01:00
3 days
OP 2,438.9
CP 2,362
SL 1,951.1
-3.15%
13/05/2021 00:00
19/05/2021 04:00
6 days
OP 3,810.2
CP 3,048.1
SL 3,048.1
-20%
Stop Loss
10/05/2021 10:00
12/05/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 4,104.8
CP 4,173.5
SL 3,283.8
+1.67%
04/05/2021 01:00
08/05/2021 00:00
4 days
OP 3,260.7
CP 3,479.8
SL 2,608.6
+6.72%
01/05/2021 09:00
02/05/2021 00:00
15 hours
OP 2,830.1
CP 2,944.8
SL 2,264
+4.06%
29/04/2021 01:00
30/04/2021 00:00
23 hours
OP 2,724.9
CP 2,757
SL 2,179.9
+1.18%
27/04/2021 04:00
28/04/2021 00:00
20 hours
OP 2,493.2
CP 2,666.1
SL 1,994.5
+6.94%
23/04/2021 00:00
26/04/2021 04:00
3 days
OP 2,397.9
CP 2,454.9
SL 1,918.4
+2.38%
17/04/2021 00:00
22/04/2021 00:00
5 days
OP 2,422.4
CP 2,357.1
SL 1,937.9
-2.7%
13/04/2021 00:00
16/04/2021 00:00
3 days
OP 2,137.9
CP 2,514
SL 1,710.3
+17.6%
11/04/2021 05:00
12/04/2021 00:00
19 hours
OP 2,130.4
CP 2,151.4
SL 1,704.3
+0.987%
06/04/2021 00:00
10/04/2021 05:00
4 days
OP 2,107.4
CP 2,191.2
SL 1,685.9
+3.97%
01/04/2021 04:00
05/04/2021 00:00
4 days
OP 1,923
CP 2,075.7
SL 1,538.4
+7.94%
24/03/2021 00:00
28/03/2021 00:00
4 days
OP 1,668.2
CP 1,712.5
SL 1,334.6
+2.66%
16/03/2021 01:00
20/03/2021 03:00
4 days
OP 1,731.3
CP 1,828.4
S 1,385
+5.61%
08/03/2021 04:00
15/03/2021 01:00
7 days
OP 1,723.7
CP 1,871.6
SL 1,379
+8.58%
04/03/2021 00:00
06/03/2021 22:00
3 days
OP 1,567.7
CP 1,642.9
SL 1,254.1
+4.8%
23/02/2021 10:00
02/03/2021 00:00
7 days
OP 1,500.5
CP 1,570
SL 1,200.4
+4.63%
16/02/2021 00:00
23/02/2021 10:00
7 days
OP 1,779.3
CP 1,423.5
SL 1,423.5
-20%
Stop Loss
08/02/2021 01:00
12/02/2021 00:00
4 days
OP 1,596.5
CP 1,785.8
SL 1,277.2
+11.9%
05/02/2021 00:00
06/02/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 1,595.5
CP 1,719
SL 1,276.4
+7.74%
28/01/2021 00:00
31/01/2021 00:00
3 days
OP 1,238.9
CP 1,378
SL 991.14
+11.2%
21/01/2021 23:00
24/01/2021 09:00
2 days
OP 1,135.6
CP 1,325
SL 908.46
+16.7%
20/01/2021 00:00
21/01/2021 23:00
2 days
OP 1,365.4
CP 1,092.3
SL 1,092.3
-20%
Stop Loss
16/01/2021 03:00
18/01/2021 15:00
3 days
OP 1,163.5
CP 1,237
SL 930.82
+6.32%
11/01/2021 15:00
14/01/2021 07:00
3 days
OP 1,038.5
CP 1,121.2
SL 830.82
+7.96%
11/01/2021 00:00
11/01/2021 15:00
15 hours
OP 1,254.2
CP 1,003.4
SL 1,003.4
-20%
Stop Loss
08/01/2021 00:00
10/01/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 1,224.9
CP 1,276
SL 979.89
+4.18%
03/01/2021 04:00
05/01/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 772.44
CP 1,041.4
SL 617.95
+34.8%
23/12/2020 02:00
31/12/2020 00:00
8 days
OP 627.26
CP 752.17
SL 501.81
+19.9%
16/12/2020 00:00
19/12/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 588.78
CP 653.76
SL 471.02
+11%
09/12/2020 00:00
13/12/2020 10:00
4 days
OP 554.92
CP 583.47
SL 443.94
+5.14%
05/12/2020 00:00
08/12/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 567.24
CP 591.27
SL 453.79
+4.24%
01/12/2020 01:00
03/12/2020 00:00
2 days
OP 605.57
CP 596.88
SL 484.46
-1.44%
27/11/2020 03:00
29/11/2020 08:00
2 days
OP 517.12
CP 541.33
SL 413.7
+4.68%
21/11/2020 03:00
26/11/2020 01:00
5 days
OP 508.15
CP 575.39
SL 406.52
+13.2%
12/11/2020 00:00
20/11/2020 02:00
8 days
OP 463.09
CP 479.4
SL 370.47
+3.52%
10/11/2020 00:00
11/11/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 444.32
CP 450.34
SL 355.46
+1.35%
05/11/2020 01:00
09/11/2020 00:00
4 days
OP 401.57
CP 454.29
SL 321.26
+13.1%
03/11/2020 00:00
04/11/2020 17:00
2 days
OP 383.01
CP 401.2
SL 306.41
+4.75%
27/10/2020 03:00
01/11/2020 23:00
6 days
OP 392.34
CP 395.3
SL 313.87
+0.754%
20/10/2020 01:00
23/10/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 378.74
CP 413.94
SL 302.99
+9.29%
13/10/2020 00:00
14/10/2020 01:00
1 day
OP 386.51
CP 384.53
SL 309.21
-0.512%
06/10/2020 01:00
12/10/2020 00:00
6 days
OP 352.38
CP 374.17
SL 281.9
+6.18%
02/10/2020 01:00
05/10/2020 09:00
3 days
OP 351.06
CP 350.22
SL 280.85
-0.239%
22/09/2020 00:00
26/09/2020 05:00
4 days
OP 340.31
CP 351.98
SL 272.25
+3.43%
14/09/2020 01:00
19/09/2020 00:00
5 days
OP 358.05
CP 384.4
SL 286.44
+7.36%
11/09/2020 02:00
12/09/2020 00:00
22 hours
OP 365.53
CP 373.62
SL 292.42
+2.21%
18/08/2020 00:00
24/08/2020 22:00
7 days
OP 430.89
CP 406.74
SL 344.71
-5.6%
14/08/2020 03:00
15/08/2020 00:00
21 hours
OP 422.13
CP 438.12
SL 337.7
+3.79%
08/08/2020 04:00
13/08/2020 21:00
6 days
OP 378.01
CP 409.8
SL 302.41
+8.41%
02/08/2020 05:00
04/08/2020 00:00
2 days
OP 372.37
CP 385.91
SL 297.9
+3.64%
28/07/2020 00:00
29/07/2020 00:00
1 day
OP 321.95
CP 316.77
SL 257.56
-1.61%
24/07/2020 01:00
27/07/2020 00:00
3 days
OP 273.92
CP 311.02
SL 219.14
+13.5%
02/07/2020 00:00
23/07/2020 00:00
21 days
OP 230.99
CP 263.75
SL 184.79
+14.2%
30/06/2020 01:00
01/07/2020 00:00
23 hours
OP 227.62
CP 225.59
SL 182.1
-0.892%
Profit while BTC is -40%? This is the strategy: +44% on spotPlenty of traders are struggling to trade the choppy ranging market of the past couple of months. Especially as it comes after an "up only!!!" period where making a mistake was an exception and (at least some) success the rule. Wicks and stops hunting are not making it easier. We always speak about preparing the strategy for the next leg, but traders still don't use data and help. This is an example of how you do it and create a strategy where when Bitcoin is -40% down, you're comfortably +44% in profit.
WILL POST EVERY POSITION OPEN/CLOSE TIME AND RETURN OVER 6 MONTHS BELOW
The strategy goals:
Any strategy you're running needs to be profitable in different market conditions. It's fine if it particularly successful under particular ones, but it should not be a dud in the long run. So we're going to pose quite a challenge for ourselves:
1. Winning strategy on spot in the past 3 months (March to June) while Bitcoin is down 40%
2. Beat buy and hold over 6 months - we need to have a sufficient sample of trades. The majority of gains on Bitcoin happened before the start of the year so we are looking at Dec-Jun
3. Make more than 100% during a year. Obviously this will be a range based strategy so trading it in a parabolic bull market is not the wisest. However we need to see longer term success to validate the idea.
The strategy:
We'll be using one on of the simplest indicators in range trading - Bollinger Bands. We do need to make the classic set up more responsive by reducing the periods and standard deviation. On account of this we will include ATR (Average True Range) which is a great measure of volatility. If it's not present we don't want to be exposed. You want the opposite in parabolic markets.
On the 1 hour chart we:
- Will open a position when price is crossing up BB_LOWER (period: 15, standard deviation: 1) AND ATR (14) is up by 9% in last day
- Will close a position when price is crossing down BB_UPPER (period: 15, standard deviation: 1) AND ATR(14) is down by 1% in last hour
No stop loss or take profit - the strategy rules are respected 100% of the time. The reduced period and standard deviation on the Bollinger Bands match what you see on the chart here.
The results:
The marriage between Bollinger Bands and ATR is working quite well in ranging markets. Bollinger Bands signal low/high prices while ATR gives you a hint of volatility. It wins about 56% of positions, but the profits are on average 2:1 to the loss which is ideal.
In fact this strategy:
1. Convincingly beat the -40% market in the past 3 months, with profits of +44%
2. Made 86% in the past 6 months, while just holding Bitcoin would have brought you 39.9%
3. Profited +136.5% over the year. Again we do recommend adjusting your strategy to the conditions, but this gives us a large enough sample of trades to validate the idea.
Even max drawdown over the last 3 months was only 9%. That and profits is a wonderful position to be in in a market that's ruled by fear.
The positions (last 6 months):
22/06/2021 16:00
22/06/2021 23:00
7 hours
OP 31,708
+2.76%
Still in position
21/06/2021 14:00
22/06/2021 05:00
15 hours
OP 33,152
CP 32,911
-0.728%
19/06/2021 00:00
19/06/2021 17:00
17 hours
OP 35,820
CP 35,889
+0.192%
08/06/2021 08:00
09/06/2021 01:00
17 hours
OP 32,967
CP 32,886
-0.244%
06/06/2021 00:00
06/06/2021 03:00
3 hours
OP 35,516
CP 36,130
+1.73%
04/06/2021 13:00
05/06/2021 04:00
15 hours
OP 36,880
CP 37,410
+1.44%
01/06/2021 14:00
02/06/2021 20:00
1 day
OP 37,037
CP 37,885
+2.29%
28/05/2021 13:00
30/05/2021 21:00
2 days
OP 36,590
CP 36,050
-1.48%
23/05/2021 20:00
24/05/2021 17:00
21 hours
OP 33,047
CP 37,357
+13%
19/05/2021 15:00
21/05/2021 02:00
1 day
OP 37,502
CP 41,428
+10.5%
16/05/2021 02:00
18/05/2021 04:00
2 days
OP 48,060
CP 44,775
-6.84%
13/05/2021 06:00
14/05/2021 13:00
1 day
OP 50,884
CP 50,311
-1.13%
10/05/2021 23:00
11/05/2021 11:00
12 hours
OP 56,230
CP 55,842
-0.69%
09/05/2021 06:00
10/05/2021 07:00
1 day
OP 58,447
CP 58,834
+0.663%
03/05/2021 18:00
05/05/2021 20:00
2 days
OP 57,959
CP 57,136
-1.42%
29/04/2021 07:00
30/04/2021 11:00
1 day
OP 54,373
CP 54,165
-0.383%
26/04/2021 00:00
26/04/2021 09:00
9 hours
OP 49,067
CP 52,584
+7.17%
23/04/2021 11:00
23/04/2021 22:00
11 hours
OP 49,457
CP 50,298
+1.7%
18/04/2021 13:00
19/04/2021 06:00
17 hours
OP 54,947
CP 56,500
+2.83%
14/04/2021 17:00
16/04/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 63,485
CP 63,159
-0.514%
11/04/2021 00:00
14/04/2021 13:00
4 days
OP 59,769
CP 63,871
+6.86%
07/04/2021 06:00
08/04/2021 10:00
1 day
OP 58,286
CP 56,676
-2.76%
04/04/2021 03:00
05/04/2021 21:00
2 days
OP 57,363
CP 58,773
+2.46%
31/03/2021 13:00
01/04/2021 02:00
13 hours
OP 58,160
CP 59,140
+1.68%
30/03/2021 05:00
30/03/2021 15:00
10 hours
OP 57,567
CP 58,866
+2.26%
25/03/2021 05:00
26/03/2021 03:00
22 hours
OP 52,252
CP 51,697
-1.06%
21/03/2021 14:00
23/03/2021 19:00
2 days
OP 57,022
CP 55,365
-2.91%
15/03/2021 14:00
16/03/2021 17:00
1 day
OP 56,856
CP 55,658
-2.11%
11/03/2021 11:00
12/03/2021 20:00
1 day
OP 55,531
CP 56,942
+2.54%
08/03/2021 11:00
09/03/2021 08:00
21 hours
OP 50,061
CP 53,547
+6.96%
04/03/2021 01:00
06/03/2021 00:00
2 days
OP 50,894
CP 48,747
-4.22%
28/02/2021 20:00
01/03/2021 06:00
10 hours
OP 44,403
CP 46,200
+4.05%
27/02/2021 00:00
27/02/2021 03:00
3 hours
OP 46,277
CP 47,375
+2.37%
26/02/2021 04:00
26/02/2021 19:00
15 hours
OP 47,331
CP 47,317
-0.0301%
21/02/2021 00:00
24/02/2021 07:00
3 days
OP 55,841
CP 50,109
-10.3%
20/02/2021 11:00
20/02/2021 20:00
9 hours
OP 55,895
CP 56,975
+1.93%
16/02/2021 19:00
18/02/2021 02:00
1 day
OP 48,617
CP 52,132
+7.23%
15/02/2021 01:00
16/02/2021 07:00
1 day
OP 48,764
CP 49,021
+0.527%
04/02/2021 13:00
13/02/2021 07:00
9 days
OP 37,619
CP 47,728
+26.9%
01/02/2021 17:00
03/02/2021 00:00
1 day
OP 33,461
CP 35,473
+6.01%
27/01/2021 20:00
30/01/2021 16:00
3 days
OP 30,732
CP 34,210
+11.3%
26/01/2021 02:00
26/01/2021 21:00
19 hours
OP 32,754
CP 31,987
-2.34%
20/01/2021 14:00
22/01/2021 13:00
2 days
OP 34,959
CP 31,550
-9.75%
15/01/2021 22:00
17/01/2021 19:00
2 days
OP 36,234
CP 35,677
-1.54%
10/01/2021 23:00
12/01/2021 09:00
1 day
OP 38,430
CP 35,773
-6.91%
08/01/2021 22:00
09/01/2021 16:00
18 hours
OP 40,076
CP 40,525
+1.12%
08/01/2021 04:00
08/01/2021 18:00
14 hours
OP 38,347
CP 41,009
+6.94%
03/01/2021 21:00
05/01/2021 16:00
2 days
OP 33,726
CP 32,100
-4.82%
27/12/2020 19:00
28/12/2020 16:00
21 hours
OP 27,063
CP 26,916
-0.541%
24/12/2020 06:00
24/12/2020 10:00
4 hours
OP 23,050
CP 23,348
+1.29%
A BTC divergence strategy that profits at +413.91% on spotTraders like trading divergencies. They are easy to spot, can work on multiple time-frames, and as so many are watching them and acting on them they may become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Where traders tend to fail is being consistent. They never really write the rules by which their strategy is bound. This leads to random trading behaviour that cannot be analysed or improved. Not a way you want to be treating you trading funds.
Here we will demonstrate how to design a profitable crypto strategy that you can follow to the T. It brought in +413.91% in the last year on spot.
WILL POST EVERY POSITION BELOW
The strategy goals:
- Use specific quantifiable divergencies
- Use a momentum indicator
- Beat holding Bitcoin
The strategy:
There are a few indicators you can use to craft these strategies like MACD, OBV or Stochastic. In this case we are going with RSI as one of the classic examples. Here are our strategy rules on the 15 min time-frame:
- Open position when: BTC/USDT is down by 1% in past day AND RSI (14) is up by 1% in past day AND Price is below EMA(25)
- Close position when: BTC/USDT is down by 1% in past day AND RSI (14) is down by 1% in past day AND Price is up by 5% in last 2 days
No stop loss or take profit but these rules re followed 100% of the time.
The results:
The strategy beat holding Bitcoin in the past year with +413.91% compared to 305.16%. The strategy is efficient as it managed to pull it off with only 30 positions. They are held for 12 days on average when winning, and 4 days when losing making this a swing trading strategy despite the lower time-frame. We won 22 positions with an average position of +9.12% vs losing 8 with an average of -7.87%.
It would be good to follow this strategy as the larger the sample of positions becomes the better we can evaluate it.
The positions:
16/06/2021 19:30
16/06/2021 23:45
4 hours
OP 38,940
-1.89%
Still in position
12/06/2021 15:15
15/06/2021 13:45
3 days
OP 35,539
CP 40,270
+13.3%
28/05/2021 16:30
10/06/2021 22:30
13 days
OP 36,189
CP 36,790
+1.66%
22/05/2021 03:30
25/05/2021 12:30
3 days
OP 37,012
CP 36,951
-0.165%
21/05/2021 22:30
22/05/2021 01:00
3 hours
OP 36,624
CP 37,652
+2.81%
07/05/2021 07:45
21/05/2021 12:30
14 days
OP 55,942
CP 40,897
-26.9%
02/05/2021 09:00
06/05/2021 17:00
4 days
OP 56,525
CP 56,718
+0.341%
21/03/2021 23:15
02/05/2021 01:45
1 month
OP 57,190
CP 57,382
+0.336%
15/03/2021 11:00
19/03/2021 16:15
4 days
OP 56,355
CP 58,866
+4.46%
04/03/2021 15:00
10/03/2021 05:15
6 days
OP 49,423
CP 53,191
+7.62%
26/02/2021 09:00
02/03/2021 15:45
4 days
OP 45,728
CP 48,516
+6.1%
22/02/2021 23:15
25/02/2021 08:30
2 days
OP 53,752
CP 50,070
-6.85%
11/02/2021 00:00
12/02/2021 16:15
2 days
OP 44,808
CP 47,254
+5.46%
07/02/2021 20:15
10/02/2021 04:15
2 days
OP 37,974
CP 45,592
+20.1%
01/02/2021 00:45
05/02/2021 08:15
4 days
OP 32,568
CP 37,736
+15.9%
30/01/2021 17:00
31/01/2021 08:30
16 hours
OP 33,957
CP 33,748
-0.615%
26/01/2021 10:00
30/01/2021 03:15
4 days
OP 31,805
CP 33,604
+5.66%
24/01/2021 01:15
24/01/2021 01:45
30 minutes
OP 31,975
CP 32,020
+0.14%
24/01/2021 00:45
24/01/2021 01:00
15 minutes
OP 31,960
CP 31,876
-0.262%
15/01/2021 21:15
23/01/2021 22:30
8 days
OP 35,711
CP 32,237
-9.73%
10/01/2021 23:30
13/01/2021 18:15
3 days
OP 38,289
CP 34,812
-9.08%
04/01/2021 16:30
09/01/2021 11:15
5 days
OP 31,084
CP 40,437
+30.1%
29/12/2020 16:00
03/01/2021 19:30
5 days
OP 26,615
CP 32,627
+22.6%
22/12/2020 01:45
27/12/2020 21:15
6 days
OP 22,761
CP 26,194
+15.1%
02/12/2020 05:00
18/12/2020 13:15
16 days
OP 18,551
CP 22,917
+23.5%
22/11/2020 09:45
01/12/2020 15:00
9 days
OP 18,411
CP 19,285
+4.75%
08/11/2020 06:45
19/11/2020 04:15
11 days
OP 14,976
CP 17,837
+19.1%
29/10/2020 07:30
07/11/2020 00:45
9 days
OP 13,208
CP 15,625
+18.3%
02/08/2020 14:00
22/10/2020 23:00
3 months
OP 11,109
CP 13,009
+17.1%
24/06/2020 21:00
28/07/2020 22:15
1 month
OP 9,299.8
CP 10,962
+17.9%
Bull or bear beat holding +249.2% over a year, in profit in MayAs traders we look to capitalise on all sort of markets, not just parabolic runs. Today we are exploring how to run a long strategy even when the bulls are not in control.
WILL POST LAST 50 POSITIONS BELOW
We are looking for an strategy that:
1. has been beating buy and hold all year
2. Has a drawdown of max 15% in may 2021
3. Is simple to execute and automate
Not all candlestick patterns are created equal, and they do not work on all markets. However they do work in crypto, at least based on experience as they are not tough to identify and speculators tend to react to them.
This is why we focused on candles that are not that difficult to identify and are very clear in meaning.
The strategy (FULL INSTRUCTIONS):
On the 30 min timeframe:
We are going to open a position when the candle is a bullish Engulfing
We are going to close the position when the candle is bearish Marubozu
No stop loss or take profit, these are the only rules we follow, but we follow them a 100% of the time.
The results:
The strategy brought in 249.17%, beating holding. If you started trading this a year ago with 1 Bitcoin, you would be 2.4917 BTC in profit at the moment. What's even better the max drawdown throughout the year was 22.7% and it was actually in February.
During May we were only 11% down at a certain point.
This provides a Sortino Ratio of 5.44 which is a stellar mark for these volatile markets.
The positions:
31/05/2021 04:30
31/05/2021 14:00
10 hours
OP 0.06681
CP 0.068884
+3.1%
29/05/2021 21:30
30/05/2021 19:30
22 hours
OP 0.065407
CP 0.067746
+3.58%
29/05/2021 00:30
29/05/2021 18:00
18 hours
OP 0.068427
CP 0.066952
-2.16%
28/05/2021 07:30
28/05/2021 14:30
7 hours
OP 0.069574
CP 0.069572
-0.00287%
25/05/2021 18:00
27/05/2021 19:30
2 days
OP 0.068144
CP 0.071024
+4.23%
24/05/2021 00:30
25/05/2021 03:30
1 day
OP 0.061435
CP 0.067043
+9.13%
22/05/2021 22:30
23/05/2021 12:30
14 hours
OP 0.062197
CP 0.0581
-6.59%
22/05/2021 11:00
22/05/2021 17:30
7 hours
OP 0.064251
CP 0.06059
-5.7%
19/05/2021 22:00
20/05/2021 21:00
23 hours
OP 0.066705
CP 0.068997
+3.44%
17/05/2021 23:00
19/05/2021 07:00
1 day
OP 0.075193
CP 0.074787
-0.54%
17/05/2021 06:30
17/05/2021 09:30
3 hours
OP 0.076593
CP 0.077412
+1.07%
14/05/2021 13:00
15/05/2021 14:30
1 day
OP 0.079504
CP 0.078525
-1.23%
13/05/2021 16:30
13/05/2021 23:30
7 hours
OP 0.076788
CP 0.074242
-3.32%
12/05/2021 10:30
13/05/2021 15:30
1 day
OP 0.075732
CP 0.075619
-0.149%
11/05/2021 06:30
12/05/2021 10:00
1 day
OP 0.071125
CP 0.075353
+5.94%
09/05/2021 16:00
10/05/2021 11:00
19 hours
OP 0.06759
CP 0.069748
+3.19%
07/05/2021 13:30
09/05/2021 00:30
1 day
OP 0.061147
CP 0.065733
+7.5%
05/05/2021 01:30
06/05/2021 23:30
2 days
OP 0.061121
CP 0.061832
+1.16%
03/05/2021 00:30
04/05/2021 22:00
2 days
OP 0.05225
CP 0.061328
+17.4%
01/05/2021 22:30
02/05/2021 05:30
7 hours
OP 0.051064
CP 0.051111
+0.092%
30/04/2021 19:00
01/05/2021 15:00
20 hours
OP 0.048829
CP 0.049703
+1.79%
30/04/2021 09:30
30/04/2021 16:00
7 hours
OP 0.051113
CP 0.047849
-6.39%
29/04/2021 08:30
30/04/2021 02:30
18 hours
OP 0.050351
CP 0.051114
+1.52%
28/04/2021 10:00
29/04/2021 00:30
15 hours
OP 0.04799
CP 0.049829
+3.83%
27/04/2021 00:00
27/04/2021 19:30
20 hours
OP 0.046896
CP 0.047795
+1.92%
26/04/2021 10:00
26/04/2021 13:00
3 hours
OP 0.046466
CP 0.046378
-0.189%
24/04/2021 21:00
25/04/2021 13:30
17 hours
OP 0.045035
CP 0.046231
+2.66%
22/04/2021 20:00
24/04/2021 17:00
2 days
OP 0.04791
CP 0.044796
-6.5%
19/04/2021 12:00
22/04/2021 18:00
3 days
OP 0.039343
CP 0.04728
+20.2%
16/04/2021 10:30
17/04/2021 19:00
1 day
OP 0.03943
CP 0.039117
-0.794%
15/04/2021 18:00
16/04/2021 05:00
11 hours
OP 0.039286
CP 0.039291
+0.0127%
13/04/2021 17:30
15/04/2021 17:00
2 days
OP 0.0363
CP 0.039141
+7.83%
13/04/2021 14:30
13/04/2021 17:00
3 hours
OP 0.03575
CP 0.035968
+0.61%
12/04/2021 11:00
12/04/2021 12:30
2 hours
OP 0.035761
CP 0.035598
-0.456%
11/04/2021 03:30
12/04/2021 09:30
1 day
OP 0.035639
CP 0.035866
+0.637%
10/04/2021 21:00
10/04/2021 23:30
3 hours
OP 0.035761
CP 0.035688
-0.204%
08/04/2021 22:30
09/04/2021 13:30
15 hours
OP 0.035729
CP 0.035448
-0.786%
08/04/2021 02:00
08/04/2021 18:30
17 hours
OP 0.035231
CP 0.035636
NA
+1.15%
05/04/2021 05:30
06/04/2021 19:30
2 days
OP 0.035409
CP 0.036274
+2.44%
02/04/2021 13:00
04/04/2021 03:00
2 days
OP 0.033704
CP 0.035098
+4.14%
01/04/2021 13:30
02/04/2021 04:00
15 hours
OP 0.032793
CP 0.033349
+1.7%
30/03/2021 06:30
31/03/2021 22:00
2 days
OP 0.03138
CP 0.032743
+4.34%
27/03/2021 09:00
30/03/2021 02:30
3 days
OP 0.030822
CP 0.031326
+1.64%
26/03/2021 02:00
27/03/2021 04:00
1 day
OP 0.03114
CP 0.030919
-0.71%
25/03/2021 16:00
25/03/2021 20:00
4 hours
OP 0.031273
CP 0.030754
-1.66%
23/03/2021 17:30
23/03/2021 20:30
3 hours
OP 0.030826
CP 0.03091
+0.272%
20/03/2021 15:30
23/03/2021 00:30
2 days
OP 0.031261
CP 0.030839
-1.35%
20/03/2021 00:00
20/03/2021 05:30
6 hours
OP 0.031174
CP 0.031295
+0.388%
18/03/2021 18:00
19/03/2021 03:30
10 hours
OP 0.030665
CP 0.03087
+0.669%
17/03/2021 07:30
17/03/2021 18:00
11 hours
OP 0.031816
CP 0.032216
+1.26%