CLOV
$AMC Update - In Depth Chart Analysis2 hour chart, will be interesting to see how this plays out tomorrow, very heavy resistance at the 161% retracement level, but if broken through and support at that level is shown, it can potentially mean the next fibonacci retracement zone being 57 - 90.
MACD looks like it wants a reversal as well, so that gives me some further confidence for the Fibonacci levels and price action, and lastly, the ADX & DI Indicator showing convergence and consolidation within its range also signaling a bullish price swing.
The second path I highlighted as well, just in case the resistance at that fibonacci level is too much, which in turn would knock the price down. Not saying this goes right back to $30, but the yellow highlighted horizontal support levels are important price levels to look for when looking for support, as well as a reversal.
In my opinion, things are looking bullish to me on this chart, as well as 30 min and 15 min charts.
Break out of this 57-58 Range and we have not only a fibonacci support zone now, but as well as a breakout from this pennant. GLTA
$BB Update, Predictions based on Fibonacci LevelsAs I posted the other day, I expected BB to make a move to its next fibonacci zone near 22.00. Resistance was met at the 61% retracement level and it got shot back down to its 38% retracement level after failing to hold the 50% retracement level (15.60's). Bouncing off the 38% level near $13 could give us 2 paths as I show on the chart. Need to break through that 50% Retracement zone for continued momentum and strength upwards. Trade around the Fibonacci zones, and see what works for you. Once you find a price on either a 4 hour or daily chart that you find appealing, once the price is around that level, switch to an intraday to execute the trade based on the best price and entry for that day. GLTA.
$CLOV Update, Important Current Factors Finally popping like it deserves, options playing out nicely with this one. Very important that we hold around this 10.50 level being the 38% retracement level from the ATH in January. I would like to point out that the short interest is 31% of the float, with insiders not being able to sell shares until $30 a share. There are plenty of really informative DD posts on reddit that I fact checked myself that give all the in depth fundamentals, so I will link those as well.
Link:
www.reddit.com
As of technical's, CLOV showed it could easily break though that 38% retracement level reaching a high today of NEARLY 11.20. The fibonacci's dont mean panic sell if it dips below 10.50, this is a daily chart, so with a close over or around 10.50 today, this would give me a lot of confidence in this reaching the next Fib zone which I highlighted in purple near the 11.86-12.00 range. 10.20 is support for the day today, 6/7.
According the research that I conducted myself, as well as others research, nearly 90% of ALL shorts are in LOSING positions around the $11 price range, which can potentially mean gamma squeeze.
The company itself has strong fundamentals which are highlighted in the reddit post I linked, once market share is captured and has even a fraction of the what other insurance companies have, this trades near $100 easily IMO. That is WITHOUT the squeeze potential.
Fib Zones with my targets, as well as support and resistance accordingly.
Z1: 6.35 - 8.95
Z2: 8.95 - 10.57
Z3: 10.57 - 11.89
Z4: 11.89 - 13.20
Z5: 13.20 - 15.07
Z6: 15.07 - 17.45
Positions purchased June 2nd:
6/18 $10 Calls
7/16 $15 Calls
8/20 $30 Calls (Leaps)
$CLOV In Depth Analysis & Price PredictionsClover health has quite the catalysts not only fundamentally, but technically as well.
Technicals:
CLOV has been in a downtrend since early January, with an all time high near $17.00, and all time low of near $6.00. Quite the range. Fibonacci retracement levels can give us approximate levels of support and resistance once a breakout occurs. As you can see, the daily chart here shows a SLIGHT breakout (See B2) above the downtrend, as also seen in April (See B1). Another green candle above the downward trendline would give me further confidence of a breakout towards first $10.50, and then $11.86 following, the retracement levels act as price zones of support and resistance for my trading style.
More on technical setup, we have a nice MACD convergence on the 1D chart, forming a nice consolidation for a breakout within the MACD, where I see a bullish reversal that can last long term.
Fundamentals:
Not going to lecture you on the company, but rather give you some interesting catalysts and factors that will most definitely play into the price.
1. Short interest is over 50% of the float, which to me, gives a lot of potential for a true squeeze, higher than GME and AMC.
2. Because CLOV is a SPAC, insider shares have a lockup as well as a predetermined price that the stock MUST be trading at for 90 consecutive days before insiders can sell. that price is $30 a share. Meaning if they want to sell their shares, price has to be $30 for atleast 90 days.
3. Short positions are in trouble near the $11 level, meaning above $11, nearly 100% of all short positions are in the red, and losing money.
4. Shares available to be shorted as of yesterday was only 600,000.
With squeeze potential like this, such a large short percent of the float, and company insiders not being able to sell until $30 a share, expect nothing less of parabolic movement, but the real question is WHEN. Timing this will be a difficult thing to do, but I will be playing this with long term leap options as well as shares for accumulation.
GLTA, in Chamath we trust, I guess.
$BNGO Update, Clean Bullish Green Candle for Reversal I believed BNGO was a buy near 5$, and today is it showing very strong momentum towards the upside approaching my first $7 target, insider activity has also been very heavy within the past week, and i expect to see this trading much higher in the coming months with this breakout.
Stock Alert: CLOVBreakdown:
Heavy sell timeframe (Highlighted in Red box) from 2/23 to 3/8. Looks like $9 is the Resistance level here. Possible that this takes around the same amount of time to complete run back up (Highlighted in Green box) with a completion date of 4/30 that would put us back in the $11 price. CLOV might have a few volatile days along the way but I'm pretty confident in a $11 PT. I don't see this going down past $7.30 for long before bouncing back so not much to risk here really.
I'm not sure how much higher this could reach if/when it reaches $11, FOMO would likely be in "full effect" at that point.
*Support, Resistance, and Price Target Marked in chart*
Will try to update as days progress.
Lets see how this plays out!
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$NIO TO $50+ 🚀$NIO broke out our triangle confirming a BULLISH regersal trend. If you want in.... I suggest to buy in before earnings May 1st. We can see some crazy prices/run up into the newest delivery numbers set to be announced. I am bullish on this trade set up, a price trend over $40 can easily confirm a solid run to $50+. Keep $NIO stock on your watchlist this week and the next 🚀
Something Might Be Brewing In CLOVIncrease in volume at a lower level indicating smart monies have started accumulating CLOV stock. A pullback to support level may be needed for retailer investors participations.
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
CLOV Post Earnings Bounce PlayThere are many reasons to favor a CLOV long position here with earnings on March 1, 2021.
1. We have wicked off the same bottoming zone explored last November. This has many characteristics of a capitulation wick after the rapid descent following news of the DOJ investigation.
2. Short interest on this stock is quite high, although reliable up-to-date information is hard to find but nonetheless appears to be fairly high (30%), and RSI appears oversold.
3. The options market is skewed towards puts - putting the max pain point between 12.50 and 15 - more than 25% above current levels. swaggystocks.com
4. CLOV's 50% decline into earnings fits the Goldman empirical earnings system quite well which shows that stocks declining into earnings tend to pop after earnings - generating an average of 18% call option returns vs 4% for all other stocks post earnings.
5. It appears that the decline in stock price is solely due to news surrounding a DOJ investigation rather than trend changes in the business or market. The history of TSLA and FB stock suggests that legal-related FUD is often transitory, as opposed to market/moat-related FUD.
6. Finally, technical factors favor a bounce in the overall market in the coming days, and today's 8% drop in CLOV accompanied a dramatic but failed selloff in the S&P 500 (see VVIX divergence mentioned in analysis below)
Lastly, for those more concerned about the DOJ investigation than the charts or technicals, consider that the investigation began before the recent transition in the Executive Branch, and Chelsea Clinton - Vice Chair of the Clinton Foundation - serves on Clover's Board of Directors. For reasons completely outside technical analysis, it would appear that serious indictments by the DOJ are highly unlikely due to political reasons. investors.cloverhealth.com
Just consider this like any other transitory FUD and take advantage of buying opportunities found in the charts - as you would with Bitcoin, Tesla, or similar assets. In addition to the shares I purchased yesterday, I purchased $10 call options March 19 ($1.05) and a 12.50 LEAP (June dated).
Clover Health Will Show A Technical Growth In Channel To $9.92After a false breakout due to a correction in the broader market, $CLOV has re-entered the falling channel it has broken out of and closed within it.
From this area, I expect growth towards the resistance zone around $9.92 to $10.00.
However, do note that this zone of resistance that we are heading for is a very strong area of resistance.
In this area, we see an intersection of:
1. Dynamic resistance created by the upper parallel line of the falling channel
2. Fibonacci resistance and Horizontal resistance
3. Former $10 SPAC price floor which acts as a very strong psychological resistance
Regardless, I expect a move towards it first. Would have to see how the market reacts to this level first before deciding on our next course of action.
This is not an investment or trading advice so please do your own due diligence!
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Clover Health Continues To Track The Broader Market Very CloselySince the market started selling-off late February due to disturbance in the bond market, the movements of $CLOV has since been mirroring the direction of the overall market relatively tightly. With the closing of the market earlier today after a considerably sideway and mixed trading day, S&P 500 rose by 0.60%, NASDAQ fell by 0.04%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.46%. Similarly, $CLOV also had a relatively mixed trading day, showing green for the first half of the trading session, and later closing slightly red on the second half. These movements can be attributed to the general market condition as well, where during the first half of the trading session, the release of bullish CPI data edged the market higher, while a relatively average and within expectations $38 billion 10-year notes auction brought the action back down to trade relatively sideway.
I expect $CLOV to continue tracking the overall direction of the market closely, at least for tomorrow, where we await for the result of a $24 billion sale of 30-year bond that can potentially move the market significantly in either direction, should anything unexpected occur.
Regardless, it is good to note that on a technical perspective, $CLOV is approaching some key trading area that we need to take note of.
We are currently resting just below the dynamic resistance formed by the bottom of the previous bearish channel that were trading in before this bond-induced market correction. While we may have already rejected this area once (likely due to the broader market movement as mentioned above), if we are able to break back into the bearish channel, our next target would be the next Fibonacci resistance and the top of the aforementioned bearish channel at around $9.92. However, if we fail to break back into it, we could be looking at a re-test of $7.78 or even $6.67. As such, tomorrow's trading session will likely be a very important one as it will give us an indication of where we are headed short-term.
Invest safe.
This is not investment advice so please do your own due diligence!
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