Using S5TH (spx stocks above 200dma) as an oscillator timing cycPretty cool feature. You can use the 9month moving average in S5TH (spx stocks above the 200dma) to time the market cycle. Figure out the upward momentum (with help of game theory and TNX cycle). In practice and theory peoples options should be predictable because everyone act in their self-interest, seeking safety (hypothetical riskfree) and potential.
I use this as an oschilator (like RSI).. above 50% reading is bull market (because more than 50% stocks above it's 200dma).
This thing points to bull market to at least like 2025 summer. Worth noting that business cycle and TNX patterns are key here.
CLSK
CLSK - long, medium,short-term plans. Technical and fundamental Hello, friends! Shark here, and today we’ll be looking at the technical and fundamental analysis of the mining company stock CLSK. We will cover long-term, medium-term, and short-term plans.
Technical Analysis
Long-term Trading Plan (pink), timeframe 1 month:
Global resistance level: $40
Global support level: $1.74 (established in 2023)
Channel width: 2198%
Accumulation period: 3300 days
Note that the lows on the monthly timeframe are rising while the highs are falling, indicating an accumulation phase. Once the price breaks the global descending line, an active participation phase may begin, potentially leading to significant growth.
Medium-term Trading Plan (blue), timeframe 1 week:
Support level: $14.78
Resistance level: $23.45
Trading range: 58%
Currently, there is no clear direction, and the price moves between support and resistance, indicating an accumulation phase. The price is above the ascending trend line, pointing to a pronounced local uptrend. Consider buying at the levels indicated on the weekly timeframe.
Short-term Trading Plan (yellow), timeframe 1 day:
Resistance level: $18.32 (from daily timeframe)
Support level: $14.78 (from weekly timeframe)
The chart shows a local ascending trend line (yellow). The price has broken through resistance and is now in the middle of the channel.
Consider two scenarios:
Trading Scenario: Buy at the support level of $14.78 with a subsequent rise to the resistance level at $23.45. The potential movement is 50%.
Breakdown Scenario: If the support level of $14.78 breaks, the price may drop to $10.54 (from the daily timeframe), followed by growth to the global level of $40. In this case, the growth potential is about 400%.
Fundamental Analysis
Company Description:
CleanSpark, Inc. (CLSK) is an American company specializing in the development and implementation of energy efficiency and energy management solutions, as well as cryptocurrency mining. The company offers various software and hardware products to optimize energy consumption and improve energy efficiency.
Factors Influencing CLSK Stock Growth:
Increase in Cryptocurrency Prices: As a mining company, CleanSpark is directly affected by cryptocurrency prices, especially Bitcoin. An increase in Bitcoin’s value can significantly enhance the profitability of mining operations, boosting CLSK’s stock price.
Technological Innovations and Expansion of Mining Capacity: CleanSpark is actively investing in upgrading and expanding its mining farms. The introduction of more efficient mining rigs and increased overall capacity can contribute to higher revenues.
Energy Projects and Partnerships: The company develops energy management solutions to reduce electricity costs and improve environmental sustainability. Partnerships and contracts in this field can significantly impact the company’s financial performance.
Regulatory Changes: The introduction or modification of laws and regulations related to cryptocurrencies and the energy sector can positively or negatively affect CleanSpark’s operations. Positive regulatory changes can stimulate stock growth.
Financial Results and Reports: The publication of quarterly and annual financial reports with results exceeding analysts’ expectations can drive stock price growth.
Historical Events Affecting CLSK Stock:
Investments in Cryptocurrency Mining (2020-2021): In late 2020 and early 2021, CleanSpark invested heavily in cryptocurrency mining, leading to a significant increase in revenues and attracting investor attention, driving stock growth.
Acquisitions and Expansions (2021): The company acquired several mining farms and expanded its capacity, positively impacting its financial performance and boosting stock prices.
Financial Reports (2020-2022): The release of positive financial reports and exceeding analyst forecasts also contributed to stock price growth.
Conclusion:
CleanSpark stock has growth potential due to its activity in cryptocurrency mining, technological innovations, energy projects, and positive financial results. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with cryptocurrency market volatility and potential regulatory changes.
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CLSK - strongest our of all CryptosWe are reaching levels where the stock might catch a bid. FED is now understood to be dovish so the risk is to the positive side for any favourable comments. War-worries have dissipated and the seasonal pattern is for the trend to begin risign, imminently. CLSK is the crypto stock with the best fundamentals; REV and EPS. Follow the strongest stocks.
CLSK 14.38CLSK - struggling to stay above the 14.00 area.
Same area was hard resistance (red arrow on the left) after the stock succeed to break that 14.00 area, she keeps her momentum till the 24.50-25.00 area and from that point the stock dive to 14.00 area again, and now the same zone is intended to be a support zone (green arrow on the right)
On top of it the same area is a daily vwap supporting zone.
Possible scenario with targets on the chart:
1st target: 16.50 area
2nd target: 18.00 area
CLSK set up for a SHORT in a parallel channelCLSK on a 120 minute chart is in a gradually falling parallel channel. At this time price has
topped at the channel's resistance trendline. The RSI has bearish divergence while the
predictive algorithm shows a forecast of a trend down this upcoming week. I will short trade
CLSK here with a stop loss at 20.6 above the channel and target of 14.75 near to the bottom
of the channel. The stop loss of 1.2 compares well with a target about 4.5 downside yielding
approximately 3.5 as a risk ratio.
RIOT retraced and could reverse but BTC is falling SHORTOn the 15-minute chart- RIOT uptrended and then retraced. It is now supported by the
standard Fibonacci retracement zone and UNDER the intermediate term mean anchored VWAP.
On the RSI indicator, the signals are UNDER the 50 level another suggestion of direction
being forecasted. In the meanwhile BTCUSD is trending down. while RIOT is not trading. I will
watch RIOT after the open on Monday fully expecting it will fall into the lower VWAP bands but
there could be a surprise if BTCUSD reverses over the weekend.
CLSK a crypto miner reports February 8th LONGCLSK is tied to the ebbs and tides of the crypto market especially high market cap Bitcoin.
On the 120-minute chart, it is trending up from a reversal. The 0.5 Fib level is above at 10.0
about 10% upside from the current price. Earnings are February 8th. The last earnings saw a big
turnaround as CLSK started to make money. Price is currently about 90% below all-time highs.
The recent surge in Bitcoin albeit with a partial pullback afterward has likely benefited
CleanSpark. I see this as a short-term swing pre-earnings play that could gain big or
drop with an earnings miss. I will set a stop loss to protect against the latter. Today's price
action and the indicators are reassurance in the risk taken.
Bubble theory 🫧 BTC minersThere are two type of bubbles and they burst for different reasons? A bubble is when too many people hold something and what has driven prices up, now as a force works against them.
There's a saying. Buy things when everyone is a skeptic. Sell when a taxi driver starts talking about investing. There are no more buyers left on top.
First bubble is when volume dries up as the price hits extremes.
Second is when peoples attitudes or sentiment, or opinions change to bearish. And that can happen over night, like a switch. It's interesting and finance is a social science.
Some bubbles can burst due to external events, like start of wars or some financial crisis.
There can be strong bull markets and most of times, these external events would just be noise?
> Was btc miners in bubble? And what type of bubble?
I think Yes and No? Whenever there's a risk free trade, supported by factors a bubble emerges? The price of Mara was rallying hard, trend was strong. You could argue people got over optimistic, knowing the ETF decision was a risk event. -> therefor (the burst) was sentiment driven. But also predictable?
Bubble is when too many people hold asset and there re no buyers left. Similar how a taxi driver is hype about investing.
Technical analysis gives you perspective and context. In 1st instance, impulse was too high and volume indicates crowding? It's tricky because it looks so bullish.
In 2nd instance, impulse was too low. Price action looked bullish? bubbles happen when too many people hold the shares and expect them to rise.
If 1st instance was sentiment switch driven, then 2nd time, the bubble must burst due to exhaustion (or no people left to buy... at these prices.. similar how taxi driver hops in the trade at the wrong time).
Factors and thesis can be bullish - and bubble still bursts.
Is NVDA and SMCI a bubble?
I think there is difference between NVDA, SMCI investors and their time horizon? It could be. I think people believe their investment is supported by the tech drivers. Every dip should be bought out by smart investors and these are the best assets to own in next 5-10 years.
It doesnt mean there cant be external events and risks.
again- bubble is when too many people are in investment. So bubble can burst either by them changing their sentiment or beliefs (maybe fundamentals must change?). Or if price is just so ridiculously high or there is no money left at sidelines, that trend can't be sustainable.
When markets rally - everyone only reads good news and ignores bad news. And vice versa. #HowardMarks #MarketCycle
---> The Risk-Reward buying at these tops just isn't great. That's why they burst. Accompanied by sentiment risks, that hide behind the hood.
CLSK Rejection at $19.91CLSK had a rejection at $19.91. I would be concerned for a significant pullback to around $10. I would want to see more bullishness into the $19.91 resistance level before considering any longs. CLSK and other crypto-related stocks will be impacted by Bitcoin's price action. Bitcoin is showing some bearishness and concerns for a drop so I'm personally not interested at opening longs near previous all time highs unless I see a great setup. For now I think CLSK is at risk of a drop here with a target around $9-10.
CleanSpark Major Potential CleanSpark Inc - NASDAQ:CLSK
This is a unique mid tier BTC miner that is edging ahead of Cipher Mining in terms of size, production and reserves held (See below for the pecking order of 4 BTC miners).
The CLSK Trade
- Ideal entry would be bounce off 200 DSMA
- Risk/Reward from here is 5.55 which is not bad
- Stop Loss placement at 200 DSMA or POC
Chart Positives
- High Volume is ideal signifying increased interest
,float and momentum
- Price above POC
- Price above 200 DSMA
- Pennant price congestion reaching its decision
point
The Pecking Order for BTC Miners covered to date
1. Marathon Digital NASDAQ:MARA have 156,600 rigs & mined 825 BTC in Mar 2023 (12,964 BTC Reserves)
2. Riot Platforms NASDAQ:RIOT have 95,904 rigs and mined 592 Bitcoin in June 2023 (6,696 BTC reserves)
2. Clearspark NASDAQ:CLSK have 87,936 rigs and mined 575 Bitcoin in July 2023 (1,061 BTC reserves)
3. Cipher Mining NASDAQ:CIFR have 70,000 rigs and mined 493 bitcoin in May 2023 (518 BTC reserves)
Clearspark has earned its place above Cipher mining however both companies have been investing much of their Bitcoin into expanding their production lines this year which is why they have lower reserves than the likes of the well established RIOT.
We will need to keep a close eye on both going forward as they both fully intend to continue to expand. I am already invested in NASDAQ:CIFR with a small initial position (previously shared a chart on this).
I'll be looking for NASDAQ:CLSK exposure between here and the 200 DSMA. The risk reward is reasonable and the chart is attractive.
PUKA
RIOT RUNS ON BITCOIN LONGRIOT is shown on a 15 minute chart over the past 7 trading sessions showing 3 trends up
then with intermittent consolidation then a trend dow. The trend down is the most
important. Given the strength shown on the indicator demonstrating bullish divvergence
I believe that RIOT is now set up for a pullback entry long either shares or options at this time.
Let me know if you need trade specifics for either. See my other ideas for BTCUSD, MSTR,
HUT, BITF and the rest. COIN is also worth a look as an earnings play. Buyer note- any of
these could go into short squeeze if a decent upside price action sets things in momentum.
BETS- another crypto penny stock resting over the weekend at the 0.5 fib retracement of a 100% 1-2 day move while Bitcoin trends
higher in weekend price action. Can the price action reverse out of the pullback and
retracement with bullish continuation? Relative strength has retreated but held at the 50 level.
Consistent with consolidation, the volume fell off for the close of the trading week. I will take
a long trade in this suspecting it will do well as did HUT and other cryptocurrency penny stocks.
I will set a 5% stop loss and target 25% or the middle of the zone of the topping wicks
on the pivot high of the previous trading day. So, this is a R:r of 5 trade plan. Safe and
conservative especially since I will only use 0.01% of buying power for the trade.
CleanSpark (CLSK) Soars as Bitcoin Miner Expands OperationsCleanSpark Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CLSK ) has captured the attention of investors with its remarkable performance in the past year, driven by bullish market sentiments and strategic acquisitions in the Bitcoin mining sector. As the company continues to expand its data center portfolio and operations, coupled with the anticipated growth in Bitcoin prices, NASDAQ:CLSK stands poised for further gains in 2024.
The Rise of CleanSpark:
CleanSpark ( NASDAQ:CLSK )has witnessed an impressive surge of 172.22% over the past year, a testament to its solid fundamentals and strategic moves within the burgeoning Bitcoin mining industry. The recent announcement of the company's acquisition of four mining facilities further solidifies its position as a key player in the market.
Strategic Acquisitions:
The acquisition of four mining facilities, including three turnkey sites in Mississippi and one in Dalton, Georgia, for a total of $23.2 million, underscores CleanSpark's ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) commitment to expanding its operational footprint. These acquisitions not only bolster the company's data center portfolio but also position it favorably amidst the ongoing consolidation within the Bitcoin mining sector.
Market Expectations and Bullish Momentum:
CleanSpark's ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) stock has been buoyed by favorable market expectations, with investors showing increasing interest in the company's growth prospects. Technical indicators suggest a building bullish momentum, supported by recent price dynamics and a strengthening trend channel in the medium to long term.
Bitcoin Price Projection:
As Bitcoin prices are projected to strengthen in 2024, CleanSpark ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) stands to benefit from higher mining revenues, further bolstering its position in the market. With Bitcoin's anticipated growth trajectory and CleanSpark's ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) expanding operations, the stock is poised for sustained gains in the coming year.
Outlook and Potential:
CleanSpark's ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) current gains may see further momentum as the stock clears crucial resistance levels, particularly at $9.72 With a strong foundation in place and favorable market dynamics, NASDAQ:CLSK has the potential to emerge as one of the top-performing crypto stocks in 2024. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on key resistance levels, with $13 serving as a potential catalyst for further surges.
Conclusion:
CleanSpark's ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) strategic acquisitions, coupled with bullish market sentiments and the projected growth in Bitcoin prices, paint a compelling picture for the company's prospects in 2024. As it continues to ride the wave of positive momentum, NASDAQ:CLSK stands poised to deliver substantial returns for investors seeking exposure to the burgeoning cryptocurrency sector.
In summary, CleanSpark's ( NASDAQ:CLSK ) ascent in the Bitcoin mining industry reflects not only its solid fundamentals but also its strategic vision for expansion and growth. With favorable market conditions and a bullish outlook, NASDAQ:CLSK presents a compelling opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the potential of the cryptocurrency market in 2024 and beyond.
Bitcoin Miners Overview The performance over recent months as we enter a new CRYPTOCAP:BTC bull cycle (RELEVANT & recent timeframe)
NASDAQ:CLSK - 307%+ since Dec 2022
NASDAQ:CIFR - 485%+ since Dec 2022
NASDAQ:MAR - 4,729%+ since Mar 2020
NASDAQ:RIOT - 1824%+ since Mar 2020
Keep an eye on who is holding the 200 day and who holds diagonal support
PUKC
$CLSK Bullish Gartley with Hidden Bullish Divergence LONG $btcNASDAQ:CLSK Bullish Gartley with Hidden Bullish Divergence LONG.
Blackrock, Vanguard, Fidelity and etc. accumulated last December-February. Miners have been stalled out after pulling back. Line in the Sand here to see if this Bullish Gartley is signaling accumulation before retesting the highs. #btc #clsk