Cmebitcoin
Mind The Gap: An In-Depth Analysis on CME GapsThis analyses shows what happened during the last 10 CME gaps. We can use this information to create a scenario on the future predicted price of BTCUSD given the current gap.
We can observe that 8 out of 10 CME gaps were filled within reasonable time. The gap from the 29th of January was filled 30 days later, but I considered this too long. I have been focusing on gaps that were filled within about 7 days. In this case we get a 80% success ratio (and a 90% success ratio when you make it into a 30 day window).
Applying this on the current gap, we are roughly 9% below the top of the gap. This means that we can trade this 9% potential and aim to have the gap recovered within the coming week. Based on historical data purely this should give us around an 80% success rate.
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CME huge gap on Bitcoin USD 4 HFriends hello everyone
The Chicago Stock Exchange has formed one of the biggest price gaps.
Found an interesting fractal by which you can open a deal
Entrance 7900
7750
Goals
8470
9070
Stop 7500
Profit risk 1.4
This is just my opinion, and is not a call to action)
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Which CME gap will be closed next?Ladies and gentlemen, you are very welcome to place your bets on which CME Futures gap will be closes:
Is it the CME Futures gap #1 at the 3.5k region?
Or will it be the CME Futures gap #2 which is at the 11.8k level that is going to be closed?
What do you think?
I personally consider myself a Bitcoin bull, so you figure which gap I'd love to see closed.
Cheers!
CME support ZONE for BTC. Be careful!Be careful with buying for all the money, we still can easily drop to 8000!
Dynamic support and 38.2 Fibo zone is concentrated near 8000$ zone
Somebody say that it's too obvious for marketmakers and we would grow from higher or lower positions by BTC, and I agree, but just be careful with your deposit and keep calm, don't be greedy.
I'm in longs from 8500, still think that halving would be a deal for BTC price for nearest months.
Good luck!
How to make CME-gap traders happyThe dream of every CME-gap trader:
First we well visit CME Future gap #3 which is the youngest in our CME-gap family. After a mid-short bull-bear fight at the daily support/resistance area at 8930 bears will continue to gain strength as new market participants feel for the first time the rollercoaster ride of emotion the volatility of crypto assets causes. Weak hands ether hedge their remaining profits or accept the losses already made as they cut their bags and trades. At this time we reach CME Future gap #3 were smart money flushes the markets and starts buying their bags. After a short visit price will massively gain steam as the last and also eldest, let's call him Granpa CME Future gap #1 comes into play.
We will see how this dream will turn out. If you are a CME Future gap trader my prayers are with you, as this play also matches my personal bias.
Comments, especially opposing opinions are highly appreciated!
Cheers!
CME Futures Gap - Will it be closed soon?Bitcoin CME futures gaps are filled with 95% certainty, and the previous one was no exception - it was filled within 24 hours.
But trade them is risky, because gaps can be filled both within 24 hours and within a week
I personally long on bitmex from 9750 (1.2% stop loss), will see where it goes.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
BITCOIN GOING 4% DOWN THIS WEEK?This weekend bitcoin pumped and created another gap on the CME chart.
In 35 minutes CME should open the week and I do suppose it would be the right time for CME to fill that gap.
Just something to be aware of as its possible this will start the next bigger retracement.
My target is $9600, what's yours?
BTC- Buy on the dip engine activated... Trial modeWill the BTC option launch on CME finally kick off the long-awaited price surge toward the glorious BTC halving?
On the fundamental side, all the metrics list in my chart indicate that whales and long-term holders have not moved much of their BTC holdings in a while, a bullish scenario to me because it means we are less likely to see a huge selling pressure if this trend continues.
The first hurdle, daily timeframe, is cleared as most technical indicators turne bullish and some indicators suggest a slightly overbought condition, which indicates the potential short-term pullback.
No divergence detected which further validates the current trend.
However, the lack of volume on the daily timeframe is a little bit concerning though.
The ideal scenario for bulls is to end the weekly candle on the high volume above the vertical trendline.
I see a lot of confluence around 8450 on the daily timeframe and I expect bulls to defend this lvl.
Overall, I believe the successful defense by bulls at 6.5k and 7.7k has turned the tide of the battle and, bulls will continue to have the upper hand as long as BTC stays above 8k.
BITCOIN - Market Cycle - Part 11Hello Everyone,
Currently, BTC is hanging just above the $7,100 marker as the Americans markets get advanced. Trading volume has been steadily decreasing across major trading pairs, including BTC/USD and ETH/BTC, signaling incoming decision time.
After BTC makes a significant movement (regardless of whether the move was up/down), it typically needs to hold momentum. Without doing so, history has shown us is that *down* is the way we go.
At current, BTC and the rest of the crypto market are fighting against a souring Chinese narrative being spun and promulgated by media outlets worldwide. Nevermind that China is bullish on blockchain, what the market is latching onto ever more tightly is the message that the world's most populous country is anti-crypto.
That wouldn't matter much if the rest of the world were up to the task of carrying the market, but so far, no one has stepped up to the plate.
So, what happens next?
$3 Billion Exit Scam Suppressing the Market?
Until CoinTelegraph broke the news about PlusToken, a $3 billion exit scam that mostly took place in Asia, few Westerners knew of the story.
To make a long story short, PlusToken, a purported crypto investment platform and wallet, scammed about $3 billion worth of BTC, ETH, and EOS from predominantly Chinese and South Korean investors.
Few inroads have been made regarding the whereabouts of PlusToken's founders after they disappeared in June of this year. A handful of blockchain analysis firms of vaguely concluded that vast sums of crypto from wallets associated with PlusToken may be suppressing market prices with shuffled digital assets.
Crypto Twitter Remains Largely Bullish, but Some Disagree, believes that the market is due for at least another leg down. The case for a drop to the low $6,000s before finding a bottom sometime in January 2020.
A large drop to the $6K region will likely be preceded by a smaller step down to $7K flat, which is ominously looming just below the market's current standing.
Others, including famed trader Peter Brandt, see strength in BTC's current position, with Bloomberg's crypto outfit even speculating that short term prices may head above $8K.
As always, time will tell.
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Have we all been looking at the wrong BTC chart?A glimmer of home in these bearish times. Whilst the bounce in late October came off the 200 weekly moving average in the BTCUSD charts, once we switch to the CME Bitcoin Futures chart (who promised to "tame" Bitcoin) it takes a different significance - with a direct bounce off the 200 daily moving average. All CME gaps (due to large weekend BTCUSD price movement being missed by CME when it is not open) eventually get filled, so do not underestimate the influence of CME Futures on BTC price movement. Incidentally, CME Bitcoin Futures still has a gap at $11695-11795 and history would dictate that one way or another we will revisit that area - even if only in a CME wick spiking up.
The CME daily 200MA is exactly where we struggled during the spring bull run, exactly where we found strong support in October, and it just happens to be exactly where we are right now.
Whilst most other technical analysis would suggest we are going to $6750 (then further down into the $5-6k range), if the CME daily 200MA holds it could well prove to be the support and excellent entry point of the next bullish move . Keep an eye on it.
Save crucial space on your Trading View chart by utilising the free RSI and StochRSI indicator which overlays both in a clear and helpful fashion. Add the essential 50, 100 and 200 moving average to your chart too.
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WHAT KIND OF WIZARDRY IS THIS!!!!!!!!!! For those waiting to buy when the CME's close, well they did that in style!
This is why you don't get too greedy on either end of a market cycle.
DCA BTC is the best option because sometimes tomorrow never comes.
Or like a thief in the night, your hopes and dreams go down the toilet and you get left behind only to FOMO later while you watch a market drive to your targets!
2 CME BTC FUTURES GAPS LEFT! 2 Bitcoin Futures Gaps Left @ $7,200 from May 2019 & $11,900 from August 2019.
One gap was filled today at $8,500. This came after the Bitfinex news today.
Also, Tether broke a record at $ 4,149,115,121.00 It was just $2 Billion in April 2019 !!
Noteable mention: Bakkt has been online for 2 days.
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE, THIS IS JUST MY OPINION.
-ADUMB-
UPDATE GAP's IN BITCOINHello ppl! I come to bring you the gaps formed in cme for Bitcoin, as we have noticed a long time ago, BTC usually boosts the price in some way until completing those of CME. then we could say that we still have a visit at 11750 but we also have pending visits downwards... ((even until 7174)).
On the other hand, chasing the idea of @excavo in the following graphic
we can even check with the gaps to corroborate these levels, for now it is a viable scenario to continue on that channel.
regards
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July 4th Action & CME Gaps to Fill July 4th Action & CME Gaps to Fill
Just a few quick thoughts about our current situation... as always not financial advice, DYOR, etc!
I think the chart write up mostly speaks for itself. Still a few CME gaps to close one above us @ 11,500-12000. I suspect we may end up in this area tomorrow.
Then on the 4th of July when CME is close we gap down. There are a few gaps below us the first one at 8500-8900, which I think we will test. Then there is another at 7200-7450 that was only partially filled.
There is a scalp long opportunity available for the near term followed by a contraction afterwards.
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