RBOB Gasoline Futures (Jan 2020) - Rectangle in formationNYMEX:RBF2020
Clear rectangle on the January Futures of the RBOB Gasoline.
A breakout could lead to an interesting trend to ride.
When trading commodities and futures contracts you should always take into account the specifications of each contract to calculate exactly how many contracts to buy or sell short on the basis of your risk management and position sizing.
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CME Bitcoin Futures downswing Fibonacci retraceContinuing from my previous chart. Fibonacci downswing retrace is always 61.8%
All vertical lines are the CME Bitcoin Futures expiry dates
Each orange vertical line, shows a CME date that was preceded by a bounce
Following those dates (orange), there is a short retest of the recent high
The price then drops all the way back down to test the start of that bounce
After testing the lower trendline, the downswing Fibonacci retrace is always 61.8% (to meet the upper trendline)
This cycle repeats until the price breaks down to a lower plateau trendline
Nasdaq 100 - If you're a BULL, this might be how it plays outNQ1! - Plenty of opportunity to capture points up and down. However, if your bias is to the upside, here is how it may end up playing out. In my opinion, what will be a last leg up before new LO's.
Yellow lines are areas of targets for resistance and support (as high as 6870). We may have already seen the support (6245) for higher moves put in on Friday, otherwise, a sightly lower level for support below (6170).
With that road-map in mind, I will look for entry patterns as opportunities to get in trades. As of late, taking 35-50 pts a clip. After I collect my profits, any continued move only serves as psychological compensation for being correct with the trade's direction. No FOMO here. Plenty of volatility to go around.
NQ LevelsNew market, old levels. I am finally dipping my toes in the traditional markets after I got a future account setup with AMP Futures .
Very Curious to see how the trusted TA from crypto will perform here.
The big distribution wedge I am talking about:
Big Trend obviously extremly bullish , would like to get a long entry at my yellow levels below.
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Keep the leverage low and dont get rekt.
Futures CME / 6C 03-18 / D6H2018 (CAD/USD)The best entry point to Buy
Futures CME / 6C 03-18 / D6H2018 (CAD/USD)
Chart 4 hours
Buy by Market = 0.77340
Stop Loss = 0.76885
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For those who have last worked Stop Loss,
You can go back to the position!
Buy by Market Futures on Canada (6C 03-18)
Gold Future (CME)Double Re-penetration Pattern. Trade setup with Buy Stop position (EP) at 1337.5, Stop Loss (SL) at 1333 and Take Profit (TP) at 1342.
Money Management
I have 22,800 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 5% of the port which is 1,140 USD.
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $100
1 Contract size need IM = $3,850 (I can open not more than $22,800 / $3,850 = 5.92 Cons)
It is 4.5 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 4.5 * $100 = $450
To lose 1,140 USD I need to open 1,140 / 450 = 2.53 Con
Then I will put 2 Contract
If I win, I will gain (1342 - 1337.5) * $100 * 2 Con = $900
Gold Future (CME)Turtle Soup. Trade setup with Buy Stop position (EP) at 1336, Stop Loss (SL) at 1329 and Take Profit (TP) at 1350.
Money Management
I have 22,800 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 5% of the port which is 1,140 USD.
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $100
1 Contract size need IM = $3,850 (I can open not more than $22,800 / $3,850 = 5.92 Cons)
It is 7 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 7 * $100 = $700
To lose 1,140 USD I need to open 1,140 / 700 = 1.62 Con
Then I will put 1 Contract
If I win, I will gain (1350 - 1336) * $100 * 1 Con = $1,400
GOLD FutureGold minor correction for uptrend. Trade setup with Buy Stop position (EP) at 1344, Stop Loss (SL) at 1329 and Take Profit (TP) at 1354.
Money Management
I have 20,800 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 10% of the port which is 2,080 USD.
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $100
1 Contract size need IM = $3,850 (I can open not more than $20,800 / $3,850 = 5.40 Cons)
It is 15 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 15 * $100 = $1,500
To lose 2,080 USD I need to open 2,080 / 1,500 = 1.38 Con
Then I will put 1 Contract
If I win, I will gain (1354 - 1344) * $100 * 1 Con = $1,000
GCJ2018Absorb Bear trend for Mega Bull trend. Minor correction. Trade setup with Buy Stop position (EP) at 1335, Stop Loss (SL) at 1320 and Take Profit (TP) at 1357.
Money Management
I have 20,800 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 10% of the port which is 2,080 USD.
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $100
1 Contract size need IM = $3,850 (I can open not more than $20,800 / $3,850 = 5.40 Cons)
It is 15 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 15 * $100 = $1,500
To lose 2,080 USD I need to open 2,080 / 1,500 = 1.38 Con
Then I will put 1 Contract
If I win, I will gain (1357 - 1335) * $100 * 1 Con = $2,200
Jamie Dimon 2.0 - BitcoinSept 13th - Jamie Dimon makes a public statement that Bitcoin is a fraud.
Price immediately plummeted 30% into the low $3000 range.
Oct. 31st - CME Futures Annoucement
Price rocketed ~220%; sending us to our current all time high just shy of $20k
Nov. 17th - CME Futures Launch
Immediate collapse of ~43% at the time this article is being written.
This was all predicted in my CME Conspiracy Theory here:
youtu.be
Now the question is, where is support?
Is $13,000 the new bottom?
or are we heading to the next support at 10k?
IF the daily closes above $13,000, I would expect a decent bounce none the less.
If the $13,000 level fails, I will close all positions/orders and wait for the next support level.
Which is appearing to be 10k atm.
Additional possible support levels are also shown on the chart above
IF history repeats itself and one of these two levels are truly the bottom.
Is another 550% possible?
Time will tell will story.
Please trade carefully.
note: I lost a great deal of money in this dip. I refused to follow my own technical analysis and it has cost me dearly.
Let my lesson reflect onto you. Do not let emotions get in the way. You cannot make the market do what you want. You must be dynamic and react accordingly.
I wish you all luck!
DISCLAIMER:
Please note I am only providing my own trading information for your benefit and insight to my trading techniques, you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal.