🛢️💡 CNX Resources (CNX) Strategic Initiatives 📈🚀Market Adaptation Strategy:
CNX partners with NuBlu Energy to innovate CNG and LNG production, enhancing efficiency and market reach, showcasing adaptability to natural gas dynamics.
Supply Management Approach:
To address oversupply, NYSE:CNX reduces production and delays activities, demonstrating strategic flexibility in response to market conditions.
Market Outlook:
Analysts anticipate natural gas price stabilization in Q1 2024, with seasonal demand upticks favoring CNX's stock.
Trade Projection:
Bullish stance above $21.00-$22.00.
Target price of $31.00-$32.00 reflects potential stock appreciation as CNX optimizes operations and market conditions improve.
📈🔍 Stay tuned for CNX's operational developments! #CNXResources #NaturalGasMarket 🌐📊
CNX
THE WEEK AHEAD: LYFT, UAL, MGM, DAL, CNX, SLV, GDXJEARNINGS:
LYFT (20/82/19.8%) announces earnings on Wednesday after the close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of Wednesday's New York session if you want to play the volatility contraction.
Pictured here is a directionally neutral 29/38 short strangle camped out at the 20 delta in the September monthly. Paying 1.26 as of Friday close, it has 27.74/39.26 break evens, which are wide of 2 times the expected move on the call side, but somewhat short of 2 times on the put side due to skew; delta/theta .25/3.58.
You'll have to go somewhat tighter (the 25 delta) to get one-third the width out of an iron condor, with the 27/30/37/40 iron condor paying .97; 29.03/37.97 break evens, which are at the expected move on both sides; delta/theta 2/1.31.
I've stuck on an UBER line just to show how LYFT's competitor did with its earnings in the coronavirus environment ... .
CSCO (28/36/8.4%) also announces, but has less than ideal metrics for a volatility contraction play.
EARNINGS AFTERGLOW:
There are a number of underlyings with earnings in the rear view that still have sufficient implied to potentially make them worthwhile just as pure premium selling plays. Here are a number of them, ranked by the percentage that the September at-the-money short straddle is paying relative to stock price and screened for those paying greater than 15%:
UAL: 20.8%
MGM: 17.7%
DAL: 17.7%
CNX: 17.6%
WYNN: 16.9%
PINS: 16.1%
ROKU: 16.0%
BYND: 15.8%
SNAP: 15.7%
BA: 15.3%
SQ: 15.2%
AMD: 15.1%
LUV: 15.1%
I may pick one or more of these if I have nothing better to do, keeping in mind correlations here (i.e., UAL, DAL, and LUV are all airlines; BA is airline-related).
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS, RANKED BY SEPTEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PRICE/STOCK PRICE RATIO AND SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY IMPLIED:
SLV (70/81/19.9%)
GDXJ (24/62/15.6%)
GDX (24/43/12.8%)
XOP (11/48/12.7%)
EWZ (18/43/11.2%)
Here, I've screened out those paying <10%. I'm in an August GDXJ play, but may re-up with a SLV, even though there is going to be some correlation with miners. The September 18th 20 delta 22/36 short strangle was paying 1.45 as of Friday close, with the 25 delta 20/23/33.5/36 iron condor paying .99. There is some massive call side skew to potentially accommodate here, so could see going "double double" (double the contracts on the put side, but double the width on the call).
Two Examples: September 18th 2 x 18/2 x 20.5/33/38 "double double" iron condor, paying .98 or September 18th 2 x 15.5/2 x 25.5/33.5/44 "double double", paying 1.30, the latter of which approaches the metrics of the naked short strangle.
BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS:
Most of the fun has bled out ... :
IWM (25/30/7.3%)
QQQ (25/28/7.2%)
EFA (17/21/4.8%)
SPY (15/22/5.1%)
CNXIT - Looks Range BoundIT Index weekly chart suggesting it may trade sideways for some time and it should hold 13000 levels on the weekly basis to continue the trend it started from 11000 levels
On the Basis of previous price action, I am expecting 13000 levels would act as good support and only the decisive Break of 13000 levels can take the index to 11000 levels.
CNX- forming Double top, get ready for ShortWith heavy insider selling & formation of Double top, CNX looks very good SHORT opportunity.
We are looking to get in current price around 13.5 with a Target of 9
On the Option side buy Jul16, 12 Put at $0.62 is very good with huge volume
for longer term looking for Oct16, 11 Put currently trading at $1.25
Nifty is Fresh & Hungry!Bearish Cypher [/b ]
...is setting up in Nifty
Long with caution:
Still one uncertainty... price could go a little lower before heading north and still be a valid pattern.
Fear Not Believe what one see and trade it.
@BLawrenceM
(My twitter name)
Music at work:
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