Coal
quick comparison of ASX coal companiesquick comparison of ASX coal companies
SMR Stanmore Coal
WHC Whitehaven Coal Ltd
NHC New Hope Corporation Ltd
DBI Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure Ltd
ERA Energy Resources of Australia Ltd
PDN Paladin Energy Ltd
YAL Yancoal Australia Ltd
TIG Tigers Realm Coal
EER East Energy Resources
Yancoal - a new "A"/H premium?Yancoal ASX:YAL is the largest pure-play coal miner in Australia. They have a secondary listing in Hong Kong HKEX:3668 .
The shares rank equally and pay largely the same net dividends (2021 Australian dividend was fully non-franked). So, they ought to trade at the same price.
Today, 3668 is trading at close to 10% discount.
4/17/22 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation ( NYSE:BTU )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Coal)
Market Capitalization: $4.499B
Current Price: $32.54
Breakout price: $32.70
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $29.45-$26.15
Price Target: $37.80-$39.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 66-68d
Contract of Interest: $BTU 6/17/22 35c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.85/contract
4/3/22 CEIXCONSOL Energy Inc. ( NYSE:CEIX )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Coal)
Market Capitalization: 1.350B
Current Price: $38.77
Breakout price (hold above): $38.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $36.35-$31.75
Price Target: $46.20-$47.80 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 49-52d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $CEIX 6/17/22 40c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.50/contract
$LUNAETHLUNAETH currently battling with big supply zone. Over all structure looks bullish
Not ready to push past this zone just yet. Looking for a little consolidation before another potential move higher.
If it take out this zone and backtested it LUNA is looking super bullish and the next target will the the ATH.
3/20/22 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation ( NYSE:BTU )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Coal)
Market Capitalization: $2.923B
Current Price: $21.88
Breakout price: $22.70
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $21.10-$19.40
Price Target: $26.60-$27.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 60-66d
Contract of Interest: $BTU 7/15/22 25c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.60/contract
USA Bans Imports of Russian Oil, Liquefied Natural Gas and CoalThis will be the start of a new trend in the energy sector..!
In 2022 EV makers has no chance to beat these old dogs..!
Do not forget at the right time even Lumber had beat Tesla's performance..!
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
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TECK - Teck ResourcesEARNINGS TOMORROW (2/24) - BMO
Stock is in a healthy bull after breaking out of a 3-month base. Coiling nicely, showing tremendous relative strength. Trying to catch a price expansion through key level.
Earnings are tremendous and accelerating in 6 consecutive quarters, on a YoY and QoQ basis.
2/9/22 CEIXCONSOL Energy Inc. ( NYSE:CEIX )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Coal)
Market Capitalization: 1.004B
Current Price: $29.13
Breakout price: $29.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $26.95-$24.05
Price Target: $32.50-$32.80 (1st), $36.20-$37.40 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 22-25d (1st), 41-46d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $CEIX 3/18/22 25c, $CEIX 6/17/22 30c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.90/contract, $3.80/contract
BTU King Coal bullish setup with ER this weekBTU Peabody Energy Corp weekly nice bullish set up :
-Bull Flag
-Cupping base
-MACD cross confluence
-RSI curl
-9/21EMA cross
With good ER numbers this looks primed to rocket. Conversely, given the overall market a miss could send this back down to $8 zone. However Coal and Energy market showing some resilience amongst a lot of red.
I'm long APR $12 calls
Global Demand for Coal Is Expected to Be LingerConsol Energy, which I wrote about in the beginning of October, has not only risen above its all-time high at $28.27, as I was expecting, but also gained even more than 30% jumping to $36.23. Shares of the coal producer were rising within the upward channel rooted on April 30 and the upper margin crossing $29.40.
A breakthrough of the price above the upper margin gave Consol Energy stocks an additional boost to the new target area of $36.00-36.20. Also, a convergence on several oscillators between the highs of October 11 and October 18 has emerged forming a reversal pattern “Double Tops”, which has prompted a correction.
As for now Consol Energy shares have met their correction targets, and dived below the 7-month upside trend, at least the EMA13 and EMA21 moving averages on the daily timeframe are still above the price that indicates a downward pressure.
So, how deep might a further correction reach since stocks have made a 50% correction already? I see two major scenarios.
According to the first scenario prices may experience a strong decline considering the “Head and shoulders” pattern that is being formed on the chart. It is visible on daily and weekly timeframe charts with a 50% on Fibonacci retracement acting like a neckline, even it is pitched down. However, to finally confirm this pattern we need the price to hold below $21.50 per share. If this is confirmed, we will have a significant correction potential of 80-100% of the “Head” height that leads us to a long-term price target at $10.00-10.50.
The second scenario considers the “Hound of Baskervilles” trend continuation formation appearance after failure of the “Head and Shoulders”, “Reversed Head and shoulders” and “Diamond” patterns-like formation. The first signal for this scenario would be a continuation of rising prices after an existing correction breaking through the second “shoulder” top at $25.95. At this point the second “shoulder” is not complete and would be completed and confirmed only after reaching the $21.50 landmark.
I would suggest the first scenario would not be the one I would bet on as the demand for coal is strong ahead of the winter season.
According to New Hope Corp., a large Australian coal exporter, the demand for coal will remain strong for at least two more decades even considering the fact that countries around the globe are moving towards decarbonisation. Moreover, the company suggests that the demand for coal in India, Vietnam and Japan would exceed the supply in the coming quarter.
4hr VIX BowlHere's a potential path ahead for the VIX indicator in the shape of the handle on a cup which began being built back in early May 21' (as shown in the graph below.
$SPX overbought with a strong negative RSI divergence.
My intial target is the 24 - 26.5 range, but if it were to break out I might reassess.
Aussie to find support again soon !!!Aussie dollar completed 5 waves clearly and now we are looking to see a pullback on this pair however the pullback is corrective.
i am looking to long the pair again when revisiting previous wave 4 that means near 0.7330.
the Aussie is outperforming all the other currencies and that is because of the rise in Coal prices bcz of inflation and Australia is on of the best countries of exporting Coal to Asia.
Coal India - Not yet there. Wait & Watch out! Its getting thereCoal India Ltd.
Not a lot to say, but for those who are stuck at top.. don't loose hope.. Time is coming.
Wether it will start a new and and its first Bullish structure or just a corrective one, that time will tell. However one thing is for sure. It will reverse and rebound for sure.