Coffee
COFFEE FUTURES - Wake up and smell the coffeeCOFFEE holded the support area of ~109.20-109.50 and made a pullback breaking the trendline (marked green on chart).
However the bulls seem to be sleepy so I believe the trend continues to be bearish and we have to monitor how price will react to make our decision.
Personally I'm considering a short position around the area marked on the chart.
Potential profit to blue line which is the next support area.
So as mentioned on the chart we monitor price and have our finger on the trigger.
Good luck traders.
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become better at trading commodities.
The decline is not done yet. ExplainedCoffee reached our target at 120. However, there is still no signal the decline is done and we want to follow the trend. The support is broken and it makes me believe there is a big chance we can see a retest of important support/resistance near 104. So, if you still hold your shorts, consider adding trailing stops and let the good time roll.
Trend change is coming. Potential entries and targetsThe COT report is bearish, the seasonal tendency is to the downside. We have a divergence in the 4h chart. So, where do we sell? I think breaking below Thursday's low or formation of lower high would be good entries. 120 has been an important level for Coffee. It has to be tested again and it is our swing target.
COFFEE - Short (again)I was stopped out on that last attempt but the technical picture is getting stronger! I have re-entered.
note: this is end of day data, that's why the profit/loss tool is in the particular place it is. Current price as I post this.
This is a scalp, a little less than 2:1 RR
I will most likely be out by that 50% Fib, my fav location. Quick to break even, quick to take profits, loads of Bullishness in this futures contract.
Happy Trading!
Copper Tesla Coffee8.13.20 I reviewed a few markets including copper, Tesla, coffee, and if you equity markets that I am no longer going to follow as I am cleaning up my watchlist. The discussion is mostly about trading dynamics and how to manage losing trades when it's likely they will give you a second chance to exit a trade.
Coffee price goes DOWN
Hi! In my point of view we saw a long side movement, than a breakout. The shooting star appeared in a daily chart and even the confirmation arrived with the next day candle. Even a weakly chart shows a shooting star. Normally since the big top price (289) the things have been changed. Aug and sept are negative months. Oct is the comeback. Even the Corona news getting worst which confirms the turnback. Regarding the rules, evry correction takes at least 3 candles but it can takes 3-6 weeks. So on Monday we will see a price around 115.5 than bouncing back around the 120 area than goes down until 102, maybe 98 than the 6.5 weeks period is over ( the actual month will be October as well) so a new Long will come again.
COFFEE - Short Scalp. I have been discussing this for over a month, the long anyways....price is starting to hit resistance. I think it will break but should retrace before doing so.
This is my trade idea.
Tried some ghost price action...ominous.
US Coffee futures ( KC1!) - stay short for C wave US Coffee futures ( KC1!) has completed ABC zigzag up side where C wave was extended impulse.
It dropped in wave A in 15 min time frame, so get in to sell trade in B wave near 124.25, with stops above invalidation level above 127.50 for target of C wave down up to 116.50, which is the 4th wave zone of internal wave of C previous wave of Up cycle.
KC 6/29 ReviewCoffee finally seeing a breakout after spending most of June in a range. Sept. contracts finally seeing a close, albeit a small one, above the 100 mark. Temps in Brazil, along with some chatter about a frost, boosted prices today. Shipping delays are helping provide some near-term support as well. From a technical standpoint, prices closed almost right at the 34-day MA. Today's resistance also coincided with the 23.6% retracement off the March 26 break high / June lows. The shorter 9-day MA, which was flat over the last week, has started to turn higher as well which is supportive for an upward trend. Overall, fundamentals are giving a bullish tilt to prices here as frost concerns have historically been the catalyst for further upside. A close above 103 points to a retest of the 38.2% retracement at 108.45.
Long position on CoffeeCoffee is now at importat support on level 95 USD. MACD looks bullish. It's time to right arm of inverted head and shoulders with target 105 USD?
COFFEE IS ON BUY ALL MONEY INTHE STORY OF THE COFFEE IS FACIANATING.
A HUGE VOLUME OF BUYERS ARE IN THE MARKET NO SIGNE OF DOWN EFFECT.
COFFEE FUTURES (KC1!) Monthly, Weekly, DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
Trades made when the monthly, weekly and daily arrows are pointing in the same direction are the most profitable.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
Commodities Uptrend Incoming? | CRB Commodity Index ($TRJEFFCRB)✨ Drop a comment asking for an update, we do NEW setups every day! ✨
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Commodities have rallied into resistance. We are currently looking for a pullback to the last support range. To chart this we are looking at the Thomson Reuters/CoreCommodity CRB Commodity Index (TRJEFFCRB), which is an index comprised of 19 commodities: aluminum, cocoa, coffee, copper, corn, cotton, crude oil, gold, heating oil, Lean Hogs, live cattle, natural gas, nickel, orange juice, silver, soybeans, sugar, unleaded gas, and wheat.
For those who want to trade the price action, one could take a position with Commodities ETFs like Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC) and First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strat ETF (FTGC). With that said, we aren't trading this one, we are just looking at levels.
Although the trend is still bearish overall, it is interesting to see commodities trending up to resistance as money is being created by central banks. It is a longstanding economic theory that inflation should cause an increase in the price of commoidites, and that commodity price increases are a leading indicator of inflation.
While the correlation between commodities and money printing hasn't been noticeable in recent years, COVID-19 has changed things up a bit and it'll be interesting to see if old trends repeat or new trends emerge (consider things like recent meat processing issues increasing the cost of meat, and the recent temporary drop in the price of oil to zero).
Although the trend is currently bearish, we are only looking levels of interest. We see two relevant support levels, S1 and S2. S1 would be of particular interest if commodities were going to officially start trending up. If we do get more upside, R1 and R2 are both levels to watch. R2 specifically represents the bottom of the previous range before COVID, and seems like a logical target in an uptrend.
To sum it all up, tracking commodities can help us to make profitable trades, either on specific commodities or baskets of commodities via ETFs like the ones noted above, but it is also academically interesting.
Could a spike in commodities prices now signal coming inflation from an increase of the money supply? Should we be filling our freezer with OJ and beef to avoid higher prices in the near future? Or, should we just be looking for bullish continuation or bearish consolidation to help us find a nice setup on oil, coffee, and gold?
Resource: mises.org + www.investopedia.com
