Get started

Coffee_analysis

Technical Outlook for the Coffee Market, backed by fundamentals.Fundamentals: The coffee Market has been in a strong bullish trend ever since a frost hit the brazil coffee belt in July / August 2021, followed by a period of drought. This left the world´s biggest producer of Arabica coffee with huge productivity losses for the 2021/2022 crop. That results in a really tight Arabica balance sheet for 2022, which could get worse through re-openings of coffee-to-go shops after Covid-19 lockdowns. The tense global logistic situation with low vessel space, exploding freight rates and shortage of containers and truckers is fuel to the already burning fire of less coffee supply than demand. What can be examined from this is, that roasters tap into certified coffee inventories drowning them to 10-year lows, an extremely bullish factor ever since. Technicals: Prices stay in an uptrend channel, that can be divided into a major channel and two minor ones. The structure stayed between those two lines while completing several Elliott-Waves. After a new ABC correction from the 160,00 cts high, prices could start a new 5-Wave up to test the upper line of the major channel at ~175,50 cts. The certified inventories sliding below the magical number of 1 million bags would support this move. Certified Coffee Inventory bilderupload.org Chart
ICEUS:KC2!Long
by JordanLong
Coffee Can Become Cheaper - Reaching Reversal FCP ZoneTraders, Coffee like other commodities has been on a huge run this year. But now it has reached a point of pause, correction and possibly reversal too. So coffee futures can fall down from the FCP zone. Wait for a confirmation as the market has been trending hard upwards. Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by vikinsa
4
Expect the price of your cup of coffee to increase. We have both technical and fundamental justifications as to why coffee is the next inflationary trade to jump into. With supply chain issues and the seasonal changes in Brazil affecting coffee production and shipping, we can expect the value of the black breakfast gold to rise. Latin American coffee farmers are also reported to have gone on strike in the last few months to demand better prices for their produce as they are barely turning a profit. Technical wise, the symmetrical triangle break shows us the fundamentals are playing out on the charts.
CLong
by FuturaFi
Stocks drop and rising interest rates Commodities set to rise!As the stocks correct by 10% or more, I believe that the coming commodity bull market is set to come very early. The second factor for a commodity bull market is the rising interest rates. This is very bad for stocks, growth stocks especially as they cannot borrow more money to grow their company. The third and a bit smaller factor is that the dxy is rising and if the dollar rises, the stocks fall and then commodities rise. This is a hot new market to look for here. Warning2 I am not a financial adviser and take this with a grain of salt. Happy trading!
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by informalStar16695
1
COFFEE REVERSE H&S PATTERN| TRADING PLAN| COFFEE has reached a confluence of strong support lines, so I am looking for a long opportunity. Now, we can see that there has been a breakout of the downwards channel resistance upwards This breakout was also a breakout of the neckline of the reverse head and shoulders pattern. Now, we are waiting for the 4h candle to close ABOVE the neckline and we are going long from the pullback. Sl below the right shoulder high. Two take level are the two resistance levels that you can see on the chart. Thank you for watching, like and subscribe so that you never miss a new video! See you next time!
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by ProSignalsFx
1
COFFEE - Possible "coffee break" aheadCoffee is back around the price of the beginning of the month. Since OCT 2 we have a shy uptrend forming for coffee’s standards, in the 4h time frame (TF). The price went up from its lowest of the current month and $104.90 to $113.35 (+8.04%) on OCT 12 and $111.70 (+6.45%) today so far. The trend on the Higher TFs is still bearish and technically this is where are now. We have some indications suggesting that we might be in front of a total reversal for the price of Coffee. There are: 1) Higher lows since OCT 2 2) at the 4h TF since OCT 9 from the 10 bars 8 of them are above the 50MA 3) we had two major tests (and rejections) for price to break above two week resistance 4) we expect the price to reach at some point soon the monthly Fib 0.382 level Against the above are the latest data from the COT report of OCT 6 where hedge funds closed 3.207 positions and opened 4.219 bringing the Net Long positions to 47.505 from 54.931 the previous week. Of course we still don’t know what their positions are for the current week. So what we make out of all this. To put it in simple terms with what I know so far the longer the price remains above the 50MA the more the chances of it breaking the $112 and move towards the Fib 0.382. The “Decision lvl” is where the two weeks resistance meets the blue trendline. Break it and we buy. If on the other hand price breaks below the green trend line and the 20MA then we might be looking for more to the down. Good luck traders Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become a better trader.
ICEUS:KC1!
by A_Bouras
4