Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (21st January 2022)Bitcoin formed a new low at 37 683.90 USD, shy just 183.90 USD of our latest price target. We continue to be bearish as technical factors suggest more trouble ahead for BTCUSD. We expect weakness in the general stock market to drag lower prices of cryptocurrencies with it. Additionally, we think rotation out of the cryptocurrency sector into the precious metals sector will take place. Our latest medium-term price target was changed to short-term price target which stands at 37 500 USD. Our new medium-term price target is 35 000 USD.
Illustration 1.01
We presented this chart formation on 6th January 2022. We noted that once the neckline was penetrated to the downside then the downtrend would unravel below it. Since then price dropped more than 13%.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI reached an oversold condition which signals caution. However, no divergence between previous bearish crossover and the current one is present. MACD remains in the bearish territory and points to the downside. Stochastic is also bearish. DM+ and DM- show that same condition with ADX suggesting that the current trend is extremely strong. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Picture above shows the monthly chart of Bitcoin. It also shows bearish developments in RSI, MACD and Stochastic taking place. This is particularly menacing as up until now only the daily and the weekly time frames were completely bearish. Now the monthly time frame joins them.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. Same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX grows which started to increase which suggests that the bearish trend of higher degree is gaining strength. Moving averages are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Support and resistance
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Coins
Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (11th January 2022)Bitcoin fell below 40 000 USD and reached our latest short-term price target. Additionally, it reached an oversold condition which made us reassess our views. We think a price bounce from its current level towards 46 000 USD is very likely. However, we are very cautious and expect the downtrend to resume after retracement is completed. Though, we are open to change our view as time goes forward. Our medium-term price target of 37 500 USD remains unchanged.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI reversed after reaching oversold condition; indeed, it performed a bullish crossover above 30 points. MACD started to flatten. However, it remains in the bearish area. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish zone too but it managed to reverse to the upside which is bullish. DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions with ADX peaking. Overall, the daily time frame is less bearish than in the time of our last update on BTCUSD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows 20-day Simple Moving Average (blue line). We expect price to retrace towards its 20-day SMA (as it is natural for price to retrace towards its moving average after it deviated too far from it) which coincides with price level near 46 000 USD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is bearish too and we will observe it in the following weeks. We will watch whether it manages to break below 0 points into the bearish area. We expect such a phenomenon to be accompanied by resumption of the downtrend. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to flatten. This suggests that price might end up trading within a certain range before a new trend commences (or prior bearish trend resumes). Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Support and resistance
Immediate support/resistance can be found at 41 967 USD. Support 1 sits at 39 573 USD and Support 2 lies at 37 300 USD. Major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 45 478 USD. Resistance 1 lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 2 sits at 52 956 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (5th January 2022)Bitcoin trades slightly above 46 000 USD and we continue to maintain bearish notion on it. Our short-term price target of 42 500 USD remains in place.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bearish. MACD flattened out before crossing above 0 points which is also bearish. Stochastic is bearish too. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions. ADX started to flatten; and it seems as if it would want to start increasing again. In such a case, that would suggest that the bearish trend is still present and regaining strength.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a recent false breakout (from pattern resembling falling wedge) to the upside and its full retracement. Now we will observe whether BTCUSD manages to break below short-term support and subsequently make a new low.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bearish. MACD and Stochastic are also bearish. DM+ and DM- exhibit bearish conditions. ADX is relatively low which coincides with BTCUSD trading sideways prior to bearish breakout from the neutral zone.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows head and shoulders pattern being formed. We will observe whether Bitcoin manages to break below the neckline which would be extremely bearish for BTCUSD.
Support and resistance
Short-term support lies at 45 478 USD. Support 1 can be found at 41 967 USD and the major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 1 sits at 52 956 USD. Neutral zone appears between the short-term resistance and Resistance 1.
Our previous idea on BTCUSD from 30th December 2021:
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (6th January 2022)Bitcoin reached our short-term price target of 42 500 USD yesterday. We continue to maintain a bearish stance on Bitcoin and we expect selling pressure to be persistent. Our view is supported by bearish technical and fundamental factors. We view hawkish minutes by the FED as very bearish for the whole cryptocurrency market. Faster pace of tightening and increase in interest rates in the U.S. poses substantial threat for further rise in price of cryptocurrencies. This combined with bearish indicators on daily, weekly and monthly time frames suggest that trend remains to the downside and because of that we would like to set a new short-term price target for BTCUSD to 40 000 USD. Additionally, we would like to set a medium-term price target for BTCUSD to 37 500 USD.
(If you want to understand how we got to this conclusion, read attached articles from 16th November 2021, 13th December 2021 and 5th January 2022)
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a head and shoulders pattern which got confirmed as the price dropped to 42 413 USD. This is extremely bearish and we will observe price action very closely in the following days. We will watch whether BTCUSD manages to stay below the neckline or whether it retraces back above it. If Bitcoin manages to retrace back above the neckline, then we expect price to bounce towards 46 000 USD price tag before dropping lower.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. DM + and DM- show bearish conditions. ADX continues to increase which suggests that the bearish trend is regaining strength. We will watch out for RSI crossover below 30 points which we expect to be accompanied by further selling pressure that will ultimately drag BTCUSD below 40 000 USD.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of RSI (of BTCUSD) that is due to perform a crossover below 30 points. Such an occurrence would be very bearish for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bearish. MACD and Stochastic are also bearish. DM+ and DM- exhibit bearish conditions. ADX is relatively low which coincides with BTCUSD trading sideways prior to bearish breakout from the neutral zone.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows particular support and resistance levels.
Support and resistance
Short-term support can be found at 41 967 USD. Support 1 sits at 39 573 USD and major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 45 478 USD. Resistance 1 lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 2 sits at 52 956 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (7th January 2022)Bitcoin's recent drop to 40 938 USD indicates continuation of the bearish trend. This view is also supported by a bearish combination of fundamental and technical factors. During its recent drop BTCUSD broke below the key technical support at 41 967 USD; and, at the same time, it broke below the neckline of head and shoulders pattern. These two instances are very bearish for Bitcoin. We continue to maintain a bearish stance on the overall cryptocurrency market. Indeed, we expect selling pressure to be persistent which will result in Bitcoin moving lower from its current level. Our short-term price target for BTCUSD remains at 40 000 USD; and our medium-term price target is at 37 500 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a bearish breakout below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. We previously noted that this occurrence would be followed by heavy selling pressure.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bearish; and we continue to await its crossover below the 30 points. Additionally, we expect this phenomenon to be accompanied by heavy selling pressure that will drag Bitcoin below the 40 000 USD price tag. MACD is also bearish. Stochastic reversed to the upside, however, it continues to oscillate in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market; and ADX strives to make another peak in tandem with our expectations. This indicates that the bearish trend is regaining strength. Overall, technical analysis on a daily time frame is very bearish and signals lower prices for Bitcoin.
Illustration 1.02
Picture above shows the daily RSI of BTCUSD. We expect crossover below the 30 points as indicated by the yellow arrow.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic all remain bearish. DM+ and DM- show that same condition. ADX started to flatten from its previous decline.
Support and resistance
Short-term support can be found at 41 967 USD. Support 1 sits at 39 573 USD and Support 2 lies at 37 300 USD. Major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 45 478 USD. Resistance 1 lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 2 sits at 52 956 USD.
(If you want to understand how we got to this conclusion, please read attached articles from 16th November 2021, 13th December 2021 and 5th January 2022)
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (18th December 2021)We continue to maintain a bearish view on Bitcoin as it continues to trade below the neutral zone. Since Bitcoin's rebound from its recent low at 41 967.50 USD on 4th December 2021 Bitcoin continues to make lower troughs and lower peaks which is indicative of the bearish trend. We expect an eventual retest of 41 967.50 USD price level and possible continuation of the bearish trend. We think that higher interest rates in the U.S. combined with constriction of money supply present a substantial threat to further rise of BTCUSD in the short-term and medium-term. Because of that we would like to set a short-term price target for BTCUSD to 42 500 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows particular troughs and peaks.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
So far RSI failed to cross below 30 points; however, its structure remains bearish. Stochastic is also bearish. MACD is bearish too; DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions. ADX contains high value; and it continues to grow which suggests that the prevailing trend is either getting very strong or it nears its peak. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic and MACD continue to develop bearish structures. DM+ and DM- are also bearish. ADX contains relatively low value which suggests that trend of higher degree is weak. In general, the weekly time frame is bearish which coincides with bearish daily time frame.
Illustration 1.02
We think that drop in price below recent low would result in extremely bearish conditions for BTCUSD.
Support and resistance
Major support level is at 28 600 USD while major resistance level is at 69 000 USD. Short-term resistance is at 48 834 USD while medium-term resistance lies at 52 956 USD. Between these two price levels lies the neutral zone. Other resistance levels appear at 59 564 USD and then at 64 895 USD. Other support levels can be found at 42 900 USD and at 37 573 USD. Additionally, support level can be also found at recent low of 41 967 USD.
Our bold predictions from the past:
16th November 2021
Here we predicted double top formation and subsequent meltdown in price.
26th November 2021
Here we layed out case for even more bearish scenario for BTCUSD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (30th December 2021)Recently a bullish breakout from the pattern resembling falling wedge occurred. However, price halted its rise at 52 098 USD; then price retracted back below the lower bound of the neutral zone. This lower bound continues to gain importance as bearish breakouts and retracements continue to occur along it. We will observe price action near this price level and we will watch out whether price manages to rise back above it or continue its decline. At the moment, we continue to maintain a bearish notion on BTCUSD. We still expect an eventual retest of 41 967 USD price level. Our short-term price target of 42 500 USD for BTCUSD remains in place.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a pattern resembling a falling wedge. Additionally, this chart exhibits bullish breakout followed by exhaustion and bearish retracement in price.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI halted its rise slightly above 50 points. After that it reversed its direction to the downside which is bearish. Stochastic also reversed back to the downside and turned bearish. MACD started to flatten and its histogram started to decline. ADX still contains relatively high value but it continues to gradually decline. However, it is possible that ADX may go for a second lower peak (lower than one which was reached on 20th December 2021), especially if selling pressure returns. DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions. Overall, the daily time frame exhibits bearish conditions for BTCUSD.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.03 shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also indicates a series of bearish breakouts below the neutral zone.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic continue to develop bearish medium-term structures. Additionally, DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains a relatively low value which suggests that the prevailing trend remains neutral. Because of that BTCUSD allows for two possible trade setups with long position being taken above the Resistance 2 (with stop-loss below it) and short position being taken below the Resistance 1 (with stop-loss above it).
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also indicates values at some of the recent peaks in BTCUSD.
Support and resistance
Major support level is at 28 600 USD; major resistance level is at 69 000 USD. Short-term resistance (Resistance 1) is at 48 834 USD, while medium-term resistance (Resistance 2) lies at 52 956 USD. Between these two price levels lies the neutral zone. BTCUSD enters bearish conditions below it and bullish conditions above it. Other resistance levels appear at 59 564 USD and at 64 895 USD. Other support levels can be found at 42 900 USD and at 37 573 USD. Additionally, support level can be also found at recent low of 41 967 USD.
Illustration 1.04
In our opinion if BTCUSD breaks below the recent low at 41 967 USD then conditions will dramatically worsen for Bitcoin. However, we are open to reasses our bearish view if price manages to hold within the neutral zone and then break out above it.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
LUNA USDT Chart Analysis with Price predictions Hey trades today I want to talk about LUNA CHART
Luna has been trading in ascending channel for the last month. It has been trading within the rising channel starting from late November making higher high and higher lows and finally broke out of the channel by making 15% pullback (correction) started a new rising channel within few days. Prices are pushed up with strong volume and RSI and Luna started to make new higher highs (new ATH ) and higher lows within this new rising channel and finally broke out of the channel 27 December.
In my opinion, it will continue to rise until the level of TARGET 1 and if it makes a correct and actual break, we will see the currency price towards TARGET 2 AND THEN ATH
This is an article, not financial advice, always do your own research.
If you have any questions, you can write it in comments below, and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your like and comment, thank you
BTC The Bearish Breakout!?What do we have here? Is there any pattern to follow?
We are currently looking at 3 patterns in 1H Time Frame.
1. Descending wedge tells us we are going up for breakout with $48,290 Take Profit (TP) target.
2. M Pattern / Double Top Pattern with $44,916 Target Profit.
3. Cup & Handle Pattern which is also bearish. With the handle insight, first TP will be $46,057.8, and the second TP will be $45,088.7 thanks for the hint from the Cup.
Nonetheless we are still looking at a smaller time frame which can still be affected by bigger time frame.
We will wait when the volume kicks in and know where it is going. as the Europe market open and the US market open it will bring more volatility in the market.
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Disclaimer: Above technical analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Crypto 2022
The 2021 year has passed.
In one picture, the results with the % growth of the year.
It is all behind us now - history. We are unlikely to see the same top-list next year. So we need to concentrate on the potential projects to get a comparable result.
I love my community. I'm sharing my top picks for 2022.
No Big Caps
Wallet
$TGT - twitter.com
$XDEFI - twitter.com
$BRD - twitter.com
Digital credentials
$KILT - twitter.com
$CHEQ - twitter.com
Privacy
$SCRT - twitter.com
$NYM - twitter.com
$ZKP - twitter.com
$KMA - twitter.com
$CCX - twitter.com
$BEAM & $BEAMX - twitter.com
AMM & DEX
$GNS - twitter.com
$SPHRI - twitter.com
$XFIT - twitter.com
$HFT - twitter.com
$WANNA - twitter.com
Cross-chain bridge
$RELAY - twitter.com
$ABR - twitter.com
NO TOKEN yet live twitter.com
DeFi Investment Banking & Savings
$NORD - twitter.com
$UMEE - twitter.com
$YEL - twitter.com
$ICE - twitter.com
$TIME - twitter.com
$FOX - twitter.com
$PARA - twitter.com
$SKU - twitter.com
$KAR - twitter.com
Liquidity
$ROSE twitter.com
$RUNE twitter.com
$VADER twitter.com
$SIS twitter.com
$BSX twitter.com
$BFC twitter.com
Lending & Borrowing
$GEIST twitter.com
$MPL twitter.com
$SCREAM twitter.com
$OXY twitter.com
$WARP twitter.com
$SWING twitter.com
Yield Aggregator
$QUARTZ twitter.com
$IDLE twitter.com
$RVF twitter.com
$RBN twitter.com
$CHESS twitter.com
$STF twitter.com
Derivatives
$dYdX twitter.com
$VEGA twitter.com
twitter.com
twitter.com
Tokenization
$CFG & $AIR twitter.com
$COVAL twitter.com
$NAOS twitter.com
Coding
$ISP twitter.com
$CTSI twitter.com
$RAD twitter.com
$BEPRO twitter.com
$ASTR twitter.com
$XRD twitter.com
#Agoric
twitter.com
EVM
$AURORA twitter.com
$VLX twitter.com
$MOVR twitter.com
$SDN twitter.com
$GLMR twitter.com
$ACALA twitter.com
$CLV twitter.com
Layer 1
$MTRG twitter.com
$SAITO twitter.com
$QANX twitter.com
$TARA twitter.com
$CSPR twitter.com
$XRD twitter.com
$HTR twitter.com
$DUSK twitter.com
Layer 2
$BOBA twitter.com
$METIS twitter.com
$IMX twitter.com
$MUTE twitter.com
Stablecoins
$FXS twitter.com
$FLX twitter.com
$SILK twitter.com
$UXD twitter.com
$DJED twitter.com
$USDV twitter.com
Oracle
$LINK twitter.com
$API3 twitter.com
$KYL twitter.com
$UMB twitter.com
$LITH twitter.com
DATA
$OCEAN twitter.com
$MDT twitter.com
$SWASH twitter.com
$KYVE twitter.com
Storage & Computing
$FLUX twitter.com
$STACK twitter.com
$AKASH twitter.com
$ZCN twitter.com
$EPK twitter.com
$KHALA & $PHA twitter.com
AI services
$AGIX twitter.com
$SDAO twitter.com
$CQT twitter.com
$VAI twitter.com
Media Content
$COS twitter.com
$MLT twitter.com
$VRA twitter.com
$NUM twitter.com
Metaverse
$GF twitter.com
$MC twitter.com
$REAL twitter.com
$VR twitter.com
$MONA twitter.com
CEX
$WOO twitter.com
$LCX twitter.com
Best regards EXCAVO
Short Term Play 4- XBTUSDIntro: My name is Hugo, I am 25 years old and trading crypto currencies since late 2017. English is not my main language, however, I will try to explain everything brief and clear. Be aware that I am still in the learning curve. Every idea I post is not financial advice and is only meant for entertainment purposes only.
Max lev recommended: 3x
Goodluck,
Doctor Hugo
$BTC low risk high reward*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Wassup fellas! In our previous $BTC post we said that Bitcoin needed to reject the $48000-$49000 zone for there to be a strong sell off. We are still expecting this scenario to play out, but if it doesn't and $BTC rallies again then our trade will be stopped out at $50000.
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (8th December 2021)Bitcoin broke above 50 000 USD in tandem with our expectations of a bounce in price (which we expect to be short lived). Currently, BTCUSD trades around 50 500 USD price tag; simultaneously, it trades within the neutral zone depicted in the yellow background. At the moment, we continue to maintain a bearish stance on Bitcoin. We expect an eventual breakout below the neutral zone and resumption of downtrend. Breakout above the neutral zone would force us to reassess our bearish view.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI's bearish structure remains intact. We will observe RSI closely in the following days and we will look for possible crossover below 30 points. We expect such an occurrence to be accompanied by heavy selling pressure; MACD is bearish too as it remains in the bearish area below 0 points. Only Stochastic points in a bullish direction. Additionally, DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX continues to grow which suggests that the prevailing trend is strengthening (current bearish trend). Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Our expectations of crossover in RSI:
We need to closely watch RSI and whether it will manage to pierce 30 points to the downside. We expect such phenomenon to be very bearish for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. Additionally, DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX contains low value which suggests that the prevailing trend of higher degree (recent bull trend) is very weak. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Indeed, it coincides with conditions present in the daily time frame.
Support and resistance
Short-term support sits at 48 834 USD and short-term resistance lies at 52 956 USD. Between these two price levels lies the neutral zone. Major support level is at 28 600 USD while major resistance level is at 69 000 USD.
Other support and resistance levels
Other resistance levels appear at 59 564 USD and at 64 895 USD. Other support levels can be found at 42 900 USD and at 37 573 USD.
Other form of immediate support/resistance level derived from simple line:
Our bold predictions from the past:
Here we correctly predicted the double top formation. We also highlighted low volumes suggesting evaporation of new buyers at elevated prices. Subsequently, BTCUSD dropped over 39%.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
LONG DOGE FROM SPRINGThe Wyckoff Accumulation schematic and DOGE/USD price look very similar. We'll know really fast if this idea is invalidated because the schematic suggests very quick appreciation in price after the spring. Price has been rangebound for months and if I've learned anything about long accumulation ranges on meme coins its that they break upwards.
Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (4th December 2021)Recently, we correctly predicted the double top formation in its early stage while noting that Bitcoin was near its cyclical peak. Additionally, yesterday we warned investors about the imminent retest of a key technical level around 53 000 USD. Then overnight BTCUSD fell over 20% to as low as 41 967 USD. Since then the price retraced back to 47 800 USD. We continue to maintain a bearish stance on Bitcoin as we expect selling pressure to be persistent. However, it would not surprise us to see price retracement continue a little higher (and possibly above 50 000 USD) before falling again. Technical and fundamental analysis supports our bearish view. Crucial technical levels to watch are 48 834 USD, 42 900 USD and 39 573 USD. In the following weeks we will observe whether BTCUSD will manage to break below 39 573 USD and indicate continuation of the bearish trend.
Our bold predictions from recent past:
We warned about double top formation already on 16th November 2021.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI continues to develop bearish structure and it is due to perform crossover into the bearish zone. We expect such an occurrence to be accompanied by heavy selling pressure. MACD and Stochastic are also bearish. Additionally, DM+ and DM- are bearish too. ADX suggests that the bearish trend keeps strengthening. Overall, technical analysis on the daily time frame is very bearish and supports our bearish stance.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- show the same conditions as they performed bearish crossover recently. ADX remains low.
Support and resistance
Major resistance remains at 69 000 USD. Major support level is at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance is at 48 834 USD, then Resistance 1 is at 52 956 USD. Resistance 2 is at 59 564 USD. Resistance 3 is then at 64 895 USD. Support 1 is at 42 900 USD and Support 2 is at 39 573 USD.
Our recent popular idea from 16th November 2021:
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (26th November 2021)Today BTCUSD reached 55 000 USD in tandem with our expectations expressed in the previous 2 posts. Currently, it trades around 54 600 USD per coin. We continue to be bearish on Bitcoin as technical analysis continues to support this thesis. We think current weakness in the global markets will be persistent in the short-term. Additionally, we think that this weakness will be contagious to cryptocurrency markets and it will create headwinds for further rise in cryptocurrencies (in the short-term horizon). We think BTCUSD will continue lower and we expect it to test short-term support at 52 956 USD in the following days.
Our recent popular post from 16th November 2021:
Here we started to speculate about possible double top formation. We also expressed that volume was declining while price continued to climb higher. We noted that this pointed to evaporation of buyers at higher levels of prices. In our opinion, this foreshadowed subsequent drop in price (combined with other warning signs).
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic continue to evolve their bearish structure. DM+ and DM- show also bearish conditions. ADX exhibits growth which suggests that the bearish trend is strengthening. In general, a bearish time frame is extremely bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Divergence in RSI is clearly observable. This is a very bearish development. MACD is in the bullish area, however, it is flattening (and reversing to the downside). Similarly, Stochastic also started to point into bearish direction. ADX is very low which suggests the bullish trend of higher degree has lost its steam already. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Divergence in RSI on weekly time frame:
Divergence in MACD on weekly time frame:
Technical note
Synchronization in the bearish conditions between daily and weekly time frames suggests mounting trouble ahead for BTCUSD. We think BTCUSD is headed way lower and it will drag the rest of cryptocurrencies with it. We think investors should be very cautious in the following weeks.
Fundamental note
Hawkish narrative by the FED, additionally, supports bearish views for the cryptocurrency market. We think that decrease in quantitative easing combined with increase in interest rates will be detrimental to cryptocurrencies as purchasing power of the dollar will be rising. Further, we think prevailing irrationallity in the cryptocurrency markets (especially among lay and retail traders) combined with calls for extremely high prices such as BTC at 200k USD, 500k USD, etc., only shows how inflated this market is (at the moment).
Support and resistance
Major resistance level sits at all time high of 69 000 USD. Below that is Resistance 2 which sits at 64 895 USD (previous top). Resistance 1 appears even lower at 59 603 USD. Short-term support is at 52 956 USD. Then below that is Support 1 at 48 834 USD and Support 2 at 39 573 USD. Major support level lies at 28 600 USD (2021 low).
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TLMUSDT: Triangle - Long 🔥 1st Target 0.59 !After building a correction move as shown in the last analisys, TLM formed a strong triangle pattern in H4 time frime. The 1st measured target in the chart will be at 0,59. The overall goal for TLM at 0,87 is fully on track - we are trading on a bullish trend as well as the game "Alien Worlds" itself provides new attrative features, which will push the price up further.
GENERAL INFORMATION: . TLM is currently used in the game "Alien Worlds", and since a few weeks, they offered more profitable missions for their space ships. TLM is needed to proceed those missions. Expect a further demand for TLM in the next days and weeks, since it is used on those missions for staking with really good percentage rates. A further upmove from here is expected. 0,87 is considered the last significant high, which can be tested on that trend. You can follow me if you like, and I will post a new chart tomorrow for further technical insights. Best regards
IMPORTANT NOTE: If you are on a short-term trading plan, please set your STOP LOSS BELOW the triangle pattern. Around 0,37 on H4 candle close is recommended. On the other hand, As a long-term TLM investor, you can just buy and hold until your target is reached (time frame: months).
FOLLOW ME here on Tradingview if you like, sinceI will post a new TLMUSDT chart soon regarding further technical insights.
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