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SPX to dump 30% - 50% for Inflated Expectations in 2026I like to say the narrative follows the price . This was bound to happen after such an overheated year, couple years. Blame whomever you want, in the end its your wallet if you aren't ready to have your expectations met. Best case scenario, the breakout of macro is confirmed after the retest (blue arrows). Worst, more likely case, it smashes down to confirm a double bottom with a strong foundation to form a macro support. The sawtooth can provide opportunities for volatile scalps, but its gonna get gnarly I can already tell.
SP:SPXShort
by D4NKM4CH1N3
Can France’s Economy Defy Gravity?The CAC 40, France’s flagship stock index, showcases the nation’s economic strength, driven by global giants like LVMH and TotalEnergies. With their vast international presence, these multinational corporations provide the index with notable resilience, allowing it to endure domestic challenges. However, this apparent stability masks a deeper, more intricate reality. Beneath the surface, the French economy grapples with significant structural issues that could undermine its long-term success, making the CAC 40’s performance both a symbol of hope and a point of vulnerability. France confronts multiple internal pressures that threaten its economic stability. An aging population, with a median age of 40—among the highest in developed nations—shrinks the workforce, increasing the burden of healthcare and pension costs. Public debt, projected to hit 112% of GDP by 2027, restricts fiscal flexibility, while political instability, such as a recent government collapse, hampers essential reforms. Compounding these issues is the challenge of immigration. France’s immigrant population, particularly from Africa and the Middle East, faces difficulties integrating into a rigid labor market shaped by strict regulations and strong unions. This struggle limits the nation’s ability to leverage immigrant labor to offset workforce shortages while straining social unity, adding further complexity to France’s economic challenges. Looking forward, France’s economic future hangs in the balance. The CAC 40’s resilience offers a buffer, but lasting prosperity depends on tackling these entrenched problems—demographic decline, fiscal constraints, political gridlock, and the effective integration of immigrants. To maintain its global standing, France must pursue bold reforms and innovative solutions, a daunting task requiring determination and foresight. As the nation strives to reconcile its rich traditions with the demands of a modern economy, a critical question looms: can France overcome these obstacles to secure a thriving future? The outcome will resonate well beyond its borders, offering lessons for a watching world.
INDEX:CAC40Short
by UDIS_View
XAUUSD Gold to 4KTimeline is 6 months - 2 years The crash has already started. At some point everyone will start to sell thier treasury bonds, yields will go up proportionally to inflation until the dollar loses it's status as the global currency and dramatic measures are used to stop inflation resulting in stagflation and yield recovery. Else hyper inflation and the dollar is replaced entirely. I see the momentum indicators shifting in various markets. Below is a brief summary of each, relevant indicators/markets. see charts. US1YRBILLS WTI CRUDE SILVERUSD BONKCOIN TSLA
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mikhiavelli
3
TETHER (USDT) COLLAPSE IS IMMINENT! With the United States about to pass strict regulation regarding stablecoins, which includes a measure to insure "Robust transparency, audit and reporting requirements," Tether is absolutely doomed, as they have consistently refused to confirm a 1:1 peg to the USD through an independent, third-party audit, which in my book, is because they're not doing it. Something is fishy with Tether, and I would not be surprised if it has not maintained the 1:1 peg as it has claimed, but will soon be exposed as a fraud, and a ponzi scheme designed to benefit its owners at the expense of the general public. On April 9th, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) announced that: "This legislation develops two paths for stablecoin issuers. 1- The first path would be for depository institutions that would allow for both federal and state bank charter depository institutions to become stablecoin issuers after an approval process. 2- The other path would be for nondepository institutions that would give the federal government supervisory authority over the state nonbank institutions while preserving states as the primary functional regulator." This spells the end for Tether, and certain doom for any company whose business model relies upon it, such as: Exchanges, OTC desks, Trading Platforms and Wallets, Remittance Services and DEFI Platforms. You were warned! Don't get caught holding the bag!
COINBASE:USDTUSDShort
by MetaShackle
2
Warning! XRP looks like it's about to fall of a cliff!XRP has dropped below the bottom descending wedge trend line, and is now in very dangerous territory! If price fails to get back above the lower trend line, it looks like XRP will literally sh@t the bed, and fall off a cliff! If this is the case, we could see XRP in the lower .40's quicker than you think. Selling into the market by short's opening short positions, forced liquidations from spent long positions, and panic selling by investors/traders who bought in the mid .50's hoping for a rebound, may cause 'The Perfect Storm!' This will be very interesting to watch!
by MetaShackle
2
SMCI is pumped up to the stars on 100% pure speculation.SMCI - Super Micro Computer, Inc. has been on an absolutely incredible run for quite some time. However, the sheer amount of FOMO that has rushed into this stock has literally driven it to the moon on nothing but pure speculation. But that momentum is about to come to an abrupt end! Here soon, you're going to see the buying flip to selling as the shorts start to enter into massive short positions. As the price falls, stop after stop will be taken out in rapid succession, causing longs to panic and add to the selling... First, it will drip, then it will start to gush, then a spark will ignite, and within hours the whole shithouse will go up in flames! When this collapses, millionaires will be made in a matter of hours, and many longs will become bag-holders squared! Watch...
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by MetaShackle
4
Bitcoin UPDATE Hello guys. How are you doing? I hope you feel great and always be happy and successful. today, I want to talk about Bitcoin. It's an update and the expectation about the movement in Bitcoin. So, as I always said it's not financial advice. please just read and do based on your strategy. So, Let's go into details. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ I drew this Fibonacci channel a few months ago.do you remember that? what a fabulous reactions. You can find the bottom of Bitcoin easily. please draw it on BTCUSD. and the price must be on the line chart. after breaking line 1 (at the top of the first channel) the price changed the trend to complete the pull-bach to the top of the channel. I expect that the maximum of this movement will be 38300 and then reverse the trend again. But, if the price succeeds in closing above 38300 by a God Candle (a full candle without shadow at the top and the bottom) and the volume confirms this breakout, I believe that the price can go higher and the first target will be around 47000 and then 58000. but, it's just a scenario and I don't think the price succeed in closing above the 38300. by the way, I want to tell you something special. Every time the stochastic managed to touch the 70 level (and above) and then reverse on the monthly time frame, we had a huge drop. Please check it out at the below link. (Minimum 84%) And the consequence is that I expect the trend will reverse soon. That's my idea. and the market maker played this rule to import the money into this game. and burn it. please think about that carefully. and know that Opportunities in the market flow smoothly like a river. Please don’t forget to write your comments ✍️✍️ like 👍👍 and Share 👌👌 this vision with your friends. And Tell me do you agree with me or Not? Please don't hesitate to write your comments below. ❤️❤️ Wish you the best ❤️❤️ Sincerely Yours Ho3ein.mnD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Sticky-Stock
USDT.D (Full Chart Analysis-Long-Term)Hello Friends. How are you? Hope you always be happy and successful Today I want to talk about USDT.D in another words, I want to talk about the dominance of Tether. the situation is complicated. I want to check this item based on Ichimoku, channel line, and classic pattern. so, let's go into details. based on Ichimoku, the future cloud is getting green(positive) Tenkensen is above Kijunsen and it's a sign to prove us the chart is bullish. based on the Classic pattern, we have an Ascending Triangle. As you know it's a continuation pattern. and I expect this trend to continue. if dominance succeeds in breaking 8.21% and then 8.51%, the next target will be 9.45%. that's a border of a huge dropping in altcoins. if dominance is able to stabilize above 9.45%, everything will be changed and the main target of this movement will be 15% it means that you will see a lower low in all markets. And you should expect it to drop more than you think. it's my favorite theory. I think it will happen soon. let me check based on the channel line in the weekly time frame. As you can see, we are moving in an ascending channel. we had three hits at the top of the channel and four hits at the bottom of the channel. it means that this channel is validated. at this time we are moving around the midline. This move to the top of the channel is expected to be around 15%. If these three conditions occur, everything will be changed. and you can buy for example Bitcoin for around 9800-11500 USD for the first level. and maybe cheaper. sounds great. who doesn't like it? 🙏🙏 Please don’t forget to like 👍, follow ✌️, and share 👌 this analysis with your friends. Thank you so much for your attention and participation 🙏🙏 Sincerely Yours Ho3ein.mnD
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by Sticky-Stock
BTC.USD Monthly VisionHello Guys. How are you today? Let me say to Frankly, It's not financial advice. that is just a Vision of the market. that's all. ***************************** Today, I want to talk about Bitcoin in Monthly Time Frame. as you see, I used the Fibonacci channel. I remove other levels except 0 - 0.5 - 1 - 1.5 - 2 I want to introduce you to 0 as a low of the first channel. (Black Line) I want to introduce you to 0.5 as a Midline of the first channel. (Red Line) I want to introduce you 1 as a Top of the first channel. (Black Line) and so on. ***************************** I changed the candle stick to a line chart. So let's go into details. I drew by Fibonacci Channel and you see two red circles (as support zone) these circles are reactions to the Fibonacci channel, I expect the price to touch again the Fibonacci Channel around 22500 USD and if we lose this zone,10500-11500 USD will be the next support zone. And the 3rd Support zone will be the Blue circle zone. So, please watch the market, there is no money in the market. The situation is so complicated. I believe that we are in a recession and the U.S. government could NOT talk about the Recession because of China some reasons. I bet we will touch the second support zone around 10500-11500 USD and maybe we will touch 4300 USD. Who Knows!!! Please don’t forget to write your comments ✍️✍️ Like 👍👍 and Share 👌👌 this Vision with your friends. And Tell me do you agree with me or Not? By the way, please draw this Fib Channel on your chart, and after that change the price from Line-chart to Candle-Stick. You will see some amazing reactions. For example in Purple Circle 😜 Thank you so much in advance. Wish you Health and Wealth. Sincerely Yours Ho3ein.mnD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Sticky-Stock
MATIC Polygon Price Target after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook: FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices. Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure. Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks. Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment. Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market. Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply. Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market. Considering the above, my Price Target for MATIC Polygon is $0.41. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MShort
by TopgOptions
BIT BitDAO Price Target after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook: FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices. Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure. Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks. Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment. Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market. Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply. Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market. Considering the above, my Price Target for BIT BitDAO is $0.32. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BShort
by TopgOptions
ETH Ethereum Price Target after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook: FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices. Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure. Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks. Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment. Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market. Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply. Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market. Considering the above, my Price Target for ETH Ethereum is $1310. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Short
by TopgOptions
MSFT x BITCOIN Microsoft stock is in 13 years bull run. As human beings we all know that you can't run your whole life. There will be time when you can't run no more and you fell. The same I'm expecting with microsoft stock. But my question is: -will we see the same kind of price movement like we saw on bitcoin last bull run? I think that this is possible. Why? Because when investors will see that stock's price again gaining a momentum to the new ATH they will start feeling FOMO "I don't want to miss new ATH and high gains" . The same happened on bitcoin back in 2021. We all thought that we will see 100.000$ when we broke previous high but after taking out previous high we are dumping since then and a lot of buyers has been trapped in this fakeout above previous high. Be careful. As I said, we are in 13 years constant bull run. Stop expecting high returns from these prices where we are now because times are uncertaint.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Cognitiq
USDT Tether 82.45% of the reserves held in U.S. Treasury bonds !SIVB SVB Financial Group suffered the most severe bank run since Lehman Brothers for selling bonds at a $1.8Bil loss just to raise cash! They had one of the worst possible yields as well: 1.79. USDT Tether said on Dec 2nd, 2022, that its equity is expanding swiftly, with "82.45% of the reserves held in U.S. Treasury bonds and other cash equivalents." What yield do you think Tether has? I think we are about to witness USDT Tether`s collapse.
COINBASE:USDTUSDShort
by TopgOptions
XMR Potential Ban of anonymous crypto projects !If you haven`t sold XMR here: Then i will remind you that Monero (XMR) has gained popularity for its capacity to enhance user anonymity, making transactions challenging to trace through the utilization of stealth addresses. However, this aligns with a goal that regulators do not necessarily support in the cryptocurrency space. A leaked version of a US draft bill has surfaced, suggesting the elimination of anonymous crypto projects. The proposal also mandates that DAOs, DeFi platforms, and exchanges register legally in the United States. This development indicates a potential shift towards greater regulation and oversight within the industry. My price target for XMR is $96.50. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
XShort
by TopgOptions
PacWest Bancorp Collapse - 90% fall in priceTried to analyse PACW stock price as per Fib ratio and daily average price levels. Expecting $5.34 as opening price on Monday, new fall is also expected as price seems to be at the golden level and can fall below $2. This will be the 4th crash after SVB or signature banks, etc. Friday price took a reversal but seems there's lot of pressure on the sell side, also being the psychological range of the price broken earlier might have adverse effect on sell side. Let's wait and watch if this actually happens or if government actually takes some measurements to cover the fall, in any terms we will learn something new...
PShort
by Ethical_Bear
Petro Dollar - A controlled Demolition 🇺🇸 🛢 💸 Petro-Dollar chart to illustrate the inevitable collapse of the current world reserve currency: The U.S. needs cheap oil prices for the dollar to remain competitive globally and to retain the world reserve currency status 🇺🇸 🛢 💸 They accomplish this by controlling oil production globally, flooding the market with oil products, while synthetically increasing our reliance on the product. When oil prices get too high, it taxes other countries who need to trade their currency for dollars in order to buy oil 🛢 making these dollar transactions very expensive. If oil prices can't be negotiated lower, then they need to cause a financial crisis to weaken the dollar to make it cheaper to transact in. They create this liquidity by inflating the currency 🖨 i.e. "Quantitative Easing." If Trump & the BRICS Nations cut ✂️ the oil supply, the FED would soon bleed out as the dollar melts upward and runs out of liquidity. They'd be forced to cause yet another collapse and hyper-inflate the dollar away 💵 to make transacting in it competitive again. Risk assets would soar under these conditions, ending with the pop of the everything bubble. The Great Reset..... a planned demolition.
FX_IDC:USDBROShort
by sir_Cooley