Eur/UsdEU has made a basic W-X-Y structure that measures out fib wise all the way through. This pattern can extend down to the 1.618 extension, but I don't think it will. When I adjust my pitchfork fib lines to best fit support and resistance price is holding. I could see a wick down to that support level at the 1.382 if there is a news spike, but it looks like on the 1hr that it produced a small ending diagonal (expanding triangle) and the 4 hr looks like it made a small flag. But we all know looks can be deceiving right now with the lack of people willing to risk their money in a crazy market. I posted AU, and NU, my long term analysis. It has not changed. If you look at those posts you see the confluence between the dollar pairs. They are way over extended, but it is more about the patterns they are in. I'm looking for EU to work up to that yellow trend line possibly creating a larger combo pattern or flat. But take a look at the chart, this is the daily, and see what price does when it reverses for a large move... Usually takes days to weeks. But the 1-1.236 extension is what you would expect with this pattern.
Combo
NZD/USDI will most likely be looking to trade NU this week.... It is at the 200 MA crossing with the mid bollinger band (20 MA) on the weekly, at the 78% retrace and a 50% fib pitchfork line... So strong level. I would have to post some different time frames. I pointed out the bull trap at the top and mentioned the possibility of it breaking the low for the 7 swing. I think that's still a possibility. I would like to see the weekly candle start out by the 1 hr chart pushing down making some more overlapping price action, then I would consider taking a buy setup, but anticipating a possible sell setup occurring. You basically have a lot of MA's coming together on the weekly and the daily here. And keep in mind they don't usually just shoot off the 20 on the weekly, but wick below it first. Hard to try explain, but I don't see it as breaking all the way to the downside or upside yet, but possibly breaking the low in a 3 wave structure, which could possibly provide a decent buy this week that may retrace 50-62%, but if price goes up non aggressively and makes a flag, I'll take the sell and look to break the low. If I have time I will post a short video on my channel and go through the levels and different time frames. So, put a 20, 50, 100, and 200 MA on and start on the weekly and click down to 4 hr and have a look.
USD/JPY buyThey wouldn't let me post anymore last night, I hope someone watched my video and got a perfect entry on UJ buy. This is a long term buy. Very long term. I am stop in profit with some other small swings stops not in profit and will continue trading UJ until I get one to ride for the long haul. It did a classic 7 swing and came off the 618/382 fib (seperate time frames) off trend line and in the middle of my 7 swing buy zone... Understand it can extend down more and this reversal could take months possibly but as of right now it is a buy. But if it will be the trade it certainly looks to me like it wil be I would be surprised if they didn't do a correction to take anyone out.
GBP/JPY short- but read...GJ is basically doing the same exact 7 swing pattern you see here in the larger picture. As of right now it has extended enough within this smaller pattern and is on the way down. Personally I like to see them spike up into that zone and I have an alarm set at green line. So, it can come down from here but I need better confirmation being GJ personally speaking. I want to see what it does at that high that I put the ray line within this diagonal, we don't even have a 4 hr engulfing candle yet. 4hr TDI has turned down but I can see more room up on daily, but it can pull down quite a bit from here. I will just need to do a video to properly explain this one, but very nice sell, just don't have confirmation yet.
USD/ZAR 7 swing Long and Short opportunities long term.As of now, oversold on weekly and daily. Has a large zone it can extend into, but as of right now is looking like a classic modern day 7 swing pattern, which if completed, would bring it right to the .618 retrace of major low to major high... If you see this playing out, which looks like it will trade accordingly. These are the types of "supply and demand" trades you want, at least in my humble opinion. This is some high time frame stuff though so understand that...
Monthly SPX chart showing exhaustion signsEarlier sell signals on daily and weekly time frames has not triggered the expected sell signals.
This should not surprise much as we have been aware of the monthly sell setup that now is coming to completion.
In my earlier analysis I expected a short term sell off following the weekly sell signal but always emphasized that the monthly set up had to complete before we see a serious correction...
According to T. Demark based technical analysis, the SPX is now on a 13 monthly bar of a TD-sell countdown, we should still witness some euphoria into a Christmas rally in a final wave up.
Nevertheless what is manifesting in the monthly chart should not be ignored, we are few days / weeks before a sizable correction starts.
Trade wel ;o
sp500daytrader
Complex Zig-Zag correction... hmmmmWhat's up traders! To me this looks like a complex correction taking place! It appears to me to still be in correction and not trending (motive waves) What do ya'll think?
Thanks for the support and comment with some feedback or what you were thinking!
Thumbs up if you agree! :D
Have a good week!
XAU/USD: MIDAS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS WITH TD-COMBOThe chart above expresses the nature of how well TD-Combo and MIDAS Technical Analysis work together.
This is personally my favourite strategy since it is easy to use and the success rate is very high.
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