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Comex

Gold: what's happeningHi Guys, the first time I thought it could form a Cup & Handle it was on March 26, 2019 when I published the idea on TradingView. For easy reference please click the image below: Since then I've been trying to undestand gold behavior until it broke out the handle for the upside which confirmed the overall bias as a bullish continuation pattern. Factors that helped Gold to breakout the handle for the upside are: 1) US China stalemate beginning of May, 2) Theresa May stepping down with increase uncertainties over Brexit; 3) Raising tensions in ME; 4) FED posture; All these ingredients increased appetite for safe havens and Gold reacted in accordance with fundamentals and technicals. The main reason why I neglected Gold these days is because I could not find a target after the breakout. I knew it was running high but when it slowed down at 1360 I thought it was topping. Instead it went to 1440 following the FED on Jun 19. The day after the FED markets expected a rate cut in July. But the following week FED members inlcuding Bullard didn't sound dovish at all. This "U-Turn" made gold hit 1440 and retreat IMHO. Technically the move is completed IMHO as 1440 was the perfect Take Profit following the breakout of the handle. Infact, according to Investopedia: "A profit target is determined by measuring the distance between the bottom of the cup and the pattern’s breakout level, and extending that distance upward from the breakout." For full detail about Cup&Handle please refer to the full article: 1300 - 1160 = 140 1300 + 140 = 1440 Now we have to wait for the G20. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: focusing on the 4H chart (and triple S)Hi Guys, following my previous post please find above 4H chart focusing on the triple S support before the pullback at the end of week17. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
Gold: just a narrativeHi Guys, hope it is readable. 1. Financial crisis of 2007-2008 (en.wikipedia.org) 2.People emotions take shelter into safe haven 3.Capital take shelter into safe haven Fear and uncertainty drive the market. 4.In 2010 CBs & Govs. worldwide implement measures aimed to reassure and stabilize financial systems. 5.in 2012 the run is stopped. 6.Fear and skepticism slowly fade away. 7. Gold slowly returns to pre financial crisis levels. 8. Confidence seems to have been restored. 9.Everything back to normal. Is it so? For additional informations please refer to the related ideas linked below. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: some info (D)Hi Guys, Here a link to Investopedia definition of Cup & Handle: www.investopedia.com There are many more on the web. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
5
GOLD: 4th wave round bottom coilingHi Guys, same narrative as previous posts. 2007 Financial Crisis increased demand for safe haven. Central Banks, by introducing policies to stabilize the financial system, eased the fear away and drove gold prices back to pre-financial crisis levels. From this perspective it could be a 4th wave rounding bottom on top of 1st wave. If so, price coiling and 5th still to come. However not sure from where to start counting the letters forming the triangle ending the triple corrective combination. Lol Linked below other structures that may support a bottoming 4th or help develop different ideas. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: It looks like a descending triangle......but it may NOT be. thepatternsite.com IMHO these formation cannot be found at the end of a bull run. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: Accumulation Wyckoff Events (week13-14)Hi Guys, I hope Richard Demille Wyckoff will forgive me for this. Lol To view Wyckoff's accumulation structure referred above click this link d.stockcharts.com For a brief introduction to The Wyckoff Method please click this link: stockcharts.com Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: Thermometer of World Economic SentimentHi Guys, the above structure is based on the assumption that gold, among other factors, is driven by negative economic outlooks and is considered a safe haven asset. For me the simpliest way to put it in order to undestsand price action in the last 10 years is the following: Financial Crisis have driven gold price up and the System have responded by implementing policies aimed to stabilize. IMHO, since the Financial Crisis, gold represets the thermometer for level of stabilization of the World Economic Sentiment. Gold was at 1000 before the Financial Crisis right? It has doubled it's value due to fear, topped, pulled back, tested 1046 and it's ranging since, probably waiting for the next Financial Crisis to happen. But until that moment, I am not expecting major decisives moves. Here a link to the Cup & Handle formation which has been unfolding since 2018. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: desc.triangle or sideway combo of corrective patterns?Hi Guys, the above structure may be interpreted as a descending triangle according to thepatternsite.com but is my interpretation correct? I was thinking about the Bull Run started by gold in mid-Aug'18 and its end (circled in the above chart)... ...I was thinking about the Handle formation following the Cup and unfolding price action inside this trading range...https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/A4jnXSzt-GOLD-Cup-Handle/ If this was an EW descending triangle, A-B-C-D-E waves should subdivide into threes forming a 3-3-3-3-3 configuration. Is this the case? Furthermore, why should Gold unfold a descending triangle to correct a Bull Run? What would be the outcome of a descending triangle in a Bull market? IMHO gold is correcting the mid-Aug'18 Bull Run with a Triple sidewyas combination. The initial idea for drawing this chart was to understand the time. How deep inside are we in the formation? From TOP to end of the triangle are 10 weeks. Since the TOP 7 have passed. 70% of the pattern. Lot's of fish will be caught in the net if not carefull. Lol Please also watch out for inverted correlations with USD/JPY. It is possible that the pair is unfolding a similar pattern but opposite. An ascending triangle or a complex corrective pattern. I forgot to mention that AToW I don't think that E is the end of the E leg even if we are already 70% into the formation. However, a clear breach of USD/JPY above 112 would push gold towards 1285 and maybe further. Valid the opposite too. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: Week13 updateHi Guys, this is what I see on the 4H chart. Here below a very similar structure I made two weeks ago. Please click & play to watch how Gold moved since then. To note the support formed in week9 following the dive. IMHO there are a lot of similarities between the support formed in week9 and the support is building in week13. Gold unfolding this move below the 442SMA though. ST structure in week13 looks good for a pull back but Gold is still inside the violet descending channel (the handle or flag) and it is not bouncing. That is what is puzzling me most. The fact that nor Gold nor Silver are pulling back which make me think that a failure and a breach of the support may extend the correction of the Bull Run started mid-Aug'18. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: Cup & Handle?Hi Guys, I was doing a work on the 1H chart but I wanted to post this first. I hope the idea is clear...not sure about how that handle may unfold though. On the 1H chart a potential bear rally may be at its end but bias on that timeframe is still favouring bulls. If I am correct, a break below 1300 may prompt a further extension of the correction of the bull run started mid Aug'18 (please refer to the related idea linked below). Let's see the hourly chart... This is just a snapshot: Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara