Comex
Bump & Run Reversal - GoldXAUUSD was manipulated the last rally in the interest of selling at higher prices. Brexit was the catalyst. As a result a 'Bump and Run' reversal pattern is in place. XAUUSD is in the Run phase now where it's expected to form some kind of a bearish reversal pattern. I see Adam and Eve - double top is being developed.
Price is expected to visit the Lead-in trend, in green. In case the trend is broken, there is a high possibility to visit 1200.
Good Luck!
Bullish or Bearish?FX:USOIL NYMEX:CL1!
Big surprise! In today reached my goal it was for the week as shown in the graph listed below.
Looking at the indicators and ociladores we see the possibility of the market continue to grow, I believe that to $ 50, but stay tuned to market changes in the next days, I'm optimist about the bull on the market.
Will Gold resume its Bull run?The decade of bull run from ~$260 in 2001 to $1920 in 2011 (6X) on back of safe haven buying and an investment asset class ended with revival in major global indices and on track economies. The 5 years of slow and steady pain from 2011 to 2016 where gold lost 45% of its glittering from its peak might come to an end. We might witness the resumption in the bullish trend on the back of technical setups. The rationale are:
* Morning Star - bullish reversal candlestick pattern
* Falling channel support
* 38.20% Fibonacci retracement of $260 to $1920
* 2/1 Gann fan line
* 141% Fibonacci time cycle of 2001-2011 ends at January 2016
* -DI sloping southwards suggesting bears are tiring
The above view would hold till gold doesn't breach $1000 and expect the move towards $1450-1600.
Still struggling with low demand, Copper failed to impressTill now, we cant see any reason to believe Copper's uptrend at this moment.
Prices fall down as a main trend although it may rebounce a little bit in some next trading sessions.
Suggestion trading strategy: Long if touch 2.7050 again and keeping short position for next 2 weeks
GOLD temporary mini-rally before the last ditchHi Traders,
GOLD (now at $1155) is performing the last rally to 1220 before resuming the very last ditch to the area around 1089. The present level of 1155 seems to be a good entry point for a short rally to 1200-1220.
BTW, once the downtrend resumes, it should stop around level 1089 or end a bit lower around the area at $1043-32 that seems to be the absolute minimum and it's considered an unbreakable support.
If this analysis is correct, this would mark the very end of the line for the 38 months downtrend which should be followed soon by a new major uptrend.
TARGETS
first up to:
likely: 1200
possibly: 1220
maybe: 1235
then down to
likely: $1089
possibly: $1043-$1032
ELLIOTT WAVES
The weekly chart displays the formation of wave 5 (in magenta, from March 16, 2014). Wave 5 will be made of 5 waves, three of them already completed and the fourth one in formation.
After wave 4 up, the last wave down will follow (wave 5) which will complete major wave 4 downwards (from Sept 2011).
The daily chart shows that "Wave 3" is completed and it's starting a rally to form wave four (in magenta) to 1200-1220-1231
Wave 5 will then follow to establish the historical low at 1089 or a bit lower to the area 1043-1032.
Cheers. Mario D. Conti