GER40: Remains bullish amid global uncertaintyEuropean stock markets started the week with mixed results, influenced by the recent interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and China's monetary policies. The German DAX and the UK's FTSE 100 posted modest gains of 0.1%, while the French CAC 40 fell by 0.2%. The Fed's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points, a larger-than-expected cut, generated global optimism as it anticipated a boost to economic activity.
The People's Bank of China also contributed to this favorable environment by reducing its 14-day repo rate, which eased domestic monetary conditions, boosting growth. These moves, along with expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) could accelerate its rate-cutting cycle, reflect pressures on monetary authorities in Europe, with key figures such as Mário Centeno suggesting that the ECB could act sooner than expected.
In the European economic context, preliminary PMIs for September will be crucial in assessing the health of the region. Weaker than expected data would increase the likelihood of further expansionary measures by the ECB. On the corporate front, Commerzbank shares fell 4.3% after the German government confirmed that it will maintain its 12% stake, cooling speculation about a possible merger with UniCredit.
On the other hand, oil prices rose in the face of growing tension in the Middle East, which has generated concerns about supply. Both Brent and WTI registered increases of 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively, highlighting the impact of geopolitical risks on energy markets.
On the technical front, the German DAX remains in a long-term uptrend. After its sharp plunge in its first week of August and subsequent sharp corrections to the upside, the index has a checkpoint (POC) around 18,491 points, with a high at 19,050.81 and key support at 18,267.81 points. The RSI at 56.99% suggests that there is still room for further upside momentum. According to Fibonacci retracements, 76.4% is slightly below the current highs, indicating that we will have to watch if the index breaks this level.
In conclusion, European markets are trading in an environment conditioned by global monetary policies and international tensions, as investors assess both the impact of rate cuts and volatility in oil prices.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Commerzbank
Commerzbank - Next Target € 6,80 or 17,5%Only looking on chart and without the following fundamental things in mind: feelings, financial crisis 2.0, zero or negative interest rates, margin erosion, Dr. Markus Krall, Zombibanken, personnel overcapacities, Overbanking - too many branches, target 2 balances, Google Pay, Paypal, Alipay, Payoneer, Skrill, WePay, Wirecard, Adyen , FinTecs, IoT , Blockchain, RTP, BS PayOne, .....
If the outbreak exceeds € 5.80, the target of 6.80 is activated. However, the price may not fall below € 5.28 anymore.
Translated with www.DeepL.com
Shorting some bad banksI have been waiting for another opportunity to Deutsche Bank and Commerz Bank. And here it is.
Commerz Bank chart:
In case you haven't seen it. There is a netflix serie called Bad Banks. Watch it and you will see why to short these banks. :-)
Bad Banks on Netflix: www.netflix.com
Commerzbank to hit a major trend support
We might see a nice up move at the trend line. Don't care about the fundamentals, there is to much software-trading going on in these days.
The technical ages are back, so make sure to focus.
Only my opinion, so make your own research and like always
May the markets be with us
Commerzbank can finally see the lightIt seems that they are finally approaching the border of the underworld.
Has been moving in a determined and strong way which makes me believe that in the next two months it will probably cross the barrier of 13.80.
If so, it could be a very special year for Commerzbank.
Best wishes to all!!
Commerzbank is a short. Target at 5.50Weekly close has broken the ascending trendline. It is then a good opportunity to trigger a short trade. Weekly Coppock curve is now oriented downwards. Target can be identified at the previous horizontal support, approx 5.50. Stop loss above 8.20
For further trading ideas and weekly financial news, please follow our financial magazine at www.wallstreetimes.com