GC1! Gold Futures Short setup I present to you a possible scenario going into the weeks ahead .
Gold finished Friday 13 Oct very strong with a move that no doubt destroyed many whom were taken by surprise with the aggressive move out of 1880 back up to 1945 in one trading session .
The question is what's next? Well no one has the exact answer but here is a possible scenario which could be on the cards . I would not be surprised to see a small pull back and all the shorts to pile in trying to sell the top before getting trapped/destroyed with another move up towards $1970 taking out the sept 20 high/liquidity before a much bigger move to the downside.
To give my chart the uncongested cleanest look , I have removed some of the levels inside of the Fib Channel to make it easier on the eye .
Above we have a High volume Node+ Liquidity and the golden pocket + Fib Channel as confluences .
I will be expecting a reaction at this region and will act accordingly .
More data will be required to determine if this is to be another LH on the HTF or a deep RT and continuation to the upside .
Set alerts at the given region and manage your SL in accordance with your trading plan and appetite for risk.
Like and follow for more setups like this and check out my previous analysis on Gold
Commex
Gold Futures Short Swing Trade GC1!Gold sitting at the top of the Descending Channel
presents a great short opportunity .
I have marked all the levels going down to the
bottom of the channel which were determined using
Fib Pull from last swing high .
Above us I have marked areas of resistance and it remains to be
seen if we see a change in market structure but until then i favour
a short setup .
Also when looking at the DXY index i think we will see a recovery in the
USD to around 91.3 which will put Gold back under pressure and thus keep gold
inside of the descending channel .
1790 will be a tough level to break down IMO as the 100EMA and 200EMA sit here this would also make a good TP1
This setup has a simple invalidation as detailed in the chart but of course set your own levels
pertaining to the percentage risk you are happy to use .
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Copper Expected to Strengthen - Long TermCopper Weekly – At the beginning of 2011, Copper made a directional change and has fallen more than 50% to date. However, with the copper demand growing, the commodity could be ready to make its next directional change in the coming months. China, the largest consumer of copper, is seeing its economy stabilising once again after suffering during the first half of the year. This had led to copper prices increasing over the last month and demand is expected to increase globally over the next four years. However, there is expected to be a large shortage for this growing demand and Citi Bank has predicted that this will lead to a 40% increase in copper prices. On the technical side, we would be looking for price to break out of the triangle, followed by a break of the $2.30 level. Copper prices along with other metals have had a weak final quarter for the past five years but this streak is highly expected to break this quarter. This would most likely mean a break of the triangle which would be a strong sign of a long term price increase. Alternatively, if price broke below $2, a strong decline would be expected.