GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Markets ranging sideways today before Christmas and our plan of action remains the same with our levels and targets still valid for the week for the days that are open.
We continue to play between both weighted levels, 2629 Goldturn resistance and 2600 Goldturn support and will need ema5 cross and lock on either Goldturn to confirm determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Commodities
Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again .
Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started the day with our Bullish target hit at 2629 with no cross and lock above confirming the rejection.
We are now seeing price head towards the bearish gap below. We are looking for price to stay supported above this level to continue to use our smaller timeframes for entries to buy dips, unless we see a cross and lock below 2600, in which case the lower range will open up.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price reached resistance line and then at once declined to support line, after which started to grow.
A short time later, Gold rose to $2685 level, broke it, and then rose to resistance line one more time.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline inside falling channel, where it broke support line with $2685 level.
Gold continued to fall, but later it reached resistance line, after which made downward impulse.
Price broke $2615 level and fell to support line of channel, after which bounced up, exiting from channel.
Now it trades close $2615 level and possible that Gold can little grow and then fall to $2570, breaking support level again.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,626.87
1st Support: 2,585.55
1st Resistance: 2,664.92
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Gold Price Consolidation and Breakout Analysis: Key Levels...
Gold Technical Analysis
The price is expected to consolidate between 2620 and 2605 until a breakout occurs. From 2620, Gold is likely to experience a bearish movement toward 2605. A 1-hour candle closing below 2605 will support further bearish momentum toward 2591 and 2585.
On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes above 2623, it will confirm bullish momentum, targeting 2638 and 2658.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2620
Resistance Levels: 2635, 2645, 2653
Support Levels: 2605, 2591, 2558
Trend Outlook:
Bearish below 2620
Bullish above 2623
GOLD (xauusd): it is bearish now!hello guys.
let's make this analysis a simple one!
as you can see gold touched the upper S&D zone perfectly and at the same time touched the top line of the channel!
now the midline of the channel is broken too!
so we can consider a downward movement at least until the bottom line of channel
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2620.44, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% FIbo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2600, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2636.34, a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GOLD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,618.93.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,576.56 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD → One final step remains before a drop. The target is 2587.Hello, dear friends! Let’s discuss and strategize today's gold trading opportunities with Ben!
As predicted yesterday, gold prices dropped to $2,608, delivering a profit of approximately 200 pips. This decline was driven by pressure from Wall Street’s underperformance, which bolstered the strength of the US Dollar and Treasury yields. Investors are now eagerly awaiting clearer signals about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy for 2025.
In reaction to these developments, the US Dollar Index rose by 0.4%, hovering near its highest level in over two years. This diminished gold's appeal for holders of other currencies. Additionally, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased, adding further weight to gold prices.
Looking ahead, the market remains focused on the outcomes of last week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. A more gradual rate hike trajectory for 2025 is currently under discussion, with speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate changes in January or March.
From a theoretical perspective, in the face of a strong US Dollar, gold has limited upside potential. If sellers maintain resistance below $2,620 and push to break the support level, the pair could target $2,587 in the medium term.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
What Is the Difference Between Brent and WTI Crude OilWhat Is the Difference Between Brent and WTI Crude Oil for Traders?
Brent Crude and WTI are two of the most important oil benchmarks in the world, influencing global markets and trading strategies. While both represent high-quality crude, they differ in origin, composition, pricing, and market dynamics. This article explores questions like “What is Brent Crude?”, “What is WTI Crude?”, and “What is the difference between Brent and crude oil from West Texas?”, helping traders navigate their unique characteristics.
Brent Oil vs Crude Oil from West Texas
Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) are two primary benchmarks in the global oil market, each representing distinct qualities and origins.
What Is Brent Crude Oil?
Brent Crude originates from the North Sea, encompassing oil from fields between the United Kingdom and Norway, like Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk, and Troll. This region's offshore production benefits from direct access to sea routes, facilitating efficient transportation to international markets. The North Sea's strategic location allows Brent Crude to serve as a global pricing benchmark and influence oil prices worldwide.
This blend is slightly heavier and contains more sulphur compared to WTI. Despite this, Brent Crude is extensively traded and serves as a pricing reference for about two-thirds of the world's oil contracts, primarily on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
What Is WTI Crude Oil?
West Texas Intermediate is primarily sourced from US oil fields in Texas, North Dakota, and Louisiana. The landlocked nature of these production sites means that WTI relies heavily on an extensive network of pipelines and storage facilities for distribution. A key hub for WTI is Cushing, Oklahoma, which serves as a central point for oil storage and pricing. This infrastructure supports WTI's role as a benchmark for US oil prices.
Known for its lightness and low sulphur content, West Texas Crude is ideal for refining into gasoline and other high-demand products. WTI serves as a major benchmark for oil prices in the United States and is the underlying commodity for the New York Mercantile Exchange's (NYMEX) oil futures contract.
Brent and WTI Crude Oil CFDs
Most retail traders interact with Brent and WTI through Contracts for Difference (CFDs) instead of futures contracts. CFDs enable traders to speculate on price fluctuations without having to own the underlying physical oil. Instead, they open buy and sell positions and take advantage of the difference in the price from the time the contract is opened to when it’s closed.
This makes CFDs a popular choice for retail traders looking to make the most of short-term price fluctuations in oil without the complexities of physical ownership, storage, or delivery. CFDs also offer leverage, allowing traders to control larger positions with smaller capital.
You can trade Brent and WTI crude oil at FXOpen with tight spreads and low commissions! Check the recent oil prices at the TickTrader trading platform.
Quality and Composition Differences
Brent Crude is classified as a light, sweet crude oil. It has an API gravity of approximately 38 degrees, indicating a relatively low density. Its sulphur content is about 0.37%, making it less sweet compared to WTI. Brent's composition is well-suited for refining into diesel fuel and gasoline, which are in high demand globally.
But what is WTI like? Known for its superior quality, WTI boasts an API gravity of around 39.6 degrees, making it lighter than Brent. Its sulphur content is approximately 0.24%, classifying it as a sweeter crude. This lower sulphur content simplifies the refining process, allowing for the production of higher yields of gasoline and other high-value products.
These differences in API gravity and sulphur content are significant for refiners. Lighter, sweeter crudes like WTI are generally more desirable because they require less processing to meet environmental standards and produce a higher proportion of valuable end products. However, the choice between Brent and WTI can also depend on regional availability, refinery configurations, and specific product demand.
Trading Volumes and Market Liquidity
Brent Crude and WTI both see significant trading volumes, but they differ in terms of their market liquidity and global reach.
As mentioned above, Brent Crude is widely traded on international markets, and it serves as the pricing benchmark for roughly two-thirds of the world's oil contracts. Its broad appeal comes from being a global benchmark, which makes it highly liquid in global exchanges like ICE Futures Europe.
This high liquidity means traders can buy and sell contracts with relative ease, often with tighter spreads. As a result, it’s popular among traders looking for high-volume, internationally-influenced oil exposure.
On the other hand, WTI is primarily traded in the US through exchanges like the NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange). While still highly liquid, WTI's trading volumes tend to be more concentrated within the US market.
Despite this, it remains a crucial benchmark, especially for traders focusing on the US oil industry. Its close ties to the domestic market mean liquidity can be slightly more affected by US-specific factors.
Pricing Influences and Differences Between Brent and WTI
The geographic focus and market influence distinguish WTI Crude vs Brent oil. Brent is a globally traded benchmark, making it more reactive to international forces, while WTI’s market is more US-centric, with pricing heavily influenced by domestic factors and energy dynamics.
Therefore, Brent Crude and WTI often trade at different prices, with Brent Crude typically priced higher. This price difference, known as the Brent-WTI spread, reflects the varying dynamics between global and US markets. Traders keep a close eye on this spread, as it signals the relative strength of international versus US oil markets.
Price Influences for Brent Crude
- Geopolitical events: Brent is highly sensitive to tensions or conflicts in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East and North Africa. Any disruptions to supply routes or production in these areas can cause its prices to spike.
- OPEC+ decisions: Since many OPEC+ members produce oil that influences Brent’s pricing, their decisions on production cuts or increases have a direct impact on its price. A reduction in global output typically raises prices.
- Global shipping and transport logistics: Brent is traded internationally, so shipping costs, potential blockages in transport routes (e.g., the Strait of Hormuz), and other logistics play a role in price movements.
- Global energy demand: Trends in global demand, especially from key regions like Europe and Asia, affect pricing. For instance, economic growth in these regions tends to push prices higher.
Price Influences for WTI
- US shale oil production: WTI is highly responsive to the levels of US shale oil output. When production surges, oversupply can put downward pressure on prices.
- US oil inventory levels: Key storage hubs like Cushing, Oklahoma, are crucial for pricing. Rising inventory levels signal oversupply, which typically lowers prices, while declining inventories may indicate higher demand and push prices up.
- Pipeline and transportation infrastructure: Bottlenecks in US oil pipelines or delays in transportation can influence WTI pricing. For instance, limited capacity in pipelines can restrict oil flow to refineries, leading to fluctuations in prices.
- Domestic energy policies: Government regulations, taxes, or subsidies affecting US energy production can impact prices, with changes in drilling activity or environmental policies influencing supply levels.
Which Oil Should Traders Choose?
When deciding between WTI vs Brent, traders consider their market focus, trading strategy, and the factors driving each benchmark. Here’s an overview of what might help you choose:
1. Geopolitical Focus
- Brent Crude is more sensitive to global geopolitical events, making it a strong choice for traders who focus on international markets. If you analyse global tensions, OPEC+ decisions, or international energy policies, Brent is likely more relevant.
- WTI is less influenced by global events and more driven by US domestic factors. Traders focused on US politics, infrastructure, and energy policies may find WTI a better fit.
2. Market Liquidity and Trading Volume
- Brent Crude is widely traded across global exchanges, giving it strong liquidity. It’s ideal for traders who prefer access to international markets and global trading volumes. Its liquidity also makes it attractive for those trading larger volumes or seeking tighter spreads.
- WTI has high liquidity as well, but it’s more concentrated in US markets. This makes it better suited for traders with a specific interest in US oil dynamics.
3. Price Volatility
- Brent Crude tends to react more to geopolitical shocks, meaning it can experience more volatility from global crises. Traders looking for opportunities driven by international supply disruptions or geopolitical risks might prefer Brent.
- WTI is typically influenced by domestic production and inventory levels, which can result in different volatility patterns. US-focused traders or those tracking domestic shale oil production often gravitate toward WTI for its more region-specific volatility.
4. Regional Focus
- Brent Crude is favoured by traders who have a global outlook or trade oil products tied to European, Asian, or African markets.
- WTI is a solid choice for traders interested in US oil markets or those who rely on data from domestic US reports like the EIA.
The Bottom Line
In summary, understanding the differences between Brent Crude and WTI is crucial for traders analysing global oil markets. Both benchmarks offer unique opportunities depending on your trading strategy and market focus, whether you prefer the global influence of Brent or the US-centric dynamics of WTI. To get started with Brent and WTI CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account for access to these key markets alongside low-cost trading conditions.
FAQ
Why Is Oil Called Brent Crude?
Brent Crude gets its name from the Brent oil field located in the North Sea, discovered by Shell in the 1970s. The name "Brent" was derived from a naming convention based on birds—specifically, the Brent goose. Over time, it’s become the benchmark for oil produced in the North Sea, now serving as a global pricing standard for much of the world's oil supply.
What Does WTI Stand For?
WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate. It refers to a grade of crude oil that is primarily produced in the United States, specifically from oil fields in Texas, North Dakota, and surrounding regions. WTI is one of the key benchmarks for oil pricing, particularly in North America.
Is Brent Crude Sweet or Sour?
Brent Crude is considered a light, sweet crude oil. It has a low sulphur content, making it easier to refine into high-value products like gasoline and diesel. However, it contains slightly more sulphur than WTI, which is why it's marginally classified as less sweet.
Why Is Brent Always More Expensive Than WTI?
Brent is often more expensive than WTI due to its global demand and greater sensitivity to geopolitical risks. Brent is influenced by international factors, including OPEC+ decisions and conflicts in key oil-producing regions, which often lead to supply disruptions. WTI, meanwhile, is more affected by domestic US supply and demand.
Is Saudi Oil Brent or WTI?
Saudi oil is neither Brent nor WTI. It falls under its own classification, primarily as Arabian Light Crude. However, Brent Crude is often used as a pricing benchmark for oil exports from Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD → Correction before further declineFX:XAUUSD is testing the zones of interest within the counter-trend correction after it managed to break a rather strong level earlier. The fundamental background is not very good, there is bearish pressure on the market.
The negative impact on gold is built around the hawkish stance of the Fed (inflation, Trump's future policy and the economic data of the last two weeks). The cycle of interest rate cuts may slow to 2 rate cuts for 2025.
Friday's correction is mainly due to PCE data, but I don't think it will change the global picture.
Towards the end of the year, it is logical to reduce liquidity in the markets, which could increase mispriced volatility in the market. Be careful!
The gold market is still supported by the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Technically, price is forming a flag after a strong decline. At the moment the price is inside the pattern and for trading it is worth paying attention to the boundaries of the local channel.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2631, 2640
Support levels: 2606, 2560
Emphasis on 2620. If the bears break the level and keep the defense below the level, it can generally increase the pressure, which will provoke the price drop.
But I do not rule out an attempt to break the channel resistance and retest 2640-2650 before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD trading liquidity is low during the Christmas holidayAmid sluggish trading during the holiday season, OANDA:XAUUSD decreased slightly, dragged down by the strength of the US Dollar and high US Treasury bond yields. And the market needs to wait for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve's 2025 monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, this signaled fewer rate cuts in 2025, sending gold prices to their lowest since mid-month 11 last week.
While non-yielding gold benefits from the low interest rate environment, the market will need to readjust expectations for the year ahead.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 have weighed on gold prices, and gold will face pressure during the holiday week.
Interest rate cuts initially boosted gold prices, but the Fed's forecast of only two rate cuts by 2025 (down from four in September) sparked a sell-off that sent gold prices to lows. lowest since mid-November.
With economic data limited this week due to the Christmas holiday, gold prices are expected to remain in a tight range. Liquidity remains low, reducing volatility and keeping price action subdued.
Gold has hit multiple record highs this year and is up 27% year to date, its best annual gain since 2010, thanks to strong central bank buying, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy monetary easing by major banks.
President-elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20. The market is about to return to trading in a Donald Trump environment, we cannot forget the trading period when he was in office, how the market fluctuated with his emotions on each line.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain activity below the confluence resistance area noted by readers in yesterday's publication at the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci level, to maintain the trend. main discount.
While the recovery has been limited, gold is also trading above the $2,613 technical level, and gold could fall a bit further with a target of around $2,591 as it is sold below $2,613.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating below 50, which should be considered a negative signal for the trend of gold prices.
During the day, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci, it remains inclined towards a bearish outlook with notable technical points listed as follows.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,591USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,643USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2650
→Take Profit 1 2639
↨
→Take Profit 2 2634
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2594 - 2596⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2590
→Take Profit 1 2601
↨
→Take Profit 2 2606
Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,627.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 2,655.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,585.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback sup [port level.
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USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on USOIL, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 67.02.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bearish drop?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 71.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 69.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD: Bullish trend intact. Cycle target 3,100Gold may just be neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.126, MACD = -15.410, ADX = 31.343) due to the December's consolidation but on the 1M timeframe the Channel Up is very much intact and is immitating that of 2019 so far. Basically since late 2020, Gold has been replicating the post-2016 Cycle, which started with a 3 year accumulation period that led to the 2019-2020 Channel Up. This topped on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. This is enough for us to keep us bullish (TP = 3,100).
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Will China's Game Redefine The Global Copper Paradigm?In the dynamic landscape of global commodities, copper emerges as a fascinating case study of economic interconnectedness and strategic policymaking. Recent developments have seen prices climb to $8,971.50 per metric ton, driven by China's bold $411 billion treasury bond initiative – a move that could reshape the metal's trajectory in international markets. This price movement, however, tells only part of a more complex story that challenges conventional market wisdom.
The interplay between supply fundamentals and geopolitical forces creates an intriguing narrative. While physical demand remains robust and Chinese inventories run low, the market grapples with a 19% decline from its May peak, highlighting the delicate balance between immediate market dynamics and broader economic forces. This tension is further amplified by the looming influence of potential U.S. trade policies under President-elect Trump's administration, adding another layer of complexity to an already multifaceted market equation.
Perhaps most compelling is the transformation of copper's role in the global economy. As traditional demand drivers like property construction show weakness, the metal's crucial position in the green energy transition offers a new frontier of opportunity. With electric vehicle sales continuing to break records and renewable energy infrastructure expanding, copper stands at the crossroads of old and new economic paradigms. This evolution, coupled with China's strategic stimulus measures and the market's response to supply-side developments, suggests that copper's story in 2025 and beyond will be one of adaptation, resilience, and strategic importance in the global economic landscape.
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined Trendline pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2663
2nd Support – 2689
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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GOLD → Short to Medium-Term OutlookDear Traders, Ben here!
Recently, gold has been struggling to sustain its peak at $2,633. The bullish momentum for gold has been hindered by several factors, including the Fed's anticipated slowdown in the pace of interest rate cuts moving forward.
On the 1H chart, although the uptrend remains supported and the parallel channel has been broken, there are signs of a potential top forming around $2,633. The current support level stands at approximately $2,618. Should this level be breached, it could drive gold into a deeper decline, potentially reaching $2,603.
GBPUSD on the way to 1.34The currency pair in focus is GBP/USD, representing the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of the pair is 1.25, meaning 1 British Pound is worth 1.25 US Dollars. The target price is 1.34, indicating an expected price movement to 1.34, where the British Pound will be worth 1.34 US Dollars. The gain in pips is 400, meaning the price is anticipated to rise by 400 pips, with each pip representing a small movement in the exchange rate. The strategy being followed is based on support and resistance levels, which are key concepts in technical analysis. Support refers to a price level where the pair tends to find buying interest, while resistance represents a price level where selling interest is typically strong. This suggests the pair has recently bounced from a support level and is approaching a resistance level. If the price breaks through the resistance, it could move toward the target price. The pattern of support and resistance helps traders identify potential entry and exit points, guiding them towards achieving the 400-pip gain. This strategy relies on observing price trends and historical levels of support and resistance to predict future price movements. Good Volume Expecting.
World gold prices slightly decreased as the USD increasedHowever, the precious metal is under some pressure as the dollar index rose sharply and US Treasury yields rose slightly.
The Conference Board reported on Monday that its US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7, down from a revised 112.8 in November. The reading was weaker than expected, with economists predicting the index would be largely unchanged.
“Expectations that consumer confidence would continue to recover were not realized in December, as the index fell back to its two-year average,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Gold is struggling to find its way amid the holiday lull, said James Hyerczyk, an analyst at FX Empire.
“The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025 are keeping gold under pressure. The precious metal will face key support tests during the holiday week