GOLD - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Long time price rising near the support line, but later it made a correction movement, breaking this line.
Then price had a sharp impulse that confirmed bullish structure and started to grow inside a rising channel.
After reaching the top boundary, the price reversed and started a pullback to the support area near $3265.
This zone also aligns with the channel base and acted as a bounce point before, making it a strong technical level.
Now the price is consolidating above this support, forming a higher low, which may confirm continuation.
As long as price holds, and I expect it to bounce from support line and push toward $3480 channel resistance.
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Commodities
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
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GOLD April Rally Continues📉 Flash Corrections and New Highs:
Gold has shown sharp swings, dropping to $3,287 per ounce and swiftly hitting a historic high of $3,500. These moves are not chaos but reflect deep processes within the global financial system.
🔍 Key Drivers of Today’s Gold Market
1️⃣ Geopolitics on Edge:
Trade wars between the US and China, political instability, and the upcoming US elections have fueled demand for safe assets. Central banks continue purchasing gold at a pace exceeding 1,000 tons per year, challenging the dominance of the US dollar.
2️⃣ Stagflation and Fed Policy:
Markets are pricing in rate cuts, traditionally strengthening gold’s position. Even short-term easing of geopolitical tensions hasn’t derailed the bullish trend — inflation expectations and weakening consumer confidence keep pushing prices upward.
3️⃣ China as a Major Player:
It’s not just state-level purchases — retail demand among China’s Gen Z is hitting new highs. Institutional mandates requiring gold holdings further tighten global supply, reinforcing upward pressure.
📊 Technical Outlook : Where to Look for Entry Points
Support Levels: $3,260 – $3,280
Resistance Levels: $3,420 and the psychological barrier at $3,500
April followed a classic scenario: breakout to new highs, profit-taking, and return to key levels for position re-entry. For the attentive investor, this isn’t a reason for panic but an opportunity to reload into a long-term bullish trend.
Gold is not just an asset — it’s a barometer of trust in the global financial system. Every time the system falters, gold shines brighter.
Conclusion
The gold market in April 2025 is a textbook example of how global risks turn into opportunities for those ready to act. Volatility only scares those who don’t understand it.
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting.
You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward.
Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance.
As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty.
I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled.
I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week.
Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver.
I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today.
BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range.
It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months.
Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results.
Get some..
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas completed, as analysed.
This is our 4h chart update that started with the open Bullish target and then all the way to the top into our final target with a few pips short and then followed with a perfect rejection on our final Goldturn.
The price dropped into each lower Goldturns for support and gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces like we always state. The final drop went and completed the open bearish target at 3282, completing this chart idea top to bottom.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503 - DONE (FELL SHORT BY A FEW PIPS)
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD may enter accumulation when the market lacks impact Spot OANDA:XAUUSD prices were broadly steady in Asian trade on Friday (April 25) after a sharp rise in the previous trading day. The current price of gold is around $3,341/ounce, down from the $3,371 price target that readers noted in yesterday's edition. Spot gold prices jumped on Thursday, snapping a nearly 3% decline the previous day, helped by a weaker US dollar and bargain-hunting as investors kept a close eye on the latest news on tariff negotiations.
Market Highlights
Gold prices rebounded on Thursday after their biggest drop this year as bargain hunters entered the market, Bloomberg reported.
China's official broadcaster CCTV reported Thursday that the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump is considering a plan to impose tiered tariffs on China, and White House press secretary Levitt said Trump's stance on tariffs on China "has not softened."
"This is all fake news. As far as I know, China and the United States have never consulted or negotiated on tariffs, let alone reached an agreement. This tariff war was initiated by the United States, and China's attitude is consistent and clear: if you want to fight, we will fight to the end; if you want to negotiate, the door is open. Dialogue and negotiation must be equal, respectful and mutually beneficial," said Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Fed has essentially ruled out a rate cut in May. But she also delivered a key message, saying that if there is clear evidence of the economy’s direction, there will be room for policy action in June.
When asked if a rate cut was possible in June, Hammack said: “If we get clear and compelling data in June, then I think the committee will act, assuming we have a clear understanding of the right path for policy at that point.” Markets reacted quickly after Hammack’s remarks, with interest rate swaps indicating the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June rising to around 65%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After achieving the target increase twice, which readers should pay attention to in the previous day's publication at 3,371 USD, the price point of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236%, the recovery momentum of gold is being controlled and limited.
In the short term, gold is likely to enter a sideways accumulation phase, waiting for more fundamental breakthroughs. The expected accumulation area is around 3,371 - 3,292 USD, which are the positions of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236% and 0.382%.
However, with the current position, the main outlook is still bullish in the long term with the trend from the price channel as the main trend and support from the EMA21 as the main support.
During the day, the expectation of short-term accumulation in the main uptrend will be noted by the following levels.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3411 - 3409⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3415
→Take Profit 1 3403
↨
→Take Profit 2 3397
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3204 - 3206⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3200
→Take Profit 1 3212
↨
→Take Profit 2 3218
Silver - Is Silver ready to explode to the upside? Since the end of October, the price of silver has been trading within a relatively tight consolidation range, fluctuating between $35 and $28.50. This range has now been tested multiple times on both ends, with the price touching the upper resistance and lower support levels twice, creating a well-defined horizontal structure in the market.
During the most recent decline, silver broke below the $28.50 support, sweeping the previous low and triggering a liquidity grab. This move likely cleared out stop-loss orders positioned beneath that level, providing the necessary fuel for a strong reversal. Following this sweep, the price reacted sharply and began climbing, indicating a shift in momentum and a potential change in market structure.
Currently, silver is accelerating toward the upper boundary of the range, once again approaching the $35 resistance level. Given the previous behavior and the speed of the current move, I anticipate that the price may attempt to sweep the highs above $35, targeting the liquidity resting just above that resistance zone. A rejection from this level is possible, especially considering the presence of a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) that was left behind during the recent bullish push. If the price pulls back into this FVG and finds support there, it could provide a healthy retracement and set the stage for a more sustained move higher in the medium term.
Overall, the market seems to be positioning itself for a breakout attempt, but the reaction around the $35 level will be crucial in determining whether silver continues upward or enters another phase of consolidation.
If silver manages to break above the $35 resistance and establish support above that level, it could mark a significant shift in market sentiment and open the door for further upside. Holding above this key threshold would likely confirm the breakout from the long-standing consolidation range, signaling strong bullish intent. In such a scenario, we could see increased momentum as sidelined buyers step in, targeting higher levels in the weeks to come.
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Gold’s ATH Rally Slowing Down – Needs Correction!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been on a strong uptrend in recent weeks , creating a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day. Will a new ATH be created after $3,500 in the coming days? What do you think?
Gold is moving between the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has started to form Corrective Waves after recording the latest ATH . Gold is completing a Zigzag Correction wave (ABC/5-3-5) ( most likely ).
I expect Gold to start declining again after approaching the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and attack the Support lines and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) . It seems like Gold needs a correction , do you agree with me!? In the worst-case scenario for my analysis, Gold starts falling from the resistance zone($3,431-$3,406) .
Note: If Gold can move above $3,440, we can expect more pumps and maybe make na ew All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
1. Key Zones
Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360
Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240
Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally.
2. Moving Averages
EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340
Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300
Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region.
3. Pattern and Price Action
Fakeout Potential:
The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup.
Bearish Outlook Indicated:
The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign.
4. Trading Bias
Bearish Setup if:
Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50).
Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200).
Bullish Invalidated if:
Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support.
📉 Potential Trade Idea
Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355
Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone)
Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys!
Key Elements:
Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend.
S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region.
Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected.
Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94.
why:
1. Trendline Break
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback.
After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure.
2. Supply Zone Rejection
A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles.
This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level.
3. Volume Profile Insight
The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target.
Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred.
4. S&D Flip
A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation.
✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down:
Trendline break and successful retest.
Rejection from resistance (supply zone).
Lower high formation.
Volume profile attraction to a lower value area.
Bearish market structure forming.
____________________
📌 Conclusion:
This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE
Hey Everyone,
Another smashing day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly. This is an update from yesterday, which you can read below for continuity.
After completing the target yesterday we stated We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
- We got the support and bounce just outside the channel, just like we said and perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
This is now a crucial range test with either support here for a continuation or a break back into the channel. We will be looking for ema5 to confirm the break or failure to identify rejection.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
YESTERDAYS UPDATE
Hey Everyone,
After updating our 1H and 4h chart idea last two days, please see update on our daily chart idea also playing out perfectly.
On our last update we stated that we were seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout into the next level.
We got the candle body above 3297 and ema5 lock opening 3433 - This was hit perfectly completing this target. No further close above this level confirmed the rejection.
We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, right after posting the analysis, the price quickly hit the first target at $3307, then experienced a bounce and rallied to the $3369 supply zone. From there, gold faced more downward pressure and eventually reached the targets at $3303, $3297, and nearly $3285.
Currently, gold is trading around $3291, and if $3285 is broken, we could expect further downside toward levels below $3259.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
"XAU/USD at Crucial Support Zone"📈 Chart Overview
Instrument: Likely XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)
Date: April 22, 2025
Timeframe: Appears to be a short-term chart (possibly 1H or 4H)
🧠 Key Technical Elements
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
50 EMA (Red): Currently at 3,406.818 — acting as short-term dynamic support/resistance.
200 EMA (Blue): Currently at 3,277.286 — indicating long-term trend direction.
The price is well above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish long-term trend. However, it’s now testing the 50 EMA, suggesting a potential short-term inflection point.
2. Support and Resistance Zones
Immediate Resistance Zone: Around 3,430 – 3,440, which price recently rejected.
Key Support Zone: Around 3,385 – 3,390 (labeled “FOCUS ON THIS POINT”), which aligns closely with the 50 EMA.
Lower Support Zones:
3,310 – 3,320
3,240 – 3,260
🔍 Technical Scenarios Outlined on Chart
✅ Bullish Scenario (Upper Arrow Path)
If the price holds above the 3,385 support zone, especially with support from the 50 EMA:
We may see a bounce back to test and potentially break above the 3,430 resistance.
This would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Lower Arrow Path)
If the price fails to hold above 3,385:
A breakdown may lead to a drop toward 3,320, with possible continuation toward 3,240.
This would indicate a short-term bearish correction within a longer bullish trend.
🔑 Critical Price Level
Focus on the 3,385 zone — This is a confluence area where:
Horizontal support meets
50 EMA is located
A potential decision point for bulls vs. bears
🧭 Trading Strategy Considerations
For Bulls:
Look for bullish candlestick formations or volume confirmation near the 3,385 level.
Target a retest of the 3,430+ area with stops below 3,375.
For Bears:
Watch for strong bearish breakdown below 3,385.
First target: 3,320, second: 3,240, with stop-loss above 3,400.
📌 Conclusion
The chart illustrates a key inflection point. Price is at a decision zone — hold and bounce = continuation of bullish momentum, break = short-term correction. All eyes on how price reacts at the 50 EMA and support zone near 3,385.
Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Snipers Only: Gold's Next Killzone Is LIVE – Eyes on 3295 -3373🔍 Macro + Context:
Gold continues to dance between uncertainty and calculated aggression. After rejecting cleanly from the premium zone at 3370, price dropped overnight into 3287, fulfilling our sniper buy setup from 3310 and hitting TP2 at 3370 with precision.
Now? Price is hovering at 3298, teasing a bigger directional play as we head into NY session. With inflation jitters, geopolitical undercurrents, and mixed USD sentiment, gold remains a reactionary beast—not a predictive one. Let structure speak.
📐 Technical Structure:
🧱 H1 Structural Key Levels:
🔸 3370–3376 = Premium Supply Zone – Clean rejection + break of structure
🔸 3345 = Previous lower high – Minor liquidity zone, watch for manipulation
🔸 3310 = Former TP1 & demand flip – Local structural retest
🔸 3285–3287 = Current HL attempt – LTF liquidity pool, key bounce zone
🔸 3233–3237 = HTF Discount OB – HTF demand, possible reversal anchor
🧠 Trend & Flow:
HTF Bias: Bullish (Daily still in higher-low territory)
LTF Flow: Bearish correction within HTF context
BOS/CHoCH: Clear BOS from 3370 to the downside
Liquidity: Swept at 3370 and now resting near 3287 lows
EMAs: LTF bearish slope, but HTF structure intact
RSI: Reset on M15–H1, hinting at potential momentum rebuild
🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (Clean, No Fluff):
🟩 BUY ZONE #1 (Reactive Entry)
3284 – 3288
Structure: H1–H4 Demand + Liquidity Sweep
Confluence: EQ of last push + M15 OB
🟩 BUY ZONE #2 (Deeper Reversal Only)
3233 – 3237
Structure: HTF OB + Untapped Daily Liquidity
🟥 SELL ZONE #1 (Intraday)
3372 – 3376
Structure: M15–H1 OB + Prior HTF Reaction
🟥 SELL ZONE #2 (Extreme Supply Test)
3448 – 3455
Structure: HTF FVG + Upper imbalance
⚠️ Eyes On:
Don’t trust the first breakout above 3345—it’s likely liquidity.
Watch how price reacts around 3295: bounce = bull continuation, crack = deeper dive into 3230s.
Momentum could explode NY session—wait for confirmation and never chase.
💬 Final Message :
Gold’s moving—but so are we.💡If this helped map your zones, smash that ❤️ and drop your bias in the comments. Are you stalking 3285 or waiting to trap sellers at 3370 again? Let’s catch these sniper plays together.
TradingView’s been too quiet lately – if you vibe with clean structure > hopium, show some love and let’s grow this smart gold tribe.
👇👇👇
Smart plans. No fluff. Just logic. Drop a 💡 and let’s connect.
Gold Analysis – New Leg of Correction Incoming?It’s been a “special” week for Gold, with wild swings that kept me mostly on the sidelines – except for Monday’s take profit. Now, however, the market is starting to show more clarity.
❓ Has the Market Topped Out?
After a dip to 3260, the price reversed sharply, gaining over 1,000 pips to reach 3367. Yet, both recent attempts to push higher were rejected.
Now, with the spike from 3360 to 3500 looking like a blow-off top, the stage seems set for a new leg of correction.
🔍 Key Technical Signs:
• Heavy selling pressure near recent highs.
• Price action suggests buyers are exhausted.
• 3370 becomes a key resistance – as long as it holds, bearish setups are favored.
📉 Trading Plan:
My approach is simple:
👉 Sell rallies
🎯 Target: a 1,000+ pip drop if 3370 remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD Held Support Level📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s slide paused at $3 315; holding here keeps $3 500 – 3 520 in play.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• PBoC has been buying for 5 months in a row.
• WGC expects strong demand from central banks in 2025.
• Trade wars, tensions in the Middle East and South Asia are causing risks that are increasing demand for gold.
• IMF warns new tariffs could slow growth, boosting safe-haven bids.
• Western ETFs had bought ≈240 t by mid-April.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Strong central-bank buying, renewed ETF inflows, softer USD yields and rising geopolitical risk align with chart support, favouring a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520 while $3 315 holds.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short in European session, looking towards 3260At present, gold's rise and fall is a foregone conclusion. The upper rebound reached as high as 3371. It reversed sharply in early Asian trading and the market quickly turned bearish. Because of the suppression of short positions at the mid-line cycle and weekly level, even if there is a sharp rebound and breaking high, it is only a bullish behavior. In fact, it is a sell-off after a washout. In addition, the problem of head and shoulders has been talked about in the past few days, which gives the expectation that the gold price will rebound and go empty.
At present, this is just the beginning of short selling. Gold price is suppressed by the right shoulder near 3380. After testing the resistance, it forms a long and short reversal run. It pulls back and breaks the intraday low. I expect it to continue to weaken after rising higher today. Next week, the price of gold will be dominated by a short downward trend. At the same time, the adjustment low of the previous low of 3260 will be broken. The current downward trend has not been reversed!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold will focus on the first-line resistance area of 3327-3454 at the top, and the first-line support area at 3286-3360 at the bottom.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,304.80.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,261.30 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink“Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣”
📅 Daily XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 25, 2025
Clean structure. No noise. Just logic.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
• Macro: No major USD catalyst. Yesterday's Unemployment Claims were neutral → price action driven by structure & liquidity.
• Sentiment: Gold remains in premium territory but failed to hold above 3355 in NY → suggesting smart money profit-taking.
• HTF Bias: Bullish (D1 trend intact, HLs hold)
• LTF Flow: Bearish intraday – CHoCH & BOS on M30-H1
• Key Event Backdrop: Powell not speaking today, but market still reflects uncertainty from recent Trump vs. Powell tensions.
📐 STRUCTURE & SMC FLOW
• M30–H1: Internal CHoCH formed after price failed to break above 3355
• Liquidity: Sweeps above 3353 and below 3312 → now hovering around internal equilibrium
• SMC Confluence: OBs, FVGs, and EMA alignment used for all entries
• FIB Zones: Discount for buys (3280–3310), Premium for sells (3385+)
🔻 SELL SCENARIOS
Sell #1 – 3385–3392
🧨 Premium retest zone + H1 OB + Gap mitigation
• SL: 3401
• TP1: 3355
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: H1 OB, NY liquidity above, internal CHoCH
Sell #2 – 3411–3422
💣 Extended premium fill – final imbalance trap
• SL: 3432
• TP1: 3372
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated FVG + fib extension 1.272 + clean wick rejection zone
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS
Buy #1 – 3333–3338
🔋 HTF OB + H4 structure demand
• SL: 3322
• TP1: 3360
• TP2: 3385
• TP3: 3410
🎯 Confluence: HTF FVG, historical bounce zone, EMA100 support
Buy #2 – 3284–3288
🧱 Sniper reentry zone from structure base
• SL: 3270
• TP1: 3312
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3372
🎯 Confluence: Previous sniper entry, structure HL, strong OB zone
📊 TREND RECAP
• HTF Trend: Bullish
• LTF Structure: Currently in retracement mode
• Bias: Neutral to bearish for early London, bullish only on clean 3333 reaction or deeper dip to 3284
🫂 COMMUNITY CALL
"Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣"
Will 3450 Hold? Or is Gold Just Getting Started? 🔄🧠
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Bullish continuation?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 33.11
1st Support: 32.21
1st Resistance: 34.50
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