Gold price today August 5: strong reversalWorld gold prices unexpectedly reversed sharply, as Europe and the US continued to release poor economic data. Specifically, the European economic area announced the investor confidence index released monthly by Sentix GmbH, August at a decrease of 3.7 points, much lower than the increase of 4.5 points in July.
In the US, factory orders released monthly by the US Census Bureau, measuring the change in the value of new orders for goods purchased at US factories, decreased by 4.8% in June compared to the previous month. Although slightly higher than the forecast of a decrease of 4.9%, it decreased sharply compared to the increase of 8.3% in May.
Thus, both the US and the European region are showing weaknesses in economic development. Because new orders in the US are considered a forward-looking indicator of upcoming demand for manufactured goods. Falling orders indicate that the production and business activities of US enterprises will face difficulties in operation.
Commodities
XAGUSD: Correction May Be Over – Watch $37.60 BreakoutAfter reaching a local top around the $39.50 zone on July 24, Silver entered a normal corrective phase, with price dropping over 3,000 pips from top to bottom — roughly an 8% retracement.
📉 Despite the strength of the drop, the structure was clearly corrective, not impulsive. Even more, the move formed a descending broadening wedge, a pattern that often hints at a potential reversal.
📈 Yesterday, we saw a clean breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary — which may signal the end of the correction.
At the time of writing, price is trading at $37.45, right under a key horizontal resistance zone between $37.50 and $37.60.
A breakout above this level would confirm the low and likely initiate a new move toward the $38.70 resistance.
________________________________________
🎯 Summary & Plan:
• A break above $37.60 = bullish confirmation
• Target: $38.70 (first resistance)
• Invalidation: If price drops below $37, bulls lose control
As long as price holds above the $37 zone, the technical outlook remains constructive, and traders could consider setups aligned with the upside scenario. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
WTI(20250805)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Goldman Sachs: We expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times starting in September; if the unemployment rate rises further, a 50 basis point cut is possible.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
65.85
Support/Resistance Levels:
67.97
67.18
66.67
65.04
64.53
63.74
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 65.85, consider buying, with the first target at 66.67. If the market breaks below 65.04, consider selling, with the first target at 64.53.
GOLD H4 | Could the price reverse from here?XAU/USD is reacting off the sell entry at 3,382.85, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,432.37, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,333.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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180 Pips Secured on GOLD! | Sniper Strategy in Action📈 Tired of Gold Trades Going Against You? This Sniper Strategy Just Bagged +180 Pips!
Hello Traders,
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With a consistent 1:2 risk-reward and precision entry logic, it’s designed to help you ride big moves and avoid common traps in XAUUSD.
🚀 Today’s Live Trade Recap:
Signal 1
🟢 Buy @ 3355.91
🔴 SL @ 3349.91
🟢 TP @ 3367.91
✅ Result: +120 Pips
Signal 2
🟢 Buy @ 3368.32
🔴 SL @ 3362.32
🟢 TP @ 3380.32
❌ Result: -60 Pips
Signal 3
🟢 Buy @ 3373.29
🔴 SL @ 3367.29
🟢 TP @ 3385.29
✅ Result: +120 Pips
📊 Total Profit Today: +180 Pips
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If this helped you, like the idea and drop a comment — let’s grow together!
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InvestPro India
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3309.2
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3296.9
Recommended Stop Loss - 3316.4
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Energy printing fresh highs within weeksHere's a better chart than the one shared in October, showing that energy has been consolidating above an upward sloping triangle formation, over 900 days in the making .
With just under 4% remaining to reach prior highs set in April, fresh highs could be just weeks away. Looking at the height of the triangle to project potential gains, there could be a whopping 30% upside ahead.
Lately I've stepped back to ponder the fundamental underpinnings of this move. During the same period, the price of oil has cratered by 40%.
Charting XLE/BRENT shows an astonishing double during the bullish XLE triangle formation
Could it be something to do with the hot war in Ukraine? Anecdotally we know OPEC+ (Saudio Aramco et al) has continued to hold on output increases, while their western peers (XLE) are pushing more product than ever. One theory is XLE companies have taken market share to account for the decline in prices.
Two questions remain:
would oil prices in the $40's be enough to tank XLE shares?
if XLE can hold historic value during a deeper oil price decline, where could its valuation be headed during the next bull cycle in oil?
Energy stocks poised for fresh ATHEnergy stocks (XLE) have been in a clear ascending triangle for some months now on the weekly chart. There was a false breakout not too long back, but the pattern held up after breaking down and price is again pushing up against resistance at the top of the triangle.
Having recently posted a massive green candle with the angst in the Middle East, coming weeks and months could bear witness to fresh all time highs.
GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,372.04 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,363.00..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NATGAS Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS keeps falling down
In a strong downtrend
And Gas is locally oversold
So after the price hits the
Horizontal support of 2.860$
We will be expecting a
Local bullish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37.330 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We got our Bullish target 3370 hit and now waiting for ema5 lock to confirm gap to 3392. Failure to lock will see lower Goldturns tested for suport and bounce, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
After data shock, GOLD has bullish conditions againOANDA:XAUUSD rose more than 2% on Friday, hitting a one-week high, as weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls data boosted hopes of a Federal Reserve rate cut and the announcement of new tariffs boosted safe-haven demand.
On the economic data front
Gold prices rose more than 2% in U.S. trading on Friday (Aug. 1), hitting a one-week high, as weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls data fueled hopes of a Federal Reserve rate cut and safe-haven demand was boosted by the announcement of new tariffs.
The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by just 73,000 jobs in July, well below market expectations of 110,000. June's data was revised down to just 14,000, indicating a significant slowdown in job growth. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, indicating a cooling labor market.
The jobs data was weaker than expected, but slightly higher than the market's lowest forecast. This increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed later this year. As a non-yielding asset, gold typically performs better in a low-interest-rate environment.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, market participants now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates twice before the end of the year, starting in September. Earlier this week, the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%. Chairman Powell said it was too early to determine whether a rate cut would be forthcoming in September, citing inflation and employment data.
On the trade front
Trump has imposed a new round of tariffs on exports from dozens of trading partners, including Canada, Brazil, India and Taiwan, causing a global market crash.
Countries are scrambling to negotiate a better deal. In times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, safe-haven gold is in high demand.
So far in 2025, gold prices have risen more than $400, hitting a record high of $3,167.57/oz on April 3, driven by safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
Weak jobs data also sent the dollar lower against major currencies, further supporting gold prices as a weaker greenback makes gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
Investors' Attention Turns to September FOMC Meeting
Markets are now focused on the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Facing the dual pressures of volatile inflation, slowing employment and escalating global trade tensions, the Fed will have to balance its inflation target with economic growth.
Markets are betting on the Fed to begin a new round of easing, and gold, as a hedge against currency devaluation and economic uncertainty, is expected to continue to benefit.
Gold prices have risen more than 30% year-to-date, reflecting the market’s preference for safe-haven assets. If weak U.S. economic data continues in the coming weeks, or if new geopolitical conflicts emerge, gold prices are expected to continue their upward trend, challenging new highs for the year.
Summary, Commentary
Weak employment, new tariffs and a slumping stock market have all contributed to a strong recovery in gold prices. With the possibility of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September increasing significantly, gold market sentiment has warmed and risk aversion has returned.
Investors will need to keep a close eye on inflation data, Fed officials’ speeches, and whether Trump continues to stoke trade tensions, which could lead to greater volatility in the gold market.
Against the backdrop of the unexpected non-farm payrolls report and moderate inflation, the market has essentially “locked in” the possibility of a rate cut in September, but whether the cut will be 25 or 50 basis points, and whether there will be further rate cuts in the future, will depend on the interaction between the Fed members’ verbal guidance and market expectations.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, affected by the sudden weak data that shocked the market, gold broke most of the technical structure that was leaning towards the downside. Price action was pushed above the EMA21, while the short-term downtrend channel was also broken above and the Relative Strength Index crossed above 50.
These are the initial conditions for a short-term uptrend. But to confirm an uptrend and a new uptrend in the near term, gold needs to continue to break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD) first, then the target will be around 3,400 USD in the short term.
If gold breaks above $3,400 again, traders should set a new target of $3,430 in the short term, rather than $3,450 which is the all-time high.
Motivationally, the RSI has not reached oversold territory to provide pure reversal support, but it has been pushed by the market shock after the NFP data release, so this rally may not be sustainable in a purely motivational way either.
Overall, gold is now more bullish after a rally on Friday, opening up initial conditions for expectations of a new uptrend. And the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,323 – 3,310 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3327 - 3329⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3323
→Take Profit 1 3335
↨
→Take Profit 2 3341
Gold (XAUUSD) – Waiting for Buy Opportunity Near Range SupportWe're currently inside a range and approaching its lower boundary.
There was a chance to go long a bit lower, but there’s still time — the highlighted zone looks like a solid area to consider longs.
We’re patiently waiting for price to enter the zone and give us a valid buy signal.
No rush. Let the market come to us
CVX: Chevron stock slidingPresident Trump policies to support oil companies aiming to increase oil supply in the market and hence to reduce oil prices not to increase it, which mean lower margins for oil companies.
Disclaimer: This content is NOT a financial advise, it is for educational purpose only.
How long can the decline in US crude oil prices last?
💡Message Strategy
On Monday (August 4) during the Asia-Europe session, WTI fell for three consecutive days, with a drop of 1.16% today, trading around 66.55. OPEC+'s decision to increase production, coupled with geopolitical and economic policies, has jointly formed the expectation that oil prices will be "weak and volatile, dominated by downward pressure."
Short-Term: Increased Supply Drives Price Decline
OPEC+'s decision to increase production directly led to further declines in oil prices on Monday (Brent crude fell 0.28% to $69.23/barrel, and WTI fell 0.46% to $67.01/barrel), extending Friday's decline. Market expectations of oversupply reinforced bearish sentiment, particularly as the UAE's additional production increase (accounting for 2.4% of global demand) further amplified the signal of easing supply. However, India's announcement to continue purchasing Russian crude oil partially offset the impact, limiting the price decline and failing to shift the short-term downward trend.
Medium-Term: Supply-Demand and Policy Risks Intertwine
On the Supply Side: OPEC+'s production increase plan may be paused after September, as Goldman Sachs anticipates accelerated OECD inventory accumulation and fading seasonal demand support. However, if US shale oil production is forced to cut production at break-even points due to low oil prices, OPEC+ may adjust its strategy and even consider further releasing the remaining 1.66 million barrels/day of production capacity, which would continue to suppress oil prices.
Long-Term: Market Share Competition and Structural Overcapacity
OPEC+'s production increase strategy aims to reshape the global oil landscape by squeezing out high-cost producers, such as US shale oil, through low prices. Due to rising equipment costs driven by tariffs and low oil prices, US shale oil companies have cut capital expenditures, resulting in a decline in the number of active drilling rigs and a slowdown in production growth. This strategic game is likely to keep oil prices in a low range for a long time, with significant long-term downward pressure. Unity within OPEC+ and coordination between Saudi Arabia and the UAE will be key to policy implementation.
📊Technical aspects
Crude oil's short-term (1H) trend has reversed downward from its highs. The moving averages are diverging and aligning downward, indicating a downward trend in the short term.
The K-line chart has continued to close with small real bodies, and the MACD indicator is about to form a golden cross near the zero axis, signaling weakening downward momentum and a bullish bias on pullbacks. Crude oil is expected to remain weak and downward today, with a potential correction near $65.00.
XAUUSD 30M Range Trap Holding, But Will Bulls Break Above $3366Gold is currently trading within a well defined intraday range, with clear resistance around $3,366.36 and support near $3,339.78. After a strong initial move, price action has stalled, reflecting indecision and balanced order flow between buyers and sellers.
The market now approaches a key inflection point:
→ A confirmed 30 minute candle close above $3,366.36 would signal potential bullish continuation, with immediate targets at $3,368.99 and $3,371.11
→ Conversely, a close below $3,339.78 may trigger a downside move toward $3,331.66, followed by $3,328.21
Momentum remains neutral within the range, and any premature entries carry increased risk of whipsaw. Patience is essential, a clean breakout with structure and volume confirmation will offer higher probability trade setups.
This remains a rangebound environment until proven otherwise. Breakout traders should stay alert, but disciplined.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #BreakoutWatch #MarketStructure #30mChart
SILVER Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,722.4.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,685.7 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my fresh support & resistance analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3327 - 3344 area
Support 2: 3246 - 3275 area
Resistance 1: 3431 - 3451 area
The price is currently coiling on a trend line.
Your next bullish confirmation will be its breakout.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Today's crude oil strategy sharingToday's Crude Oil Charlie Recommendation: 📥📥📥.
Short at $68.05, stop loss at $68.50, take profit at $66.10. (For aggressive shorting, try $67.85; for a more conservative approach, go short at $68.60).🔥🔥🔥
If the market falls to $66.50 before the New York market opens, go long at $67.70. Set the stop loss at $66.❤️🔥❤️🔥❤️🔥
⚠️⚠️⚠️The market is risky; participate rationally. FX:USOIL MARKETSCOM:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT FX:USOILSPOT MARKETSCOM:USOIL
Oil at Key Support – Bounce or Breakdown?Crude oil is trading around $66.94, showing a bearish correction after failing to hold above $69.05. The chart shows price respecting an ascending channel but currently testing its lower boundary. The recent drop signals weakening bullish momentum, and a confirmed break below the channel could accelerate selling pressure toward lower levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Rebound: If price holds above the channel support (~$66.00–$66.50) and breaks back above $69.05, it may target $71.03 and possibly $72.00.
- Bearish Breakdown: A confirmed close below $66.00 can accelerate the downside toward $65.00, with extended targets near $63.50–$62.00.
📊 Key Technical Highlights
- Price rejected from the channel top and is now testing lower support.
- Key resistance zones: $69.05 (immediate), $71.03 (major).
- Key support zones: $66.00 (channel), then $65.00–$63.50 (breakdown targets).
- Momentum indicators show weakening buying pressure, favoring cautious trading.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $69.05 → $71.03 → $72.00
- Support: $66.00 → $65.00 → $63.50
🧭 Trend Outlook
- A short-term relief bounce is possible, but failure to reclaim $69.05 keeps sellers in control.
- Breaking below the channel would shift the overall outlook to bearish for August.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!