GOLD PoV - SHORT 3.125$The price of gold has recently reached a historic high, surpassing the $3,100 per ounce mark, driven by uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariff policies under President Donald Trump and concerns about potential geopolitical conflicts.
This increase underscores gold’s role as a safe haven asset, with investors seeking stability amid growing economic and political instability.
Trade tensions, particularly the tariff policies proposed by the Trump administration, have contributed to economic uncertainty, prompting investors to seek security in gold.
Additionally, concerns about potential conflicts, such as recent escalations in the Middle East, have further strengthened demand for gold as protection against geopolitical risks.
Central banks have played a significant role in this scenario, increasing their gold reserves. In the third quarter of 2023, reserves increased by 337 tons, bringing the total for the first nine months of the year to 800 tons, about a third of the global mine production for the same period.
This accumulation by central banks has helped sustain the price of gold, highlighting its status as a safe asset.
Regarding investment strategies, some analysts suggest that gold's price may undergo a correction after its recent rally. For example, technical analysis indicates a potential short entry at $3,125 per ounce, with a profit target of $2,925, anticipating a retracement of about $200.
However, it is important to consider that gold price forecasts can be influenced by various unpredictable factors, such as economic policies, geopolitical developments, and market dynamics.
In summary, gold has benefited from a significant increase in value due to the uncertainty arising from trade policies and concerns about geopolitical conflicts. Its nature as a safe-haven asset has attracted investments from both institutional investors and central banks. However, trading strategies, such as short positions, should be evaluated cautiously, considering the volatility and uncertainty that characterize the gold market.
Commodities
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3100.Wave “3” is still continuing its progression. This means that the five-wave impulse is not over yet and we expect the upward movement to continue.
Of course I would like to see wave “4” as a corrective wave in the area of 3024 level, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 3100 level. This level is also considered to be quite strong, from which there could be a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 69.68
1st Support: 66.60
1st Resistance: 71.29
S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 5,405.74
1st Support: 5,176.07
1st Resistance: 5,769.85
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
$KRE CRASH COMING ... Not yet tho..we'll find out..Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
Silver Price Analysis – Key Support and Resistance LevelsSilver on a 1-hour timeframe. The analysis highlights key market structures:
Downtrend Channel: Initially, the price was in a downward-sloping channel (green-highlighted area).
Breakout and Uptrend: The price broke out of the bearish channel, forming an uptrend.
Resistance and Support Levels:
The resistance trendline (black) acted as a price ceiling where sellers emerged.
The support level (blue) helped buyers regain control, leading to price continuation.
Current Setup:
The price is consolidating around the 34.1120 level after testing the 34.5000 mark.
A potential bullish breakout or retracement towards support could be expected.
This analysis is useful for traders looking to identify trend reversals, breakout opportunities, or support and resistance confirmations.
Note: This is not a trading signal, just my personal analysis based on current market trends.
USOIL Strategy AnalysisUS crude oil inventories have declined, while expectations of tariff hikes by Trump on Russia and Iran provided short-term market catalysts. However, the economic implications of such measures have also fueled concerns about growth, leading crude oil prices to retrace after a rebound.
For intraday crude oil trading, prioritize selling on rallies with buying on dips as a secondary strategy.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 69.4-69.7
sl 70.2
tp 68.7-68.9
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain precise signals.
Gold price today continues to be forecast to increaseBrian greets everyone, let's discuss the gold price forecast for next week from 03/31/2025 - 04/04/2025.
Global Situation:
Last week, the market witnessed intense volatility in gold prices as it continuously broke previous highs to establish new records. The precious metal closed the final trading session at a new all-time high of $3,085 per ounce, approximately $60 higher than the previous week's closing.
In the Wall Street survey, 20 analysts participated, with 85% forecasting continued upward movement in gold prices, only 5% predicting a decline, and the remaining 10% expecting sideways movement.
Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 202 investors responded, with 64% anticipating further price increases, just 19% expecting prices to cool down, and the remainder predicting sideways movement.
Analysis:
Gold prices are rising, with early April expected to see a breakthrough to NEW all-time highs.
Forecast:
Strong buying demand persists from central banks, Chinese consumers, and North American investors - particularly from the US, where potential remains untapped.
Additionally, concerns about tariffs and inflation will drive investors toward gold as a safe haven. Gold prices could potentially reach $3,200 or $3,300 if tariff measures are implemented.
Technical Analysis:
Based on gold's resistance and support zones on the H4 timeframe, Brian identifies these key areas:
Resistance: $3100, $3132, $3150
Support: $3070, $3050
IMPORTANT NOTES:
Note: Brian emphasizes proper capital management for traders:
Use appropriate lot sizes based on your capital
Take profits at 4-6% of account balance
Set stop losses at 2-3% of account balance
The winner is the one who stays in the market the longest.
Gold- Target and new ATH reached. Now what?In my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold would likely reach a new all-time high (ATH), but for that to happen, it was crucial for bulls to hold strong at the 3025-3030 support zone.
Indeed, Gold made a new ATH, reaching my target zone of 3080 overnight. I closed my buy trade with a profit of 550 pips.
Now, the key question is: What’s next?
In my opinion, there’s a strong possibility that Gold will continue its upward movement and test the 3100 level. However, at the current price of 3075, entering a buy trade is not justified from a risk perspective.
For now, I’m staying out of the market. If a retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 3050 zone closely—most importantly, I’ll assess how the market reacts at that level before making any decisions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
OIL Today's strategyAfter continuously testing the resistance level between 70 and 70.5, it started to decline and is currently in a downward trend. When it is near this area, you may continue to engage in short selling.
USOIL
sell@69.8-70.3
tp:69-68.5
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XAGUSD Silver outlookThis is my current view on XAGUSD. I have a trade running which has a lose target starting around $36, but will be subject to change as the price action develops. I'm in silver for the chance that we see much higher prices than that!!. Trading spot is a small part of my exposure to the silver sector.
Gold price next week will continue to conquer the new peak?Brian Hello Everyone, Let's Comment on Gold Price Next Week From 31/03/2025 - April 5, 2025
World situation:
Gold prices continue to reach new highs as investors flock to this safe-haven asset, amid growing concerns about the global trade war triggered by US tariff policies. Currently closing at $3,085, up 0.94%, the yellow metal remains the optimal choice in the face of mounting worries about tariffs, trade tensions, and geopolitical instability.
US trade policy, fiscal policy, geopolitical factors, and growth slowdown will support gold prices. Forecasts suggest that $3,100 per ounce will be the next important milestone for gold prices.
Identify:
The upward trend will continue into next week, with support levels indicated on the chart providing backing for gold. Pay attention to the new all-time high, from which the upward momentum will continue to be triggered.
Technically:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
NOTE:
Note: Brian wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation)
Current Price: ~$3,093
Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure.
🧠 1. Market Structure (H4)
Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL.
Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding.
Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks.
📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart
🔝 Upside Target
3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone
🟦 Intraday Support Zones
3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries)
3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill
2,977.64 – origin of last impulse
2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones
🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity
🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand
💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120
Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs
📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4)
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+
📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone
🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation
Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward:
🔁 3,049
🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB)
Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries.
🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now)
Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward:
🔻 2,899
This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure.
🧭 Summary
Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips.
Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120.
If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action
Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000).
Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions.
Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control.
📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart)
📌 Upside Targets:
🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP
🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds
🟩 Support Zones:
✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support
✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone
✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone
✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support
🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights
Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200).
FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible.
No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode.
📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 3,180+
Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support.
⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand
Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward:
🔁 3,000 (retest previous high)
🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone)
Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long.
🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable)
Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish.
🧭 Summary
XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above.
Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs.
Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
BRIEFING Week #13 : ETH offers perfect opportunityHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Will Monday Bring a Breakout or a Correction?Last week was characterized by extreme volatility, with price movements reflecting significant reactions across different trading sessions. On Friday, the Asian session managed to push past the $3057 mark, only for early European trading to see a pullback. However, the US session reversed course, fueling a rally that extended until market close.
Key Levels to Watch on Monday
Looking ahead, the critical question is whether the Asian session can break above $3086, potentially paving the way for a push beyond $3100. If this breakout fails, we could see a price correction similar to Friday's, especially during European trading.
At present, I'm taking a cautious approach, observing the market while many anticipate further upside. While momentum appears strong, I prefer to wait for clearer confirmations before making a move.
Potential Scenarios
Breakout Above $3086
A successful push above this level could signal continuation toward $3100+, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Failure at $3086 – Potential Pullback
If the market struggles to sustain levels above $3086, a decline to $3076 is likely.
A break below $3076 could see further downside to $3067 and possibly lower.
Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment
RSI (1H): Currently at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
RSI (4H): Around 90, showing overbought conditions—especially following the Asian session rally.
Market Sentiment:
Many traders expect an upward continuation, but caution is warranted given overbought signals and the possibility of a correction.
External Factors: Tariffs & Global Trends
As we approach April 2nd, when new tariffs take effect, global markets have been showing signs of weakness. Uncertainty persists, and with gold acting as a safe haven, investors may seek protection, adding another layer of complexity to Monday’s price action.
Conclusion
The start of the week will likely be dictated by whether the Asian session can achieve a breakout above $3086. If it does, bullish momentum could drive prices higher. However, failure at this level could result in a correction, with key support levels at $3076 and $3067 in focus. Given the broader market conditions and upcoming economic events, a cautious approach remains prudent.
📉 Will Monday bring a correction, or is there still room for another rally? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation.
I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends.
Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years...
The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE.
You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go.
This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis.
My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes.
I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times.
Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading.
Hope you enjoy this video.
Get Some.
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USOIL:Continue to sell at highs tomorrowAfter breaking below the lower edge of the range, the medium-term trend of crude oil has been continuously moving in a secondary oscillation around low levels. In terms of momentum, neither the bullish nor bearish momentum has significantly overwhelmed the other, and there has been no continuation of the bullish trend.
Regarding the support level, we should first consider the 68.5 mark, which was an important resistance level that the oil price previously broke through. For tomorrow's trading operations, it is advisable to mainly consider selling at highs.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@70-70.5
TP:69-68.5
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Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%.
Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market.
It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point.
The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern.
Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements.
The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%.
At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A.
From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A.
Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern.
Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
XAUUSD - Uptrend is strong, pullback for buysThe gold market is displaying remarkable strength, with the XAU/USD pair recently breaking above the $3,085 level to establish new historical highs. The upward trajectory has been supported by a robust ascending trendline dating back to late February, indicating persistent bullish momentum. While the immediate trend remains decidedly positive, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be forthcoming, which would likely present advantageous buying opportunities for traders. The highlighted support zone around $3,030-$3,040 could serve as an ideal entry point for those looking to establish long positions, with the expectation that after this healthy pullback, gold will resume its upward march toward the projected target of $3,100 and potentially beyond.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.