KOG - OILQuick look at Oil. There is a pivot here in the golden zone around the 70.5 level which we can dip into. Above that level, we would be looking for higher oil with the potential target level on the chart. Note, oil is due a huge pull back, so rejection from one of these resistance levels can give us that pull back in order to get better pricing to long.
We've added the red boxes from the indicator to help you navigate the move.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
Commodities
KOG - SILVERSILVER
As with gold and oil, looking at this expecting a gap on open and potential for a move driven by the news. If we do spike down, the red box is the level to watch with the red box levels above as potential target levels on the breaks.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Yen slides on oil supply jitters after US attack on IranThe Japanese yen has started the week with sharp losses. In the European session, USD/JPY has jumped 1.2% on the day and is trading at 147.82. The yen has fallen to five-week lows against the US dollar.
The fallout from the US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend is being felt in the currency markets. The Japanese yen, traditionally a safe-haven currency, continues to depreciate, in response to rising oil prices.
Oil prices rose to their highest level since January on Monday after the US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. Iran has threatened to close the Straits of Hormuz, a critical trade route through which 20% of the world's oil supply passes through each day. Oil prices have jumped about 10% since the Israel-Iran war started on June 13 and fears of a disruption to oil supply could further boost oil prices.
As oil prices have climbed, the yen has lost ground, declining 3.0% since the Israel-Iran war started. Japan imports almost all of its oil and the rise in oil prices is hurting Japan's trade balance.
Japan's core inflation rate climbed 3.7% y/y in May, up from 3.5% in April. Core CPI has accelerated for a third straight month and hit its highest level since Jan. 2023. This was above the market estimate of 3.6%. Headline inflation ticked lower to 3.5% from 3.6% in April, below the forecast of 3.6%.
The rise in core CPI supports the case for the Bank of Japan to boost interest rates, but the uncertainty over tariffs and the Israel-Iran war will likely mean that the BoJ will stay on the sidelines in the coming months.
There is resistance at 146.91. Next, USD/JPY is testing resistance at 147.61
146.51 and 145.81 are the next support levels
Bullish Momentum Expected Next Week, With Geopolitical tensions 🌍 Fundamental Catalyst – Middle East Tensions Driving Gold Higher
Gold is gaining strong safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, further amplified by a recent U.S. military strike on Iran. These developments have sparked fears of a broader regional conflict, pushing investors to seek the stability that gold traditionally offers during periods of uncertainty. We may again see an All-Time New High of gold because things are getting closer to a new WWIII, which we never want, so these tensions will boost the gold prices.
Key Fundamentals Supporting Bullish Gold:
🛡️ Safe-Haven Demand: Gold historically rallies during military conflict and political instability.
💥 Risk-Off Sentiment: Equities may weaken while commodities like gold attract capital inflow.
🔐 Market Uncertainty: Any further escalation will likely trigger another wave of buying pressure in gold.
With this level of geopolitical uncertainty, we may soon witness a new all-time high (ATH) in gold prices. If further military actions occur, we could potentially see an explosive move of 600 to 1000 pips as early as tomorrow.
At the same time, while we analyze the market and act accordingly, our hope remains that peace will soon prevail. These conflicts are deeply painful and harmful to humanity. Let’s all hope for de-escalation and the return of stability — not just for the markets, but for the well-being of people across the world.
Technical Overview:
> The chart shows a descending channel pattern, which is still valid, but the thing is now gold will follow fundamental, not technical levels.
> Don't need to wait for the breakout of this channel, you can enter to buy a trade from here once the market opens.
> Regarding the targets we mentioned below.
>> TP1: 3400 <<
>> Final Target Zone: 3445–3450 <<
: NOTE
Given the geopolitical backdrop and historical behavior of gold in such environments, a bullish trend is expected in the coming sessions. Traders and investors should monitor developments closely, as any further escalation may act as a strong catalyst for gold to surge.
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GOLD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading along the
Rising support and is already
Making a bullish rebound so
As we are bullish biased due
To the strong uptrend we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up on Gold
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – Monday, June 23, 2025Current Price: 3368.76
Trend: Bearish on H4 | Corrective on H1 | Weak Bullish Attempt on M15
Market Context: Gold is consolidating under EMA pressure after FOMC. Price is pinned inside a key flip zone, awaiting Monday’s fundamental triggers.
🔸 HTF Overview (D1, H4, H1)
📰 Macro + Economic Context – Week of June 23–28:
This is a high-impact week for USD with Fed speeches, inflation, and growth data. Monday opens with caution:
Monday, June 23
🟠 FOMC Member Waller Speaks
🔴 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
🟠 Existing Home Sales
Tuesday, June 24
🔴 Fed Chair Powell Testifies
🟠 CB Consumer Confidence
🟠 Richmond Manufacturing Index
Wednesday, June 25
🔴 Powell Testimony (Day 2)
🟠 New Home Sales
Thursday, June 26
🔴 Final GDP q/q
🔴 Unemployment Claims
🟠 Durable Goods Orders
🟠 Pending Home Sales
Friday, June 27
🔴 Core PCE Price Index
🟠 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
📌 Monday is lighter in impact, but PMI data and Waller’s speech may spark the week’s directional bias. Avoid trading blindly into PMI spikes.
H4 Structure & Bias:
Bearish trend intact: Lower High = 3418, Lower Low = 3311
EMAs (21/50/100) aligned downward — price capped below 3380
RSI still under 60 = no bullish momentum
Rejection zone remains valid at 3406–3420 (H4 OB)
Strong demand expected at 3340–3352 and extreme at 3310–3288
🔸 LTF Precision (M30, M15)
Price compressing around 3365–3372
RSI around 56 → indecision
No bullish HH above 3380 = still within bearish control
EMA flattening → prepare for trap setups around NY open
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🔻 Sell Zone – 3406–3420
H4 OB, FVG top, liquidity above 3405
Entry: 3412
SL: 3426
TP1: 3312
TP2: 3288
TP3: 3265
🧠 Wait for sweep or strong bearish reaction — no early entries.
⚠️ Flip Zone – 3360–3380
No-trade zone: EMA cluster + mid-FVG
Only use for confirmations, not entries
🟢 Buy Zone – 3340–3352
OB + demand + Fib retracement
Entry: 3348
SL: 3334
TP1: 3448
TP2: 3472
TP3: 3490
🟢 Buy Zone – 3310–3288
Below LL sweep (3311)
Deep liquidity + OB demand
Entry: 3298
SL: 3280
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3405
TP3: 3440
📍 Key Structural Levels – June 23
Level Type Role
3460 Bull Trap Limit Irrational spike area
3445 FOMC Unfilled wick – trap zone
3426 Sell Zone Risk protection above OB
3418 H4 LH Confirmed bearish structure
3410 OB Midpoint Micro-rejection inside OB
3395 Previous HH Inducement target
3384 FVG Top Minor LTF rejection
3360–3380 ⚠️ Flip Zone MA/FVG compression – avoid entries
3352 OB entry edge Buy Zone 1 upper limit
3340 OB base Buy Zone 1 key level
3311 H4 LL Confirms bear structure
3300 Round Level Psychological + liquidity
3288 OB base Final demand structure zone
3265 Final TP Bearish extension only
✅ Final Action Plan
📉 Stay bearish below 3380 unless a clean HH + OB support forms
⚠️ Avoid trading inside 3360–3380 flip zone during NY PMI data
🛒 Longs valid only from 3340 or 3310 with confirmation (RSI, PA, OB)
🧠 Focus on structure integrity and clean OB rejections only
💬 Will you fade the 3412 OB or wait for the sniper bounce at 3348?
🔔 Follow and 🚀@GoldFxMinds for premium breakdowns, macro updates, and real-time sniper execution guidance.
🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts.
GoldFxMinds
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty.
In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus.
Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise.
Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320
Resistance levels: 3366, 3396
On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300
Best regards, R. Linda!
Conflict breaks out, risk aversion rises, can 3400 be broken?Bowman's dovish comments in the afternoon eased the market, by which time risk aversion was deepening as sudden geopolitical conflicts continued to deepen. Will the USA make a corresponding response to this matter? This series of events has once again put gold into a complicated situation. Can gold hit the 3,400 mark today?
Free trading strategies are updated daily🌐. All trading strategies released since this month have been verified and can serve as a good reference📈.👇 I sincerely hope that these strategies can be helpful to you👇.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
USDJPY H2 Best Level to SHORT/HOLD TP +100/+200 pips🏆USDJPY H2 Market Update H2 chart
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸trading in well defined range
🔸trading near range highs now
🔸range highs set 148.40/148.80
🔸range lows set at 140.80/141.40
🔸strategy: SHORT SELL from resistance
🔸SL 60 pips TP1 +100 pips TP2 +200 pips
🔸swing trade setup for patient traders
🌍 FX Market Snapshot — June 2025
🇪🇺 EUR/USD (~1.1500)
Euro climbs near 1.15 as eurozone inflation cools and ECB turns more dovish.
Stable German sentiment provides support, but softer CPI could limit gains.
🔑 Support: 1.1445 | Resistance: 1.1550
🇬🇧 GBP/USD (~1.3435)
Pound slips toward 1.34 after recent highs, as UK data remains mixed.
Manufacturing picks up, but falling inflation boosts BoE rate cut bets.
🔑 Support: 1.3400–1.3420 | Resistance: 1.3500
🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index, ~99.14)
Dollar edges higher as investors seek safety amid geopolitical tensions.
Mixed US economic signals; eyes on upcoming job data.
🔑 Support: 98.80 | Resistance: 100.00
🇯🇵 USD/JPY (~147.4)
Dollar rallies above 147 as yen weakens; BOJ stays ultra-loose.
Oil price spikes add extra pressure on JPY.
🔑 Support: 145.0 | Resistance: 148.5
📊 Quick View
Pair Rate Support Resistance Key Theme
🇪🇺 EUR/USD ~1.1500 1.1445 1.1550 Dovish ECB, soft CPI
🇬🇧 GBP/USD ~1.3435 1.3400–1.3420 1.3500 Mixed UK data
🇯🇵 USD/JPY ~147.4 145.0 148.5 Yen weakness
🇺🇸 DXY ~99.14 98.80 100.00 Geopolitical risks
Greatness ApproachingClear impulsive bullish move in 2024, followed by 18 or so long months of a triangle correction. The bullish move happened so quickly that this makes sense. The markets needed time to sort out what was going on here.
The breakout from that triangle is a big deal and coincided with silver breaking above major resistance. NYSE:AG is one of the best leveraged silver plays and I am very bullish silver above $35. Momentum and structure have both broken to the upside. We are just getting started.
Based on the way NYSE:AG acts as a leveraged play on silver prices, this count is conservative. It is entirely possible that the next wave 3 we are entering subdivides and we go even higher, but we won't know until we get more structure.
Huge Moves Coming for Silver MinersNYSE:PAAS has some of the best structure I've seen in any of the miners, along with NYSE:AG and $FSM. July 2024 was the beginning of a rising, complex correction. Price could always reject off the top of the channel and pull back to $26, but any dip here is a buying opportunity. We are headed for far higher prices going forward based on this structure.
The impulsive bullish waves in 2024 are clear.
The rising corrective pattern is mega bullish for the next wave.
I believe we are already in the next wave.
If this thing breaks above $30, it will fly.
I am taking no profits until we hit $55-60.
Crude Oil Strategy LayoutThe rise in oil prices on Monday will not only push up household daily expenses such as fuel and heating costs, but also increase corporate operating costs, which may in turn suppress consumption and investment activities. Ellen Zentner, Chief Economic Strategist at Morgan Stanley, pointed out in a Sunday analysis that against the backdrop of the Trump administration's high tariff policies, the U.S. economy was already facing pressure from a slowdown in growth, and the further increase in oil prices would exert "powerful pressure" on household consumption capacity. This may not only weaken consumers' willingness to purchase, but also drag down the pace of overall economic growth.
Crude oil showed a gap-up and then decline trend today, falling sharply from around $77.7. Oil prices gradually corrected today, with the lowest point touching around $72.5 and hovering there. Currently, oil prices are hovering above the support level of 72.0, which is expected to be the bottom support of the box movement. Taken together, crude oil is in a high-range consolidation. In terms of operation, it is considered to lay out long positions on pullbacks.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@72.0-72.5
TP:75.0-75.5
XAUUSD Channel Up bottomed, giving a strong buy signal.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up since the May 20 low and right now it is consolidating within and just outside the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) zone. At the same time, it has touched the bottom of the Channel Up.
This is exactly the kind of price action the pattern had during its previous bottom formation following a Higher Low (June 9-11). With the 4H RSI having also formed a Higher Low pattern consistent with all previous 3 Lows, we expect the price to start its new Bullish Leg now. Our Target is 3495 (+4.75% from the bottom).
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GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,379.47 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,392.86 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3376.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3366.2
Recommended Stop Loss - 3383.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.262 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.171..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Crude Oil Eyes 3-Year Channel BreakoutCrude Oil trades between Israel-Iran-Conflict supply risks, overbought momentum, and the potential for a 3-year channel breakout.
While upside risks from a possible Strait of Hormuz closure remain uncertain, a firm hold above $78 could extend gains toward $80 and $83.50, keeping oil on a bullish edge for H2 2025.
A pullback into the channel may ease inflation concerns and reassert bearish pressure below the $80 mark. Key support lies at $72 for a potential downside resumption.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Hanzo / Gold 15 min - 0 draw down tactical Reversal Entrys🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish Reversal : 3347.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish Reversal : 3350
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish Reversal : 3373.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Crude Oil Prices Rocketing amid geopolitical risks
NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! NYMEX:BZ1!
Macro:
Geopolitical tensions remain high and markets are now likely to price in our scenario discussing ongoing air and missile war, given one-off intervention from the US thus far. According to Reuters, the U.S. now assesses that Iranian retaliation could occur within the next two days.What happens next is anybody’s guess but as traders, it is important to navigate these uncertainties with scenario planning and/or reduce risk to account for increased volatility.
We also get Services and Manufacturing PMI data today and PCE Price Index on Friday. Chair Powell is set to testify on Tuesday 9am CT.
Key levels:
Jan 2025 High: 76.57
2025 High: 78.40
2025 CVAH(Composite Value Area High): 75.68
Key LIS zone: 73.50-73.15
We anticipate the following scenarios in crude oil:
Scenario 1:
Prices remain elevated as tensions remain high, despite limited retaliation, however, the situation overall now escalated beyond return to diplomacy.
Scenario 2:
Any push towards de-escalation, unlikely in our analysis, but given the headline risk, crude prices may remain volatile and come off the highs.
Given our key LIS (Line in Sand) zone above, we favor longs above this and shorts below this zone.