GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,371.01 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Commodities
Analysis strategy for the latest gold trend on June 2:
The strengthening of the US dollar suppressed the gold price: the US dollar index rebounded, and gold fell under pressure.
Impact of tariff policy: The tariff policy during the Trump period was restored, and the market risk aversion fluctuated, but it did not significantly boost gold.
Expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut: Weak inflation data strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts, but short-term support for gold was limited.
Key event risks:
Powell's speech (next Tuesday): The market is paying attention to his statement on interest rate policy.
Fed officials have spoken intensively: This may affect the market's expectations of the pace of interest rate cuts.
1. Daily level
The closing price fell below 3300 (the middle track support of the Bollinger band), and the weekly decline exceeded 2.1%, with bears dominating.
Key support: 3250 (if it falls below, it may accelerate downward).
Key resistance: 3325 (if it breaks through, it may return to oscillating upward).
2. 1-hour level
The moving average is short-term, the 3325 resistance is strong, and the short-term rebound momentum is insufficient.
Friday's trend: The Asian and European sessions fluctuated downward, with the lowest at 3271. After rebounding, it fell again, indicating that the main force was washing the market.
Short-term trend: If it fails to break through the 3310-3313 resistance zone, it may continue to test 3250.
1. Short position layout (main strategy)
Entry range: 3308-3313 (rebound test resistance level)
Stop loss: above 3320 (prevent false breakthrough)
Target: 3295→3285→3250 (take profit in batches)
2. Long orders are carefully observed (counter-trend strategy)
Conditions: If it quickly drops to 3250 and stabilizes, you can go long with a light position (need to cooperate with oversold signals or US dollar pullback).
Stop loss: below 3240 (prevent further breakout).
Powell's speech: If a strong dovish signal is released (such as clarifying the time for interest rate cuts), the decline in gold may be reversed.
Geopolitical emergencies: If the situation escalates, safe-haven buying may push gold higher in the short term.
Dollar trend: If the dollar pulls back, gold may see a technical rebound.
Short-term trend: Bearish, pay attention to the pressure in the 3300-3313 resistance zone.
Trading strategy: Mainly short selling on rebound, strictly set stop loss, and avoid blindly buying at the bottom.
Medium- and long-term focus: Fed policy trends and economic data, if expectations of interest rate cuts heat up, gold may usher in a new round of gains.
(The market is changing rapidly, it is recommended to flexibly adjust strategies based on real-time data to control risks.)
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 34.374 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.902..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
There remains a risk of further downside for crude oil prices.During Monday's US trading session, international oil prices rebounded strongly. The main US crude contract surged 2.5% at one point to $62.31 per barrel, while the August Brent crude futures also rose more than 2% to $64.12 per barrel. Two key drivers underlie this rally: OPEC+'s maintenance of a "modest production increase" strategy at its weekend meeting, and Ukraine's surprise attack on a Russian military airfield. The crude oil market is currently in a dual game of "policy and geopolitics": OPEC+ seeks to balance the market with "modest production increases," while Ukraine's raid serves as a reminder that black swans are never far away.
Short-term Outlook:
US oil prices may remain range-bound between $60-$64 per barrel.
However, if the Russia-Ukraine conflict deteriorates or internal rifts within OPEC+ deepen, a new round of violent volatility (sharp rallies or crashes) cannot be ruled out.
Technical Analysis:
Early trading saw oil prices consolidate in a narrow range near $61, reflecting a secondary rhythm.
The MACD indicator is bearishly diverging below the zero axis with strong bearish momentum, suggesting a risk of continued downward movement in crude oil prices during the session.
Trading Strategy:
sell@63.5-64.0
TP:61.6-62.0
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Rebounds Off 50-Day SMA Support in Bullish Continuation SetGold is reasserting its uptrend following a strong bounce off confluence support around the 50-day moving average and trendline:
Uptrend Intact: Price continues to respect the rising trendline and 50-day SMA (~$3,235), which acted as a springboard for the latest push.
Momentum Shift: The MACD has turned higher again after cooling off through April-May, while RSI is climbing toward the 60 zone, a constructive sign.
Next Resistance: A move above $3,400 would expose the all-time high region near $3,460.
Structure: This appears to be a textbook continuation pattern—higher lows and resilience above the short-term MAs indicate buyers remain in control.
A break below ~$3,230 would neutralize the bullish structure, but for now, bulls look reenergized.
-MW
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Bearih Reversal Zone )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting Reversal
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bearish Reversal : 3378
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Wheaton precious Metals can push on to $90It could be a HOT summer for the gold and silver bugs
And the speculators in the mining sector!
WPM ( formerly Silver Wheaton #SLW)
Has a broken out of a inverse head and shoulders
Two targets provided
Also important to note this inv head and shoulders is a continuation pattern not a bottom pattern.
Don't chase long positions easily during high-level adjustments📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, the double high points above the gold price are suppressed at the 3365 line. The MACD indicators at the 4H and daily levels tend to form a golden cross, releasing bullish signals. In the short term, if you want to confirm a unilateral upward trend, you need to break through the 3365 line. Despite the strong bullish signals, as I just reminded you, the current technical indicators are close to overbought areas, and I still think there is a certain risk of a correction. In the European session, I will consider trying to short at the 3355-3365 line, and pay attention to the short-term support at 3340-3330 line below. Later, after the price gets some support at the support level, we can consider long trades.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3355-3365
TP 3340-3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
SILVER Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.985 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 33.258
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3369.0
Sl - 3381.1
Tp - 3345.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD BULLISH TO $3,620 - $3,730Here's a breakdown video of how I used my EW strategy to identify the next bullish target for Gold towards a new ATH.
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at $3,500.
⭕️Simple 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) Correction Complete for Wave 4.
⭕️Strong Support Zone at Wave 4 Low of $3,122.
⭕️Fibonacci Retracement Used to Target Wave 5 Target.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan — Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Warzone: Will Bears Break Structure or Bulls Reclaim Premium?”
👋 Welcome to the new week, traders. The battlefield is balanced — here’s how we dominate it.
Gold is trading just above equilibrium (3289–3290) after a messy week of premium traps, CHoCHs, and weak bullish continuations. The market has printed clear Lower Highs (LHs) across H1/M15 and failed to reclaim the supply at 3302–3308.
We are now caught in a compression box between M15 OB resistance and discount inefficiency, with liquidity stacked below.
🔹 Current Bias
🎯 Neutral-to-bearish under 3308
🔻 CHoCH + LH formed on both M15 and H1
🧠 Monday will reveal if we break 3270 floor or induce a final trap into premium
🔹 Intraday Structural Zones (Sniper Refined)
🔺 Resistance Zones Above Price
Zone Name Price Range Confluence
🔺 First OB Reaction 3296 – 3302 M15 OB + H1 rejection wick — soft inducement
🔺 Final LH Trap 3308 – 3322 Last Lower High + FVG fill + premium supply
🔺 Premium Killzone 3335 – 3355 Upper trap + internal liquidity — only visited if bulls reclaim structure
🔻 Support Zones Below Price
Zone Name Price Range Confluence
🔻 EQ Reaction Floor 3274 – 3262 Current support shelf + equilibrium wick lows
🔻 First Breakdown Zone 3248 – 3228 BOS origin + M15 CHoCH + clean liquidity stack
🔵 Swing Reentry Zone 3196 – 3172 M15 demand block + clean OB + deep FVG fill
⚫ Final HTF Demand 3150 – 3130 May HL + strong structure base — ultimate reversal point if dumped
🔹 Execution Plan for Monday
✅ Plan A — Sell Setup (Most Probable)
If price taps 3296–3302 early and rejects → short toward 3262
Confirm with M15 CHoCH + bearish PA
Target 3248 → 3228
Hold partials for extension into 3196 if momentum is clean
🔁 Plan B — Inducement Trap Then Drop
Spike into 3308–3322 → watch for LH rejection or FVG sweep
Sell setup becomes valid only if M15 fails to break structure up
Target remains same: 3262 → 3228
🛑 Invalid Buy Conditions
❌ No buys valid inside 3302–3322 → this is smart money trap zone
✅ Buy only valid if:
Deep discount reaction at 3196–3172, OR
Clean break + BOS above 3322, then hold → reentry toward 3355
📊 EMA Structure (5/21/50/100/200)
❌ EMA5 is under 21 and 50 → bearish
⚠️ Price is hugging EMA100 from below
✅ EMA200 (H1) sits at ~3172 → aligns with deep demand zone
Momentum favors sellers if 3308 holds
🔚 Final Thoughts — Battlefield Summary
Gold is stuck in range-to-distribution structure after failing to reclaim premium. With CHoCHs on all major intraday timeframes, momentum is now tilting bearish. The setup is clean: wait for the retest of structure above, then strike into demand zones where clean inefficiencies remain.
Don’t chase fake breakouts. Let price show its hand near OBs and EQ edges — and execute with clarity.
💬 If You Found This Valuable:
📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for live sniper plans, real zone maps, and execution clarity
💡 Smash a LIKE if you’re ready to wait, not chase
👇 Comment your take: Do we drop to 3228 first — or induce 3315 before the flush?
Trade sharp. Trade with structure.
— GoldFxMinds
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY may attempt a GAP Breakaway in Trend mode (likely BULLISH). But, the Russia/Ukraine war is overshadowing that potential pattern as big news this morning.
From what I can tell, Russia is mounting a large-scale attack after Ukraine launched a big drone attack targeting Russian aircraft.
No matter how you slide and dice this news, it means this conflict is entering a new phase. A possibly much more destructive phase for all involved.
Gold and Silver are reacting to this news by skyrocketing higher. I believe this upward move in metals could continue for many days/weeks as long as this conflict continues to grow.
BTCUSD is trading slightly downward right now, but not as much as I would have expected based on the news. We'll see how BTCUSD plays out this week and if we get a bigger breakdown over time.
Currently, if you had actively hedged your positions, I believe you will be OK this week as Metals seem to be the big movers right now. The SPY/QQQ should react to this war news, but being somewhat isolated from this conflict economically, we may not see any huge moves in the US markets today.
Overall, hedge your positions to protect against surprise news/risks and try to prepare for the longer-term swings. Volatility will stay elevated over the next few weeks..
So, GET SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support level to $3420Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to triangle, where it rebounded from resistance line and dropped to support line.
Also, price broke $3345 with $3210 levels, after which it turned around and rose to $3210 level, broke it.
Then Gold made retest, and then continued to grow to $3345 level, and even rose to resistance line of triangle.
And then started to decline to support line of triangle, after which it turned around and made an impulse up.
Price exited from triangle and broke $3345 level, which coincided with resistance area, and now trades inside.
I think that Gold can correct to support level and then continue to grow to $3420 points.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold: Bullish Flag Formation Suggests Further Upside Potential Hello guys, let's dive into Gold analysis!
Gold is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that typically follows a strong upward impulse (flagpole). After a sharp rally, the price consolidated within a downward channel, creating the classic flag structure.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Flagpole: The strong bullish rally in early April marks the beginning of the uptrend.
Flag (Channel): Price has corrected in a downward-sloping channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds, creating a textbook flag pattern.
Breakout Zone: Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would signal a continuation of the prior uptrend.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Target: Around $3,445, which aligns with the measured move from the breakout point.
Second Target: Around $3,725, representing full flagpole projection from the breakout zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Confirmation: A strong 4H close above the flag’s upper boundary (~$3,260) with volume confirmation would validate the pattern.
_____________________________________
Invalidation: A rejection from the resistance and a fall below the channel may delay the bullish scenario, potentially retesting lower support around $3,090.
📊 Conclusion:
This setup favors bulls, but patience is key. Traders may consider waiting for a clear breakout and retest for safer long entries, aiming for the outlined targets.
XAUUSD Critical Lower Highs break-out just happened.Gold (XAUUSD) broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that originated from the April 22 All Time High (ATH) and has basically re-established the long-term bullish trend and confirmed the bullish break-out.
The extension can go as high as 3700, which represents a +18.37% rise from the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom. That is how much the last 1D MA50 (near) test increased (April 07). A Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) may potentially support this uptrend all the way before the next correction.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Weather and Corn: A Deep Dive into Temperature Impact1. Introduction: Corn and Climate – An Inseparable Relationship
For traders navigating the corn futures market, weather isn't just a background noise—it's a market mover. Few agricultural commodities are as sensitive to environmental variables as corn, especially temperature. Corn is grown across vast regions, and its development is directly tied to how hot or cold the season plays out. This makes weather not just a topic of interest but a core input in any corn trader’s playbook.
In this article, we go beyond conventional wisdom. Instead of simply assuming “hotter equals bullish,” we bring data into the equation—weather data normalized by percentile, matched with price returns on CME Group's corn futures. The results? Useful for anyone trading ZC or MZC contracts.
2. How Temperature Affects Corn Physiology and Yields
At the biological level, corn thrives best in temperatures between 77°F (25°C) and 91°F (33°C) during its growth stages. During pollination—a critical yield-defining window—extreme heat (especially above 95°F / 35°C) can cause irreversible damage. When hot weather coincides with drought, the impact on yields can be catastrophic.
Historical drought years like 2012 and 1988 serve as powerful examples. In 2012, persistent heat and dryness across the US Midwest led to a national yield drop of over 25%, sending futures skyrocketing. But heat doesn't always spell disaster. Timing matters. A heat wave in early June may have little impact. That same wave during tasseling in July? Major consequences.
3. The Market Mechanism: How Traders Respond to Temperature Surprises
Markets are forward-looking. Futures prices don’t just reflect today’s weather—they reflect expectations. A dry June may already be priced in by the time USDA issues its report. This dynamic creates an interesting challenge for traders: separating noise from signal.
During July and August—the critical reproductive phase—temperature updates from NOAA and private forecasters often trigger major moves. Rumors of an incoming heat dome? Corn futures might gap up overnight. But if it fizzles out, retracements can be just as dramatic. Traders who rely on headlines without considering what’s already priced in are often late to the move.
4. Our Analysis: What the Data Reveals About Corn and Temperature
To cut through the fog, we performed a percentile-based analysis using decades of weather and price data. Rather than looking at raw temperatures, we classified each week into temperature “categories”:
Low Temperature Weeks: Bottom 25% of the historical distribution
Normal Temperature Weeks: Middle 50%
High Temperature Weeks: Top 25%
We then analyzed weekly percentage returns for the corn futures contract (ZC) in each category. The outcome? On average, high-temperature weeks showed higher volatility—but not always higher returns. In fact, the data revealed that some extreme heat periods were already fully priced in, limiting upside.
5. Statistically Significant or Not? T-Tests and Interpretation
To test whether the temperature categories had statistically significant impacts on weekly returns, we ran a t-test comparing the “Low” vs. “High” temperature groups. The result: highly significant. Corn returns during high-temperature weeks were, on average, notably different than those during cooler weeks, with a p-value far below 0.01 (4.10854357245787E-13).
This tells us that traders can't ignore temperature anomalies. Extreme heat does more than influence the narrative—it materially shifts price behavior. That said, the direction of this shift isn't always bullish. Sometimes, high heat correlates with selling, especially if it’s viewed as destructive beyond repair.
6. Strategic Takeaways for Corn Traders
Traders can use this information in several ways:
Anticipatory Positioning: Use temperature forecasts to adjust exposure ahead of key USDA reports.
Risk Management: Understand that volatility spikes in extreme temperature conditions and plan stops accordingly.
Calendar Sensitivity: Prioritize weather signals more heavily in July than in May, when crops are less vulnerable.
Combining weather percentile models with weekly return expectations can elevate a trader’s edge beyond gut feel.
7. CME Group Corn Futures and Micro Corn Contracts
Corn traders have options when it comes to accessing this market. The flagship ZC futures contract from CME Group represents 5,000 bushels of corn and is widely used by commercial hedgers and speculators alike. For those seeking more precision or lower capital requirements, the recently launched Micro Corn Futures (MZC) represent just 1/10th the size.
This fractional sizing makes temperature-driven strategies more accessible to retail traders, allowing them to deploy seasonal or event-based trades without excessive risk exposure.
Here are some quick key points to remember:
Tick size for ZC is ¼ cent (0.0025) per bushel, equating to $12.50 per tick.
For MZC, each tick is 0.0050 equating to $2.50 per tick.
Standard ZC initial margin is approximately $1,000 and MZC margins are around $100 per contract, though this can vary by broker.
8. Wrapping Up: Temperature's Role in a Complex Equation
While temperature is a key driver in corn futures, it doesn't act in isolation. Precipitation, global demand, currency fluctuations, and government policies also play crucial roles. However, by quantifying the impact of extreme temperatures, traders gain a potential edge in anticipating market behavior.
Future articles will expand this framework to include precipitation, international weather events, and multi-variable models.
This article is part of a broader series exploring how weather impacts the corn, wheat, and soybean futures markets. Stay tuned for the next release, which builds directly on these insights.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Sense of Fear?!
As the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are going today,
Gold shows clear signs of worry.
The market turned bullish after the opening and is currenty
breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a daily
that we discussed earlier.
To confirm the violation, we will need a daily candle close above that.
As the results of the talks are still unknown, more moves may occur today.
So the today's close will be very important.
Let's patiently wait.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
What to Expect After the Gold Breakout?In our earlier post titled “Bears Won the Battle for Gold”, the bearish momentum appeared dominant. However, that victory proved short-lived. A inverse head and shoulders pattern has now formed, and both this pattern and the downward trendline from the 3500 top have been broken. Despite this, the previous high at 3366 continues to hold, leaving the breakout unconfirmed for now.
The shift in fundamentals is notable. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have re-escalated, with both sides accusing each other of violating the trade treaty, fueling risk-off sentiment and supporting gold.
Two key technical levels will now shape the short-term direction:
1- 3320 Retest: If gold retests and holds above the 3320 level, this would likely signal that another bullish leg is in motion.
2- Breakout of 3366: A clear move above the previous top would provide further confirmation of bullish momentum.
On the flip side, a sustained break below 3320, especially if accompanied by a de-escalation in trade tensions, progress on trade deals involving the U.S., China, or the EU would favor a bearish reversal.
For now, gold traders should stay alert to news headlines and closely monitor 3320 and 3366 as key decision points.
XAUUSD | 1h BearishGold (XAUUSD) 1H Analysis
Currently, gold is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal from a key supply zone. Price tapped into the previous high and reacted with strong rejection, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. This area aligns with a clear zone of interest, where sellers previously stepped in, adding confluence to our bearish bias.
The structure has been respected so far, and price has now broken below the minor trendline support, which previously acted as dynamic support for this bullish leg. A pullback to retest this broken structure or the imbalance zone just above could provide an optimal entry for further downside.
The trade idea is built on a potential shift in market structure:
A double top internal structure formation is visible at the recent high, indicating exhaustion in the uptrend.
Price is expected to push lower, targeting TP1, which sits at the previous strong support zone and aligns with the internal structure break.
Further continuation to the downside could take price toward the 0.5 FIB retracement level and PDL (Previous Day Low)—both strong liquidity areas.
We are anticipating a reaction from these lower zones. If bullish momentum reappears there, it may offer a chance to reposition for long setups later. For now, the bias remains bearish while price holds below the supply zone and structure confirms.
Gold H2 Market Update Ongoing Accumulation BUY LOW SELL HIGH📊 Technical Outlook Update H4
🏆 Bull Market Overview
Gold is currently trading around $3,352.69 per ounce, up 1.9% today, reaching its highest level since May 23, driven by renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and a weaker dollar. The market remains range-bound, with key resistance levels at $3,410 and $3,460, and support levels at $3,160 and $3,240. Volatility is expected to remain moderate, with potential catalysts including upcoming U.S. employment data and central bank policy decisions.
⭐️ Recommended Strategy
Continue to buy on dips near support levels and sell near resistance levels, capitalizing on the current range-bound market conditions. Monitor for potential breakouts above resistance or breakdowns below support, which could signal a shift in market dynamics.
Latest Gold Market Updates:
📈 Gold prices have surged due to renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and escalating geopolitical tensions, prompting investors to seek safety in gold.
💰 Gold miners are largely avoiding hedging strategies to fully benefit from the current market, reflecting strong bullish sentiment in the industry.
🔮 Citibank projects gold prices could rally to $3,500 over the next three months, citing strong demand and macroeconomic factors.
📊 JP Morgan anticipates gold prices exceeding $4,000 per ounce by Q2 2026, with an average of $3,675 in Q4 2025, driven by continued investor and central bank demand.
⭐️ Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700, with a potential upside scenario reaching $4,500, based on strong Asian buying and central bank purchases.
💍 Record gold prices are prompting jewelry designers to shift toward 14-karat gold and alternative materials to control costs, while consumer demand remains robust.
🔮 Outlook Summary
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. The market is currently range-bound, with key levels to watch at $3,160–$3,240 for support and $3,410–$3,460 for resistance. Upcoming economic data releases and central bank policy decisions could act as catalysts for a breakout from the current range. Analysts maintain a positive outlook, with forecasts suggesting potential for further price increases in the medium to long term.