USOIL: Next Week's Blueprint for Profit Amid VolatilityDuring the US trading session on Friday, March 28th, international oil prices fluctuated slightly and declined. However, both Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil remained firmly near their one - month highs and were projected to register "three consecutive weekly gains" on the weekly chart. The ongoing tug - of - war between the supply tightness instigated by geopolitical unrest and the latent concerns regarding an economic downturn has placed oil prices in a volatile state of being "caught between a rock and a hard place".
From the perspective of the USOIL daily chart, following the medium - term trend's breach of the lower edge of the range, it has predominantly fluctuated around lower levels. The oil price has experienced consecutive short - term increases, breaking through the suppression of the moving average system, and the medium - term objective trend has entered a transition phase. Nevertheless, in terms of kinetic energy, neither the bulls nor the bears have demonstrated a clear - cut inclination to overpower the other. It is anticipated that the medium - term trend will persist in its volatile rhythm for a while, awaiting the establishment of a distinct trend direction.
The short - term (1H) trend of USOIL has not continuously set new highs and has exhibited a pattern of high - level consolidation. The short - term objective trend remains upward. In the early trading session, the oil price underwent a narrow adjustment at a high level, presenting an overall secondary rhythm with a sound internal rhythm. The fundamental objective trend during the week has been upward in sync, and it is highly likely that the short - term trend of USOIL will continue its upward trajectory next week.
USOIL
buy@68-68.5
tp:69.5-70
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Commodities
USOIL: GO short positions during the oscillation at a high levelThe short-term trend of crude oil has been oscillating and declining at a high level. The oil price has broken below the moving average system, and the objective short-term trend has entered a transition period. The bearish momentum is gradually intensifying, and the oil price dropped below 70 in the early trading session. In the 4-hour chart, the objective short-term trend direction within this week still remains upward. The trading strategy for crude oil still mainly focuses on the oscillation and decline at a high level.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.8-70
TP:69-68.5
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USOILstrategiesThe fluctuation of crude oil prices is not large, and the range of mild fluctuations is 68.7-70.3. The subsequent market will make adjustments after breaking through. Today is the last trading day of March, and the monthly high of 70.5 has not been broken. It is necessary to pay attention to the profit-taking of crude oil prices. From a technical point of view, the 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger bands are basically maintained in the range of 68.7-70 at the same time, and 7 points of deviation can be reserved above and below. Overall, the trend of crude oil will first fluctuate in a small range, and major changes should wait until the K-line appears on Tuesday in April before choosing a direction.
Crude oil strategy:.
1. Go long in the 68.7-68.5 area when retreating, stop loss 68, target 69.5-70.5,
2. Go short when the rebound first touches the 70-70.3 area, stop loss 70.8, target 69.3-68.7,
XAUUSD - Daily, Gold’s Next Big Move: Be Ready!XAUUSD - Daily Update 📈
With most analysts focusing on Gold’s bullish momentum, let’s step back and analyze where we are in the bigger picture and where we should secure profits before a potential correction.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since the $2,000 zone, forming three major bullish legs as highlighted in the chart:
🔹 First leg correction: ~$150 drop
🔹 Second leg correction: ~$250 drop
🔹 Third correction may be deeper, so caution is needed in the target zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Potential Target Zone: $3,050 - $3,150
✔️ Measured Move: Previous legs suggest an extension into this zone.
✔️ Liquidity Grab: Gold tends to hunt liquidity over round numbers—just as it did at $2,000 → $2,060, it may break $3,050 before reversing.
✔️ Ascending Channel: The price is approaching the top of the channel, where market makers may trigger a fake breakout before a significant pullback.
🚨 Trading Strategy:
Swing traders: Secure profits near $3,050 - $3,150.
Daily traders: Use pullbacks as short-term profit opportunities.
💸 If you missed this rally, stay ahead for reversal signs & upcoming moves! Follow for more insights! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Bias with Key Support at 3085Trend Overview:
Gold maintains a strong bullish trend, with recent price action confirming a breakout above a previous consolidation zone, now acting as key support at 3085.
Key Levels:
Support: 3085 (key level), 3070, 3057
Resistance: 3143, 3160, 3200
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3085, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm the support level and signal further upside potential. A breakout above 3143 may extend gains towards 3160 and 3200 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3085 would invalidate the bullish outlook, increasing the likelihood of a retracement toward 3070, with 3057 as the next downside target.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish above 3085, with potential upside targets at 3143, 3160, and 3200. However, a break below 3085 could shift momentum to the downside, targeting 3070 and 3057. Traders should watch price action around 3085 for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
HelenP. I Gold is still rising and can reach 3115 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago, the price tested Support 2 at the 2985 level, which coincided with the support zone between 2985 and 2976 points. This area provided strong support, resulting in a bullish reaction that pushed Gold significantly higher. After bouncing from this key support zone, the price began a steady upward movement, eventually breaking above Support 1 at the 3055 level. This breakout was an important signal, as buyers continued to dominate, driving Gold further up. Following this breakout, the price continued its bullish momentum, clearly holding above the trend line, which has repeatedly acted as reliable support during this rise. Recently, Gold reached the support zone at 3055-3065 points again, retested it, and confirmed the strength of the buyers with a quick upward reaction. Currently, the price is trading comfortably above this support zone and remains firmly bullish in structure. Given the recent bullish impulse, the successful retest of the support zone, and the continuing hold above the trend line, I expect the price to move upward toward my current goal at 3115 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,118.23.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,093.41 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold rose more than 1% in a single dayGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the daily chart is 3150, and the support level below is 3060
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3150, and the support level below is 3078
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3130, and the support level below is 3098
Risk aversion and policy expectations jointly push up the price of gold. After stabilizing at $3100, the next target is $3130-3170; if the NY market data is negative or a technical correction occurs, it is necessary to pay attention to the effectiveness of the support near 3100.
Comprehensive consideration is mainly to buy at low levels, focusing on the breakthrough signal of $3130, the 4-hour rising channel is intact, and the rising channel that breaks through 3130 will move towards the 3150-3170 range
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-31 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to carryover Friday's selling trend.
I do believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find some support as we move into a Temp Bottom pattern tomorrow. So be aware that the SPY/QQQ may attempt to find support near 535-540/450-455 over the next few days.
I would also urge traders to not get very aggressive in terms of trying to pick a bottom in this downtrend.
In my opinion, I don't see any reason why anyone should be buying into this breakdown unless you are prepared to take a few big lumps. Just wait it out - wait for a base/bottom to setup.
Gold and Silver are moving higher and I believe this trend will continue for many weeks/months.
BTCUSD should continue to move downward - trying to establish the Consolidation Phase range.
As we move into trading this week. Be aware that Tuesday/Wednesday of this week are more ROTATION type days. They may be wide-range days - but they are still going to be ROTATIONAL.
Get some.
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Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) currently trading at $3,118 has significantly outpaced Silver (
SILVER) at $34.07 since mid-March. This divergence has pushed the Gold/Silver ratio to elevated levels, creating a potential mean-reversion opportunity.
Looking at the chart, both metals maintained strong correlation through January-February 2025 before Gold began its dramatic acceleration in March-April. While both assets remain in strong uptrends, Gold's nearly vertical move in April suggests potential overextension relative to its historical relationship with Silver.
Trading Strategy
Consider a pairs trade setup:
SHORT Gold / LONG Silver at current ratio
Target: Reversion to 50-day moving average of Gold/Silver ratio
Stop: 2% additional expansion of current ratio
Risk Management
Key to this trade is position sizing that equalizes dollar exposure between the two positions. Use reduced leverage as precious metals volatility remains elevated across the complex.
TVC:XAU NASDAQ:XAG #PairsTrading
GOLD SHORT SETUP: TARGETING $3,100 FROM OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONSGOLD SHORT SETUP: TARGETING $3,100 FROM OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONS
Looking at the current Gold chart, we're seeing potential exhaustion signs near all-time highs. While the trend remains strongly bullish (all moving averages pointing up), several indicators suggest we may be due for a pullback to the $3,100 level.
Key Observations
Overbought RSI (77.09): The RSI is showing overbought conditions without divergence yet, but at levels where previous corrections have occurred.
Extreme Stochastic (97.99): Nearly maxed out at 98, suggesting limited upside momentum remains.
Williams %R near zero (-2.44): Showing extreme buying pressure that historically doesn't sustain.
CCI above 140: At 146.61, well into overbought territory.
Moving Average Spacing: While all MAs signal "Buy," the distance between recent EMAs (10, 20) and price indicates stretched conditions.
Risk Management
This is a counter-trend trade against strong bullish momentum, so position sizing should be conservative. The R2 pivot at $3,045 and the 10-day SMA at $3,046 should act as initial support levels and could provide clues about whether the pullback thesis is playing out.
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,407.8
Target Level: 3,255.2
Stop Loss: 3,509.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, forming a long bearish candlestick, as recession fears intensified. The index fell toward the lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart, while the MACD moved closer to the signal line, indicating a correction.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq faced resistance slightly above the 5-week MA, forming an upper wick and closing lower. The MACD is falling steeply, and the signal line is also in a downtrend, suggesting the potential for an overshooting move downward before forming a bottom. From a daily perspective, key support zones to watch are around 19,000 (first level) and 18,500 (second level). The MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, but if a bearish crossover (death cross) occurs, a strong third wave of selling pressure could emerge. Therefore, caution is advised for long positions. However, since the MACD has not yet confirmed a bearish crossover, there is also the possibility of a rebound off the signal line. It is crucial to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before taking long positions.
On the 240-minute chart, strong sell signals have emerged, leading to a steep decline. The current price action resembles the movement seen on February 21, but since the bottom is not yet clear, it is best to adopt a conservative approach. For short positions, the 3-day moving average can be used as a reference level. For long positions, the lower Bollinger Band may provide a short-term buying opportunity. As today marks the last trading day of the month, watch closely to see if the Nasdaq reaches the 20-month MA or ends the month with a lower wick.
Crude Oil
Oil closed lower, facing resistance at $70. It has fallen back below the 5-day MA, trapping the price within a range-bound structure. On the weekly chart, oil was rejected at the 10-week MA, and since the MACD has not yet formed a bullish crossover, there is a chance that oil could retest its previous double-bottom level. A consolidation phase between the 5-week and 10-week MAs appears likely.
On the daily chart, as the price corrected, the MACD began converging with the signal line. If oil retraces to around $68, a short-term buying opportunity may arise. For oil to resume its uptrend, it needs to pull back toward $68, rebound, and break above $70 with strong momentum. However, this move would likely require a global catalyst. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a higher probability of a rebound and a golden cross formation. Overall, the best approach is to focus on dip-buying opportunities during this phase.
Gold
Gold closed higher, breaking to a new all-time high on the daily chart. Last week, there was a possibility of a pullback toward the 5-week MA, but the MACD has turned upward, surpassing its previous high, reducing the likelihood of a bearish divergence and increasing the probability of further upside. However, since gold has not yet tested the 5-week MA, a short-term correction remains a possibility. On the daily chart, buying opportunities were available at the 3-day MA following a strong bullish candle. A pullback to the 5-day MA within the next few days remains possible, and if this happens, it could present another dip-buying opportunity. Based on wave analysis, gold could target around 3,216. To confirm this upside scenario, the daily chart must show stronger bullish momentum, eliminating the risk of MACD divergence.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has been experiencing strong upward momentum, making it a buy-on-dips market. However, for a more comfortable long position, the MACD needs to exceed its previous peak. Overall, a long-only strategy remains preferable. For short positions, it is difficult to pinpoint the exact peak, so strict stop-loss management is essential. This week, key economic events include the ISM Manufacturing & Services PMIs and Friday's U.S. jobs report, which could increase gold's volatility. Stay cautious.
Today marks the final trading session of March. Tariff-related news and gold’s record highs indicate rising market volatility. Stay adaptive to the market’s movements and trade safely as we close the monthly candle.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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The more you rise, the harder you fall, or what?The month of March has been a strong month for the TVC:GOLD bugs. The commodity has been hitting new highs every week. Let's see where the next target could be.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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XAUUSD Time to start selling?Gold (XAUUSD) finally hit our 3 month $3000 target that we've been pursuing since the very first week of this year (January 06, see chart below) and in later stages upgraded to $3100:
Now the price has reached the top of the 1.5-year Channel Up, forming a similar 1D MACD peak formation while completing the +22.50% rise that the previous two major Bullish Legs had. As you can see, the pattern makes its Higher High on the 2nd MACD Bearish Cross and in 2 out of 3 Bearish Legs it retraced all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, while on the remaining it the correction was contained to just above the 0.382 Fib.
On all cases the price came close to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before bottoming. As a result, even though some more Trump announcements may cause a momentary push upwards, we technically think that it is a solid level to turn bearish now with a fair 2900 Target on the 0.382 Fibonacci where by the end of April it should come close to the 1D MA100.
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GOLD PoV - SHORT 3.125$The price of gold has recently reached a historic high, surpassing the $3,100 per ounce mark, driven by uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariff policies under President Donald Trump and concerns about potential geopolitical conflicts.
This increase underscores gold’s role as a safe haven asset, with investors seeking stability amid growing economic and political instability.
Trade tensions, particularly the tariff policies proposed by the Trump administration, have contributed to economic uncertainty, prompting investors to seek security in gold.
Additionally, concerns about potential conflicts, such as recent escalations in the Middle East, have further strengthened demand for gold as protection against geopolitical risks.
Central banks have played a significant role in this scenario, increasing their gold reserves. In the third quarter of 2023, reserves increased by 337 tons, bringing the total for the first nine months of the year to 800 tons, about a third of the global mine production for the same period.
This accumulation by central banks has helped sustain the price of gold, highlighting its status as a safe asset.
Regarding investment strategies, some analysts suggest that gold's price may undergo a correction after its recent rally. For example, technical analysis indicates a potential short entry at $3,125 per ounce, with a profit target of $2,925, anticipating a retracement of about $200.
However, it is important to consider that gold price forecasts can be influenced by various unpredictable factors, such as economic policies, geopolitical developments, and market dynamics.
In summary, gold has benefited from a significant increase in value due to the uncertainty arising from trade policies and concerns about geopolitical conflicts. Its nature as a safe-haven asset has attracted investments from both institutional investors and central banks. However, trading strategies, such as short positions, should be evaluated cautiously, considering the volatility and uncertainty that characterize the gold market.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3100.Wave “3” is still continuing its progression. This means that the five-wave impulse is not over yet and we expect the upward movement to continue.
Of course I would like to see wave “4” as a corrective wave in the area of 3024 level, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 3100 level. This level is also considered to be quite strong, from which there could be a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 69.68
1st Support: 66.60
1st Resistance: 71.29
S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 5,405.74
1st Support: 5,176.07
1st Resistance: 5,769.85
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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$KRE CRASH COMING ... Not yet tho..we'll find out..Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
Silver Price Analysis – Key Support and Resistance LevelsSilver on a 1-hour timeframe. The analysis highlights key market structures:
Downtrend Channel: Initially, the price was in a downward-sloping channel (green-highlighted area).
Breakout and Uptrend: The price broke out of the bearish channel, forming an uptrend.
Resistance and Support Levels:
The resistance trendline (black) acted as a price ceiling where sellers emerged.
The support level (blue) helped buyers regain control, leading to price continuation.
Current Setup:
The price is consolidating around the 34.1120 level after testing the 34.5000 mark.
A potential bullish breakout or retracement towards support could be expected.
This analysis is useful for traders looking to identify trend reversals, breakout opportunities, or support and resistance confirmations.
Note: This is not a trading signal, just my personal analysis based on current market trends.
USOIL Strategy AnalysisUS crude oil inventories have declined, while expectations of tariff hikes by Trump on Russia and Iran provided short-term market catalysts. However, the economic implications of such measures have also fueled concerns about growth, leading crude oil prices to retrace after a rebound.
For intraday crude oil trading, prioritize selling on rallies with buying on dips as a secondary strategy.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 69.4-69.7
sl 70.2
tp 68.7-68.9
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