Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish PaceMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish Pace
WTI Crude Oil is gaining bullish momentum and might even test $62.75.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude Oil climbed above the $60.50 and $60.80 resistance levels.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $59.45 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80.
It tested the $61.50 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low.
The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.00. The next major resistance is near the $62.75 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $60.80 support level. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near the $59.45 zone, below which the price could test the $58.00 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $56.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Commodities
GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,351.42
Target Level: 3,139.75
Stop Loss: 3,492.20
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold INTRADAY Bullish breakout continuationGold continues to exhibit a bullish overall sentiment, supported by a well-established rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action has transitioned into a consolidation phase, signalling temporary indecision following the latest bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3250 – Critical near-term support; also the previous consolidation zone. A successful retest here would reinforce bullish structure.
3220 – Secondary support; a break below 3250 may prompt a move towards this level.
3200 – Major downside support; a breach would suggest a broader corrective phase.
Resistance:
3345 – Initial upside target if bullish momentum resumes.
3367 – Intermediate resistance; a break here would strengthen the bullish breakout.
3410 – Longer-term resistance; a target for sustained bullish extension.
Technical Outlook:
A corrective pullback toward 3250, followed by a bullish reversal, would confirm a continuation pattern and open the way toward 3345/3367/3410 over a medium to longer-term horizon. Conversely, a daily close below 3250 would invalidate the bullish bias and expose the metal to further downside toward 3220 and 3200.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish overall, but near-term direction hinges on the 3250 level. A bounce from this support reaffirms the uptrend, while a break below it warns of deeper correction. Traders should monitor price action closely around 3250 for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD: Analysis and Strategy on June 2Technical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3322
One-hour chart resistance 3360, support below 3322
Analysis of gold news: Gold prices fell last Friday and the US dollar rose. The market digested the latest news on tariff developments, and a weaker inflation report kept hopes of a US interest rate cut alive. After the federal appeals court temporarily restored Trump's tariffs on Thursday, tariffs may once again influence the market this week. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will also give an opening speech at an event, his first speech since meeting with Trump last week. At the same time, several Federal Reserve officials spoke this week. Gold prices may continue to test the middle track of the Bollinger Band near 3300 this week. If geopolitical tensions ease, it is expected to test near 3250.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the 3322 level of the four-hour level, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the 3412 level of the daily level. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3250. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to enter with the trend.
Buy: 3322near SL: 3317
Buy: 3350near SL: 3345
XAUUSD - Gold is on the verge of a very important week!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I predict the path ahead for gold to be upward and if the resistance level is broken, we can look for buying opportunities. If gold corrects, we can also buy it with a reward at an appropriate risk.
Gold prices experienced a mild decline over the past week, with market sentiment shaped less by fundamental shifts and more by mixed messages and scattered commentary around tariffs.Despite the noise, many traders chose to rely on data and technical charts rather than reacting emotionally—data that painted a more subdued picture than the headlines suggested.
Rich Checkan, CEO of Asset Strategies International, responded confidently in a recent survey, predicting further gains in gold. “The trajectory for gold is clearly upward. Prices have stabilized around the $3,300 level and appear ready for a new rally, especially if the appellate court’s ruling on tariffs is upheld,” he said.
Checkan also pointed to another macroeconomic factor that could support gold: “A new tax bill, described as large and costly, is set to be voted on in the Senate soon. If passed, it will likely widen the budget deficit, which historically leads to increased liquidity and rising inflation—a favorable environment for gold.”
On Friday, the PCE inflation report showed easing price pressures, though not enough to put the Federal Reserve at ease. Core PCE (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year in April—matching expectations and slightly down from 2.7% the previous month. The headline PCE also increased 2.1% annually, just below the forecast of 2.2%.
The key point: these data reflect the first month in which Trump’s new tariffs were active, yet there’s little evidence so far that they’ve caused inflation to rise. Still, the disinflationary trend remains sluggish and distant from the Fed’s 2% target. In its latest minutes, the Fed warned that inflation may prove more persistent than previously thought.
Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal, despite the seemingly positive PCE numbers, issued a cautionary note with four key insights:
• The inflationary impact of tariffs is expected to begin showing up from May and be fully reflected in June’s data. This could accelerate goods price increases and disrupt the path of disinflation.
• Last year’s monthly PCE figures were particularly weak (May: 0%, June: 0.1%, July: 0.2%). As these drop out of the annual calculation, even if monthly gains remain steady, YoY rates could rise mathematically.
• The three-month average for Core PCE from May to October 2024 was only 0.1%. If upcoming monthly figures hit 0.2%, annual disinflation could stall or even reverse.
• While the latest report is encouraging, the effects of tariffs and the removal of last year’s weak data could complicate the inflation trajectory.
Looking ahead, market attention will focus heavily on a suite of crucial U.S. labor market indicators. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) is due Tuesday, private sector employment data (ADP) on Wednesday, and jobless claims on Thursday. However, the most anticipated release will be Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for May—widely viewed as a key factor influencing rate expectations.
Alongside labor data, markets will also watch other critical economic reports. The ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday and the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday will offer broader insight into U.S. business activity. In the realm of monetary policy, interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada (Wednesday) and the European Central Bank (Thursday) are expected to trigger notable movements in the currency and gold markets.
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt the high, fail and make the move downside. This worked well in the early part of the week giving traders a fantastic capture for the short trade into the red box target levels which were all complete. During the week we update trades with the plan to long, and although there was a break from the red box, our lower red box bounced price giving the long trade completing the move.
It was only towards the end of the week where we started ranging that we only managed to capture short scalps on the upside move before the suggesting we call it a day, thankfully before the small decline from the level.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have a key level here of 3310-6 which has been a previous pivot in this range and is holding price down at the moment. This now make a crucial support region forming at the 3280-5 level with extension of the move into 3275. If this level holds and the red box reacts, we can see price push up from here and attempt to target the 3400 level again, which is towards the top of the range.
It’s this lower red box that needs to be watched for the break, as a break here will target the 3250-55 region initially and then go for the potential swing low around the 3210-2- region which in this scenario maybe the ideal long trade.
As always, we’ll update traders through the week with our analysis and red box target levels but for now, let’s see if we gap on open. Please remember, the market gaps with intention, the intention is usually to get traders in chasing the gap as soon as they see immediate exhaustion, this hardly ever works on gold and BTC especially. We’ve back tested the stretch, so please play caution on chasing gaps.
More choppy and ranging price action expected!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3285 with targets above 3306, 3310, 3321 and 3335
Bearish below 3285 with targets below 3267, 3255 and 3240
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3297, 3306, 3310, 3320 and 3330 in extension of the move
Break below 3280 for 3277, 3270, 3267 and 3255 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
KEY LEVEL 3237!
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
Is the positive news fading? The latest analysis of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
As geopolitical conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East broke out again over the weekend, gold jumped higher today. From a technical perspective, the 1H chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the gold price is in a downward channel at the daily level. The gold price is currently near the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is obviously suppressed by the downward channel. The 4H level Bollinger Bands narrowed, the moving averages adhered, the long and short positions were in a stalemate, and the MACD indicator hovered around the 0 axis. 3330 - 3335 above is the key resistance area. If it breaks through 3340, it is expected to continue to see new highs. At the same time, there is short-term support in the 3285-3280 range below. 3270 - 3265 becomes the key important support. If it falls below, it may fall to 3245. For short-term operations in the Asian and European sessions today, if the resistance area of 3325-3335 cannot be effectively broken through, you can consider shorting and look towards 3310-3290 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3310-3290
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Looks Bullish. But need more confirmation! Looking for more supporting signs that gold is ready to go bullish. I think it will pull back first. But waiting to see where price is at inside of the killzone before making any decision on direction. Being that it is Monday price could end up acting flaky on action. So keeping expectations low.
Crude Oil - Two Scenarios and about Brain PowerPrice retests the L-MLH.
VI. - Price breaks upward, target is the centerline
VII. - Price reverses again, then the target is the 1/4 line, with a subsequent extended target at the red centerline, and possibly even lower at the white dashed warning line.
On a personal note:
I was once again told that the price didn’t do what I had projected.
...yeah, really, that’s how it is §8-)
After over 30 years in the markets and hundreds of coaching sessions, I’m still amazed that people think you can predict price movements as if with a magic crystal ball.
The fact that this belief still persists (even though they don’t understand even the absolute basics of trading) deeply concerns me at the core of my trading soul.
Because this growing irrationality clearly indicates that far too little is being done in terms of education – or humanity might simply go extinct in the next 100 years due to rapidly declining intelligence!
...maybe I should just create a chart and apply a few median lines/forks?
Happy trading to all of you and I pray for those with lesser brain power.
Gold Finds Support in PRZ – $3,337 in Sight? As I expected in my previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved towards the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
Gold is moving near the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 can be complex . Confirmation of the end of the main wave 4 requires a break of the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) .
I expect Gold to move up after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the first target could be $3,314 and the second target could be $3,337 . If the momentum is high for Gold, you can consider higher targets for Gold to increase .
Note: If Gold touches $3,245 , we should expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD H1 Chart Update For 2 June 25As you can see that there are some important zones mentioned on the chart
First read all details carefully market is in sideways for now once market will break 3330 level then it will move further higher towards 3360 even 3370
3300 Psychological Remains in focus once market breaks 3300 then it will try to fill the OPENING GAP which is due on 3289
for today if market sustains below 3280 level then it will move towards 3240-50 zone
Scalping or shorter term range in 3295-3320
Remember always use SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
WTI Oil H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 61.52 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 59.60 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 63.00 which is a swing-high resistance.
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GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation.
Last Week in News
After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans.
Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%.
In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April.
Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week
• Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak.
• Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy.
The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance.
Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week
The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs.
Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward.
On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400.
As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend.
Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions.
Support: $3,250 – $3,228
Resistance: $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3341
→Take Profit 1 3329
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3242
→Take Profit 1 3254
↨
→Take Profit 2 3260
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 02.06.2025Huge push up on Gold on market open due to Russia - Ukraine war tension.
Option 1: Gold rejects from CMP and drops lower towards $3,270.
Option 2: If Gold closes bullish above $3,330 then $3,370 is the next major bullish target.
Which scenario do you find more likely?
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea and trading scenario:
---
Overall Idea: Bearish Continuation
---
Market Context
Current Price: $3,291.99
EMA 200: $3,297.69 (acting as dynamic resistance)
Trend: Price is within a descending channel, respecting both downtrend and uptrend lines
Directional Bias: Bearish unless a breakout occurs
---
Key Zones
1. Resistance Level (Sell Zone)
Around $3,320–$3,340
Price rejected this level multiple times → strong supply zone
2. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap)
Around $3,305–$3,315
Price tapped this area and showed rejection
Identified as a "seller zone" – price likely filled imbalance and now resuming trend
---
Projected Move
Price is expected to:
1. Reject EMA and FVG zone
2. Continue downward movement
3. Target support around $3,244.95
---
Indicators
EMA 200: Above price → bearish pressure
RSI (14): ~46.78 → no extreme reading, but leans bearish; room for further downside
---
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry: ~$3,300–$3,310 (already triggered)
Stop Loss: Above $3,320
Target: $3,244.95 (demand zone / previous low)
Risk/Reward: Favorable (~1:2+)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Warnings
Multiple economic event icons are marked (bottom of chart) → potential high volatility, especially around NFP/FOMC-related news
---
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BRIEFING Week #22 : Still waiting for OilHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Weekly Market Forecast: Stocks, Gold, Silver & Crude OilIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 2 - 6th.
Stock Indices are looking more bullish than bearish. Valid buys only!
Gold is moving sideways. Wait for confirmation before a buy/sell signal.
Oil prices may tick lower. Trade carefully.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
Technical Analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) – Bullish Reversal📊 Chart Overview:
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on a lower timeframe shows a potential bullish reversal setup. The price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, but now a bullish momentum is building up, suggesting a possible breakout to the upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟠 Swing Points Identified:
The orange circles mark significant swing highs and lows, clearly outlining a recent downtrend.
The latest swing low (bottom-right) shows a strong rejection with a bullish engulfing candle forming, indicating buyer interest.
📦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
The grey rectangle near the lower region marks a demand zone where buyers have stepped in before.
Price has reacted strongly from this zone again, validating it as a key support level.
📉 Resistance Turned Potential Breakout Zone:
The red line (~3,291.416) represents a resistance level that was previously support.
Price has broken above it and now appears to be retesting it, indicating a possible retest-confirmation for a bullish continuation.
🎯 Target & Risk Management:
✅ Entry: Confirmed breakout and retest around 3,291.
📈 Target: 3,364.819 (green zone above), based on previous resistance.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,267.772, the recent swing low.
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🧭 Projection Path:
The white arrowed path illustrates a likely pullback before continuation upward, suggesting a bullish structure if confirmed.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from a well-defined demand zone, with a potential rally toward the 3,365 area. A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support would strengthen the bullish bias.
📌 Watch closely for confirmation candles on the retest before entering.
USOIL: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The price of USOIL will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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