Commodities
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 EOD Review : Brutal SellingI sure hope all of you were able to profit from this big selling trend today.
And I also hope you didn't get trapped in the potential for a base/bottom rally off the recent lows.
This move downward reminds me of the 2022-2023 downward trending pattern when the Fed was raising rates.
What Trump is doing with tariffs is very similar. It is slowing the economy in a way that will not break it - but it will result in slower, more costly, economic function.
Watch this video and I sure hope all of you have great (profitable) stories to share with me today.
I know I do. And, I'm positioned for the weekend. Ready to profit no matter what the markets do.
Get some.
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Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Comstock Resources (CRK) – Expanding U.S. Natural Gas DominanceCompany Overview:
Comstock Resources NYSE:CRK is accelerating natural gas production, reinforcing its position in the Western Haynesville play, a key U.S. gas region.
Key Catalysts:
Production Expansion & Strategic Acquisitions ⛽
Increasing drilling rigs from 5 to 7 for higher output.
Acquired 64,000 net acres in Haynesville, boosting reserves & market share.
Investment in Drilling & Midstream Infrastructure 🏗️
$1.0-$1.1 billion planned for 46 horizontal wells in 2025.
$130-$150 million allocated to midstream development, optimizing gas transport & profitability.
Market Strength & Growth Outlook 📈
Positioned to capitalize on rising U.S. natural gas demand & global LNG expansion.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on CRK above $15.50-$16.00, supported by production growth & infrastructure investment.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $30.00-$31.00, driven by expansion, operational efficiency, and market strength.
🔥 CRK – Fueling the Future of U.S. Natural Gas. #CRK #NaturalGas #EnergyStocks
WHEAT at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 541$?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT has reached a major support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward the 541$ target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Gold’s Last Bull Run? Bitcoin’s Big Move Is Coming!Strong institutional money is flowing into gold and precious stones. Historically, this has been a sign of a prolonged bear market in traditional markets. In other words, strong hands have sold stocks at high prices, securing significant profits, and are now moving to the ultimate safe haven: gold, which has been considered a store of value since ancient Egypt.
However, in my opinion, Bitcoin still has hope. When the Buy Climax happens in gold, Bitcoin will rise quickly. I believe this will take a few weeks or months to unfold. In other words, Bitcoin needs to consolidate first and accumulate enough while they sell their gold bars—especially the Chinese.
Gold is likely in its last bull run of the century. I believe that by the end of April or beginning of May, gold should form a top, although I'm not certain. And since Bitcoin typically shines after gold finishes its distribution, Bitcoin is likely in its last bull run of the decade.
Gold: How much higher will XAU go?Gold continues to find support amid haven flows as equities tumble on trade war concerns.
But how much further can gold rise?
Well I think a lot of people had $3K+ pencilled in as their target. We are obviously well above the $3K level now at $3085, which may trigger some profit taking.
While dip buyers are lurking, a rug pull is becoming increasingly likely at these levels in my view. When risk appetite turns sour and stocks start falling, people tend to liquidate their profitable long gold positions to free up margin. Could we see something similar?
For me, the short term trigger could be a potential break below recent low and support around $3057-$3066, while in the slightly longer term view, a potential move below $3,000 is needed to trigger a more meaningful drop.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another awesome finish to the week with our charts idea playing out to perfection!!!
After completing our 3050 target yesterday, we got our cross and lock above 3050 opening 3065, followed with a further cross and lock above 3065 opening 3080, Both 3065 and 3080 were completed today for a perfect finish.
We will now need a cross and lock above 3080 for a continuation into the next Goldturn or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern.
The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume.
Key levels to watch:
- Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance)
- Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50
This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!
Gold short-term market analysisTechnically, the gold daily chart remains strong and hits a new record high to close. The price continues to run above MA10 and 5 days. The daily moving average keeps opening upward, and the bulls usher in a second large-scale rise.
The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band opens upward, the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger band, the MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening upward, the hourly chart remains consistent, the price is running in the middle and upper track of the Bollinger band, and the moving average opens upward. Yesterday's 3017 low rose to the current 3075, and it was another unilateral bullish surge of 60 US dollars. Today's trading ideas continue to maintain low-multiple participation during the day, and pay attention to the historical high selling participation opportunities during the European and American trading hours.
Stimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted, but the previous box was shaken and broken. Last night, gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and prices continued to sprint to new highs. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls launched another fierce attack. Since gold has chosen to break upward in the shock, it is still necessary to follow the trend and go long.
The reason for the intraday gold breakout and shock upward is risk aversion and technical breakthrough. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now begun to cross upward bullish divergence. After gold fell back in the US market to confirm the support of 3033, the bulls continued to exert their strength. So gold can continue to buy on dips above 3033 today. If it falls below 3033, the short-term bullish strength of gold may be suppressed, and then gold is likely to start to fluctuate again. .
Key points:
First support: 3055, second support: 3048, third support: 3040
First resistance: 3077, second resistance: 3086, third resistance: 3097
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3048-3051, SL: 3039, TP: 3080-3090;
Sell: 3085-3088, SL: 3097, TP: 3060-3050;
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Bearish Breaks – Confirm the Next Move🆚 GOLD – The Way of the Silent Blade
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 3068 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Leading on from last night's video update, we're still waiting on a breach of previous Wave 3 high's at $3,057 to give us a 'BOS' & structure shift to the downside, turning the market bearish. Until then we're out of the market & letting Gold run higher if it chooses to.
As soon as Gold CLOSES BELOW $3,057 & gives us a 'selling confirmation', then we can put our 'Invalidation Level' above the previous high.
GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3081.3
Sl - 3073.9
Tp - 3096.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Strong Resistance Ahead
Silver is very close to the resistance based on the last year's high.
Watching how strong is the bullish momentum, I got a feeling
that it is going to be broken.
A daily candle close above that will provide a strong bullish confirmation.
The price will keep rising to the new highs then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3303.8
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3354.4
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 : Carryover in Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move downward in early trading. The SPY may possibly target the 564-565 level before finding support. The QQQ may possibly attempt to target the 475-476 level before finding support.
Overall, the downward trend is still dominant.
I believe the SPY/QQQ may find some support before the end of trading today and attempt to BOUNCE (squeeze) into the close of trading.
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Here we go.
Remember, I've been telling you of the opportunities in Gold/Silver and other market for more than 5+ months (actually more than 3+ years). This is the BIG MOVE starting - the BIG PARABOLIC price rally.
BTCUSD has rolled downward off the FWB:88K level - just like I predicted. Now we start the move down to the $78k level, then break downward into the $58-62k level looking for support.
Love hearing all of your success stories/comments.
GET SOME.
Happy Friday.
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SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH
Trend Overview:
Silver remains in a bullish trend, supported by an ongoing uptrend. However, a corrective pullback could present potential buying opportunities at key support levels.
Key Levels:
Support: 3400 (critical level), 3332, 3240
Resistance: 3440, 3488, 3555
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3400 followed by a strong bounce could confirm support and drive prices towards 3440, with extended targets at 3488 and 3555 over the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3400 would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling further downside towards 3332 and possibly 3240 in an extended correction.
Conclusion:
The bullish trend remains intact, but 3400 is the key level to watch. Holding above it supports further upside, while a break below could trigger a deeper retracement. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at support and resistance levels for trade setups.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD INTRADAY Bullish and overbought at the new ATHTrend Analysis:
Gold price action exhibits a bullish sentiment, underpinned by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday movement appears to be a corrective sideways consolidation, suggesting that the bullish momentum remains intact despite short-term profit-taking and consolidation.
Key Level (3020):
The critical trading level to watch is 3020, which marks the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish bounce, would reaffirm the strength of the uptrend and could trigger further buying interest.
Resistance Levels:
If the bullish sentiment prevails and the price bounces back from the 3020 level, the upside targets include:
3060 - Immediate resistance level.
3086 - Secondary resistance level.
3100 - Long-term bullish target.
Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, a confirmed loss of the 3020 support level, accompanied by a daily close below it, would negate the bullish outlook. This breakdown could pave the way for a deeper retracement, targeting:
2984 - Initial downside support.
2946 - Major support zone.
Conclusion:
The Gold market remains bullish amid the prevailing uptrend, with the 3020 level acting as a critical support. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 3020 mark to gauge the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD’s Next Big Play – Don’t Miss This $3000+ Setup!Gold has been following my analysis perfectly over the last two weeks and remains in a strong uptrend! 📈
For this week, the plan is to look for buying opportunities—but only at the right price. I don’t believe the bull run is over just yet. Despite Friday’s drop, gold recovered strongly and held above $3,000, signaling that buyers are still in control.
⚠ Caution for sellers: While there may be shorting opportunities if gold overextends, it’s risky to bet against this trend too soon. If I see a high-probability short setup, I’ll make a separate post about it.
Let’s stay patient and trade smart! 💡💰
Traders, if you found this analysis valuable 🎓, feel free to give it a boost 🚀 and share your thoughts in the comments 📣. Let’s discuss!