Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Gold is in a strong uptrend on the Daily chart, making higher highs and showing strong momentum. The RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but this is typical in strong trends. The MACD is bullish and confirms momentum.
On the 15-minute chart, Gold is consolidating after a strong rally, suggesting a continuation higher. The RSI is neutral (49.33), giving room for more upside.
On the 3-minute chart, Gold is experiencing a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy at a better price. The MACD is near neutral, signaling that a bullish reversal could be setting up.
Trade Setup
• Entry: 2936 (Near recent consolidation area)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2928 (Below recent support, limiting downside risk)
• Take Profit (TP): 2952 (Near next resistance level, maintaining a 2:1 RRR)
Fundamental Justification
• Gold is bullish due to inflationary concerns and continued demand for safe-haven assets.
• Interest rate expectations remain dovish, supporting Gold’s strength.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Commodities
WTI Prices Recover Above $72WTI crude oil has rebounded to the $72.50 zone over the past four trading sessions, primarily after a recent drone attack by Ukrainian forces that damaged a key pipeline in southern Russia. The estimated damage could reduce oil exports from this region by up to 30% for at least two months. This new unexpected supply disruption has supported short-term demand for crude oil.
Additionally, ongoing trade war concerns have boosted demand for crude as an inflation hedge, reinforcing short-term bullish sentiment.
The Range Remains Stable
For now, WTI continues to trade within a well-defined range between:
$78 resistance (upper boundary)
$66 support (lower boundary)
Currently, the price is hovering near the middle of this neutral range, showing no clear directional trend. As long as price movements remain within this area, a clear breakout may take time to develop.
Neutrality Prevails:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI line maintains an upward slope, but price action remains neutral around the 50 level, the indicator’s equilibrium point.
This suggests a balance between buyers and sellers over the past 14 periods.
TRIX Indicator:
The TRIX line is currently reaching the 0 neutral level, reinforcing that the exponential moving average momentum remains neutral.
Both indicators confirm that the market remains in a consolidation phase, requiring stronger movements to establish a clearer trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
$78 – Major Resistance: Upper boundary of the current range. A breakout to this level could revive bullish momentum, similar to the buying pressure seen in early December.
$66 – Key Support: Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A drop near this level could strengthen bearish sentiment, reinforcing the downward trend observed in January.
$72 – Current Resistance & Critical Level : Midpoint of the neutral range that aligns with 50% Fibonacci retracement along with 50 & 100-period simple moving averages. This strengthens its importance as a key level.
If price continues oscillating around this zone, the sideways range could persist in the coming sessions.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming!Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming! ⚠️
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,939
📉 Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakdown Potential
Market Overview:
Gold has been forming an ascending triangle, with price reacting between the top resistance line and the rising trendline support. The price is now rejecting the upper boundary and could head towards key support zones before making its next move.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ First Support Area: $2,925 - $2,930 (Short-term bounce zone)
✅ Next Support Area: $2,900 - $2,910 (Stronger demand zone & trendline support)
✅ Resistance: $2,950 (Breakout level for bullish continuation)
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Price Rejection at the Top Line of Triangle: Selling pressure is increasing near resistance.
🔹 Support Retest Possible: If price moves lower, the first support area could act as a minor bounce zone, but if broken, we may see a drop to the next support area at $2,900.
🔹 Trendline Test Incoming: The bottom line of the triangle is critical—if it holds, we could see a bullish reversal. A breakdown would signal further downside.
Trade Plan:
🔹Bearish Scenario:
- If price breaks below $2,925, it could drop towards $2,900 support.
- Short Entry: Below $2,925
- Target: $2,900
- Stop Loss: $2,945
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
- If price holds the trendline support and shows bullish confirmation, we could see a **bounce back towards $2,950.
- Long Entry: Near $2,900 with confirmation
- Target: $2,950
- Stop Loss: $2,885
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend – Retest of Support Before BreakoutGold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend – Retest of Support Before Breakout 🚀
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,938
📈 Trend: Strong Uptrend with Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Market Overview:
Gold is following a well-established bullish trend, consistently respecting the trendline support and bouncing off key support zones. The price is currently retesting a critical support level at $2,865, which aligns with previous breakout zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zones: $2,865 (Major trendline support)
✅ Resistance Zones: $3,000 (Psychological level & next target)
✅ Potential Deeper Pullback: $2,730 (Secondary support)
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Trendline Holding: Price has respected the trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
🔹 Support Zone Confirmation: Each dip into the support zones has led to a continuation of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Breakout Towards $3,000: If support holds, gold could target the psychological level of $3,000.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
A successful retest of $2,865 with bullish confirmation (strong candles, wicks rejecting lower levels) could trigger an entry.
Target: $3,000 (resistance zone)
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $2,865, we could see a correction to $2,730 before resuming the uptrend.
Gold Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance RejectionGold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance Rejection 📉
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,939
📈 Trend: Uptrend within an ascending channel
Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance. However, the price has shown multiple rejections at the resistance zone, indicating a potential pullback.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance Zone: $2,950 - $2,960 (Strong rejection area)
✅ Support Levels: $2,920 (Dynamic support), $2,882 (Major support)
✅ Critical Breakdown Level: Below $2,882 could signal a deeper correction
Technical Pattern:
🔹 Double Top Formation at Resistance: Price failed to break higher, showing a bearish reaction.
🔹 Dynamic Support Retest: The price could test the ascending channel support near $2,920.
🔹 Lower Highs Forming: A sign of weakening bullish momentum.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the resistance again, expect a pullback towards $2,920 - $2,910.
A breakdown below the ascending channel could trigger a drop to $2,882 or lower.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above $2,920, bulls may attempt another breakout towards $2,960+.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?COPPER is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.6819
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.7856
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 4.5406
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis Report: Market Trends and Future OutlookXAUUSD (Gold)
Current Market Overview
Gold has experienced a slight downturn recently, reflecting broader market uncertainties and shifts in investor sentiment. However, technical analysis indicates that a bullish move could be on the horizon if certain conditions are met.
Technical Analysis
Trendline and Key Levels
The current analysis suggests that the market is slightly bearish. However, a potential bullish move could be observed if the market breaks above the established trendline. Key levels to watch include:
Retracement Level: 2342.35
Target Levels: 2483.74 and 2601.55
A break above the trendline and the retracement level of 2342.35 could set the stage for upward movement, potentially reaching the target levels of 2483.74 and 2601.55.
Conclusion
While the gold market currently shows signs of a slight downtrend, a bullish move could be imminent if critical technical levels are breached. As always, it is essential for traders and investors to conduct thorough analysis and consider all factors before making any decisions. This report aims to provide insights and assist in understanding the potential future movements in the XAUUSD (Gold) market.
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not SEBI registered advisors.
GOLD Looks Like A Giant Bull Trap Price To Fall DramaticallyThis move in gold has been nice but I think its almost over. This was a giant bull trap in my opinion. Over the next few years I see Gold coming down to the bottom trend line then longer term probably below $1000 after it breaks the rising wedge.
I think the Golden Age of America is a real thing. Cheaper energy, more advanced ways of mining, new large gold deposits will be found. Gold will always be relevant but will never be used as money again. No real need for it other than industrial uses. Eventually we'll be able to manufacture gold, silver, and pretty much any other metal and there wont be a need for mining anymore. We're moving forward not backwards.
Best of luck my friends, none of this is financial advice.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4h chart after smashing levels on our 1h chart idea.
This chart idea is playing out perfectly!!! We got our 2890 and 2928 Bullish target hit. This followed with ema5 lock opening the range above upto 2959. We got the move up after the lock for over 200 pips but just short of the full gap. As long as we have no lock below 2928, we are good to buy dips into this range for now.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2890 - DONE
2928 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3024
BEARISH TARGETS
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2890 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2813 - 2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2785 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2744 - 2713
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GDX - Gold Miners ETF: Inverse Head & shouldersGold prices have surged to unprecedented levels in light of recent trade policy changes. The announcement by US President Donald Trump regarding a new 25% tariff on essential imports such as cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals has created a wave of uncertainty among investors. This risk-off sentiment has driven many to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold.
Nevertheless, this upward momentum may encounter challenges if a trade agreement with China comes to fruition. A successful deal could alleviate global trade tensions, leading to a decrease in gold demand and possibly resulting in selling pressure.
However sustained high bullion prices could prove to be a significant advantage for gold miners. The GDX ETF is showing a persistent inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential for further gains.
USOIL (WTI) - New uptrend? Based on the technical analysis of West Texas Oil (WTI) on the 4-hour timeframe, we're monitoring a potential bullish setup. If the price successfully breaks above the upper blue box resistance zone around 74.000, we'll maintain patience and wait for a healthy retracement. Once we observe clear confirmation signals during this pullback, such as bullish candlestick patterns or strong momentum indicators, we can look to enter long positions. The anticipated target would be the previous resistance level marked by the red horizontal line at approximately 80.800.
Gold prices are also maintaining at historic peak levelsAccording to analysis, the domestic and foreign gold markets are being strongly influenced by the forums of the US Federal Reserve (FED) and the main US trade lists.
Recently, President Donald Trump continued to announce that he could impose a 25% tax on imported cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals...
Investors continue to look to gold as a safe foreign channel, amid worries about international trade tensions and negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine that have not yet had positive results as expected.
The USD index remained at its lowest level in about 2 months, around 106.9 points, also supporting the rise of gold prices.
Minutes of the Federal Open Market CommitteeCommittee participants began discussions related to their review of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy framework. This review is focused on two specific areas: the Committee's Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, which presents the Committee's approach to the conduct of monetary policy, and the Committee's policy communication practices. The Committee's 2 percent longer-run inflation goal will be retained and is not a focus of the review.
The manager noted that inflation offsets overall increased slightly. However, both the survey measures of inflation expectations and prices in the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities market remained fairly consistent with predictions that inflation would return to the Committee's 2% inflation target.
In money markets, the manager noted that a quarter-point lowering of the target range for the federal funds rate in December was fully carried over to other short-term rates. Additionally, the 5 basis point technical adjustment to the overnight reverse repurchase agreement (ON RRP) offering rate made in December appears to have been passed through almost entirely to the repurchase agreement (repo) rate.
Gold Surging - Will the RSI Overbought Matter?📈 Gold Extends Gains in Strong Uptrend
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,938, continuing its rally within a well-defined ascending channel (orange lines).
Price remains above both the 50-day EMA ($2,776) and 200-day EMA ($2,576), reinforcing bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance:
$3,000 → Psychological level, upper bound of the channel.
Support:
$2,900 → Lower channel trendline.
$2,850 → Stronger support if the uptrend weakens.
📊 Momentum Check:
RSI at 71.56 → Overbought territory, a pullback or consolidation is possible.
Price hugging the upper trendline, suggesting a short-term correction could be healthy.
🚀 What’s Next?
Bulls want to see $2,900 hold as support to sustain the trend.
A break below the channel could trigger profit-taking toward $2,850 or even the 50-day EMA ($2,776).
Gold’s trend remains bullish, but overbought conditions warn of potential volatility.
-MW
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold on the 4H TF is within its final Wave 5 bullish move, there’s no arguing with that. The only thing to debate is how high can Wave 5 push up before reversing?
While it’s possible that Wave 5 has now peaked at $2,942 & ready for a major correction, on the 1H TF I see a small possibly of it creating a new ATH toward $2,954. HIGH RISK TRADE.
Confluences👇🏻
⭕️Distribution Schematic Taking Place Between Wave 3 High, Wave 4 Low & Wave 5 High.
⭕️Wave E Rejected From Psychological Number Of $2,940 (LQ Trap).
⭕️No Strong Sell Off Yet To Indicate A Reversal Has Started.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-20 : Rotation PatternSorry for my delay this morning. Everything is fine over here - just a bit hectic this morning, and I had to drive my son to his work at 530am - which interrupted my plans.
OK, so here we go.
This video helps to organize my analysis/thinking into more clearly presented data for my followers. I use the Fibonacci Price Theory as a basis for all my analysis. On top of that, I use other techniques (anchor bars, my SPY Cycle Patterns, and my custom indexes) to help identify when and where opportunities exist for the best trades.
I've been getting comments related to my labeling these videos as Bullish or Bearish which may go against the primary trend direction presented on the charts. So, now I've added a TEXT LABEL that tells you what every chart is doing on a Short, Intermediate, and Long-term basis.
This will help all of you follow my analysis/thinking going forward (I hope).
Today's Rotation Pattern suggests the markets will slide into a sideways price rotation phase.
This rotation could be a stalling pattern after the recent rally to new ATHs.
I'm still very cautious of a breakdown/pullback in trend after this move higher. As I keep saying, I don't believe the markets have sufficient momentum to continue a massive rally phase. And I really believe this new ATH level is a BULL TRAP - setting up longs to jump into this rally mode before a bigger pullback/breakdown takes place.
Gold and Silver are struggling to move higher with a fairly broad rotating range - but they are still pushing higher.
I believe Gold and Silver will make a big move higher over the next 30+ days. So, be prepared for volatility - but stick with long trades for metals as I believe Gold will rally to levels above $3100 very quickly.
Bitcoin could be shifting into a new Excess Phase Peak pattern off recent lows. The FPT trends for Bitcoin are still BEARISH, but we are starting to see a base setup that may become a new Excess Phase Peak low.
Watch this video and please comment if you have any questions.
Again, sorry for my delay this morning.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 19.02.2025📊 Market Structure & Price Action Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation: Gold has been respecting the ascending channel since $2,880, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Key Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, which aligns with the trendline support and has held twice.
Rejection from Resistance: $2,939, suggesting a temporary pullback before another bullish leg.
Potential Buy Zone: If price revisits $2,923 - $2,925 and holds, it presents a good long opportunity.
📈 Intraday Scalping Trade Signal (BUY Setup)
✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (Wait for confirmation with bullish price action)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,939 (Short-term target)
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,946 - $2,950 (Channel resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $2,915 (Trendline breakdown invalidates setup)
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher
🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entry:
✅ Bullish Candlestick Formation (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar at support)
✅ Trendline & Support Hold at $2,923 - $2,925
✅ Volume Increase on Buy Pressure
✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Additional Confirmation
⚠ Risk Management:
Exit immediately if price closes below $2,915, as it would indicate a trendline breakdown.
Move SL to Breakeven once TP1 is hit.
Avoid Chasing Entry if price already starts moving higher without touching the buy zone.
📌 Trading Tip: Monitor gold's reaction at $2,923 - $2,925; a strong bounce confirms bullish strength. 🚀
Like, follow and comment your concern.
GOLD - After correct to support line, price can bounce to $2930Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to grow inside upward wedge, and soon reached $2855 level and broke it, after which made retest.
Then Gold some time traded near this level, corrected to support area and then continued to move up.
Later it reached resistance line of wedge, before making a gap, after which price turned around and dropped.
Price almost fell to support line of wedge and then bounced up to resistance area, after which quickly fell back.
Next, price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2930 level, but then started to decline.
In my opinion, after a breakout of $2930 level, Gold can bounce up to $2970 from support line and exit from wa edge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 2941.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2952.86
Recommended Stop Loss - 2937.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold’s Rally Continues – Next ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) again managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) . Are you used to this?
Gold has already managed to break the Uptrend line . But as long as Gold is above 100_SMA(1-hour) , we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 3, so that the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Gold to start rising again after a temporary decline from the levels I charted and create a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Note: If Gold can go below 100_SMA(1-hour) again, we should expect more dumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Market analysis and short-term forecastsIn the early Asian session on Thursday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range, and the current price is around 2943. After setting a new record on Wednesday, it fell back. Although US President Trump's latest tariff threat made investors nervous, the US dollar continued to rebound, prompting some longs to take profits.
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the potential impact of Trump's policies has caused the Federal Reserve to worry about rising inflation. Policymakers generally believe that changes in trade policies, immigration policies and geopolitical risks may push up inflation, and companies generally said that they will pass on the cost of import tariffs by raising prices. This uncertainty makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the short term.
More importantly, Trump asked "dictator" Zelensky to act quickly to ensure peace, otherwise there will be no country to govern. The Kremlin said that Putin and Trump may meet before the end of February. Concerns about the geopolitical situation have cooled down, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for international gold investment!
On this trading day, we need to continue to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and news related to the situation between Russia and Ukraine. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending February 15 will be released. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, St. Louis Fed President Musallem and Fed Governor Kugler will give speeches, which gold investors need to pay attention to.
Gold prices have a very good upside as expected, and broke through the high point of 2942 that has not been reached many times in the previous period. The NY market fell and rebounded strongly to close above 2930, forming a wide range of fluctuations at the high of 2918/2946. The current highest gold is around 2947. Although there was a slight decline in the US market yesterday, it has been repaired at the opening today. Therefore, the basic principle is temporarily maintained, and the rise will not guess the top.
At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. From the technical point of view, after the rise in the first three trading days of this week, the daily line has been above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, forming an absolute strength. In the short cycle, if there is an effective adjustment today, you can continue to go long if the trend is maintained. Today's trading callback mainly participates in the trend of low-long, and the high-altitude layout is coordinated!
Starting this week, the gold price remained above $2,900 per ounce, but the relative strength index (RSI) showed that it was in the overbought area. The gold daily K-line closed higher continuously, and the weekly line was also controlled by the physical K-line. The resistance seen above was only the upper rail of the 4-hour Bollinger band at 2948, and the upper rail of the monthly Bollinger band at 2960. The upper rail of the daily Bollinger band even extended upward to 2975!
The daily line maintained a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintained a golden cross upward; the weekly line was a strong pattern of seven consecutive rises, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment was high. Then the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of callback.
Key points:
First support: 2926, second support: 2910, third support: 2903
First resistance: 2948, second resistance: 2956, third resistance: 2968
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2923-2926, SL: 2915, TP2950-2960;
SELL: 2956-2959, SL: 2968, TP: 2940-2930;