Commodities
USOIL:Analysis of the Oil Market Trend for Next WeekAmid the anticipated trade uncertainties, concerns on the supply side have resurfaced. With the April 2nd tariff effective date approaching, the market is taking a cautious stance in the short - term. Supported by the decline in oil inventories and the prevailing concerns, oil prices have rebounded and are nearing the resistance range. In the medium - term, the market is constrained by the expected slowdown in global demand, and the focus is on waiting for the resistance test.
Strategy recommendations: Given the range - bound trading, consider short - selling at high levels and buying at low levels.
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SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 34.116 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 34.330
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold can continue moving up inside the upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. At the beginning of the chart, the price started to grow from the buyer zone between 2865–2880 points, entering the first upward channel, where it formed higher highs and higher lows. After multiple rejections from the resistance line, the price made a correction and exited the channel, but the overall bullish impulse remained intact. Following a brief consolidation in the support area between 3000–3015 points, GOLD launched another strong move upward, securing a position above the current support level at 3000. This zone has proven to be strong support and marked the beginning of a new upward channel. Currently, the price is trading confidently inside this second upward channel. After a minor correction to the midline, GOLD continued its upward trajectory. I expect a short-term pullback, but as long as the support holds, the bullish trend is likely to continue. My main scenario assumes that GOLD will stay within the channel and move toward TP1, which is set at 3135 points. Given the bullish structure, solid reaction from support, and clear upward momentum, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can bounce up from pennant to $3100 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price sometimes declined inside the falling channel, where it broke support level and fell to the channel's support line.
Then it turned around and rose to support area, some time traded near and later continued to move up.
Gold broke $2935 level again and soon exited from channel also, after which continued to grow in pennant.
In pennant, price reached $3055 level, which coincides with resistance area and tried to break it, but failed.
After this, price corrected to support line of pennant and then started to grow, and now it trades near $3055 level.
In my mind, Gold can bounce up from support line of pennant to $3100, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Black Hole SunshineA surreal dreamscape, when spilled on water, can ignite under the right conditions, creating dramatic (but harmful) floating flames—an event that brings people back to reality.
The oil patch is on the verge. With an oil to gold ratio near all time high, the watershed moment is close. Accumulate through the near term volatility.
XAUUSD Still Strong! Ready to Continue to 3100-3200?Happy Weekend, Traders!
Hope you had a profitable week and that our strategies are working well!
🟡 XAUUSD Outlook for Next Week
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to dominate, closing at 3085, and the bullish momentum remains strong. From a technical perspective, the price structure is still in an uptrend, with the potential to push toward 3100 and even 3200 in the coming weeks.
On the fundamental side, the economic conditions in the U.S. further support the rise in gold prices. Market uncertainty and expectations surrounding the Fed's policies remain key catalysts for XAUUSD’s strength. Additionally, as we enter the summer season, gold tends to experience increased market activity and volatility.
🟢 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: 3070 – 3050
✅ Resistance: 3100 – 3200
Always keep an eye on price action and fundamental news to stay ahead of market moves! 🔥
Don’t forget to Follow & Like my account @Algonatuthx for more market insights and trading updates! OANDA:XAUUSD
Happy Trading & Stay Profitable! 💰
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 68.97
Target Level: 64.65
Stop Loss: 71.85
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AUCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AUC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 28th March (i.e.: above the level of $0.56).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 26th March (i.e.: below $0.515), should the trade activate.
Unstoppable, GOLD could rise in Big Data WeekOANDA:XAUUSD markets maintained solid gains in the initial reaction to higher-than-expected inflation data, with OANDA:XAUUSD surging to a record high as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset amid concerns that US President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs will spark a global trade war. It is now up more than 17% for the quarter, which would be its best quarterly performance since 1986.
PCE data slightly exceeds expectations, but has limited impact on rate cut expectations
Data showed that the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% month-on-month in February, above market expectations of 0.3% and in line with January.
While inflation data was somewhat upbeat, it was not enough to significantly change market expectations for a Fed rate cut.
The Fed has yet to adjust its policy rate this year, having previously cut rates three times through 2024. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a total of 63 basis points starting in July this year, and could start cutting rates by 50 basis points by mid-year.
Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset that performs well in an environment of political and economic risk and low interest rate expectations.
Trump is about to announce "reciprocal tariffs", and the market is very wary of inflation and growth risks
The market is closely watching the Trump administration's plan to announce "reciprocal tariffs" on April 2. Trump's policies have the effect of promoting inflation, not only increasing the risk of economic recession, but also may exacerbate global trade tensions.
This is beneficial for gold prices!
Looking ahead to next week, in addition to the technical upside and current support for gold, gold prices remain well supported as US economic data continues to highlight slowing growth. Next week’s jobs data is expected to be a significant mover. Any weakness in the labor market could weigh on equities and boost safe-haven demand for gold.
Therefore, as usual, the employment data will be the focus of the economic calendar next week, and more detailed analysis will be sent to readers in the next editions. In particular, along with the economic data, traders also need to monitor how the world reacts to the implementation of US trade tariffs, which are expected to take effect on April 2. This will deeply affect the US Dollar and the price of gold, any risk of escalating tariff conflicts will cause gold prices to increase immediately.
Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Jobs Open
Wednesday: US Global Tariffs, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls
Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
GOLD - XAUUSDLocally, the XAUUSD price broke through the downtrend lines. Now we are near the first resistance of 1900. The next liquidity level is near 1950.
Many experts believe that the price will move sideways until geopolitical tensions subside or until the FED raises interest rates. However, even if rates start to rise with high inflation - the real interest rates are likely to be negative. Therefore, they believe that gold will remain attractive as a defensive asset.
Rising gold = a traditional harbinger of crises and slight shocks in the stock and crypto markets. Gold is an excellent choice for those who don't particularly want to go into cash inflation but don't want to be present in dive markets.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
NATGAS Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 3.720$ and we are
Seeing a nice strong bullish
Rebound so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 EOD Review : Brutal SellingI sure hope all of you were able to profit from this big selling trend today.
And I also hope you didn't get trapped in the potential for a base/bottom rally off the recent lows.
This move downward reminds me of the 2022-2023 downward trending pattern when the Fed was raising rates.
What Trump is doing with tariffs is very similar. It is slowing the economy in a way that will not break it - but it will result in slower, more costly, economic function.
Watch this video and I sure hope all of you have great (profitable) stories to share with me today.
I know I do. And, I'm positioned for the weekend. Ready to profit no matter what the markets do.
Get some.
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Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Comstock Resources (CRK) – Expanding U.S. Natural Gas DominanceCompany Overview:
Comstock Resources NYSE:CRK is accelerating natural gas production, reinforcing its position in the Western Haynesville play, a key U.S. gas region.
Key Catalysts:
Production Expansion & Strategic Acquisitions ⛽
Increasing drilling rigs from 5 to 7 for higher output.
Acquired 64,000 net acres in Haynesville, boosting reserves & market share.
Investment in Drilling & Midstream Infrastructure 🏗️
$1.0-$1.1 billion planned for 46 horizontal wells in 2025.
$130-$150 million allocated to midstream development, optimizing gas transport & profitability.
Market Strength & Growth Outlook 📈
Positioned to capitalize on rising U.S. natural gas demand & global LNG expansion.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on CRK above $15.50-$16.00, supported by production growth & infrastructure investment.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $30.00-$31.00, driven by expansion, operational efficiency, and market strength.
🔥 CRK – Fueling the Future of U.S. Natural Gas. #CRK #NaturalGas #EnergyStocks
WHEAT at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 541$?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT has reached a major support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward the 541$ target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Gold’s Last Bull Run? Bitcoin’s Big Move Is Coming!Strong institutional money is flowing into gold and precious stones. Historically, this has been a sign of a prolonged bear market in traditional markets. In other words, strong hands have sold stocks at high prices, securing significant profits, and are now moving to the ultimate safe haven: gold, which has been considered a store of value since ancient Egypt.
However, in my opinion, Bitcoin still has hope. When the Buy Climax happens in gold, Bitcoin will rise quickly. I believe this will take a few weeks or months to unfold. In other words, Bitcoin needs to consolidate first and accumulate enough while they sell their gold bars—especially the Chinese.
Gold is likely in its last bull run of the century. I believe that by the end of April or beginning of May, gold should form a top, although I'm not certain. And since Bitcoin typically shines after gold finishes its distribution, Bitcoin is likely in its last bull run of the decade.
Gold: How much higher will XAU go?Gold continues to find support amid haven flows as equities tumble on trade war concerns.
But how much further can gold rise?
Well I think a lot of people had $3K+ pencilled in as their target. We are obviously well above the $3K level now at $3085, which may trigger some profit taking.
While dip buyers are lurking, a rug pull is becoming increasingly likely at these levels in my view. When risk appetite turns sour and stocks start falling, people tend to liquidate their profitable long gold positions to free up margin. Could we see something similar?
For me, the short term trigger could be a potential break below recent low and support around $3057-$3066, while in the slightly longer term view, a potential move below $3,000 is needed to trigger a more meaningful drop.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another awesome finish to the week with our charts idea playing out to perfection!!!
After completing our 3050 target yesterday, we got our cross and lock above 3050 opening 3065, followed with a further cross and lock above 3065 opening 3080, Both 3065 and 3080 were completed today for a perfect finish.
We will now need a cross and lock above 3080 for a continuation into the next Goldturn or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern.
The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume.
Key levels to watch:
- Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance)
- Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50
This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!