Pan American Silver (PAAS) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Pan American Silver NYSE:PAAS , a leading precious metals producer in the Americas, is strategically positioned to benefit from the rising prices of silver and gold, driven by global economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures. As investor interest in precious metals grows, PAAS stands out for its robust operations and efficient portfolio management.
Key Catalysts:
Organic Growth Focus:
PAAS has increased its 2024 drilling budget to over 450,000 meters, highlighting management's confidence in its exploration prospects.
This aggressive exploration strategy signals long-term production growth and resource expansion.
Portfolio Optimization:
The company secured Investment Canada Act approval for the $245 million sale of its La Arena gold mine and La Arena II project in Peru to Zijin Mining Group.
This transaction demonstrates PAAS’s commitment to unlock value from non-core assets and focus on its most profitable operations.
Precious Metals Momentum:
Rising gold and silver prices, fueled by inflation concerns and economic uncertainty, enhance revenue potential for PAAS.
As a top-tier producer with diversified operations, the company is well-leveraged to capitalize on higher commodity prices.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We remain bullish on PAAS above the $20.00-$21.00 range, supported by strong fundamentals, rising metals prices, and a clear focus on organic growth.
Upside Potential: Our target range for PAAS is $34.00-$35.00, reflecting the company’s ability to grow production, optimize its portfolio, and benefit from favorable macroeconomic trends.
🚀 PAAS—Capitalizing on Rising Precious Metal Prices and Strategic Growth. #Gold #Silver #MiningGrowth
Commodities
USOILPrevious analysis on November 13, 2024, it was seen that the price rebounded, tested the 71.40 level and could not break through. The price then came down to test the support zone 67.92-66.93 again. If the price can still stand above the 66.93 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will adjust up. Consider buying the red zone.
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The downward space opens up. Trend analysisGold closed slightly higher last week, and gave up most of the gains of the previous four days at the end of the week. The 10/7-day moving average of the short-term four-hour chart opened downward at 65/70, and the RSI indicator was running on the lower track of the axis in the hourly chart and the four-hour chart, and the Bollinger band was running on the middle and lower track. Technically, the weak adjustment of gold on Friday changed the extremely strong gold bull structure. Wait for the rebound high to sell at the beginning of this week.
Gold bulls do not have any strong rebound now, and the short-term trend of gold is still short. The rebound is an opportunity for shorts. Gold is waiting for a rebound to continue to short. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to enter a downward dead cross pattern. If it continues to diverge downward, the gold short position will be further opened. Gold hit a new low in the Asian session. The previous low of gold at 2675 is now forming a counter-pressure. Sell at highs below the rebound of 2675. You can go short near 2670.
First support: 2640, second support: 2633, third support: 2620
First resistance: 2660, second resistance: 2672, third resistance: 2680
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2636-2638
SELL: 2670-2672
An exciting week with many important economic data.World gold prices decrease when the USD increases. Recorded at 9:40 a.m. on December 16, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,570 points (down 0.11%).
According to Naeem Aslam - investment director of Zaye Capital Markets, gold investors should mentally prepare for the possibility of gold prices weakening next week. The main reason comes from the US Federal Reserve (FED) reducing expectations about cutting interest rates, in the context of inflation still being "persistent".
Lukman Otunuga - market analyst at FXTM - gave a neutral comment on gold prices in the short term. According to him, the trend of this precious metal will largely depend on the policy message that FED officials give in the upcoming meeting. Otunuga emphasized that, if the FED continues to maintain its "hawkish" stance, this could limit the ability of gold prices to increase as investors gradually narrow their expectations for stronger interest rate cuts next year. 2025. On the contrary, if the FED signals to loosen policy in 2024, gold prices could increase to 2,700 USD/ounce or higher.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2656 - 2654🔥
💵 TP1: 2630
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2665
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WTICOUSD , high time frame
Hello traders, I would like to discuss West Texas oil. There is a critical zone on the chart, as anticipated. Oil is currently in a bullish trend on the higher timeframes. Presently, the price is in OB on the 4-hour chart, and during the Asian session, there are indications of a potential decrease to $69 before targeting the $75 zone.
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GOLD corrects in 2 days, still has bullish conditions next weekOANDA:XAUUSD fell as the USD held steady at its highest level in more than 2 weeks. However, the market expects the Federal Reserve will still cut interest rates next week and gold prices still have conditions for a possible increase in price.
OANDA:XAUUSD has broken multiple record highs this year, supported by Fed monetary policy, strong central bank buying and safe-haven demand.
Traders currently assess a 96% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting.
Focus will also be on Chairman Jerome Powell's comments as market participants analyze US monetary policy in 2025, especially given President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans , is very likely to add to inflation.
Central banks often keep interest rates high to curb inflation, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold.
Pay special attention to the upcoming Fed interest rate decision
The Fed's monetary policy statement next week could be the last major impact for gold this year outside of unforeseen geopolitical surprises.
Next Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after a two-day policy meeting. The Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed will also release a revised Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), known as a Dotplot chart.
In September, SEP showed that Fed officials' median forecast for the policy rate at the end of 2025 was 3.4%. If the 2025 interest rate forecast is revised downward, i.e. cutting interest rates by more than 100 basis points, it could have a direct negative impact on the Dollar and this would push gold prices higher.
Markets will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. If Powell takes a cautious approach to further policy easing, emphasizing a gradual approach, the dollar is likely to remain strong as it remains supported by President-elect Donald Trump. On the other hand, the US Dollar will come under selling pressure if Powell expresses growing concerns about the cooling labor market and its potential negative impact on the growth outlook.
Data next week
Next Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revised data on gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter, and next Friday will release the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE).
The economic calendar needs attention next week
Monday: Empire State manufacturing survey, S&P flash PMI
Tuesday: US retail sales
Wednesday: Federal Reserve monetary policy decision
Thursday: Bank of England monetary policy decision; US weekly unemployment claims;
US Q3 GDP, Philly Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey, Existing Home Sales
Friday: Personal consumption expenditure index (PCE)
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold closed the week in a crucial position for upside as it still has bullish conditions.
Specifically, the daily chart still shows that gold prices maintain activity above EMA21 and above the technical level of 2,644 USD. Note to readers in the previous edition. In addition, the Relative Strength Index decreased but stayed above 50, which does not show any negative signals.
In the near term, if gold brings price activity back above the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the conditions to recover more to the $2,676 level in the short term, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci level and the original price point. 2,700 USD.
Overall, gold still has a bullish outlook. However, a negative situation is likely to appear once gold breaks below the 0.618% Fibonacci level because it will tend to retest the 0.786% Fibonacci level with a price point of 2,591USD. Therefore, open long positions will need to be protected when this situation occurs.
In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows.
Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2684
→Take Profit 1 2673
↨
→Take Profit 2 2668
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2617
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2633
Heading into overlap resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 73.08
1st Support: 66.98
1st Resistance: 78.05
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#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures: Neutral again. Last week we got a bull surprise and market closed at previous resistance. Upside will probably be limited and market could not close above 72.3 for 2 months now. I do not expect it to change that all of a sudden. The volume is also low af and therefore I expect more sideways between 67 - 71. 2024 will likely close near 69.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls are not doing enough but bears are also barely making new lows. Market is mostly two sided and stuck inside an 8$ range for 2 months. Don’t over analyze it.
comment: I won’t make this longer than it needs to be and nothing has changed for the past 10 weeks. We are inside a clear trading range 66 - 72 and you can not expect that range to break over the next 3 weeks. Almost anything can happen with the markets but the most reasonable expectation is a continuation.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 66 - 72
bull case: If bulls can close the gap to 72.56 I’d be very surprised. 71.5 is likely still bigger resistance and thus most bulls will exit longs above 71 on any decent weakness. Daily close above 72 would change that a bit but not too much.
Invalidation is below 66.
bear case: Upper third of the trading range is where bears are favored again but they need to show some selling pressure before you should think about shorting this. If you would short this now, would you put your stop at 71.5? That’s really tight and the risk the market prints those couple of ticks is big. Next best stop would be 72.8. In any case, I wait for selling pressure before I short.
Invalidation is above 71.6.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral 68 - 70 and I doubt we make lower lows below 66. Even if bears push below, downside is likely limited. Can’t change much of last weeks short term outlook, since it’s still valid. Bears have targets below 66 but until they get a daily close below it, we continue sideways.
→ Last Sunday we traded 67.2 and now we are at 71.29. Range is still holding. Outlook was ok.
short term: Neutral 68 - 71.6. Above 71.6. we could see 72.2 but probably not higher than 72.8. Bears are favored at the upper third of this range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : None
chart update: Nothing worth mentioning. Again.
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold futures: Neutral. Very strong rally Mo-Wednesday just to almost completely reverse and close the week 11 points above the open. Rallies getting stuffed hard now and bulls will only try so many times until we test lower prices. 2630 is the price for bears to break and bulls need anything above 2760 again. It’s much more likely that we close 2024 around 2700. Market has also formed another triangle on the daily/weekly chart, so don’t expect a trending market for the next 3 weeks.
Quote from last week:
comment : I won’t waste much time with this market this week. Clear triangle and market is in total balance around 2660. Wait for the breakout or play the range. My best guess would be that we both see 2600 and 2700 in the next 3 weeks.
comment : Quick and dirty again. Bulls had the perfect setup for 2800+ but blew it. Big bois selling the rips and market formed another triangle. I doubt it will go anywhere in the next 3 weeks. Likely yearly close around 2700. Play the range or don’t trade this at all.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2620 - 2750
bull case: Bulls blew it. The setup from last weeks Friday was perfect and Mo-We we had amazing follow through. Thursday was a huge bear surprise and bulls just gave up on the rally. They got stuffed big time now two times over the past 5 weeks, which makes me believe that there are probably not many more bulls who want to try a third time. Sideways is the most likely and reasonable thing to expect here.
Invalidation is below 2630.
bear case: Strong bears selling the rips but I don’t expect them to really try and push this below 2600 again. 2630 was huge support the past weeks and even if they print below, they would still have to break through the big bull trend line from August.
Invalidation is above 2763.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral inside given range.
→ Last Sunday we traded 2659 and now we are at 2675. Market went much higher than expected but nowhere on the week, so outlook was ok.
short term: Neutral inside given range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-07 : No bigger opinion on this for the rest of 2024. Market is in balance until we see a new impulse. Likely close around 2700.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down.
Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
Gold Technical Analysis: Volatility Ahead of Fed Rate DecisionGold Technical Analysis
The market will remain volatile this week due to the impact of Fed Rate Decision and GDP data. Gold's direction will hinge on these events, particularly the Fed's stance on interest rates.
Bearish Scenario: Continuation
Conditions:
- Price needs to stabilize below 2653 (Pivot Point).
- A further breakdown and 1H or 4H candle close below 2638 will open the door to 2623.
- Bearish momentum could strengthen further if the Fed rate remains at 4.75% or signals a hawkish stance.
Bullish Scenario: Continuation
Conditions:
- A rate cut of 25 bps by the Fed will support bullish sentiment, driving prices upward.
- Price needs to break and hold above 2653, targeting resistance levels at 2665, 2678, and 2690.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2653
Resistance Levels: 2665, 2678, 2690
Support Levels: 2638, 2623, 2612
Trend Outlook
- Bearish: If the price stabilizes below 2653 and key support levels break.
- Volatile: Driven by the Fed's decision and market reaction to GDP data.
Summary
- Bearish Trigger: Close below 2638, targeting 2623 and potentially 2612.
- Bullish Trigger: Fed cuts rates by 25 bps, and price breaks above 2653, aiming for 2665 and higher levels.
previous idea:
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from.
Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now!
Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities.
Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
Falling towards overlap support?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.1153
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.0489
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 4.2065
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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BRIEFING Week #50: Buckle Up, The FED is ComingHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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MAD Indicator Performance (PAID Indicator)Hi All,
here is the performance of my new publication, Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) indicator. it shows bullishness (Green background) when market anomaly is bullish, means it is above upper level which is green line... it shows market bearishness when price is below lower level Red line (red background) and grey back ground is expected price range when price is between upper and lower level but in between there is blue line which is mean of last 50 candles im using in this indicator... it also display z score and RSI level, +1 and +1.5 and more shows more strength in the upper levels and similarly below -1 and more it shows more strenth in downside levels..
Z score dashboard becomes green or red basis on z score, negative score red and positve green and between -1 to +1 grey..
i am also using reverse signals when price crossed above lower level which is red line like i said above and when price closes below upper levels, lts a sell.
im using trade cool down period to check last 5 candles (can be changed as per your input in the indicator settings.) for signal..
GOLD - Price can little fall and then bounce up to $2690 levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline from resistance line, breaking $2690 level, and fell to $2535 points, breaking $2605 level too.
Then price turned around and started to grow inside wedge, where it broke resistance line and soon reached $2605 level.
Price broke this level and rose to resistance line of wedge, after which made a correction to support level.
Next, price some time traded and then fell to support line of wedge, after which made upward impulse.
Gold rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2690 level, but recently it turned around and fell to support line.
Now, I think that Gold can fall little below support line of wedge and then bounce up to $2690 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️