Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 65.64
1st Support: 60.22
1st Resistance: 71.20
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Commodities
GOLD-XAUUSD vs. The FED: Technicals or Fundamentals?Good Morning Traders,
Let’s break down what gold is showing us on the 1-day chart:
- **Resistance:** 3,378
- **Support:** 3,282
- There’s a noticeable **head and shoulders pattern** on the chart. Under normal conditions, gold’s target sits at **3,170**.
Gold is highly sensitive to fundamental factors. Sudden war news or events like last week’s rumors about Trump firing the Fed Chair can trigger serious volatility.
That’s why I always combine **technical and fundamental analysis** in my approach.
For gold to reach the 3,170 target, the **3,282 support level must first be broken**. Since that hasn't happened yet, we can't confirm a bearish move—fundamentals play a key role here.
Keep in mind: this is a **swing trade** setup based on a 1-day chart. Reaching the target could take time.
I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is
my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content.
Much love and respect to you all.💛
WTI(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.42
Support and resistance levels
68.00
67.41
67.02
65.81
65.43
64.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 66.42, consider buying, and the first target price is 67.02
If the price breaks through 65.81, consider selling, and the first target price is 65.43
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook — 21 July 20251. Market Overview & Live Price Confirmation
Gold is currently trading around $3,354, with a daily range of approximately $3,345–$3,359. This places it firmly within its broader uptrend, showing resilience amid recent macro uncertainties and consolidating its position above key support zones.
2. Four-Hour Technical Breakdown
Trend & Structure
The 4-hour chart reveals a strong bullish structure, marked by consistent higher highs and lows. A recent Break of Structure occurred near $3,324, reinforcing the upward bias. A minor Change of Character around $3,360–$3,358 reflects a healthy retracement, but the bigger picture remains strong.
Key SMC & ICT Zones
Supply Zone: $3,360–$3,362 — recent peak area likely to attract sellers and sweep above liquidity.
Demand Zone: $3,340–$3,344 — aligns perfectly with the 38.2% Fib from the $3,308–$3,362 swing, forming a prime area to buy from.
Order Block / FVG Zone: $3,336–$3,342 — open imbalance suggesting price may revisit for efficient entry.
Liquidity Context: Order flow patterns indicate stop hunts around established zones — part of classic Smart Money Concepts.
Fibonacci Levels
38.2% retrace at $3,340, offering medium-term confluence support.
Upside projections via Fibonacci:
1.272 extension: $3,378
1.618 extension: $3,389
3. One-Hour Intraday Trading Setups
Aligned with the 4-hour bullish bias, these setups offer scalable, structured entry opportunities.
Strategy Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Risk:Reward
Aggressive Long $3,344 $3,338 $3,358 → $3,362 ~2:1
Conservative Long $3,340 $3,330 $3,362 → $3,378 ~2.5:1
Short Opportunity Rejection @ $3,362 $3,368 $3,344 ~2:1
🌟 The Golden Setup
Buy within $3,340–$3,344 (4H demand + Fib zone + FVG)
Stop-Loss: $3,330
Take-Profit 1: $3,362 (range high)
Take-Profit 2: $3,378 (Fib 1.272)
Why It Works: A confluence of structural support, liquidity zones, and retracement levels gives this setup high predictive quality.
4. Analyst Consensus Snapshot
Market commentary from professional analysts shows alignment with dip-buy strategies. Most recognize the $3,340 region as key support and express caution entering $3,360–$3,375 resistance. Weekly forecasts describe tight trading with potential for breakouts or retracements depending on economic data and Fed commentary, but the medium-term trend remains bullish.
5. Summary & Trading Blueprint
Price Range: $3,345–$3,359 (daily); $3,338–$3,378 (targets)
4-Hour Bias: Bullish, with defined demand and supply zones
Golden Trade: Buy $3,340–3,344 → SL $3,330 → TP1 $3,362 / TP2 $3,378
Catalysts to Watch: Federal Reserve speech, tariff developments, USD movements.
6. Final Thoughts
Gold continues to demonstrate bullish resilience, supported by both technical structure and macro tailwinds. The $3,340–3,344 zone offers a clear, high-probability entry confluence, while stop placement and profit targets are well-defined. Profit management around $3,360 ensures disciplined scaling or early exits if risk factors emerge.
By blending price action, Smart Money frameworks, ICT concepts, and Fibonacci confluence—all structured into actionable trade setups—you have a professional-grade playbook ready for deployment.
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 3339.71, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 3370.26, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3307.53, a pullback support.
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GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Follow-Up – Structure Still in Full Control
Just a quick update on our daily structure roadmap. Price continues to respect our Goldturn levels with surgical precision.
After the previous bounce off 3272, we saw over 800 pips of upside follow through. That level once again proved its weight, holding beautifully as support and launching price firmly back toward the upper boundary.
Since last week’s update, nothing has changed structurally – the range remains intact and fully respected. Price is still trading between the well defined 3272 support and the untested 3433 resistance. We’ve yet to revisit 3433, which remains our key upside target and a potential inflection point.
Here’s what we’re focusing on next:
🔹 Range scenario active:
Until price breaks out cleanly, we anticipate continued swings between 3433 resistance and 3272 support. This remains the active range setup.
🔹 EMA5 cross and lock:
We’re still watching for a decisive EMA5 break and lock. Without that, we expect more range-bound action rather than a breakout.
🔹 Structure remains intact:
No EMA5 breakdown off 3272 during the recent retest means buyers are still in control. Dips into 3272 remain valid long entries within this structure.
Key Levels This Week
📉 Support – 3272
Proven bounce zone. Continues to hold structure. As long as this holds, the bias remains constructive.
📈 Resistance – 3433
Open gap + channel top confluence. Still untested. Watching for a reaction or breakout confirmation here.
Thanks again for all the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean the world.
Wishing you another focused and profitable week ahead!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold will make a Low for the Week before Pushing BullishOn my previous Update I mention that we should have support off this H4 Gap. My problem with it s it immediately reacted to it when the market opened back up. well before the killzone. So I feel like this is a fake out to go short for now. they will make a low for the week then we will see it set up for the bullish move.
NZDUSD - Elliott Wave: High-Probability Reversal Zone Ahead!NZDUSD – Elliott Wave Roadmap
3Day Chart
Every move has been unfolding with precision — true to Elliott Wave Theory.
We're in the final leg of a massive A-B-C correction:
- Wave A and the complex Wave B (WXY) are complete.
- Wave C is now in play, targeting the highs of Wave A.
We’ve just seen a clean 5-wave advance (wave 1 leading diagonal).
Now expecting a classic ABC correction for wave 2, into our reversal zone (38.2–61.8% Fib).
🔍 Once price enters this zone, we’ll drop to lower timeframes and:
- Look for bullish confirmations (BOS, trendline break)
- Set entries with stops below corrective lows
- Targets: 0.63 (500 pips) and 0.65 (700 pips)
📌 Why is the buy zone so big?
It’s a higher timeframe zone. Once price enters, we zoom into lower timeframes for precise entries. The zone simply tells us when to focus, not where to blindly buy.
This is the Wave 3 generation point — and that’s where the real move begins.
Plan your trade. Watch for the setup. Execute with confidence.
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
NZDUSD 12H Chart - Looking for this ABC correction for wave 2
GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025🪙 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan
📊 Market Context:
Price is currently forming an accumulation pattern.
The purple zone marks a key weekly demand zone, and I expect a potential bounce from that level.
I'm closely watching for trendline deviations to determine the directional bias.
🎯 Game Plan:
If price drops below the trendline and bounces from the weekly demand, I’ll look for longs targeting the bearish trendline.
If price taps the bearish trendline and shows clear rejection, I’ll look for shorts targeting the bullish trendline.
I'll wait for LTF confirmations before entering any position.
✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
Gold. - Bullish (structure still valid) • Daily: Maintaining higher lows along the trendline. Strong support at 3,300.
• 4H: Still respecting the diagonal, and showing strength despite short-term pullbacks.
• 1H: Breakout from descending trendline and now retesting the breakout zone at 3,350.
⚠️ Watch For:
• Clean bullish break above 3,365 confirms new impulse wave toward 3,400+.
• Support at 3,335 must hold to avoid flipping neutral.
• Patience required if price consolidates between 3,340–3,360.
Brent UKOil - Neutral Slightly Bearish • Daily: Price is sitting above long-term trendline support, but momentum is waning.
• 4H: Structure looks indecisive with constant failures near 71.00.
• 1H: Recent break of the upward channel. Now retesting that zone from below.
⚠️ Watch For:
• Retest of 69.60–70.00 as resistance.
• Break and close below 69.20 could signal deeper downside.
• If it holds above 70.20 again, bullish bias resumes.
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 20th, 2025XAUUSD 7/20/2025
XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
GOLD,GOLD,GOLD. This thing has been bullish on all timeframes and doesn’t really show any signs of stopping just yet.
We can see two scenarios for the week ahead so let’s dive in:
Bullish continuation - Price action on gold is breaking out of a descending triangle pattern. This is a strong bullish move but for us to consider trades we want the confirmation.
Look for a retest of our 61.8% fib level and mostly recently broken structure. If we can spot bullish conviction coming off this level we can then consider targeting higher resistance levels like 3.395.000. Our -27% fib level lines up with this zone as well.
Bearish Reversal - For us to consider Gold bearish again we would need to see something very convincing. If we did see a break below 3,320.000 with a confirmed lower high I would then consider short scenarios.
Look to target toward major support levels on the way down to 3,225.000, our next monthly support zone.
SILVER ( XAGUSD ): Still Bullish! Take The Buy Setups!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the XAGUSD (SILVER) for the week of July 21-25th.
Silver remains a Strong Buy rating. There is no technical reason to look for shorts. Only buys right now, until we see a bearish break of structure. Then sells can be considered.
That having been said, like Gold, there is a 4H +FVG that we are watching. If it holds, higher prices will ensue. If it fails, the lows become the draw on liquidity.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD ( XAUUSD ): Watching For A Short Term Buy ConfirmationIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of July 21-25th
Gold has been in consolidation for a couple of weeks now. The price action hasn't allowed for very many FVGs... until last week. There is a +FVG I am keeping an eye on, as it will be very telling how price reacts to it upon contacting this POI.
If it holds, higher prices will ensue.
If it fails, to the lows of the consolidation we go.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NATGAS REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS is going up now
And the price made a bullish
Rebound from the horizontal
Support level around 3.50$
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 24-Hour Technical Analysis Forecast - UTC+4 Current Price: $3,350.095 (Close: Friday, July 18th, 2025) UTC+4
Analysis Period : Next 24 Hours (July 21-22, 2025) UTC+4
Market Status: Weekend - Preparing for Monday Open 02:00AM 21st July 2025
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - 24H OUTLOOK
Primary Bias: Neutral to Bearish (Short-term)
Key Resistance: $3,375 - $3,390
Critical Support: $3,285 - $3,300
Expected Range: $3,300 - $3,380
Volatility Level: Moderate to High
CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS
Friday's Close Formation
Pattern: Doji-like formation at resistance zone
Significance: Indecision after testing $3,350+ levels
Volume: Moderate - no strong conviction breakout
Context: Failed to close decisively above $3,375 resistance
Expected 24H Patterns
Monday Gap: Potential gap down to $3,320-3,330 area
Reversal Patterns: Watch for hammer/doji at support levels
Continuation Signals: Break below $3,300 could trigger bearish continuation
HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS
Current Harmonic Setup
Primary Pattern: Potential Bearish Bat completing
X: $3,285 (previous low)
A: $3,390 (recent high)
B: $3,320 (61.8% retracement)
C: $3,375 (78.6% projection - current area)
D (Target): $3,300-3,285 (88.6% completion zone)
Fibonacci Levels (24H Focus)
Golden Ratio Resistance: $3,375 (current test area)
61.8% Support: $3,320
78.6% Support: $3,300
88.6% Critical Support: $3,285
Pattern Completion Probabilities
Bearish Bat Completion: 70% probability targeting $3,285-3,300
Bullish Cypher Setup: 30% if break above $3,390
ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - 24H COUNT
Primary Wave Count
Macro Structure: Wave 5 of larger impulse possibly topping
Current Sub-wave: Wave (c) of corrective structure
Mini Count: 5-wave decline from $3,390 high in progress
24-Hour Wave Projection
Wave 1: $3,390 → $3,320 (Completed)
Wave 2: $3,320 → $3,360 (Completed - 50% retrace)
Wave 3: $3,360 → $3,285 (In Progress - Target Area)
Wave 4: $3,285 → $3,310 (Projected)
Wave 5: $3,310 → $3,260 (Extended target)
Critical Levels
Wave 3 = 1.618 × Wave 1: $3,285 (Primary target)
Invalidation: Above $3,390 (Wave 2 high)
WYCKOFF THEORY - 24H PHASE
Current Market Phase
Phase Assessment: Distribution Phase C (Testing Supply)
Composite Operator Action: Testing demand at $3,350 area
Volume Analysis: Declining volume on recent rallies (bearish)
Expected 24H Wyckoff Action
Phase Transition: Moving toward Phase D (Markdown begins)
Supply Test: Failed test at $3,375 confirms distribution
Target: Initial markdown to $3,285-3,300 area
Key Wyckoff Signals (24H)
No Demand: Expected at current levels
Selling Climax: Possible if break below $3,285 with high volume
Automatic Rally: Dead cat bounce to $3,320-3,330
W.D. GANN THEORY - 24H ANALYSIS
Square of Nine Analysis
Current Position: 3350° on Gann wheel
Next Cardinal Point: 3375° (90° angle - strong resistance)
Support Angles: 3300° (natural support), 3285° (critical angle)
Geometric Progression: $3,285 = perfect square root relationship
Time Theory - 24H Cycle
Natural Time Window: 24-hour cycle from Friday's high
Critical Time: 14:00-16:00 UTC Monday (historical turning point)
Lunar Influence: New moon phase approaching (bearish for commodities)
Angle Theory
45° Line: Currently at $3,320 (rising support)
63.75° Line: $3,285 (steep support angle)
26.25° Line: $3,375 (resistance angle)
Price Forecasting (Gann Methods)
Primary Target: $3,285 (Square root of 81²)
Secondary Target: $3,240 (Square root of 80²)
Resistance: $3,375 (Square root of 82.5²)
Time Forecasting
Turn Time 1: 06:00 UTC Monday (18 hours from Friday close)
Turn Time 2: 14:00 UTC Monday (26 hours from Friday close)
Major Turn: 22:00 UTC Monday (34 hours - Fibonacci time)
MULTI-TIMEFRAME INTRADAY ANALYSIS
5-Minute Chart Analysis
Trend: Bearish momentum building
Pattern: Lower highs, lower lows since Friday high
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,360-3,365
Support: $3,330-3,335
RSI: Approaching oversold (35-40 range)
Volume: Increasing on down moves
15-Minute Chart Analysis
Structure: Bearish flag formation
Breakdown Level: Below $3,340
Target: $3,300-3,310 (flag pole projection)
Moving Averages: Price below EMA 20 ($3,358)
MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed
30-Minute Chart Analysis
Primary Trend: Corrective phase active
Chart Pattern: Descending triangle
Apex: Around $3,335-3,340
Breakout Direction: 65% probability downward
Volume Profile: Heavy selling at $3,350-3,375
1-Hour Chart Analysis
Major Structure: ABC correction in progress
Current Position: C-wave development
Fibonacci Target: $3,285 (127.2% extension)
Bollinger Bands: Price touching lower band
Stochastic: Oversold but no divergence yet
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Macro Trend: Still bullish above $3,200
Correction Depth: 23.6% retracement maximum expected
Support Zone: $3,280-3,300 (confluences)
Resistance Zone: $3,375-3,390 (proven strong)
Ichimoku: Price approaching cloud support
TECHNICAL INDICATORS MATRIX
Momentum Indicators
RSI (4H): 42 (Neutral-Bearish)
RSI (1H): 35 (Oversold approaching)
Stochastic: %K: 28, %D: 35 (Oversold)
Williams %R: -75 (Strong oversold)
Trend Indicators
MACD (4H): Bearish crossover pending
ADX: 28 (Moderate trend strength)
Parabolic SAR: $3,365 (Sell signal if broken)
Volume Indicators
OBV: Declining (distribution pattern)
Volume Rate of Change: Negative
Accumulation/Distribution: Slight distribution
KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS (24H)
Immediate Resistance Levels
R1: $3,365 (Previous support turned resistance)
R2: $3,375 (Major psychological & Gann resistance)
R3: $3,390 (Recent swing high)
R4: $3,410 (Extended resistance)
Critical Support Levels
S1: $3,330 (Immediate support)
S2: $3,300 (Psychological & Fibonacci)
S3: $3,285 (Major harmonic & Gann target)
S4: $3,260 (Extended support)
24-HOUR TRADING SCENARIOS
Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (60% Probability)
Trigger: Break below $3,330 with volume
Target 1: $3,300-3,310
Target 2: $3,285-3,290
Extended Target: $3,260-3,270
Stop Loss (Shorts): Above $3,370
Scenario 2: Range-Bound Consolidation (25% Probability)
Range: $3,320-3,375
Strategy: Fade extremes
Buy Zone: $3,320-3,330
Sell Zone: $3,365-3,375
Breakout Confirmation: Volume spike
Scenario 3: Bullish Reversal (15% Probability)
Trigger: Break above $3,375 with volume
Target 1: $3,390-3,400
Target 2: $3,410-3,420
Invalidation: Below $3,285
RISK FACTORS & CATALYSTS (24H)
Bearish Catalysts
US Dollar strength continuation
Risk-off sentiment from geopolitical tensions
Profit-taking ahead of weekend
Technical breakdown confirmation
Bullish Catalysts
Safe-haven demand surge
US Dollar weakness
Central bank buying speculation
Technical oversold bounce
High-Impact Events (Next 24H)
Asian market opening sentiment
US Dollar Index movement
Cryptocurrency correlation effects
Weekend gap analysis
TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS (24H)
For Scalpers (5M-15M)
Strategy: Fade bounces to resistance
Entry: $3,355-3,365 area
Target: $3,335-3,340
Stop: $3,375
Risk/Reward: 1:2
For Swing Traders (1H-4H)
Primary Setup: Short on retracement
Entry Zone: $3,350-3,360
Target 1: $3,300
Target 2: $3,285
Stop Loss: $3,385
Conservative Approach
Wait for: Clear breakdown below $3,330
Entry: $3,325 (confirmation)
Target: $3,285-3,290
Stop: $3,345
CONFLUENCE FACTORS
Bearish Confluence at $3,285
Harmonic Bat pattern completion (88.6% level)
Gann Square of Nine critical angle
Elliott Wave 3 = 1.618 × Wave 1 target
Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level
Previous significant support area
Wyckoff markdown initial target
Resistance Confluence at $3,375
Gann 90-degree angle resistance
Harmonic pattern resistance
Elliott Wave corrective high
Previous breakout level
Psychological round number
FINAL 24H FORECAST SUMMARY
Expected Price Action: Controlled decline toward $3,285-3,300 support zone with potential for brief consolidation before further weakness.
Primary Targets (Downside):
First: $3,300-3,310
Second: $3,285-3,290
Extended: $3,260-3,270
Key Invalidation: Sustained break above $3,375 would shift bias bullish toward $3,390-3,410.
Risk Management: Position sizing should be conservative due to high volatility expectations and weekend gap risks.
Probability Assessment:
60% - Bearish scenario
25% - Sideways consolidation
15% - Bullish reversal
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Gold trading involves substantial risk. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Volume profile resistance
Monday market forecast, pay attention to the 3339 retracement📰 News information:
1. The Trump administration puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
2. The continued impact of tariffs and the responses of various countries
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week's basic judgment and forecast on the gold market trend were consistent, but on Friday, the overall gold fluctuations were not large. The overall trend of the daily line fluctuated around 3345, and the 3345 line also became a short-term long-short watershed. Although prices are likely to rise more easily than fall in the short term, it should be noted that the three-month adjustment cycle is coming to an end while the fundamentals of the bull market have not changed. It is recommended that you focus on preventing risks from short position operations next week. At the same time, the overall strong shock pattern, the anti-pulling momentum has not reached the top suppression position, and the area around 3339 below is the previous intensive trading area, which constitutes a certain support in the short term. If the market fails to effectively break below next week, it will greatly boost the bullish momentum, and it is not ruled out that there will be a possibility of refreshing the high point near 3380 next week.
On the whole, the short-term focus next week is the 3345-3335 area below. If it falls back to this point, you can consider arranging long orders. The short-term target is 3355-3365, and the strong trend is expected to continue to touch 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3355-3365-3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
$USOIL: Will we see breakout or breakdown from this wedge? I have been watching the Commodity markets recently keenly to get direction or for market indications. AMEX:GLD , Copper and TVC:USOIL are the big 3 which determines the direction of commodity markets and hence the inflation. Inflation dictates direction of TVC:US10Y , TVC:DXY and hence the Equity markets. So, what are commodity markets telling us? With AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD at ATH what does this mean for TVC:USOIL : TVC:USOIL Is in a bearish pattern and no sign of concrete bullish reversal on the commodity. Recently it has shown some signs of strength but still below its 0.5 Fib retracement level which is at 68 and we have time and again said that 0.318 Fib level at 80 $ might prove to be an upper resistance which will be difficult to breakout.
In the recent months whenever TVC:USOIL tries to break out of the 60 RSI sellers came back and pushed the prices down. Currently with RSI at 50 we might have some room for upside. Oil bulls can have a 20% upside in the RSI taking it to 60 which has historically proved to be a resistance. And a 20% upside in price is also possible with price hitting our 0.318 resistance level of 80%. Above that there is limited upside for $USOIL. The downward slopping wedge shown below indicates a breakout might be imminent which might take TVC:USOIL to 80 $ which is our highest target in this range bound market.
In contrast the bull run in other important commodities like AMEX:GLD and COPPER might have some legs as they are showing strength by breaking above the previous ATH. It is always a good idea to buy strength and ATH.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL remains range bound with 55 $ on lower bound and 80 on the upper bound. Commodity bulls can look at AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD for better returns.
SILVER: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 38.213
Stop Loss - 38.700
Take Profit - 37.395
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
USOIL
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry - 66.40
Stop - 65.95
Take - 67.48
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3356 and a gap below at 3331. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3356
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3364 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX