GOLD → Wedge has formed. What next?OANDA:XAUUSD consolidation has been completed as investors rush to take profits after the precious metal’s consecutive price increases, reaching the highest level in more than 5 weeks earlier in the session. Prices are currently testing the gap around 2683 - 2670 (FVG). What’s next?
Focusing on policy guidance related to the future of U.S. policies is crucial to determining the certainty of the market's next bullish wave. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at next week's policy meeting. Alex Ebkarian, CEO of Allegiance Gold, notes that the Fed is in a very difficult position as the likelihood of a rate cut next week increases, but inflation remains elevated.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to escape the battlefield, crossing a key resistance level. A breakout at 2687 has already been established. In theory, the development tends to push prices higher. If gold breaks out of the resistance size, it will provide distribution momentum. Conversely, prices may consolidate further. Ultimately, everything depends on the dollar.
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Commodities
XAU/USD 12.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
Today, we’re taking a closer look at gold. As expected, gold is moving down in an ABC structure (yellow) within our larger orange wave 4. From here, we can anticipate either a 12345 structure or, if the price moves sideways, another ABC structure leading up to wave 5.
Wave 4 has likely reached its bottom, though there is still a possibility of a further decline to the 61% Fibonacci level. However, I consider this scenario unlikely. Overall, we are once again looking for higher prices in the near future.
XAG/USD 12.12.2024FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
After this bearish calculated move to the downside, we have now identified our wave 4 bottom. We expect higher prices in the coming days or weeks, likely forming either a 12345 setup or an ABC pattern from wave (4) to (5). Time will tell us what unfolds.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic finish to the week with our chart idea targets all completed!
We traded the entire move up from Monday, all the way up, confirmed with cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action.
2645 - DONE
2661 - DONE
2679 - DONE
2697 - DONE
After our last target was hit, we now finished off perfectly today with the rejection for the move down.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USOUSD Oil Long bets. Moving up slowly but surely. Daily TF.
The intraday chart around the 1hr and 2hr is a tad hectic with double / triple top, so the daily chart here has a triple bottom for structure support and a head'n' shoulders pattern which I dont think has triggered quite yet.
This trade I recommended on Monday for a long position and these price levels are a bit of a bargain.
If you wanted to buy in I would be buying the closing candle at 69.20
1 HR chart below. Price is just a nudge under 69 now
GOLD PRICES RETREAT AS STRONG DOLLAR PREVAILS AND ECONOMIC DATA Economic Data Impacting the Market
On December 12, 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released important economic data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% in November, higher than the expected 0.2%, and showed a 3.0% increase over the year, marking the largest gain since February 2023. Additionally, the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, went up by 0.2% for the month and 3.5% annually. Initial jobless claims for the week ending December 7 reached 242,000, significantly above the expected 220,000, indicating rising unemployment. These mixed signals highlight ongoing inflation pressures alongside a weakening job market.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased to 96.70% from 97.50% a day ago, signalling changing market expectations.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-13 : Carryover In ContertrendToday's pattern is a Carryover in Counter trend mode.
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Gold can little correct and then grow to 2720 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the resistance level in the seller zone, and later price rebounded and started to grow. In a short time price rose to 2790 points and then turned around and started to decline inside the downward triangle. In this pattern, the price first broke the 2720 level and then declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, after which broke this level too. Next, Gold declined to support line of the triangle, after which at once made impulse up, breaking the 2625 level one more time. Then it made a retest and continued to grow to the resistance line of the triangle, and when Gold reached this line it at once dropped to the 2625 support level. Price some time traded near this level, after which fell to the buyer zone and then started to grow. In a short time, the price rose to a resistance level, exiting from the triangle, but recently it turned around and made correction. So, now, I think that Gold can decline to support line of the triangle and then rebound up to the 2720 resistance level. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can correct and then continue to grow in channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price bounced from $2710 resistance level and in a short time declined to $2536 points, breaking $2615 level.
Price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $2615 level one more time and rose to resistance area.
But then, price corrected to support level, after which some time traded near it and then continued to grow.
In a short time, Gold rose to resistance level and then entered to resistance area, but later bounced down.
Thereby price makes a fake breakout of $2710 level, so, now I think that XAU can decline a little more.
After this, price can turn around and then rise to $2760, breaking resistance level inside a rising channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Black gold continues its decline!Oil prices are falling for several reasons:
• Saudi Arabia has decided to lower oil prices for buyers in the Asian market.
• A strong dollar continues to pressure black gold.
The drop in oil prices below $70 per barrel is likely being restrained by OPEC+ policies aimed at controlling supply volumes. The organization has decided to postpone the planned January 2025 increase in oil production to April 2025.
Traders dealing with Brent crude oil show the most pessimistic sentiment in recent months after OPEC+ countries decided to delay the resumption of oil production halted since 2022. At best, this postponement may only slow the price decline amid seasonal demand reduction in the first quarter. With the holidays approaching, market volatility is also decreasing, as traders exercise caution and avoid making aggressive bets on sharp price movements.
Morgan Stanley and HSBC have revised their forecasts for oil oversupply, expecting Brent crude oil prices to reach $70 per barrel by 2025. Bank of America analysts predict that the average price of Brent will be $65 per barrel in the coming years.
According to a survey conducted by the law firm Haynes Boone LLP, banks expect WTI crude oil prices to drop to $60 per barrel by 2027.
Trade #BRENT and #WTI crude oil with FreshForex and maximize your profits with leverage of 1:2000 and tight spreads.
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GOLD Speculative Sell - Correction AnticipationDon't forget to check my previous analysis. Afer gold edges up to 2,05% since break out from wide sideways range, finally it's close to resistance area in 2719-2722. Technically, i see classical resistance which it's a LH from D1 chart. It's a invalid seller to hold short position for a longer time. Seller must be exit from market if this level broke up. I also see fibonacci 1.618 in 2719-2722 and we know it's a strong fibbo level that can cause a correction movement. If this area become a strong resistance i anticipate to take a short position and use 2695-2705 as a profit target.
Disclaimer ON! DYOR and always put your SL level to prevent bigger risk to your account. Thankyou
ETH/USDT : $4090 Reached, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe (logarithmic), we observe that, as we expected, the price has increased by 74%, starting from the $2,300 range and hitting all the targets of $2,820, $3,079, $3,700, and $4,090! Note that the price experienced a correction exactly after reaching the $4,090 target and is currently trading around $3,800!
Ethereum's mid-term targets are $4,600, $5,700, and $7,400, respectively! This analysis will be updated if we receive enough support from you!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
THE LAST ANALYSIS :
GOLD → False breakout and negative fundamental backgroundFX:XAUUSD is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. This is also supported by negative fundamentals. Will there be a pullback or will the decline continue?
Optimism over China's economic stimulus is waning amid growing fears of a trade war between the US and China. Expectations of a hawkish Fed interest rate next week helped boost the US dollar, leading to a corrective decline in the gold price.Markets now believe the Fed may send a hawkish signal by signaling a pause in January after PPI came in higher than expected
Technically gold is still inside the channel, consolidation continues. Focus on 2658-2660 support, below which there is a huge pool of liquidity that may not let the price down on the first try
Resistance levels: 2675, 2682, 2699
Support levels: 2658, 2636
From the support 2658 may form a correction from which will depend on the further development of events: if the correction will be small and the price will quickly return to 2658, it will increase the chances of support breakout and further fall, for example, to 2636. But, if gold can consolidate above 2682 and consolidate above the local high, the price may head for a retest of the high
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD | 15M | SCALPING TIME Hello guys, I made FX:EURUSD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL EURUSD 1,04686
🟢TP1: 1,04743
🟢TP2: 1,04801
🟢TP3: 1,04904
🔴SL: 1,04479
Stay with love guys.
GOLD / Consolidation and Breakout Levels Movement Gold Technical Analysis
The price has dropped and stabilized within the bearish trend. Today, it is likely to attempt to reach 2665. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below this level could lead to a decline toward 2653. Alternatively, stability above 2665 may push the price toward 2678.
Gold is expected to consolidate between 2665 and 2678 until a breakout occurs.
A breakout above 2678 will signal a bullish trend toward 2692.
A breakout below 2665 will indicate a bearish trend targeting 2653 and 2625.
Above 2678 will be bullish to 2692, and Below 2665 will touch 2653 and 2625
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2678
Resistance Levels: 2691, 2706, 2720
Support Levels: 2665, 2653, 2625
Trend Outlook: Bearish Volatile
Could the price bounce from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,657.81
1st Support: 2,627.26
1st Resistance: 2,713.51
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XAUUSD: 12/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2675-50
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold was suppressed and fell unilaterally in the volatile trading. The price of Asian and European sessions rose slightly and pierced the 2726 mark, oscillating and falling. The second rebound in the European session was under pressure, and the 2720 line fell downward and showed a unilateral decline. It accelerated downward in the US session and broke through the 2700 integer mark to reach a weak closing near 2675. The overall gold price showed a suppression adjustment pattern above 2726 in the short term, but the daily level technical indicators did not completely turn empty.
From the 4-hour analysis, we pay attention to the suppression of the opening drop 2725 line above, the short-term support of the 2675 line below, and the important support 2650 line below. In the short term, the gold price is expected to enter the long and short wide range of fluctuations. Sell high and sell low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2650near
BUY:2675near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Please use a small SL to test the signal.