XAUUSD - Strong Parabolic RallyA parabolic rally for gold on this daily chart
Could go much higher as long as this curved trend line stays in tact
I'm not sure how high it could go but currently it is very bullish
This bullishness could be due to instability in the USA right now, an attempt to find a store of value
Daily timeframe
Commodities
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 17.04.2025Gold is extremely bullish right now due to Tariff wars! So what's next?
Option 1: Gold pushes higher into $3,362 - $3,367 before rejecting and dropping down towards $3,326.
Option 2: Gold climbs a little higher towards $3,372 which will confirm a bullish bias towards $3,460. But after touching $3,372 we will see a cool off towards $3,270.
Which scenario do you find more likely?
$ETH = Silver and $BTC = Gold Means WHAT!?They say Ethereum is the Silver to ₿itcoin being Gold.
If that's the case, does that mean that the ceiling for CRYPTOCAP:ETH will forever be stuck at $4,800
just like TVC:SILVER being capped at $48 for the past 45 years?
Does anyone really think ETH will be higher than $4,800 in 45 years???😆
A true store of value 💯
GOLD → If you didn't catch the train, what should you do?FX:XAUUSD in a rally. Running into a train that is already in motion is prohibited due to the lack of ability to calculate risks. Ahead of the news, a correction is possible, which will allow us to find a place to trade
Gold continues to update an all-time high on the back of expectations of retail sales in the US and the speech of Fed chief Powell. Price growth was supported by strong data from China, increased demand for “protective assets” due to geopolitical tensions and trade risks between the U.S. and China. Additional support was provided by forecasts of gold price growth from ANZ to $3,600 by the end of the year
Technically, the psychological zones of interest 3325 - 3350 are ahead, from which a correction may form. The ideal scenario is to wait for a correction to local or intermediate support levels and only there look for an entry point.
Resistance levels: 3318, 3335, 3350
Support levels: 3275, 3265, 3244
On the background of a strong bull market it is worth using as a productive strategy to trade on the breakdown of resistance in order to continue growth, but in this case we need to wait for consolidation, we do not have it.
Or wait for correction, support retest and only then consider buying.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold hits record as Polymarket flips Fed callFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has warned that President Donald Trump’s tariff policy is likely to fuel higher inflation and slow economic growth.
Speaking at the Economic Club of Chicago on Wednesday, Powell said, “Markets are struggling with a lot of uncertainty, and that means volatility.” His comments were quickly reflected in the markets, with the Dow shedding 1.7%, the S&P 500 falling 2.3%, and the Nasdaq tumbling 3.4%. Meanwhile, gold extended its rally to a new record high of $3,337.
What may not be uncertain is the Fed’s next rate decision. According to Polymarket data, there's now an 89% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its May meeting—up from 69% just a month ago.
Polymarket is also pricing the odds of Powell being replaced by Trump with a more servile director this year at 17% (which could likely send the odds of a rate cut in May shooting up).
Gold 2025: The Asset of Last Trust - Deep Research by EXCAVOThe Influences on Gold Prices in 2025
As of 2025, gold continues to assert its status as a safe-haven asset, with prices accelerating dramatically. This surge is driven by economic uncertainties, increased central bank demand, and geopolitical tensions. The analysis focuses on the multifaceted factors influencing gold prices, including inflation fears, a declining U.S. dollar, and recent debates surrounding Fort Knox's transparency.
I've delved a bit into the gold landscape and will provide ideas here aimed at helping investors and analysts navigate the complexities of the gold market.
The Current Economic Climate and Its Impact
Recent developments in global economic conditions have laid the groundwork for significant fluctuations in gold prices in 2025. Economic volatility, primarily driven by fears of inflation and weakening currencies, has led investors and central banks to increasingly view gold as a reliable hedge against financial instability. The aftermath of trade disputes, particularly between major economic powers, has further intensified these economic shifts.
Globally, economic growth forecasts for 2025 have been downgraded significantly. According to Fitch Ratings, the world economy is expected to grow by just 2.3%, down from previous estimates of 2.9%. This deceleration is attributed to extensive tariffs imposed by the United States, leading to broader global economic uncertainty. The United States itself is seeing a contraction in growth expectations, with projections cut to 1.7% amid these tensions. Inflation in the U.S., driven by increased tariff costs, is another immediate concern, marking a sustained presence at around 3%
The U.S. dollar, although currently strong, is predicted to depreciate due to ongoing inflation and economic stagnation, despite current high real trade-weighted indices—the highest since the 1980s. This depreciation trend, anticipated by analysts, could significantly impact currency markets worldwide, putting pressure on countries with high dollar exposure S&P Global.
In this environment of weakening currency strength and persistent inflation, gold serves as the optimal hedge. Although the role of gold isn't directly covered in some of the current economic reports, it remains a traditional safe haven during tumultuous times—a response to the depreciation of currency values and the pervasive fear of inflationary spirals that affect purchasing power and savings CFA Institute.
The global shift away from excessive reliance on the dollar reflects a broader strategy by some nations to safeguard their economies against the capricities of prevailing geopolitical circumstances. This shift may lead to increased gold purchases by central banks, aiming to stabilize financial reserves in light of uncertain future economic policies. As inflation fears continue to wear on investor confidence, gold’s relative safety seems set to keep its allure in the modern financial landscape.
Geopolitical Forces Shaping Gold Prices
Geopolitical tensions in 2025 remain potent catalysts driving the dynamics of gold prices. As international relations remain strained, especially between leading economies, the markets have been exceptionally responsive to developments that unsettle the economic landscape. One critical component in this scenario is the burgeoning U.S.-China trade conflict, which saw tariffs climb to an unprecedented 145% and 125% respectively, spiking gold’s appeal as a safe asset against market turmoil.
This extensive strain on trade and economic relations translates into significant instability across foreign exchange markets. A pronounced example is the substantial 8% decline in the Dollar Index, making gold an attractive alternative as its purchasing power for non-U.S. investors increases . The strategic shift by some nations away from the U.S. dollar is further evidenced by noteworthy purchases of gold by central banks as they seek to diversify their foreign exchange reserves .
Furthermore, the geopolitical climate is marked by a flight to safety among investors, reflected in the significant inflow of gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which absorbed 227 tonnes in Q1 of 2025 alone. This highlights how geopolitical strife propels gold as both a buffer against inflation and a refuge amidst escalating equity volatilities.
Amidst these conditions, global policy adjustments also play a role. Central banks have been proactively increasing gold holdings, exemplifying a growing distrust of dollar-denominated assets. For instance, policy shifts seen with the Trump administration's enforcement of new tariffs further exacerbated market fears, as paralleled in previous periods like 2018-2020 where gold gained significant value amidst trade wars.
As geopolitical uncertainty continues to prevail, the inherent security associated with gold, coupled with mounting inflationary pressures from such tensions, suggests that gold prices may well remain heavily influenced by these forces through 2025.
Fort Knox: Transparency and Its Market Implications
Fort Knox, a symbol of American financial might, famously houses a substantial portion of the United States' gold reserves. Recent calls for transparency have surged, fueled by high-profile figures such as Elon Musk and Donald Trump. This movement seeks to address long-standing skepticism surrounding the visibility and security of these reserves. Fort Knox's vaults hold approximately 147 million ounces of gold, valued at over $459 billion at today's market rates. The last independent audit of these reserves dates back several decades, to 1953, prompting increasing demands for accountability .
Elon Musk has proposed a surprising move to audit these reserves, suggesting that the audit be livestreamed. This unprecedented proposal aims to provide public visibility into the wealth residing in the Fort Knox vaults, arguing that the American populace deserves to confirm its existence. However, despite its garnering attention, this idea encounters significant security and logistical obstacles.
While the U.S. Treasury asserts that gold audits occur annually through internal procedures, skepticism remains due to the lack of external verification. Past visits, including former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's confirmation in 2017 that the reserves appeared intact, have not fully silenced doubts.
Compounding this dialogue, another proposal involves employing blockchain technology to monitor the reserves. Proponents, like NYDIG's Greg Cipolaro, posit that blockchain could enhance audit transparency despite still necessitating trust in the overseeing government entities.
The conversation surrounding Fort Knox's transparency underscores mounting tensions over governmental accountability in financial stewardship. If a comprehensive audit were confirmed, it could significantly bolster public confidence, contributing to more stable gold market conditions. Conversely, revealing discrepancies could heighten market volatility and public distrust. This transparency debate continues amid the broader conversation about economic policy and international financial stability.
Gold Price Predictions for 2025 and Beyond
Gold price predictions for 2025 highlight a growing consensus among major financial institutions that the precious metal is poised to reach new heights. With current prices hovering around $3,223 per ounce, the perspectives of Goldman Sachs, UBS, and the Bank of America offer crucial insights into the potential trajectories of gold's value.
Goldman Sachs has led the charge in bullish projections, recently upgrading their gold price forecast to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This marks the third upward revision this year due to ongoing recession risks, central bank demand, and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The bank envisions a potential rise to $4,500 should extreme economic scenarios unfold . Their analysis highlights a growing reliance on gold as a hedge against global macroeconomic uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures .
UBS, another major player, shares this optimistic outlook by projecting gold to reach $3,500 in 2025. UBS's forecast aligns with several macroeconomic indicators, including persistent inflation and central bank demand, which remains robust as an average purchase exceeds previous years. Furthermore, UBS sees structural shifts, with entities such as Chinese insurance funds increasing their gold allocations. This shift underscores gold's strategic role as a portfolio stabilizer in uncertain economic landscapes.
The Bank of America's approach reflects a slightly more conservative position, adjusting their gold price forecast for 2025 to $3,250 per ounce. However, they emphasize significant factors driving their projections, such as central bank accumulation and the political intricacies surrounding U.S. trade measures. The bank's analysis also anticipates gold stabilization in 2025 owing to potential profit-taking, but maintains the broader bullish trajectory through 2026 and beyond .
Overall, these insights paint a vivid picture of an evolving gold market, shaped by multifaceted economic variables and featuring gold as a resilient asset and hedge amid swirling global uncertainties.
Investment Strategies in Today's Gold Market
Amidst the dynamic landscape of 2025, gold continues to offer opportunities for portfolio diversification, driven by economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and record-breaking prices. With the gold price surpassing $3,250 per ounce in April 2025, several factors contribute to the increased demand and strategic considerations for gold investment. Trade tensions and proposed tariffs under new U.S. policies have amplified global economic uncertainty, while persistent inflation, hovering at 2.8%, remains above the Federal Reserve's target, delaying expected interest rate cuts. Additionally, stock market volatility has prompted investors to seek diversification amidst equity downturns .
Investment strategies in today's gold market require thoughtful portfolio allocation and diversification. Experts recommend limiting exposure to gold to 7–10% of total assets. This balance ensures investors benefit from gold's non-correlation with stocks and bonds without overexposure to risk . Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) or Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) are favored for their liquidity and ability to provide broad exposure to the gold market .
Tactical investment options also play a critical role in maximizing returns. Fractional gold investments allow access to smaller gold amounts, such as bars or coins under one ounce, making it easier to benefit from price trends without high entry costs . Gold mining stocks present opportunities for those targeting companies with strong margins, especially as costs are significantly below current market prices .
Moreover, strategic fund selection can enhance a portfolio's potential. Funds like the WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Gold Miners Strategy Fund (GDMN), which combines physical gold and mining equities, offer a hybrid exposure to gold investments .
The key to navigating 2025's gold market is a disciplined approach to allocation, awareness of market shifts, and strategic use of available investment options. By doing so, investors can hedge against inflation and capitalize on market volatility for potential long-term gains.
Conclusions
The year 2025 has exposed the fragility of the global financial system. Gold isn’t just a haven anymore — it’s a barometer of panic, fear, and institutional failure. When markets shake, inflation becomes chronic, and Fort Knox becomes a meme, gold rises — quietly but relentlessly.
What we’re witnessing is an institutional drift away from the U.S. dollar. Central banks are hoarding metal like they're bracing for something big. The global economy is cracking under tariffs, geopolitical chess moves, and eroding trust in the "reserve currency." At this point, $3,250 per ounce isn’t the top — it’s just another step up the ladder.
The key: gold is no longer just a defensive asset. It has become a strategic tool of sovereignty and power. Nations diversifying into gold are building economic independence. Investors stepping in now aren’t just protecting wealth—they’re gaining leverage.
My advice: keep gold in focus. Physical bullion, ETFs, mining stocks, hybrid funds — each is a puzzle piece. Gold is not hype. It’s the anchor of reason in an era where digital noise drowns out reality.
Watch zones: $3500 — then $3700+. If the global system wobbles harder, $4200 won’t be a forecast — it will be the signal that the fiat era is capitulating.
He who controls gold, controls trust. And he who controls trust… writes the script for the future.
Best regards EXCAVO
— EXCAVO
Crude oil remains oscillating at a low levelCurrently, in the 4-hour level trend of crude oil, it is still under pressure around 63. The short-term moving averages are basically in a state of being glued together and flattened, indicating that it is likely to maintain a relatively oscillatory trend towards the end of the trading session.
The operation suggestions are mainly to go long at low levels after a pullback, supplemented by going short at high levels during a rebound. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level at 63.0 - 63.50 on the upper side, and the support level at 60.2 - 60.5 on the lower side.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 61.10-61.40
sl 60.35
tp 62.20-61.40
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. 👉👉👉
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.5751
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 4.4681
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.8155
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Analysis of the BRENT chart with expectations for 2025-2026◽️Technically, all conditions for the completion of the second wave correction have been met, and now quotes can be safely reversed up. However, current events in the global economy do not yet provide grounds for confidently asserting this. Locally, the price may still be driven down to $50 per barrel and even slightly lower. One way or another, it is important to understand a simple thing: everything below $70 per barrel should be seen as an opportunity to buy oil and everything related to it cheaply.
◽️According to my estimates, there is probably still time for deliberation on purchases until the end of spring. But further, from the beginning of summer, I expect a sharp rise in prices amid the escalation in the Middle East. From above, in the $100-150 range, growth will likely be contained for some time, which will be interpreted as the formation of sub-waves (i)-(ii), where after sharp rise in the first sub-wave from approximately $50-60 to $120-130, a local correction will follow within the second sub-wave.
◽️The growth period may take 3-6 months, and the correction to it another 2-4 quarters, and then a breakout of the $120-150 resistance zone and further "to the moon" in the third waves is expected.
🙏 Thank you for your attention and 🚀 for the idea.
☘️ Good luck, take care!
📟 See you later.
#BRENT Gold/Oil Ratio, Stocks/Oil RatioOn chart I tried to fit three instruments at once:
1️⃣ Bottom (white) chart: Gold to Oil Ratio.
2️⃣ Middle (red) chart: BRENT crude oil price.
3️⃣ Top (blue) chart: Dow Jones Industrial Average to Oil Price Ratio.
1️⃣ The first thing to pay attention to is the white chart: GOLD/OIL Ratio , specifically where this ratio is today. Over the last 75 years of observation, the ratio has reached unprecedented levels. The spread is once again testing the record values of the COVID-19 hysteria of 2020, when panic caused oil prices to plummet sharply. At the current moment, the ⚖️Gold to Oil Ratio is around the 50 mark, meaning that one ounce of gold can buy as much as 50 barrels of oil. Over the last century, when the spread exceeded 25 barrels per ounce, it was interpreted as a moment of cheap oil relative to gold. Today, against the backdrop of the chaos reigning in the world, the GOLD/OIL Ratio is entering what can be called the " MAGA Mega Cheap Oil Zone" if it is again valued in gold, and not in fiat green piece of paper. Further, we should expect at least a return to its average values, and here three scenarios are possible:
1. First Scenario. Let's assume that today's price of $60-70 per barrel of oil is "fair" and this is where it belongs. In this case, gold is currently strongly overvalued, and it's time for a correction from $3300 to the $2500-2800 range.
2. Second Scenario. Everything is fine with gold, and it will continue to rise without correction. In this case, oil is severely undervalued relative to gold, and it's time for it to catch up so that the spread of 50 returns to its average values in the 10-25 range.
3. Third Scenario suggests that both oil is significantly undervalued and gold has risen too sharply, and now it's time for a correction in gold and a rise in oil prices.
In any of the three scenarios described above, the GOLD/OIL Ratio will sooner or later return to its normal values of the last century, that is, to the range of 10-25 barrels per ounce of gold. And most likely, we will see the third scenario unfold this year, where against the backdrop of a stock market crash, problems with liquidity in the global financial system, the entry of Western economies into recession, as well as the start of a full-scale war in the Middle East this summer, all of this together will provoke a correction in gold and an explosive growth in oil prices, and consequently, a return of the gold to oil ratio to its historical averages.
2️⃣ On the second (red) linear chart of BRENT crude oil prices , everything looks quite ordinary. If we briefly describe the chart for the last twenty years in simple terms, it's worth saying the following: since 2008, they have been trying in every possible way to keep the oil price below $130 per barrel, and as soon as the price approaches the $120-150 zone, some "invisible hand of the market" throws it down. The first test of this resistance zone occurred during the GFC global financial crisis of 2008, the second test with prolonged trading took place during the Eurozone debt crisis of 2011-2014 (culminating in the Greek default), and the third test was in 2022, as a consequence of the monetary madness of 2020 (global lockdown, unlimited QE, and as a result: a wave of monetary + structural inflation worldwide). One way or another, from the fourth or fifth time, the $120-150 per barrel boundary will be finally broken. And then the price above, like a samurai, "has no destination, only the path," and this path is upwards, "to the moon"🚀
3️⃣ Now it remains to consider the last (blue) chart at the top, the ⚖️Dow Jones Industrial Average to Oil Price Ratio . This chart should be understood as a long-term trend indicator of cycle changes in financial markets. When it rises, it implies a 10 or even 20-year growth cycle in the stock market, and accordingly, corrections in the commodity market. And when it falls, then vice versa, the cycle changes to growth in the commodities market and a correction in the risky stock market, which also lasts one or even two decades. Today, it can be said with certainty that since 2020, the cyclicality has changed, and we are just entering a ten or even twenty-year growth trend in the commodity sector, which portends a change from the "eternally" growing trend in the American stock market to a fall or at least a multi-year sideways movement a la the 1970s.
🙏 Thank you for your attention and 🚀 for the idea.
☘️ Good luck, take care!
📟 See you later.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Intraday Move 16.04.2025🟡 XAUUSD (Gold) Price Action Analysis – April 16, 2025
This setup is based on simple and pure price action—nothing fancy, just clean structure, breakout behavior, and the well-settled $25 range principle when Gold is out of consolidation.
✅ Buy Signal Zones (Based on Pure Price Action)
📍 Buy Zone 1: $3,270 – $3,275
Potential retest of the previous minor structure.
Buy on bullish reaction or rejection.
📍 Buy Zone 2: $3,240 – $3,245
Strong support aligning with 50% Fibonacci.
Previous resistance turned support—perfect for deeper pullbacks.
📍 Buy Scenario 3: No pullback, direct continuation
Buy on strong breakout above $3,299 targeting $3,325.
This aligns with the $25 range principle—a settled rule when Gold breaks out of range.
🎯 Target: $3,325
Pure price action logic: From the current structure, the next clean target lies at $3,325, exactly one $25 block higher.
📝 Summary:
✅ Buy from $3,270–75 or $3,240–45, with confirmation.
✅ Buy on breakout above $3,299 targeting $3,325.
🚫 Avoid shorts—structure favors bulls.
This is simple and pure price action. No indicators, no confusion—just structure, reaction, and levels.
Hit like, follow, comment and share to show support.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PITASTIC day on the charts with our targets getting smashed, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action.
After support and bounce from 3201 Goldturn into 3230 we stated that we will now look for a break and lock above 3230 for a continuation into the Bullish targets above. We got the lock opening the levels above hitting our Bullish target at 3261, followed with a further cross and lock opening 3292, which was hit perfectly and then our final lock for today above 3292 opened 3324 now complete - what a day!!!!!
We will now look for a lock above 3324 for a continuation into our final target 3352 or a rejection here will see price test the Goldturn below for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352
BEARISH TARGETS
3230 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3152
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3152 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3094 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD: All-Time High Reached with Pullback Opportunity AheadThe XAU/USD market has set a new all-time high, continuing its strong bullish trajectory toward the 3300 resistance zone. This level may act as a potential reversal point, offering a chance to enter on a pullback.
A range zone has formed around the 3225 level, which, along with the nearby upward trendline, could serve as a key support area for identifying buy signals. With high-impact news scheduled for today, volatility is expected. Should a retracement occur, the support zone around 3225 may provide a launchpad for the next move toward the resistance zone at 3390
Gold Dips From PRZ – Will Supports Hold for New ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines . The question is, can Gold create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
In terms of Elliott waves , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . This main wave 4 is likely to complete near the Support lines and Support zone($3,168-$3,133) .
I expect Gold to either rise again after breaking the Resistance zone($3,220-$3,211) or near the Support zone($3,168-$3,133) and Support lines .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,168-$3,133), we should expect a further correction from Gold.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XOM - Bearish in 4 months more DOWNTREND
The price of XOM has gone too far with the MA200. It will have to return to the MA200 as soon as possible if it does not want to crash.
Let's take a look at its price on the WEEK frame. MA50 and MACD support bearish.
On the DAY frame, the volume decreased, the price movement was low, the candles were very weak. The possibility of continuing the downtrend is very high.
Price target up: $105.94.
Price now: $104.56 (11:15 AM, 04.16.25).
Price target down: $98.00/ $91.84.
The price history will repeat itself as in Q4 2023.
IMO amateur trader.
EUR/USD: Head, Shoulders, and a Whole Lotta Drama Oh, EUR/USD, you’re out here living your best life, hitting 1.14 on April 10, 2025, while the USD throws a tariff tantrum (Trump, you’re a mess 🤦♂️). A head and shoulders pattern is trying to gatecrash, with a left shoulder already set and the head still puffing up its ego. But the right shoulder? Nowhere in sight—drama TBD! 🎭
RSI’s giving “maybe chill” vibes after being overbought. 🥱 Central bank moves and trade talk chaos might clip your wings, and inflation fears aren’t helping. Will this H&S finish its glow-up, or are you heading for the stars? Traders, what’s your take—bearish breakup or EUR party? Drop your thoughts! ☕ #EURUSD #ForexDrama #TradingView
SILVER: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 32.833 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 33.123 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025⚠️ XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025
🔥 Post-speech positioning starts now – but smart money prepares before the speech.
🔍 Macro & Context
🗣️ Powell speaks tonight – market expects hawkish reassurance amid ongoing inflation fears.
🥇 Gold just made new All-Time High (ATH) = 3319, liquidity swept, now consolidating.
🏦 US Dollar still uncertain, Nasdaq under pressure → Gold remains king for now.
🕯️ Key Levels – Updated with ATH Context
🟡 Daily Chart
ATH (Liquidity Grab): 3319
Next potential targets above:
🧲 3340.00 = extension level + premium FVG target
🧲 3365.00–3370.00 = extreme FIB 1.618 + psychological round number
Key Demand Below (Daily):
🔵 3246–3248 (Daily FVG)
🔵 3211–3214 (Valid Daily OB + FVG)
🔵 3204.97 (Daily FVG Base)
🟡 H4 Key Levels
Current Structure: HH-HL bullish, last BOS clean
Premium FVG rejection zone (current): 3306–3319 (Price reacting here)
Support zone:
🔵 3247–3251 (unmitigated H4 OB + FVG)
🔵 3211–3214 (FVG + prior CHoCH retest)
🟡 H1 Key Levels
🧠 Weak High: 3319
🔄 Possible Pullback Area:
🔵 3285.00–3290.00 (minor H1 imbalance)
🔵 3264–3268 (last H1 HL zone)
Strong demand below =
🔵 3247–3251
🔵 3211–3214
🧭 Scenarios To Watch Before Powell
Quick retrace into 3285–3290, then another sweep attempt toward 3319 or new ATH (3340+).
Deeper retrace into 3247–3251, then long (if speech fuels bullish sentiment).
If Powell hawkish → gold may drop to 3211–3214 (valid buys here) before resuming uptrend.
📢 Final Reminder
📌 Don’t chase price right now. Wait for clean mitigation before reentry.
📌 Powell’s tone will define short-term bias, so protect capital!
📌 Always zoom out — the structure was right, but we need to act faster next time!
💬 Let’s Talk
✅ Drop your thoughts in the comments
✅ Like & follow if you caught today’s rally or plan to ride Powell volatility!
🎯 Stay sharp, stay patient — and remember: gold doesn’t forgive chasers.
GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,311.72 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
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XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
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Crude oil---sell near 62.00, target 60.00-59.00Crude oil market analysis:
The crude oil pattern shows that it is starting to hover at the bottom. Continue to sell when it rebounds. If the 65.30 position is not broken, you can stick to the bearish idea. The recent tariffs and fundamentals of crude oil make it difficult to rise, and the previously announced inventory data has also increased a lot. Crude oil rebounds to 62.00 today and can be sold. If it breaks, the next selling position is around 63.80.
Fundamental analysis:
There are not many data this week, but there are still many fundamentals. Note that the market will rest on Friday this week, which is Good Friday.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil---sell near 62.00, target 60.00-59.00
XAUUSDXAUUSD is still in an uptrend. The price has a chance to test the 3342 level. If the price cannot break through the 3342 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone.
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