Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts.
Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Commodities
Gold hit 3300 , why not ? The Conference Board (a non-profit research organization in the United States, specializing in providing reports and analysis on economic issues, jobs, labor markets and long-term trends) announced on Tuesday that the US consumer confidence index fell to 92.9, down from a revised 100 in February.
This data was weaker than expected, as economists had predicted a smaller decline, only falling to 94.2.
Société Générale (SocGen - a large multinational bank based in France) has just announced its multi-asset portfolio strategy for the second quarter. The bank still holds 7% of its portfolio in gold and forecasts that the price of gold could reach $4,000/ounce.
At 7%, gold remains the largest commodity position in SocGen’s portfolio. “Gold remains a strong asset amid the geopolitical reshaping of the US, which has triggered strong policy responses,” the analysts said.
Although gold prices are currently hovering above $3,000 an ounce, SocGen expects gold prices to continue to rise. The French bank forecasts gold prices to average around $3,300 an ounce in the fourth quarter.
Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold as an important global currency, the analysts said. They also pointed to conditions that could push prices to $4,000 an ounce.
Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the overlap resistance level.
Pivot: 68.47
1st Support: 67.43
1st Resistance: 70.38
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Gold Trend for Today: Likely to hit its Support area 3000-2980Wednesday, March 26, 2025, with a specific scenario based on your support level at 2980 and the prior context of resistance at 3035–3060 and downside targets at 3000 and 2960. I’ll outline two plausible scenarios—a bounce at 2980 and a break below 2980—to give you a clear picture of what might unfold today. Projecting from a hypothetical opening near $3,020
USOil:When to short at high levels?During the evening session yesterday, the price of crude oil surged again, reaching the resistance level of 69.5 per barrel in the session. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled the market, causing the price to decline slightly to the support level of 69 per barrel without further drops.
After today's opening, the bullish momentum is obviously insufficient, and the price has not risen further, showing a downward extension trend.
Today's trading strategy: Focus on taking short positions at relatively high levels. Currently, the support at 69 per barrel is relatively solid. Observe whether the price can reach the resistance range of 69.5 per barrel again. If it breaks through upwards, look at the important psychological resistance level of 70 per barrel. Choose to take short positions again within the range of 69.5 - 70 per barrel, with the target price at $68 per barrel. Participate with a small position.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@68.5-69
TP:68-67
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SILVER IS UNDERVALUED - A trade of a decade!Silver is undervalued! The pattern is over 50 years old and on a massive timeframe.
Silver and gold are always a good add to a strong portfolio. Currently it's in the progress of completing the handle of the cup and handle. 48$ will be a big resistance, but after that it will gap up over years to it's 1.618 as target. This wil take a give or take 10 years.
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
GOLD short-term analysis, continue to fluctuate and consolidateTechnically, the gold daily chart rose slightly yesterday, and the price closed within the range of MA10-7-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands of the 1-hour chart and the 4-hour chart have narrowed, and the price is now adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band!
The upper track of the four-hour chart suppresses the 3038 line, the lower track supports the 3003 line, the MA10/7-day moving average is glued, and the RSI indicator is flat. It is expected that the gold price will continue to fluctuate in a wide range, and the trading idea is still to sell at a high level, and then consider buying at a low price.
Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a high-level shock repair in the daily trend. After continuous shocks in the 4-hour level trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually repair and complete, the short-term moving average has begun to gradually turn around and diverge upward, and the K-line chart has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average support. In the short-term trend, bulls have an advantage, but the current price is temporarily under pressure around 3035.
The overall market is still volatile. The US market reached a high of 3036 and fell under pressure. This position is the 0.618 resistance of the decline and rebound. At the same time, it has risen three times. Note that buying needs to find the right position. Today, you can pay attention to the 3005/3008 support to go long. In the short term, the market is volatile, and both long and short positions have the opportunity to participate.
On the 1-hour chart of gold, the price has fallen back after touching the previous pressure zone. In the short-term trend, the technical pattern has also begun to weaken. It tends to have some adjustment space in the short term, but the adjustment strength is uncertain.
At present, the bottom divergence pattern is formed on the hourly chart, and the short-term moving average turns upward. It is expected that gold will still have a rebound demand in the short term. If the gold price stabilizes above $3010, the short-term target will be the $3035-3045 range, and further breakthroughs are expected to test $3050.
Key points:
First support: 3013, second support: 3005, third support: 2992
First resistance: 3032, second resistance: 3038, third resistance: 3046
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3005-3008, SL: 2996, TP: 3020-3030;
Sell: 3033-3035, SL: 3044, TP: 3015-3010;
XAG/USD Trade Ideas: Navigating Key Resistance and Support ZonesSilver 's Next Move: Technical and Fundamental Insights for XAGUSD Traders 🚀📊
Technical Analysis 📊
The chart provided is a 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) with Fibonacci retracement levels applied. Here's a detailed technical breakdown:
Trend Analysis 📈:
The price has recently rebounded from a low near $32.90 and is now trading at $33.66.
The short-term trend appears bullish, as the price has made a higher low and is attempting to break higher.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels 🔢:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the recent swing high to swing low.
The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level ($33.35) and is now testing the 0% retracement level ($33.80), which acts as resistance.
The 61.8% retracement level ($33.24) and 78.6% retracement level ($33.09) are key support zones if the price pulls back.
Resistance and Support 🛑🛠️:
Resistance: The immediate resistance is at $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level). A break above this level could open the door to further upside, targeting $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension).
Support: The first support is at $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level), followed by $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level).
Candlestick Patterns 🕯️:
The recent candles show indecision near the resistance level, indicating a potential pause or reversal.
If a strong bullish candle forms above $33.80, it would confirm a breakout.
Momentum 🚀:
The price is showing bullish momentum, but the resistance at $33.80 needs to be cleared for further upside.
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
Silver's Role as a Safe Haven 🛡️:
Silver often acts as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. If there are concerns about global economic stability or inflationary pressures, silver demand could increase.
US Dollar Impact 💵:
Silver is inversely correlated with the US Dollar. If the USD weakens due to dovish Federal Reserve policies or poor economic data, silver prices could rise.
Industrial Demand ⚙️:
Silver has significant industrial applications, particularly in electronics and renewable energy. Any positive developments in these sectors could support silver prices.
Upcoming Economic Events 📅:
The chart shows upcoming economic events (likely US-related). If these events lead to USD weakness or increased market uncertainty, silver could benefit.
Trade Idea 💡
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout 🚀
Entry: Buy above $33.80 (on a confirmed breakout).
Target: $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension) and $34.50 (psychological level).
Stop Loss: Below $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level).
Scenario 2: Pullback and Rebound 🔄
Entry: Buy near $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level) or $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price pulls back.
Target: $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level) and $34.25.
Stop Loss: Below $33.00.
Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal 📉
Entry: Sell below $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price fails to hold support.
Target: $33.00 and $32.90.
Stop Loss: Above $33.50.
Conclusion ✅
The current setup favors a bullish bias 📈, but the resistance at $33.80 is critical. A breakout above this level could lead to significant upside, while a failure to break higher may result in a pullback to key support levels. Monitor price action closely around the Fibonacci levels and upcoming economic events for confirmation. ⚠️
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
GOLD at Key Resistance: Possible Correction AheadOANDA:XAUUSD has reached a critical resistance zone. This zone has previously acted as a barrier for price, leading to strong reversals in the past. This area aligns with a significant supply zone, where the ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion, signaling a potential turning point.
If the price shows bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I expect a pullback toward the 2733.000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This scenario reflects the potential for a short-term correction within the broader trend.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD in a Bullish Flag – Breakout Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which serves as dynamic trendline support. The structure aligns with a bullish flag formation, indicating the potential for a continuation to the upside if buyers step in.
A successful rebound from this level could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at 3,100, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. This scenario would preserve the broader bullish trend.
A confirmed breakdown below the trendline support, however, would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
USOIL:Bide one's timeThis week, we've analyzed the reasons behind the short - term strong performance of crude oil. We specifically remind you to pay attention to the price movements within the range of $68.5 - $69.5.
Once again, we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅USOIL made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 68.60$ so we are bullish
Biased so we can enter a
Long trade with the TP of 69.46$
And the SL of 68.17$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL: Rally, Resistance, and Technical ReversalThe recent trend of USOIL has been continuously rising in a volatile manner, and the current intraday price has reached a three - week high.
Currently, the bullish sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by fundamental news, mainly due to the combined effects of the United States increasing sanctions on Iran's energy and the ineffective and substantive implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Analyzing the short - term trend from the one - hour chart of USOIL, during the US trading session last night, the crude oil price surged again, hitting the resistance of $69.5 in the market. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled, and the price slightly retreated to the support of $69 without further decline.
After today's opening, the bullish momentum was obviously insufficient, and the price did not rise further. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands extended downward, exerting pressure. The moving average of the Macd indicator formed a cross at a high level and has a downward extension trend, and the momentum column began to release downward.
USOIL Trading strategy
Sell@69.5-69
tp:68-67.5
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XAUUSD: Channel Down about to start the new bearish wave.Gold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.608, MACD = 1.710, ADX = 25.254) which, as the price test the top of the Channel Down, indicates that it is about to start the new bearish wave. The trigger for that sell trade would be a break under the 1H MA200. Aim for a -1.88% decline (TP = 2,980).
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today with out plans to buy dips playing out perfectly. We had the gap left open at 2999 yesterday, which had the move down but just fell short of the full gap. We were able to use the dip to ride back up to our bullish target 3032 once again.
No further lock above 3032 confirmed the rejection again. We are looking for this level to break to confirm a continuation. Failure to break this level will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces. We also need to keep in mind the full gap at 2999, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Gold is creating a schematic between Wave 3 high, Wave 4 low & Wave 5 high. Between these 3 zones we will see sellers accumulate their orders & get ready for a distribution (sell off).
We'll also see late buyers & early sellers liquidated. Don't forget the market always creates traps to liquidate the impatient traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) Holds Above $3,000, But Momentum Slowing?Gold prices are holding firm above $3,000, with the metal last trading near $3,021.80, up 0.33% on the day. The broader trend remains bullish, supported by an ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA around $2,881, but price action has flattened out in recent sessions.
🔹 MACD is still above zero, but fading slightly—momentum may be cooling.
🔹 RSI at 65.63 is elevated but no longer overbought.
🔹 Price remains well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the uptrend.
Support Zones:
$2,960 (trendline support)
$2,880 (50-day SMA)
Resistance:
$3,040 (recent swing high)
$3,100+ psychological level
Gold remains in an uptrend, but the bulls may need a catalyst to extend the rally meaningfully from here. Watch for a trendline break or momentum divergence as early warning signs.
-MW
Crude Oil: Today's Trading StrategyAfter a gradual rise, the price of crude oil has experienced a brief pullback. Currently, the short-term resistance zone is around 69.64. When the price approaches this area, you can start shorting.
usoil sell@69.2-69.6
sl: 70.4
tp: 68.6-68.8
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Staying above $3,000, risk cools but still supports GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD prices corrected lower and then recovered slightly, maintaining price action above the $3,000 flat level, which is an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, as US President Trump eased his stance on imposing tariffs on trade partners and market risk appetite increased significantly, putting pressure on safe-haven assets such as gold. In addition, gold prices were also dragged down by the US Dollar hitting a more than two-week high.
OANDA:XAUUSD prices have hit a record high 16 times this year, reaching an all-time high of $3,057.21/oz last week.
Trump May Exempt Some Countries from Tariffs, Wall Street Optimistic
Trading sentiment on Wall Street was positive as US President Trump suggested a partial delay in some tariffs originally scheduled to be imposed on April 2.
According to the Wall Street Journal, US President Trump said he may reduce retaliatory tariffs scheduled to be imposed on US trading partners next month and some countries may be exempted.
According to Bloomberg, US President Trump announced on April 2 that he would impose tariffs on specific countries instead of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. These measures target the so-called “Dirty 15” trading partners.
Trump’s tariff policy stance has shown signs of softening, easing investors’ concerns about the risk of a global trade war.
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe investment during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week, signaling the possibility of two 25-basis-point cuts this year.
U.S. and Russian officials are holding talks in Saudi Arabia in hopes of making progress on a broad ceasefire in Ukraine. Washington also hopes to negotiate a separate maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea before reaching a broader agreement.
Overall, the market is showing some signs of cooling down, providing the possibility of a correction for gold prices after a long period of consecutive increases. However, in terms of the overall market picture, gold is still fundamentally on the rise, as potential risks still appear frequently and any unexpected impact from geopolitical and trade risks will also cause gold prices to increase strongly.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrects lower but remains fixed above the base price of 3,000 USD, which is noted as an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, sent to readers in the previous issue.
In the short term, the upside target is around 3,021 USD, the price point of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension, once this level is broken on gold, it can continue to increase with the target of 3,051 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high then the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
Overall, as long as gold remains within the price channel, above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, the current price declines should only be considered as a short-term correction without changing the main trend.
During the day, the technical uptrend of gold will be focused again as follows.
Support: 3,000 – 2,977 USD
Resistance: 3,021 – 3,051 – 3,057 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2978 - 2980⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2974
→Take Profit 1 2986
↨
→Take Profit 2 2992