WTI rises to test major resistance WTI has risen in the last couple of weeks after staging an oversold bounce from around the key $65.00 long-term support level at the start of the month. However, it is now testing a key resistance area between $69.15 - $70.00 range, which is where WTI last sold off from. It is a pivotal zone. Given the underlying long-term bearish trend, I am more inclined to look for bearish setups to form here, than to chase this move higher. However, that being said, I would have to drop my short-term bearish bias in the event WTI were to break decisively above $70.00 level in the days ahead.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Commodities
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3028.77
Stop Loss - 3035.59
Take Profit - 3013.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold - Short Term Sell Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 20th I shared this idea "Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Lower"
We expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
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WTI OIL Ultimate long-term guide.WTI Oil (USOIL) has a tendency, like a number of key traditional assets, to follow long-term Cycles. Market psychology more times than not makes investors and the market behave in similar ways (euphoria buying, panic selling) given the same market conditions. Fundamentals and catalysts can often be used as reasons and excuses to confirm the technical trends and long-term Cycles.
Oil is no different and on this 1M time-frame analysis we see why. The dominant multi-year pattern is a Channel Down and it has started on the July 2008 All Time High (ATH). Right now it appears that we are inside a Wedge pattern similar to 2011 - 2014 and more specifically on the final Bullish Leg towards the top.
The 1M RSI sequence among those two fractals is identical so based on all these parameters we believe WTI will test $90.00 by late 2025 - early 2026 and if rejected, start a brutal long-term sell-off towards the bottom of the Channel Down and the 35.00 - 30.00 range by late 2026 as the Time Cycles suggest.
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Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation HigherH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend.
Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ.
I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward.
Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago.
We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level.
Get some.
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XAUUSD: 25/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3025, support below 2999
Gold news analysis: On Monday, boosted by the news that the next round of US tariffs will be more moderate, the gold price was trading around 3,030 in the US market, but as economic data hinted at the hidden risks of tariffs, the gold price fluctuated sharply, falling more than $15 in the short term. The latest data released on Monday showed that the initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March was 49.8, a three-month low. The initial value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in March was 54.3, a three-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Composite PMI in March was 53.5, a three-month high. Although the market remains vigilant about the geopolitical reshaping that Trump may cause and the impact of tariffs, investors continue to pour into the gold market for risk aversion. Since 2025, the price of gold has risen by about 15% and fell below the $3,000 mark for the first time. According to informed officials, the Trump administration's tariff plan may be more targeted rather than the comprehensive, global taxation previously envisioned. This adjustment is expected to ease inflationary pressure and increase the room for future interest rate cuts, which is good news for gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday and fell under pressure at the 3033 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 3020 mark and reached near the 3002 mark. The daily chart closed with an adjustment decline for three consecutive trading days.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3025 and the four-hour level 3038, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 2999. Overall, rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3025near SL: 3030
Sell: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small size transactions to avoid risks
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection Expected fThis chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Below is a breakdown of the key elements:
Key Observations:
Downtrend Formation
The price is trading within a downward channel, marked by two descending trendlines.
The overall trend appears bearish, indicating potential further declines.
Supply Zone (Resistance) Around $3,025 - $3,030
The price is approaching this key resistance area.
If the price fails to break above, it could lead to a rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Demand Zone (Support) Around $3,000 - $3,006
This is the target area where buyers may step in to support the price.
A downward move towards this zone is anticipated.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
A rejection from the supply zone is expected to push the price downward.
The final target is the demand zone near $3,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The price is currently in a downtrend, with the expectation of a rejection from resistance and a move toward the lower support zone.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for price action signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlesticks, to confirm the downward move
GOLD to turnaround?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support at 3030 now becomes resistance.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bearish Inverted Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart.
A higher correction is expected.
The RSI is trending lower.
We look to Sell at 3029.5 (stop at 3050.2)
Our profit targets will be 2970.2 and 2960.2
Resistance: 3020.8 / 3033.3 / 3047.4
Support: 3014.5 / 2999.3 / 2978.4
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XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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Brent crude: We maintain our USD 65 to USD 85 range for the yearBrent crude's current momentum has taken prices to a three-week high, with the latest move being supported by a combination of underinvested hedge funds, improved risk sentiment following a softening in the tone regarding tariffs after Trump indicated some nations could receive breaks from "reciprocal" tariffs starting next week on 2 April, and not least, the mentioned secondary tariffs on buyers of Venezuelan crude, which, together with Iran sanctions, may help tighten supply.
Overall, we maintain our USD 65 to USD 85 range for the year, with the near-term upside potential being limited by resistance now seen in a band between USD 73.80, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the January to March selloff, and USD 74.10, a level that provided support on several occasions last month before the eventual break triggered a slump extension to near USD 68.
Gold (XAU/USD)– Bearish Setup Against the Main Trend (High Risk)hello guys.
In this 4-hour chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. The price has broken below the neckline of the pattern, suggesting a potential downside move. Additionally, the price is currently trading inside a descending channel, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
A potential pullback to the upper boundary of the descending channel (around $3,030-$3,035) could serve as a selling opportunity.
The first target for the decline is around $3,000, a psychological level and previous support.
If momentum continues downward, the price could drop further to $2,962-$2,965, which aligns with strong historical support.
in higher timeframe:
The volume has noticeably declined towards the end of this uptrend, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum. As prices reach new highs, the decreasing volume suggests that buyers are becoming exhausted, which often precedes a correction or reversal. This divergence between price action and volume indicates that the recent upward movement may not be sustainable, increasing the likelihood of a pullback in the near term.
Why This Trade is Super Risky?
Main Trend is Bullish – The overall market structure remains in an uptrend, so this short setup is against the major trend.
Liquidity & Buyer Pressure – The price could find strong buying pressure around $3,000, leading to a false breakdown.
Risk Management is Crucial – If entering a short position, risk should be minimal, with a tight stop-loss above $3,035-$3,040 to prevent excessive losses in case of invalidation.
📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential short trade, but high caution is needed due to the bullish macro trend. Entering with low risk and tight stops is essential to manage exposure. If the price breaks above the descending channel, the bearish idea is invalidated.
COCOA; Heikin Ashi Trade ideaPEPPERSTONE:COCOA
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of COCOA, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities. My goal is to help you enhance your trading skills and insights.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
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Silver H1 | Falling to swing-low supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.85 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 32.54 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 33.56 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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CRUDE OIL(WTI): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
One of the setups that we discussed on a today's live stream
was a bullish flag pattern on WTI Crude Oil on an hourly chart.
Its resistance breakout provides a strong bullish confirmation.
We can expect growth at least to 70 level.
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DeGRAM | GOLD decline from the retracement levelGOLD is under an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance.
The chart maintains a descending structure and reacts downward on reaching the 50% retracement level.
We expect the decline to continue.
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Tariff Fears Drive Silver to $33.10Silver rose above $33.10 per ounce on Tuesday, snapping a four-day losing streak. The market focused on U.S. diplomatic efforts in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating violence in the Middle East after an Israeli airstrike on a Gaza hospital.
A weaker U.S. dollar also supported silver, with concerns growing that Trump’s proposed tariffs could slow economic growth, fueling speculation of further Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, investors assessed China’s outlook after Premier Li Qiang urged global cooperation to stabilize economic conditions.
If silver breaks above $33.75, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.
Gold Nears $3,010, PCE in FocusGold hovered around $3,010 per ounce after three straight losses as markets observed Trump’s mixed tariff signals. He suggested possible levies on cars and Venezuelan oil but hinted some countries may be exempt from next week’s reciprocal tariffs, creating uncertainty.
Gold remained supported, though pressure came from Fed official Raphael Bostic, who forecast slower inflation progress and just one 25bps rate cut this year. Friday’s PCE data is now awaited for more clues on the Fed’s next move.
OIL Today's strategyYesterday, prices were affected by tightening expectations on the supply side, geopolitics and other factors, and the trend was strong, breaking through $69.
Today, it is fluctuating above $69, and another wave of gains is expected. At the same time, we need to pay close attention to the situation in the $68.5-69.5 area and adjust it at any time
usoil buy@68.3-68.7
tp:69.5-70
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+250 pips EURUSD XABCD Short From Resistance ADVANCED🔸Hello traders, let's review the 12 hour chart for EURUSD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/B.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 1140 point A 0240 point B 0935 point C 0425 point D/PRZ 1390 still pending. C also pending.
🔸Advanced short from point B targeting point C of the sequence.
Higher risk trade setup, use protective SL and adjust to PE at +50 pips.
🔸Recommended strategy for EUR traders: short sell rips / short sell
at market now, target is +250 pips or point C of the XABCD structure.
Later will update the setup for the BULLS for a potential ride to 1390.
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USOIL Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 69.379.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 67.044 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Holds with Breakout PotentialXAU/USD closed its third straight bullish week, with price testing Tuesday’s low before rebounding and closing near the 50% mark of the weekly range. Despite a brief dip, the candle closed above last week’s high, showing continued strength. A breakout above the 3,000 level raises the potential for further gains, especially if the market opens with a gap up.
On the daily timeframe, Friday's candle recovered after early weakness, resembling a previous pullback seen earlier this month. With a 1.90% retracement, the structure suggests possible upward continuation. The market is currently moving sideways within Friday’s range, hovering around the 3,030 key level.
While high-impact news could cause volatility, any pullback toward the 3,000 support zone—aligned with the trendline and previous week’s high—may offer buying opportunities. A breakout from the inside bar pattern forming on the daily chart could target the 3075 resistance zone
Technical Analysis for WTI Crude Oil (Daily Chart)Current Price Action
WTI crude oil is trading at $70.51, showing a recovery from the Liquidity Pool zone near the $66.00–$67.00 range. The price has approached a key resistance level around $71.00, which aligns with a previous area of rejection in February 2025. The chart suggests a potential pullback from this resistance level, as indicated by the projected downward arrow.
Support Levels:
$66.00–$67.00: This zone represents a significant liquidity pool where buyers have consistently stepped in, leading to a reversal in price.
$65.00: A psychological support level and the lower boundary of the liquidity pool.
Resistance Levels:
$71.00: A critical resistance level that has acted as a ceiling for price action in recent months.
$73.00: The next major resistance level if the price breaks above $71.00.
Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart shows significant trading activity between $70.00 and $71.00, indicating strong resistance in this area. Above $71.00, the volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a rapid move toward $73.00.
Indicators and Momentum
Trend: The price is recovering from a bearish trend but remains below the highs of $80.00 seen earlier in the chart. The current move appears to be a retracement within a broader downtrend.
Potential Pullback: The projected arrow on the chart suggests a possible rejection at $71.00, with a pullback toward the $68.00–$69.00 range.
Market Sentiment
The chart reflects cautious optimism, with buyers stepping in at lower levels but facing strong resistance at $71.00. A breakout above this level could signal a shift in sentiment, while a rejection would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Conclusion
WTI crude oil is at a critical juncture, testing the $71.00 resistance level. Traders should watch for a breakout above $71.00, which could target $73.00 and higher. Conversely, a rejection at this level may lead to a pullback toward the $68.00–$67.00 support zone. The liquidity pool near $66.00 remains a key area for buyers to defend in the event of further downside.