Gold Bullish To ATH Of $2,964?! (1H UPDATE)Even though prices are getting weaker & closer to a reversal, we’re listening strictly to what market structure tells us.
Above Wave X High ($2,864) = Bullish📈
Below Wave 4 Low ($2,833) = Bearish📉
Commodities
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD – Bearish Momentum Below 2918, Eyes on 2895 BreakdownGOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis – February 26, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below 2918
Gold remains under bearish pressure, having failed to hold above the pivot level of 2918, reinforcing downside momentum. The price is currently testing lower levels, with an initial target of 2905, followed by 2895.
📉 Bearish Outlook: A 4H or 1H candle close below 2918 will likely accelerate the bearish continuation toward 2905 and 2895, a critical support area where price action may stabilize or extend further downside.
📌 Bullish Recovery: If Gold reclaims 2918 on a 4H candle close, price volatility is expected within the 2918 - 2935 range before confirming the next move. A break and close above 2935 could trigger a push toward 2954 and 2974.
⚠️ Market Impact: With heightened market volatility and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, investors should monitor key levels closely, as Gold tends to act as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: 2935 | 2945 | 2954
🔹 Pivot Level: 2918
🔻 Support: 2906 | 2895 | 2880
📉 Bias: Bearish below 2918, with a key breakdown level at 2895 to confirm further downside.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 71.19
1st Support: 68.97
1st Resistance: 72.87
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 69.17.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 75.12 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
The downtrend dominates, the focus needs attentionGeneral crude oil market and WTI crude oil technical chart TVC:USOIL Still in a downward trend.
Trump revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, which has fueled supply-side market concerns and supported a recovery in oil prices, but they are still on a downtrend and trade policy uncertainty has limited a recovery in demand expectations. The focus of the crude oil market will still need to pay attention to changes in the geopolitical situation, the US Dollar index, and the Trump administration's trade policy.
Notable technical levels are as follows.
Support: 68.52USD
Resistance: 70 - 71.43USD
OfficialKieranTrewick | XAUUSD | Long from 25% ? The latest chart update shows that price has fully cycled from the 100% to the 25% quarter level within the bullish ascending channel. After failing to break the 2920 resistance due to a decrease in order flow, price continued its descent towards the lower boundary of the channel.
Upon reaching this key support zone, order flow for buying pressure significantly increased, leading to a suitable long entry that has already hit two take profit targets, securing 60 pips. The expectation is for price to slowly ascend back into the channel, aligning with previous value areas and increasing order flow.
However, with high-impact news on the horizon, market sentiment could shift, posing a potential risk to the current bullish market structure. Traders should remain cautious and prioritize risk management in case of unexpected volatility.
FX:XAUUSD
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XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Continuation Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2882.96, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 2829.34, a pullback support that aligns with the 161.% Fibonacci extension.
The stop loss will be placed at 2992.55, which is an overlap resistance level.
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Gold Price ActionHello Traders,
I have marked a key zone on the 4-hour chart, highlighting liquidity areas that need to be grabbed. Based on this setup, there is a strong possibility that the price will rise.
Looking at today's economic forecast, the USD appears slightly weaker due to higher-than-expected unemployment claims. Additionally, I have identified divergence, which further supports a potential bullish move.
You can consider entering a long position, but always ensure proper risk management. Stay disciplined, avoid over-leveraging, and don’t let greed take over.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thank you.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,882.07
1st Support: 2,831.19
1st Resistance: 2,917.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold price update: Sharp decline from all-time high!Dear friends!
Global gold prices have fallen to their lowest level in over a week, driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching key inflation data, which could provide important clues about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has risen by 0.2%, pushing the USD Index (.DXY) further away from its 11-week low. This appreciation makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
On the other hand, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised hopes of a one-month delay in imposing higher tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, while also proposing a 25% tariff on European automobiles and goods. This uncertainty has driven investors toward the U.S. dollar, adding further pressure on gold prices, which were already facing profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs.
USOIL - Short Trade (28th Feb 2025)This is a short trade idea on Crude Oil.
Basically, i'm not convinced of this sudden rejection. This is just manipulation to me. I want to target the liquidity resting below. I think we are going downtown to a monthly sSIBI at around 57.
Liquidity and efficiency rules the market. Everything else is nonsense.
- R2F Trading
SILVER SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅SILVER is approaching a demand level of 30.80$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Below Key Support at 2888Gold (XAU/USD) has broken below the strong support level of 2888, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. This breakdown suggests increasing bearish momentum, and traders should be prepared for further declines.
Downtrend Scenario & Targets
If the bearish pressure continues, gold is likely to move toward the following downside targets:
✅ Target 01: 2866 – A minor support level where price may consolidate before further movement.
✅ Target 02: 2855 – A stronger support zone that could act as a temporary stopping point for sellers.
✅ Target 03: 2835 – A key demand zone, where buyers may step in to slow the decline.
Possible Retracement Before Further Drop
Despite the bearish outlook, gold may experience a temporary pullback before continuing lower. A retracement toward the previous support-turned-resistance at 2888 or even 2898 is possible. If the price fails to break above these levels, it could serve as confirmation for further downside movement.
Trading Strategy Considerations
🔸 Sell on Retracement: If gold retraces to 2888 or 2898 and shows rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, wicks, or resistance confirmation), it could provide a good short-selling opportunity.
🔸 Break & Retest Confirmation: If gold retests 2888 and fails to break above, it would signal further downside movement.
🔸 Risk Management: Set stop-loss above 2900 to manage risk in case of unexpected bullish reversals.
GOLD recovered after a 1.3% correction, paying attention to PCEOANDA:XAUUSD rose slightly on Wednesday (February 26), after a sharp 1.3% drop in the previous trading day, as traders took profits from a new record high set by gold.
Spot gold prices fell to their lowest level in more than a week yesterday as investors took profits after a period of gold prices reaching record highs amid ongoing concerns about instability caused by US President Trump's tax imposition plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD traded at nearly 2,915Dollar.oz, about $40 below the all-time high set on Monday.
Gold prices have been supported in recent days by weak U.S. economic data that raised expectations the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in July, while President Donald Trump's growing tariff threats have increased safe-haven demand.
In addition, gold is also receiving renewed attention from gold ETFs. Last week ETFs saw their largest net inflows since 2022, according to Bloomberg data.
- The world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 0.29 tons compared to the previous day and the current gold holdings are 907.82 tons.
- The world's largest silver ETF - iShares Silver Trust reduced its holdings by 73.62 tons compared to the previous day and its current holdings are 13,655.67 tons.
Meanwhile, investors and economists expect the Fed to respond “robustly and systematically” to changes in inflation and the labor market, according to research released Monday by the San Francisco Federal Reserve. Rising inflation could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates, reducing the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's use of tariffs as a negotiating tool has caused traders to become risk-averse. On Monday, Trump hinted that tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada would take effect next week, even as both countries work to combat fentanyl and illegal immigration.
This week, key US data also includes durable goods orders, revised fourth-quarter GDP and the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
After a shock correction in yesterday's trading session, gold recovered to maintain price activity above the original price level of 2,900 USD, which can be considered a positive signal when the downward momentum is limited.
Downside corrections can occur at “shock” levels, which have come to the attention of readers in many publications whenever the market has been up for a long period of time and the Relative Strength Index enters the overbought area. This can be considered normal market activity, because any type of asset that increases or decreases in price does not move in a straight line.
On the current daily chart, Gold still has bullish conditions with support from the trend channel and EMA21 as key support, on the other hand price activity above the $2,900 level also plays a positive role.
As long as gold remains in the price channel, above EMA21, its main prospective trend is still bullish, price drops should only be considered short-term corrections.
During the day, important positions will be highlighted as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880USD
Resistance: 2,938 – 2,946USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2933
↨
→Take Profit 2 2927
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2876 - 2878⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2872
→Take Profit 1 2884
↨
→Take Profit 2 2890
USOIL BUY!!!hello friends
As you can see, this chart is very, very patternable.
Now, with the floor construction that we expect from it, the growth to the resistance areas has been determined.
*Trade safely with us*
Elliott Waves SHows That Gold Is Turning South For Corrective ReGold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4, likely unfolding in three waves. For those looking to join the trend, it’s better to wait for a deeper correction and a retest of lower support in this wave four pullback. Supports are at 2864 and 2789
At the same time, keep an eye on USD/CNH—if it pushes higher now for wave four, to retest its 2022 highs, gold could remain sideways for a while. In such case the new opportunities to rejoin the gold uptrend may come after USD/CNH completes its recovery from the 2024 lows, possibly around 7.40.
GH
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD is trending up which is obvious from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 2,947.627.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
WHEAT at Key Support Zone – Bullish Bounce ExpectedPEPPERSTONE:WHEAT has approached a key support zone, marked by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a reversal toward 573.0, a logical target based on prior price behavior and current structure. A clear bullish signal, such as a rejection wick or bullish engulfing candle, would strengthen this outlook.
However, if the price breaks below this support zone, the bullish scenario may be invalidated, signaling potential further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GOLD → False breakdown before further declineOANDA:XAUUSD updating lows within the changing local trend structure. The price is currently testing the liquidity zone at 2852, with a potential rebound before further downside movement.
Gold registered its lowest level in two weeks, dropping below $2,900 in Asia on Friday, breaking an eight-week bullish streak. The metal remains under pressure from the stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by Trump's tariff policies and U.S. economic conditions. Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled on March 4 and also threatened to impose a 25% tariff on European Union imports, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Additionally, weak U.S. GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims have further supported the dollar. Traders are now awaiting the U.S. PCE Price Index to assess the Fed's interest rate outlook and its impact on gold.
A false breakdown at 2852 could trigger a retracement toward the 0.618 Fibonacci imbalance zone at 2877 or the 0.5 level at 2885 before resuming the decline. Given both weak fundamental and technical conditions, gold may attempt to retest its recent lows.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
2.27 Gold Trading Analysis Strategy
Gold prices were largely flat on Wednesday (February 26) after falling to a one-week low in the previous trading day. Uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff plan has suppressed risk appetite and boosted demand for safe-haven gold. Earlier, it fell more than 2% on Tuesday, once losing the 2,900 mark and hitting a low of around $2,888, mainly due to a weak US consumer confidence report. Gold's weakness is mainly due to the sell-off in US stocks. As stocks fall, financial conditions become more tense, especially with the Fed's aggressive policies. The problem is that economic data is currently weak and inflation expectations are rising. Markets may be concerned that if the economy slows, the Fed may not cut rates quickly while inflation remains above target and long-term inflation expectations remain elevated. This is the growth panic risk, and the market has expected downward pressure on gold given the excessive long positions in the gold market.
Gold Market Trend Analysis:
Gold Technical Analysis: From the daily level, the technical indicators of the gold market show a clear divergence and are in a serious overbought range. According to the principle of technical analysis, the market has a strong demand for adjustment. Against this background, the price of gold fell sharply on Tuesday. At present, the price of gold has effectively fallen below the support of the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10, and today's opening price is below these two moving averages. And it has turned into strong resistance, thus pushing the price of gold to continue its downward trend. Technically, it also needs to be judged by the combination of closing lines at the weekly and monthly levels, so it is temporarily regarded as a normal correction cycle, and this correction cycle is triggered by the current small double top.
After the gold 1-hour high top structure, it fell and broke. Our team has been bearish on gold for the past two days. The rebound is an opportunity for shorts. Gold has now begun to form counter-pressure at 2920. Gold rebounded below 2920 in the US market and continued to go short at highs. The current short-term moving average MA5 and MA10 have two pressure levels of 2925 and 2930. If the gold price can rise strongly and break through the above resistance area, then today's adjustment will only be short-lived, and gold will continue to rise. If there is no breakthrough, then gold will most likely continue to fall. Focus on the support strength near the low point of 2888. Once this point is lost, it may trigger a further decline in the gold price. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebounding shorting as the main strategy and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2920-2930 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2888-2890 line of support.
2.27 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold falls back to around 2920-2925, go short (SELL ) with a stop loss of 8 points, and the target is around 2900-2895. If it breaks, look at the 2890 line;
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls to around 2888-2890, go long (BUY) with a stop loss of 8 points, and the target is around 2900-2910. If it breaks, look at the 2920 line;
2.28 Gold Trading Strategy Analysis
On Thursday (February 27), gold accelerated its decline and once lost the 2870 mark, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited key inflation reports to assess the Fed's policy path. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.6%, further away from the recent 11-week low, after U.S. President Trump's vague promise to impose tariffs on the European Union and further postponement of tariffs on Canada and Mexico caused market volatility. Trump said on Tuesday that "the 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico will take effect as planned on March 4", and on Wednesday he changed his words and said "it may be postponed to April 2", while threatening to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. The dollar rose slightly as U.S. President Trump's recent remarks on his trade policy plans have increased market uncertainty.
Despite the rebound in the dollar, the market is still betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year (the first in July and the second in October) due to increasing concerns about economic slowdown. The U.S. consumer confidence index plummeted to 98.3 on Tuesday (expected 102.5), the biggest drop since August 2021. The rebound in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has reduced the appeal of non-yielding gold. A slight recovery in the dollar and Treasury yields has weighed on gold to some extent, but the overall uptrend in gold remains intact. Several Fed officials will speak later in the day to provide the market with more insights into possible rate cuts by the Fed this year. The market will next focus on the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, which will be released on Friday. According to a Reuters poll, the market generally expects the monthly PCE index to be 0.3%, the same as in December 2024. The market is currently very sensitive to growth concerns, especially after last week's dismal U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. If the PCE result is stronger than expected and suggests that the Fed will not cut interest rates in the near future, it may have a negative impact on gold. Gold is seen as a safe haven against political risks and inflation, but higher interest rates will reduce the appeal of this non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, Russian and American diplomats will hold talks in Istanbul aimed at resuming their respective diplomatic missions, which is seen as a step towards ending the war in Ukraine.
Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Gold finally fell. From the trading strategy of last weekend, our team has been reminding people to pay attention to this week's big waterfall. Traders who follow our trading strategy have made enough profits. The whole day has been emphasizing that the top structure of gold has been built. Today, gold fell like a waterfall, breaking through the 2870 support line, and the top pattern was officially established. Gold is getting weaker and weaker, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward to form a dead cross. Gold has refreshed its low again. Gold's downward space has opened up again. Gold shorts have just begun, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebound shorting as the main strategy for short-term gold operations today, and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2888-2890 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2830-2834 support line.
XAUUSD: What to do with order stop loss? Follow me.Ordinary players: It's over. I woke up and found that the long XAUUSD order was stopped. What should I do?
Me: Isn't it enough to make money back?
Ordinary people: What should I do?
Me: Just continue to short around 2895!
During the early morning trading, the gold price only rose slightly by about $5. After reaching the 2920 position, it did not stabilize and then fell rapidly. This was unexpected. Fortunately, the stop loss was set, so our long order only lost about 10 points.
After waking up, I made a decision directly. Continue to short XAUUSD. Sell at 2900-2895. The shorts continued to exert force, and the longs were weak. In the end, it didn't last long before the gold price reached my target value of 2880. Achieve the process of perfect recovery of losses.
So stop loss is not terrible. Only one order is enough to bring followers to recover losses. But it must be able to allow followers to expand profits for a longer time. I think this is also the reason why some followers continue to follow me. It is also the reason why they join the analysis circle. They are looking for me. Not just a trading signal.
Currently, the gold price is hovering around 2980. There is some small support here, but today's trading plan is to short at high levels, so the option of going long is not considered for the time being. If the gold price returns to the 2890-2895 line, I think it is still possible to short at high levels. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message. Or join the analysis circle, there are more exciting analysis and real-time trading opportunities for reference.
