Gold follows the trend and is bearish. The target below is 2725Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support below 2700
Four-hour resistance 2790, support below 2750-25
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, gold continued to be extremely strong and unilateral in the technical aspect. The Asian and European sessions opened high and broke through and stood above the 2770 mark, continuing the strong rise. The US session accelerated to break through the 2785 mark and was blocked and fell back to consolidate. The daily chart strongly fluctuated to a new high. The overall gold price relied on the 5-day moving average to form a strong unilateral upward pattern of bulls.
From the analysis of the 4-hour market, gold opened and stepped back and currently fluctuated at the 2750 line. Pay attention to the short-term suppression of the 2770 line above. We pay attention to the support near 2725 below, and focus on the 2700 integer mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the rhythm of buying at a low price. Any step back is a main opportunity to trade with the trend.
SELL:2760near
BUY:2725near
BUY:2700near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Commodities
Could the Gold drop from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,778.01
1st Support: 2,718.90
1st Resistance: 2,815.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on GOLD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 2,784.077.
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The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, Nasdaq & DXY for Jan 26 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
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The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments.
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USOIL - Potential long position !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to reject from bullish OB after filling the imbalance.
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback support resistance.
Pivot: 72.73
1st Support: 66.98
1st Resistance: 77.76
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Xauusd | Market break the point 2770-2769 ?XAUUSD 2,770 885 | 27/January/2025 ( Market break the point 2770-2769 )
- This video is based on Educational Purposes
In Our Past Commentary we discuss that market should close the candle below the 2770-2769 area and Currently market is at 2770.885 which is quite close
So what will be the Possible Scenarios ?
- Bearish Scenario : If Market closed the candle below our Observation point we will hold our positions to 2760 point and we are confident market will touched at 2750.00 so basically there are two regions (2750 and 2739) which are indicated trying to push from levels .Although if candles closed below this region our expectations would be to touched 2680.00 area a new lowest point
- Bullish Scenario : if Market cant break the Support level which is at 2770 - 2769 area we are going to expect the All time high at 2790 to 2800.00 area
XAUUSD Major short-term Buy Signal just flashed!Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since exactly the start of the year. This structure has held clear the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) since January 06 and the most optimal buy entry of the last 3 times has been issued on the 1H MA100 (green trend-line).
This is the level that the metal touched today and is already rebounding past the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). Along with the 1H RSI reaching its most efficient Support level (oversold barrier of 30.00) and rebounding, this is the strongest short-term buy signal.
Each such signal reached at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous High. As a result, our short-term Target is 2810.
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Gold can rise a little and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price made an upward impulse from the support line of the triangle and rose to the resistance line, breaking the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then Gold turned around and made a correction movement to the support level, where it some time traded and then rebounded up from the support line of the triangle. Price rose to the current support level, thereby exiting from the triangle, and then started to decline inside the wedge. Gold fell to the support line, which is located in the buyer zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, the price broke the 2615 level, after which made a correction to the support line and then continued to move up. Later, Gold rose to the resistance line of the wedge and broke it, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern and then in a short time rose to the current support level. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to move up next. So, I think that Gold will make a small move up and then drop to the support level. That's why I set my TP at 2725 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
$XAUUSD: Gold firing on all cylindersSeems like OANDA:XAUUSD triggered a weekly up trend again, you can see it has been trending up strongly since I called the long term trend in Gold would take place a while back (see related ideas). Trump's ideas regarding inflation and rates might influence the Federal Reserve's actions going forward, perhaps the market is pricing this in now.
Historically, precious metals move in correlation to real interest rates, that is, inflation adjusted interest rates. At times, Gold might be affected by broad scale deleveraging at times of market stress, since it acts as collateral for many investors, or it might be bought as a hedge for geopolitical risk. In normal periods, real rates influence price the most.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍
🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670.
💡 Key Insights:
📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum.
📌 Target support area: 2680/2670.
📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades.
⚠️ Historical Note:
When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious!
💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
Silver Charts Show Strength: What’s Next?Silver is maintaining a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, supported by a rising trendline around $28-$30.
The upper trendline acts as resistance, and a breakout could drive further upside. However, a breakdown below the trendline may signal a potential correction.
More update are coming soon, Stay tuned!
Please support us with yours likes and comments.
THANK YOU
"WHEAT" Commodity CFD Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "WHEAT" Commodity CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Target 🎯: 5.700 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the current market situation and fundamental analysis, the outlook for Wheat is bullish in the short term. Prices are expected to continue rising due to supply and demand imbalances, weather-related issues, and geopolitical tensions. However, traders should be cautious of potential price volatility and keep a close eye on upcoming events that may impact wheat prices.
CURRENT FUNDAMENTALS:
Supply and Demand: The global wheat supply is currently outpacing demand, which has put downward pressure on prices. The International Grains Council (IGC) estimates that global wheat production will reach 765 million tons in 2023, up from 758 million tons in 2022.
Weather Conditions: Weather conditions in major wheat-producing countries such as the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have been favorable, which has supported wheat yields and production.
Government Policies: The US government's trade policies, including tariffs on Chinese goods, have impacted the wheat market. The US is a major wheat exporter, and trade tensions have reduced demand for US wheat.
Competition from Other Grains: Wheat is competing with other grains such as corn and soybeans for market share. The price of corn and soybeans has been relatively high, which has made wheat less attractive to buyers.
BULLISH SENTIMENT:
Weather Risks: 20% of traders and investors believe that adverse weather conditions in major wheat-producing countries could reduce wheat yields and production, which could support prices.
Trade Deals: 15% of traders and investors believe that a resolution to the US-China trade dispute could increase demand for US wheat and support prices.
Strong Demand from Importers: 10% of traders and investors believe that strong demand from importers such as Egypt and Turkey could support prices.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
NASDAQ closed lower, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Last Friday unfolded as expected, with a correction to the 5-day line being part of the wave pattern, making a sell-oriented approach the best strategy for the day. The downward wave emerged in the afternoon rather than during the pre-market, resulting in extended consolidation. On the weekly chart, it formed a bullish candle, reaching the upper range of the box zone; however, the MACD has yet to fully cross above the signal line.
This week, the area between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (20,800–20,600) could act as a short-term pullback buying zone. If this area fails to hold and prices close lower with a bearish candle, the market might revert to maintaining a wide-ranging box zone. Therefore, it's crucial to close the week with a bullish candle to confirm a buy signal.
On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are positioned above the zero line, indicating that buying pressure could persist. However, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that significant additional surges are unlikely. A short-term correction perspective is advisable. If prices fail to decisively break above the 3-day moving average near 21,950, a correction to the 10-day moving average should be considered.
The 240-minute chart shows the emergence of a long bearish candle forming a double top. If Friday’s low at 21,844 is breached, there’s a strong likelihood of filling the gap created on January 22. The MACD and signal line still show a significant gap from the zero line, so there could be support and a rebound at the lower levels. In summary, while a short-term sell perspective is advisable, buying opportunities could emerge near the gap-filling zone around 21,700 during pullbacks.
OIL
Oil closed higher at $74, finding support and forming a bullish daily candle for the first time in six trading sessions. This bounce establishes a foothold at the key support level of $74. On the weekly chart, prices found support at the 5-day moving average. Although the MACD has crossed above the zero line, the signal line is still slightly below it.
If a bullish candle forms this week, it will confirm a buy signal on the weekly chart, favoring buy-oriented strategies. On the daily chart, prices could rise again, finding support at the 20-day moving average. However, the sharp downward angle of the recent decline from $79 and the ongoing sell signal from the MACD indicate that any rally may face resistance and pullbacks.
If prices rebound to the $77–$78 range, there is a high probability of a pullback. The $74–$79 range is likely to hold, with a period of consolidation allowing moving averages to converge. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence is forming near $74, and the MACD is on the verge of generating a buy signal. A buy-oriented strategy on pullbacks is advisable.
GOLD
Gold closed higher with an upper shadow on the daily candle. On the weekly chart, prices reached the upper Bollinger Band. The MACD, however, has yet to achieve a golden cross above the signal line, keeping the sell signal intact. A strong rally with a long bullish candle would be required to confirm a buy signal.
If additional upward momentum fails and prices start to decline, the MACD may turn downward again. The current gap between the MACD and signal line suggests that an immediate buy signal might not be achievable. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and as long as the 10-day moving average holds, a one-way buying trend is likely.
On the 240-minute chart, resistance is evident at higher levels, and divergence in the MACD could occur. It’s advisable to avoid chasing prices higher. Given the staircase-like upward movement, a buy-oriented approach on pullbacks is recommended.
This Week’s Key Events:
FOMC meeting (Wednesday)
Tesla and Meta earnings reports (Wednesday)
Apple earnings report (Thursday)
Expect heightened volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. Good luck with your investments this week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21,850 / 21,785 / 21,720 / 21,630 / 21,530
-Sell: 21,970 / 22,010 / 22,055 / 22,105
OIL - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 74.15 / 73.40 / 72.80 / 72.40
-Sell: 75.20 / 75.95 / 76.40 / 77.10
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2,774 / 2,768 / 2,762 / 2,752
-Sell: 2,782 / 2,793 / 2,799 / 2,816
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
WTI Crude Oil Futures: The Chokers of the Global EconomyLast Friday, January 10, 2025, the United States announced its most sweeping and aggressive sanctions against Russian oil trade, just ten days before Joe Biden leaves the White House and is replaced by Donald Trump.
In fact, it was more of a soap opera at first, as an unofficial document of unknown origin on the subject of sanctions had been circulating on the Web since the Fridays' morning before the official press release from the US Treasury appeared, causing the stock quotes of the companies affected by the sanctions to experience increased volatility in Friday trading on the local exchange.
Finally, about 160 oil tankers were sanctioned, and India, a key buyer of seaborne barrels, will not allow ships to call at its ports after the end of the curtailment period in March.
If these measures remain in place under Trump, they have a better chance of disrupting Russian oil exports than anything any Western power has done so far.
In addition to the tankers, sanctions were imposed on two major producers and exporters, traders arranging hundreds of shipments were listed, major insurers were named and two U.S. oil service providers were ordered to leave. A Chinese oil terminal operator was also included.
The measures could theoretically reduce what the International Energy Agency forecasts as a supply glut of nearly 1 million barrels a day this year.
Brent and WTI crude futures, which have generally traded lower for the past two and a half years, ended Friday at $80, data from ICE Futures Europe and CME Group's Nymex show.
Surgutneftegaz Sanctions RUS:SNGS and Gazpromneft RUS:SIBN are by far the most direct and aggressive move taken so far by Washington or any other Western power.
Together, the two companies shipped about 970,000 barrels of oil per day by sea in 2024, and their inclusion on the list will be a cause for concern for refineries in India as well as state-owned companies in China.
Putting their seaborne flows in context, that’s more than the global supply glut the International Energy Agency predicts for 2025. It’s also nearly 30% of Russia’s seaborne exports.
No one is suggesting that either company’s shipments will be completely shut down, but the fact that they are under sanctions, as well as other measures announced, means that supply chain disruptions and supply shortages cannot be ruled out.
Global markets, which were also hit by the December NFP report, reacted as expected.
The Nasdaq-100 immediately fell about 1%, the U.S. dollar index TVC:DXY rocketed to the moon while the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds TVC:TNX jumped nearly 10 basis points to 4.785%, its highest since October 2023.
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average - a benchmark for the global economy - ended last week lower for a sixth straight week, while Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Bears are already dreaming to enter a Bear Market, approaching a 20% decline from the highs of around $108,000 reached in December 2024.
The technical main graph is dedicated specifically to WTI oil futures (the contract following the expiring one), and supported by the averages of the 5- and 10-year SMA.
It points to the reversal of the disinflationary time span seen in the previous two and a half years, from mid-2022.
// Don't say "hop" , before you throned 😏
XAUUSD ( GOLD ) | 1 DAY | SWING TRADING | ICT STRATEGY Hey there, friends! 👋
I’ve prepared a gold analysis for you using the swing trading style. 📊 Currently, the daily analysis aligns with the ICT market maker sell model.
However, for these models to work, we need to see some sort of reaction in the market. Patience is key, so hang tight and wait for my analysis to be updated. ⏳
Once I spot a reaction, I'll share a golden target with you! 🎯
Don’t forget to hit the like button to stay tuned for updates! 🚀
LITM a lithium penny stock gets momentum LONGLITM is a lithium mining company with operations is Western USA and Canada now getting a
lift as lithium prices are rising. It popped 16% today and hit a screener on volume yesterday.
This is a junior miner compared with LAC and SGML. As such it is more reactive to price. All
indicators confirm the move including the extent of the trend, relative volume spiking and the
RS lines. This is a low float low volume stock.
Accumulation of a low float could precipitate more price action upward quite easily.
As a volatile penny stock LITM is risky. Right now, I see a long trade in a
small position ( < 0.001 of account balance) for the potential gain despite the obvious risk
SL at 10% Targets at 10% 20% (red line pivots to the left-1.2o December to Feb) then 70% (
pivot low March 23) and finally 250% for the runners ( January and July 23 high pivots). Time
will tell. I expect great profit in this swing trade with stratified partial profits and less time
effort in the trend using alerts and notifications. A trailing loss will be employed at 10%
once the trade is over 20% profit.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.468 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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