Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Bearish Pennant Targets UnfoldingGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline as I expected in my previous idea after the lower lines of the Ending Diagonal broke .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone ($3,349-$3,325) . And Gold seems to be crossing the 50_SMA(Daily) .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , the Bearish Pennant Pattern seems to indicate a continuation of the downtrend in Gold .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it seems that Gold has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC) , and we can expect the next 5 downwaves .
I expect Gold to continue to decline at least to the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Monthly Pivot Point .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,360
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Commodities
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound📊 Technical Analysis
● Friday’s flush tagged the green 3 300–3 310 demand and the long-term trend-support, then left a bullish gap inside the falling channel; price is now basing above the gap midpoint and printing higher lows toward the pink supply.
● A clean break of channel resistance at 3 348 completes a 4 h inverse-H&S measured to the next confluence at 3 375 (May pivot / former range top).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Core PCE cooled to 0.1 % m/m, pulling real 2-yr yields to two-week lows while IMF flagged persistent central-bank bullion buying—both restoring bid tone in gold.
✨ Summary
Long 3 320-3 335; clearance of 3 348 targets 3 375. Bias void on a 4 h close below 3 300.
-------------------
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XAU/USD Bearish Bomb Ready to Explode? (Entry Levels Inside)🏦💰 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup Inside) 💰🏦
🚨 Cops Waiting at Resistance? Here's How to Steal Pips & Escape Safely! 🚨
🦹♂️ ATTENTION ALL MARKET BANDITS!
To the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💣
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a lethal mix of liquidity grabs + institutional order flow + macro traps), we're executing a bearish gold heist on XAU/USD—this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play by their own rules.
📉 THE GOLD VAULT RAID (SHORT ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Loot Zone: 3280.00 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back)
💣 High-Stakes Play: Neutral trend turning bearish - trap for late buyers
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bullish traders get arrested by resistance
🔪 ENTRY RULES:
"Heist Activated!" – Strike when price breaks 3340.00
Sell Stop Orders above MA OR Sell Limit on pullbacks (15-30min TF)
Aggressive? Enter at market but use tighter stops
📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the breakdown
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at 3390.00 (4H swing high)
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy your margin call."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 3280.00
Scalpers: Ride the bear waves only
🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ COT Data (Are big players dumping gold?)
✅ Real Yields (TIPS vs Gold correlation)
✅ Geopolitical Heat (Safe-haven flows drying up?)
✅ DXY Strength (Dollar crushing commodities?)
🚨 NEWS RISK WARNING
Avoid NFP/CPI/FOMC periods (unless you like volatility torture)
Trailing stops = your get-out-of-jail-free card
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading outlaws!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: For entertainment only. Trade at your own peril.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Short already—or waiting for confirmation?" 👇🔥
GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold.
On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October.
The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices.
Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure.
Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes.
So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate.
Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication.
However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal.
Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline.
But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3268
→Take Profit 1 3280
↨
→Take Profit 2 3286
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW
Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows
Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD
Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341.
However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure.
Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 3,341
Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373
Support: 3,320 → 3,302
previous idea:
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,300$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Drops Sharply as Risk Appetite ReturnsGlobal gold prices extended their sharp decline into the final trading session of the week, sliding more than 1.5% and pausing around $3,274/oz as safe-haven sentiment continues to erode.
📰 What’s driving the sell-off?
The primary trigger is the official signing of a trade agreement between the US and China, marking the end of a prolonged trade standoff. US Commerce Secretary confirmed that more agreements will follow before the July 9 deadline, including a commitment by China to supply rare earths to the US. This announcement sparked broad optimism across global markets, significantly reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Geopolitics also turned more constructive. Iran has expressed diplomatic goodwill, with its UN representative stating the country is ready to negotiate a regional nuclear coalition if a deal with Washington is reached. Meanwhile, Al Arabiya reported that the Israel–Gaza conflict may conclude within two weeks, further lowering geopolitical tensions.
On the data front, US economic indicators continue to surprise to the upside. Core PCE rose 2.7% YoY in May, beating forecasts, while durable goods orders and jobless claims both reflected strength in the US economy. Still, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated that two rate cuts are likely in 2025, suggesting the Fed remains open to easing once inflation cools further.
🔍 Technical outlook
Gold has broken below the key $3,330 support, confirming a short-term bearish structure. If the correction continues, the next levels to watch are $3,245, and more critically, the $3,200 zone.
In the short term, gold faces downside risk due to improving global economic sentiment and easing geopolitical threats. However, over the medium to long term, Fed policy shifts and unforeseen geopolitical events could still reverse the current trend.
Stay alert, watch the charts, and trade smart.
Have a great weekend, everyone! 🌍📊
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3260.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3289.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver consolidation supported at 3500Silver – Technical Analysis
The Silver price action continues to exhibit a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a prevailing rising trend. However, recent intraday moves indicate a corrective pullback, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,500 – Primary support and previous consolidation zone; critical for maintaining bullish structure.
3,450 – Secondary support; potential downside target if 3,500 fails.
3,390 – Key lower support; aligns with a broader demand area.
Resistance:
3,720 – Immediate upside resistance; first target on a bullish bounce.
3,790 – Intermediate resistance; aligns with recent swing highs.
3,850 – Long-term resistance target; marks the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
A bounce from the 3,500 level would affirm the corrective pullback as temporary, with potential for a bullish continuation targeting 3,720, followed by 3,790 and 3,850 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,500 would undermine the current bullish outlook and signal a deeper retracement, with downside risk toward 3,450 and potentially 3,390, where structural support may stabilize price.
Conclusion:
Silver remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry point within the trend. The 3,500 level is the key pivot—holding above it supports further upside continuation, while a breakdown below would raise the risk of a deeper correction. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this level to validate the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for June 27Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level 3250
4-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3245
1-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3280
Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, and the MACD indicator dead cross continues. The gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel is narrowing. The short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern.
The 1-hour chart price broke the previous low of 3295, but the price is oversold and may rebound in the short term. The short-term support level below is around 3280. If it falls below, continue to look at the 3271-3245 range; the important pressure level is around 3300!
If there is a short-term rebound before the NY market, wait until the rebound before continuing to sell! The current minimum is 3279. After the short-term stabilization, refer to the resistance of 3300/3310 to sell.
Sell: 3300near
Sell: 3310near
GOLD - SELL TO $3,288 (1H VIEW)Still looking for a move lower into the $2,787 - $3,276 zone, to take out the June low, like I mentioned to you all a few days ago.
Tomorrow is Friday so be careful as price action could be choppy & use strict risk management.
⭕️Imbalance Left Below $3,300 Psychological Number.
⭕️Either Wave 2 or Wave C Not Complete of Major Impulse Move Down.
⭕️Sellers Holding Below Resistance Zone.
TP: $3,288
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has eased geopolitical tensions, exerting downward pressure on oil prices. Meanwhile, market rumors suggest the U.S. may ease sanctions on Iran, and China will continue purchasing Iranian crude, further intensifying the downtrend.
Data from U.S. oil services firm Baker Hughes shows the number of active crude oil rigs in the U.S. decreased by 1 to 438 in the week ending June 20, reflecting changes in crude production to some extent.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
USOIL prices have fallen sharply from the high of $76.00 and are currently hovering near $65.00, approaching the S2 pivot point at around $64.69 and the 4-hour 200-period moving average. The prior appearance of a long candlestick may signal short-term support.
Bullish scenario: If more bullish candles follow, oil prices may rebound to $70.00.
Trading Strategy :
Prioritize long positions on pullbacks.
buy@64-64.5
TP:66-67
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GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control.
Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading.
Tactical plan:
— Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335
— Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195
— Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline)
When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,274.66 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Is gold in an ascending triangle, or in a wider range?A quick technical piece on TVC:GOLD . What are your thoughts?
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26 : Rally in Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may move downward a bit as a Rally in Counter-trend mode suggests more of a breakdown type of pattern today.
I believe the recent GAP on the SPY/QQQ chart (Monday) sets an easy target for price to attempt to fill that gap downward.
Gold and Silver are in a very strong rally phase over the next 5+ trading days. Get ready for an explosive upward trend in metals.
Bitcoin is stalling near the upper channel. I suspect we may see a rollover and downward price trend in Bitcoin.
Overall, today is a day I plan on getting as far as I can on my new book. Over the past few weeks, I've had lots of disruptions and family emergencies.
Today, I think I have a full day of working on code/projects and the book.
I gave you guys a little glimpse into my work on the book today and I expect to have it ready within the next 10-15 days (God willing).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XPTUSD 1W:While Everyone Watches Gold, Platinum Quietly Wakes UpGold gets the headlines — but platinum just broke two years of silence with a clean, high-volume breakout from a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart. And this isn’t noise — this is the structural shift traders wait for.
Price has been coiled inside a compressing wedge since early 2022. Equal highs. Equal lows. Stop hunts both ways. The classic “shake out before take off.” Now? The breakout is in. And the weekly candle closed above resistance with volume confirmation. Oh, and while we're at it — the 50MA just crossed above the 200MA, signaling a long-term trend reversal.
Target? Measure the triangle height: ~398 points. That projects a breakout target of 1440 USD, which aligns perfectly with previous institutional rejection zones.
But this isn’t just about the chart.
🔹 South Africa, the top global supplier, is struggling with energy and production cuts;
🔹 The Fed is pausing rate hikes — the dollar weakens, metals rally;
🔹 Demand from hydrogen tech, clean energy, and industrial catalysts is on the rise.
Translation? Smart money has been accumulating. The move from 965–1070 was just the ignition. The drive hasn’t started yet.
So while everyone fights over gold highs, platinum sits at the base of a move no one's prepared for — except those who know how accumulation ends.
🧭 Key support: 965–985
📍 Resistance zone: 1150–1180
🎯 Measured target: 1440+
XAU/USD 27 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3321.6
Stop Loss - 3316.9
Take Profit - 3330.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)