WTI Oil Inverse Head & Shoulders looking for a 4H MA50 break-outWTI Oil (USOIL) has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is a technical bottom formation that signals the trend change to bullish.
So far the move is limited by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has 2 rejections already and is keeping the bullish break-out from happening.
If the market closes a candle above the 4H MA50, we will have a bullish confirmation signal. Our Target will be the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $69.00 and not higher, because the long-term trend is limited by the wider Lower Highs trend-line of January.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Commodities
GLD: in resistance zone to form mid-term top Price reached and important resistance levels to start forming the top of upward trend since 2022 bottom.
In precious metals fifth waves tend to extend beyond standard fib levels. So if price moves beyond 300, the door opens for a move to 308-330 resistance zone.
Wishing you successful trading and investing decision and thank you for attention!
GOLD (XAU/USD) at ATH – Two Key Scenarios to WatchGold has reached ATH, and we're currently testing a critical resistance zone. Look at my previous published post, perfectly played out and we're just getting started.
📈 Scenario 1: If the 1H candle body breaks above resistance with a confirmed close, we’re likely to see a push toward the $3,300 level before a potential pullback toward $3100
📉 Scenario 2: If we fail to break resistance, a pullback toward the $3,100 zone is expected before a bounce back to $3,350.
Wait for a retest confirmation on the 1H candle body closure before taking any position.
Updates will be published!
Consolidation Phase in XAU/USD with Bullish PotentialFollowing a period of strong bullish momentum, XAU/USD is currently trading sideways, remaining confined within the price range established between Friday and Monday. This consolidation suggests the market may continue ranging in the short term.
However, if the price dips below the lows of the past two days and breaches the ascending trendline, there is a strong potential for a rebound and continuation to the upside. An alternative scenario could see the formation of a triangle or rising wedge pattern near the current resistance zone.
Despite short-term uncertainty, a key support area around 3170–3180 remains critical. A bounce from this zone could signal the resumption of upward movement. Traders are advised to monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next significant directional move. The next target is the resistance zone near 3285
The latest gold strategy analysis and precise guidanceAfter the surge, the bullish momentum weakened. The price fell back to around $3,100 during the European session, testing the lower support of the channel. Although the CPI data is bullish, if the inflation rises and strengthens the Fed's expectation of delaying interest rate cuts, it may suppress the upside of gold prices. Technically, if it falls below the 3100 support, it may fall back to the 3080-3078 range; on the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to rebound to the 3150-3154 resistance line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold at 3145-3155. Target 3115
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3225.9
Sl - 3218.11
Tp - 3240.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3201.5
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3216.0
Safe Stop Loss - 3194.0
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉
🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204.
However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup.
311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend.
🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week
With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment.
Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated.
🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week
Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios.
Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns.
Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels.
💡 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in.
Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
Gold fluctuates at a high level, how to choose the direction?This week, the gold market showed a high range oscillation pattern. After opening at 3210 on Monday, it quickly rose to the historical high of 3245, but the daily line closed with a negative cross needle, indicating that the long-short game intensified. The gold price fluctuated and fell in the Asian and NY periods. Although the NY period showed a short-term illusion of a high rise, it failed to break through 3227 and plunged to 3193 under pressure. The rebound in the late trading recovered some of the lost ground.
The current price of gold is running in the range of 3245-3193, and it continued to consolidate in a narrow range at 3215 today. It is worth noting that the market generally expects the unilateral 100-point market last week to reappear, but ignores the characteristics of this week's oscillation and energy storage. Blindly chasing ups and downs is easy to fall into passivity. From the technical form, the upper 3237-3245 constitutes a strong resistance zone, and the lower 3193-3188 forms a key support. It is recommended that everyone maintain the thinking of range operation, rely on support and resistance to choose the opportunity to buy low and sell high, and wait patiently for the market to clarify the direction before making trend layout.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at rebound 3225-3230, SL: 3237, TP: 3200-3190.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at callback 3190-3185, SL: 3177, TP: 3210-3220.
XAGUSD Silver: Navigating Transition from Rally to Correction.Technical Analysis: XAGUSD (Silver)
📈 Silver (XAGUSD) is displaying bullish momentum following a significant rally. The precious metal has pushed into higher territory, creating an overextended condition on the price chart.
💹 Currently trading at a premium level, Silver appears ripe for a potential retracement. This elevated positioning suggests buyers may be exhausting their momentum, creating favorable conditions for a corrective move.
🔄 From a Wyckoff perspective, we're observing a classic distribution pattern with price action ranging sideways after the strong upward move. This horizontal consolidation often precedes a change in direction, as smart money potentially distributes positions to retail traders at these premium levels.
⚠️ Particularly noteworthy is the potential for a spring formation. If price breaks below the current range only to reverse sharply higher, this false breakdown could trap shorts and fuel further upside momentum. Conversely, a decisive break below market structure could confirm distribution is complete.
🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor the 30-minute timeframe for a clear break of market structure to the downside. Such a breakdown following this sideways ranging behavior would align with Wyckoff distribution principles and could signal the beginning of a more substantial correction.
🔍 Entry on confirmation of the breakdown with targets at key support levels would provide a measured approach to capitalizing on the potential reversal from these premium prices.
Gold – Potential Bearish Continuation After Lower High FormationMarket Context:
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the current price structure hints at potential exhaustion. After forming a possible lower high near the $3,220 zone, price action has started to roll over, and the market may now be transitioning into a distribution phase.
Technical Breakdown:
- The chart shows a clear uptrend leading into the $3,220 region, followed by a rejection and initial breakdown.
- A lower low has already been printed, signaling a potential change in character (CHOCH) from bullish to bearish.
- A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been left behind on the move down, sitting between approximately $3,160–$3,180. This area could act as a supply zone if price attempts a retracement.
Bearish Scenario Development:
Price is expected to retrace back into the FVG (imbalance), where selling pressure may reappear. This area also aligns roughly with a 0.28 Fibonacci level from the recent impulse down — a common retracement point for corrective moves in a shifting market.
Should this retracement hold and show rejection (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing, displacement), the market could resume downward movement, continuing the developing bearish trend. The next potential liquidity target sits around the $3,060–$3,040 zone, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the prior bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
- Supply/FVG zone: ~$3,160–$3,180
- Current resistance region: ~$3,220 (prior swing high)
- Potential demand zone: ~$3,060–$3,040 (0.618–0.65 retracement)
- Deeper retracement zone: ~$3,000 (0.786 level and prior structure confluence)
What to Look For:
- If price retraces into the FVG and shows weakness, this could confirm the lower high and continuation of the bearish leg.
- A clean break of the $3,060 level would further validate the bearish bias, likely drawing price toward deeper retracement zones.
- If, however, price reclaims and holds above the FVG zone, the bias may shift back to bullish, and a reevaluation would be necessary.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently setting up a possible bearish continuation following a lower low and signs of exhaustion. The upcoming reaction to the FVG zone will be crucial. If the market respects this supply region, it could offer a clean move toward the $3,060 area and possibly lower. As always, let price confirm before acting—structure and reaction at key zones remain vital in this unfolding setup.
XAUUSD: 15/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3300, support below 3176
Four-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3190-3150
One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3210
Gold news analysis: Gold prices remained above 3200 on Monday, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks intensified gold price fluctuations, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes. The trend of the US dollar played an important role in this round of gold price fluctuations. The US dollar index hit a three-year low, making gold denominated in US dollars more attractive to overseas buyers. Behind the weakness of the US dollar, there are both market concerns about the outlook for the US economy and the drive of diversified reserve needs of global central banks. Analysts from well-known institutions said that the weakening of the US dollar and global economic uncertainty constituted a solid support for gold prices. In addition, the global central bank's demand for gold purchases remains strong. Since the beginning of this year, many central banks have continued to increase their gold reserves to cope with potential currency fluctuations and geopolitical risks.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold opened lower yesterday and touched 3209 and then began to rise. It reached the historical high of 3245 again and then began to adjust and adjust. It retreated slightly in the European session and continued to accelerate in the US session. It bottomed out and began to rise after reaching 3193.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3250 mark, and the lower support focuses on the one-hour level 3210 and the four-hour level 3190 support. In terms of operation, continue to buy in line with the trend when stepping back to this position. At the same time, gold is currently in a severely overbought state and beware of a sharp correction.
Buy: 3210near SL: 3205
Buy: 3190near SL: 3185
GOLDMASTERS1 | GOLD 15M OUTLOOK ---
GOLD 15M OUTLOOK:
Price is currently rejecting from the Bearish Order Block (3,232 - 3,236), showing signs of short-term weakness after tapping into supply. If bearish pressure holds below this zone, the price may retrace down toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3,214 — which could act as the next reaction point for a bullish bounce.
If the FVG fails to hold, the next strong support lies at the Bullish Order Block (3,206 - 3,210) and a deeper one at 3,198 - 3,202.
On the upside, if bulls reclaim the Bearish Order Block and break above it, the next target would be the Buyside Liquidity at 3,244.339.
Bias:
Below 3,232 = Bearish short-term.
Above 3,236 = Bullish continuation toward liquidity.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,232 - 3,236 (Bearish Order Block)
Support: 3,214 (FVG) | 3,206 - 3,210 | 3,198 - 3,202 (Bullish Order Blocks)
Target: 3,244.339 (Buyside Liquidity)
GOLDMASTERS1---
Gold short-term analysis. From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction during the strong rise last week, but it was quickly recovered and then went higher, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall.
There are signs of a retracement, but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of rebounding and shorting. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10 daily moving average; if it cannot break through, it will continue to pull back in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track; if the 1-hour candle entity cannot fall below the 3193 support, it will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Key points:
First support: 3210, second support: 3200, third support: 3192
First resistance: 3232, second resistance: 3246, third resistance: 3268
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3200-3203, SL: 3192, TP: 3220-3230;
Sell: 3245-3248, SL: 3257, TP: 3220-3210;
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 32.73
1st Support:31.25
1st Resistance: 33.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Will Coffee Remain an Affordable Luxury?Global coffee prices are experiencing a significant upswing, driven primarily by severe supply constraints in the world's major coffee-producing regions. Adverse weather conditions, notably drought and inconsistent rainfall linked to climate change, have crippled production capacity in Brazil (the largest arabica producer) and Vietnam (the largest robusta producer). Consequently, crop yield forecasts are being revised downwards, export volumes are shrinking, and concerns over future harvests are mounting, putting direct upward pressure on both arabica and robusta bean prices worldwide.
Adding complexity to the situation are fluctuating market dynamics and conflicting future outlooks. While recent robusta inventories have tightened, arabica stocks saw a temporary rise, sending mixed signals. Export data is similarly inconsistent, and market forecasts diverge significantly – some analysts predict deepening deficits and historically low stocks, particularly for Arabica, while others project widening surpluses. Geopolitical factors, including trade tensions and tariffs, further cloud the picture, impacting costs and potentially dampening consumer demand.
These converging pressures translate directly into higher operational expenses for businesses across the coffee value chain. Roasters face doubled green bean costs, forcing cafes to increase consumer prices for beverages to maintain viability amidst already thin margins. This sustained cost increase is impacting consumer behaviour, potentially shifting preferences towards lower-quality coffee, and diminishing the price premiums previously enjoyed by specialty coffee growers. The industry faces significant uncertainty, grappling with the possibility that these elevated price levels may represent a new, challenging norm rather than a temporary spike.
USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is fluctuating within a range without a clear directional bias. If it stably breaks through the range of $63 to $64, it is highly likely to continue rising. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it may trigger a decline towards the range of $59 to $57.
USOIL
sell@63-62
tp:60-59
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
XAGUSD H4 | Be arish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 32.71, a pullback resistance
Our take profit is set at 31.25, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 34.52, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD M30 I Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3223.18, which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.85 Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3190.47, a swing low support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3246.28, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD Gold in Overdrive: Awaiting a Critical Pullback for a BuyDaily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, XAUUSD has surged to new highs, signaling an overextended market as gold rallies far above previous price swings. The price is now trading at a premium, which indicates that much of the bullish momentum may already be priced in. As a result, there is potential for a pullback toward a more attractive entry area. Specifically, a retracement into a discounted zone—ideally below the 50% level of the previous swing—may offer a better long opportunity rather than entering at these extended levels. 📈⚠️
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Examining the 4-hour timeframe reveals more granular price action that aligns with the daily trend. Here, gold displays signs of potential exhaustion with the recent impulsive moves. The market structure hints at the possibility of a short-term setup if the price begins to reverse, aligning with basic Wyckoff theory principles. This suggests that while there might be an interim short play if the reversal is confirmed, the expectation remains that a healthy pullback will eventually pave the way for a new long opportunity once the price finds support. 🔻🤔
Integrating Price Action, Market Structure & Wyckoff Theory
Using elements of Wyckoff theory, it's clear that the current rally has pushed the market into an overbought state.
• The price action indicates a likely initiation of a distribution phase, where selling pressure might temporarily take over.
• A pullback into the discounted zone (particularly under the 50% retracement of the prior range) would be an ideal opportunity to look for a buying setup.
• On the flip side, if the shorter-term setup solidifies, a conservative short play could be considered until signs of accumulation emerge.
This dual perspective underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring short-term reversals while keeping an eye on the broader trend. 🔍📉💡
Summary of Key Takeaways
XAUUSD is currently overextended with a strong rally to new highs. While the momentum is robust, the premium pricing compared to previous swings suggests caution. A pullback into a discounted zone, specifically below the 50% retracement level, could provide a more enticing entry point for those looking to go long. Concurrently, the 4-hour chart offers potential setups for a short play should price action indicate a reversal. Coupling these observations with Wyckoff theory fundamentals can allow for a balanced, dynamic trading strategy. 🔄
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.