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Oil Traders Brace for Impact: US War or Pullback?WTI Crude Oil – Intraday Update: Tension Builds Inside Rising Channel 1H Technical Outlook — June 18, 2025 🧭 Current Market Structure: WTI is currently trading at $72.54, holding above key support but struggling to break through a strong intraday supply zone around $73.80–74.00. Price has formed a rising channel, gradually climbing with higher highs and higher lows—often a pre-breakout structure. Momentum on the Stochastic oscillator is turning, suggesting the market is preparing for a strong directional move. 📊 Key Technical Levels: Resistance Zones: $74.00 – intraday supply $76.00 – swing high zone $78.00+ – war-driven extension target Support Zones: $70.00 – mid-channel & psychological level $68.00 – previous breakout zone $66.00 – bearish continuation target if war is ruled out 🔺 Scenario 1: US-Iran War Escalates (Bullish Breakout) If the U.S. launches airstrikes or there is confirmed military escalation: Expect immediate breakout above $74.00. Price likely to test $76.00, followed by an impulsive move toward $78.00+. Intraday traders should watch for breakout retest setups on lower timeframes (M15/M5). 🛢️ Market could price in a $5–$10 geopolitical premium per barrel within hours if conflict begins. 🔻 Scenario 2: No War / De-escalation (Bearish Breakdown) If headlines signal de-escalation or diplomacy: Rising channel may break to the downside. WTI could fall back to test $70.00, and if broken, flush toward $68.00–66.00 support. Watch for bearish engulfing candles, divergence, or momentum fading. 📉 Oil often unwinds risk premium quickly when fear fades — beware sharp selloffs. 🔁 Neutral Intraday Note: Price currently consolidating between $72.00–74.00 inside an ascending channel. Break above or below this range will dictate momentum. Wait for confirmation candle close before entering breakout trades. 🛡️ Risk Management: Avoid large overnight positions — news headlines can cause gaps or whipsaws. Use tight stops if trading breakout/down; volatility is news-driven. Consider options strategies for limited risk exposure (calls above $74 / puts below $70). 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by MarketsPOV
Massive Oil Move Incoming? Only One Thing Can Stop ItOIL – Overview Oil Rallies to 5-Month High as Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate Oil prices surged to a five-month high early Wednesday amid escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. The ongoing airstrikes between the two nations, along with reports that the Trump administration is considering military involvement, have intensified concerns over a broader regional war. Since Israel launched a surprise strike on Iran last week targeting nuclear sites, oil has risen nearly 10%, fueled by fears of potential supply disruptions. President Trump has publicly called for Iran's "unconditional surrender," signaling heightened geopolitical risk. Despite the ongoing conflict, Iran's oil exports remain largely unaffected, and the country has not yet disrupted shipping through the Persian Gulf — a critical route supplying around 20% of global oil demand. However, markets remain on edge over the potential for further escalation that could directly impact supply. Technical Outlook: Oil maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 72.21, with upside targets at: ➡️ 77.21 ➡️ 79.50 — key breakout level ➡️ 85.40 — next resistance zone ➡️ Potential extension to 88.40 if momentum continues 🔻 A shift to bearish sentiment is only likely if negotiations begin between Iran and Israel, signaling potential de-escalation. Key Levels: • Pivot: 73.20 • Resistance: 77.21 / 79.50 / 85.40 • Support: 69.55 / 68.33 / 66.03 Caution: Any signs of de-escalation or negotiations between Iran and Israel could quickly reverse the trend.
TVC:USOILLong
by SroshMayi
Crude Oil Futures: Navigating Geopolitical Risk and VolatilityMarket Context: NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME:6E1! Implied volatility (IV) in the front weeks (1W and 2W) is elevated, and the futures curve is in steep backwardation. This indicates heightened short-term uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East involving Iran and Israel. The forward curve, however, suggests the market is not fully pricing in sustained or escalating conflict. We evaluate three possible geopolitical scenarios and their implications for the Crude Oil Futures market: Scenario 1: Ceasefire Within 1–2 Weeks • Market Implication: Short-term geopolitical premium deflates. • Strategy: Short front-month / Long deferred-month crude oil calendar spread. o This position benefits from a reversion in front-month prices once the risk premium collapses, while deferred months—already pricing more stable conditions—remain anchored. o Risk: If the ceasefire fails to materialize within this narrow window, front-month prices could spike further, causing losses. Scenario 2: Prolonged War of Attrition (No Ceasefire, Ongoing Missile and Air War) • Market Implication: Front-end volatility may ease slightly but remain elevated; deferred contracts may begin to price in more geopolitical risk. • Strategy: Long back-month crude oil futures. o The market is currently underpricing forward-looking risk premiums. A persistent conflict, even without full-scale escalation, may eventually force the market to adjust deferred pricing upward. o Risk: Time decay and roll costs. Requires a longer holding horizon and conviction that the situation remains unresolved and volatile. Scenario 3: Full-Scale Regional War • Market Implication: Severe market dislocation, illiquidity, potential for capital flight, and broad-based risk-off sentiment across global assets. • Strategy: Avoid initiating directional exposure in crude. Focus on risk management and capital preservation. o In this tail-risk scenario, crude oil could spike sharply, but slippage, execution risk, and potential exchange halts or liquidity freezes make it unsuitable for new exposure. o Alternative Focus: Allocate to volatility strategies, defensive hedging (e.g., long Gold, long VIX futures), and cash equivalents. o Risk: Sudden market shutdowns or gaps may make exit strategies difficult to execute. Broader Portfolio Considerations Given the crude oil dynamics, there are knock-on effects across other markets: • Gold Futures: Flight-to-safety bid in Scenarios 2 and 3. Long positioning in Gold (spot or near-month futures) with defined stop-loss levels is prudent as a hedge. • Equity Index Futures (E-mini Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500): Vulnerable to risk-off flows in Scenarios 2 and 3. Consider long volatility (VIX calls or long VX futures) or equity index puts as portfolio hedges. In Scenario 1, equities could rally on resolution optimism—especially growth-heavy Nasdaq. • Currency Futures: USD likely to strengthen as a safe haven in Scenarios 2 and 3. Consider long positions in Dollar and Short 6E futures. • Bond Futures: Risk-off flows theoretically should support Treasuries in Scenarios 2 and 3. Long positions in 10Y or 30Y Treasury futures could serve as a defensive allocation. Yields may retrace sharply lower if escalation intensifies. However, given the current paradigm shift with elevated yields, higher for longer rates and long end remaining high, we would not bet too heavily on Bond futures to act as safe haven. Instead, inflows in Gold, strengthening of Chinese Yuan and Bitcoin will be key to monitor here. Scenario-based planning is essential when markets are pricing geopolitical risk in a non-linear fashion. Crude oil currently reflects a consensus expectation of de-escalation (Scenario 1), which opens the door for relative value and mean-reversion strategies in the front-end of the curve. However, given the asymmetric risks in Scenarios 2 and 3, prudent exposure management, optionality-based hedges, and a flexible risk framework are imperative. A diversified playbook; leveraging volatility structures, calendar spreads, and cross-asset hedges offers the best path to opportunity while managing downside risk.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-18 : GAP Potential PatternToday's GAP Potential pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may GAP a bit higher at the open, then move into a melt-up phase, trying to identify resistance, then roll into a topping pattern and move downward. I believe the recent "rollover" of the markets (initiating last Friday with the Israel/Iran conflict) is still dominating the markets and news related to the ongoing conflict could drive a moderate pullback in US assets. Headed into the Juneteenth holiday (Thursday, June 19), I suggest traders prepare for the US markets to move into somewhat of a SETTLEMENT mode today - where traders don't want to hold too many open positions into Friday's trading. Additionally, Gold and Silver could move into a very strong upward price move over the next 4-5+ days. So be prepared for metals to hedge risks when the US stock market is closed. BTCUSD seems to be struggling into the FLAG APEX. I'm waiting to see if my FLAG count is correct and if we get the breakdown in BTCUSD as I expect. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
USOIL:Go short before you go long The idea of crude oil is still to go long. Today, the more appropriate entry point is 72-72.3, there is still a little space at present, if you consider selling short first, then the more appropriate short point is 73-73.3 range. Give to the point to do, to wait to do more. Trading Strategy: SELL@73-73.3 TP: 72-72.3 BUY@72-72.3 TP: 73.7-74 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG📈 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG! 🚀✨ 🔍 Overview: Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel 📊, showing clear bullish intent. Price action has respected the lower channel support, bouncing strongly from a key demand zone highlighted in blue. 🟦 Support Zone: The price is consolidating just above the $3,385–$3,390 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a springboard multiple times in the past. This area aligns perfectly with the lower trendline, increasing its reliability. 📍 Key Price Targets: 🎯 $3,402 – First breakout confirmation and minor resistance. 🎯 $3,422 – Mid-level target, possible resistance. 🎯 $3,452 – High-probability target if bullish momentum continues. 🎯 $3,460+ – Extended target aligning with the channel top. 📈 Technical Structure: Price is respecting higher lows and higher highs, maintaining bullish momentum. A breakout above $3,402 could trigger the next leg up. Market is forming a bullish flag/pennant consolidation—potential breakout pending ⏳. ⚠️ Risk Zone: A break below the demand zone and the channel could invalidate the bullish setup ❌. Close monitoring of lower structure is essential. ✅ Conclusion: As long as price holds above the key support zone and within the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the favored scenario. A breakout above interim resistance levels could send Gold toward $3,450+! 🌟📊 🔔 Watch for bullish confirmation candles or volume spikes before entry! 📅 Chart published: June 18, 2025 | XAU/USD | 1H timeframe 🧠 Strategy: Bullish breakout play 📈 💡 Sentiment: Moderately Bullish ♻️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 📅 June 18, 2025 Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion” Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel ✳️ Technical Summary: Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead. 📏 Key Chart Features: Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380 Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500) EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs 📈 Scenarios to Watch: 🔼 Bullish Breakout Path: Trigger: Break and close above 3,400 Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close TP1: 3,460 TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540 SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline Invalidation: Break below channel 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path: Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support First Target: 3,250 Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone SL: Above 3,400 Consolidation Zoom in: #Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
Gold Supported by Central Bank Demand Despite Global UncertaintyGold Prices Likely Supported by Central Bank Demand Gold prices are expected to find continued support from strong central bank buying. Since the start of the Ukraine war, average annual central bank gold purchases have doubled from 500 to 1,000 tons. The primary drivers remain gold’s role as a crisis hedge, portfolio diversifier, and store of value. While de-dollarization is not an explicit motivation, many central banks anticipate a gradual decline in the U.S. dollar’s share of global reserves. Technical Outlook: Gold remains in bullish territory as long as it trades above 3365. This supports a move toward 3403, and if the price stabilizes above that level, the uptrend may extend toward 3430 and 3448. A break below 3364 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift momentum downward, with potential targets at 3347 and 3322. Key Levels: • Resistance: 3403 / 3430 / 3448 • Support: 3365 / 3347 / 3322
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
1
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275 🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies 🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750 🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload 🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade 🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275 🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750 🌍 Macro & Political Drivers U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand. Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484. EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.” Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum. 📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach. ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks. ⚡ What to Watch Next Catalyst Outlook U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD. Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD. EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro. Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure. ✅ Summary Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion. Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside. Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
31
Natural Gas Prices on the RiseNatural Gas Prices on the Rise As shown on the XNG/USD chart today, natural gas prices are trading around $3.960 per MMBtu — the highest level in over a month. This week’s series of bullish candles confirms strong demand. Natural gas is becoming more expensive due to concerns over the military conflict between Iran and Israel. According to media reports: → Israel has attacked Iran’s South Pars gas field, and Donald Trump has called for the evacuation of Tehran. → Market participants fear that a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt oil and natural gas supply chains. In addition, forecasts of extreme heat in the US and increased demand for gas-powered air conditioning are also pushing prices higher. Technical Analysis of the XNG/USD Chart The chart shows that since mid-May, natural gas price movements have formed a narrowing triangle, suggesting a temporary balance between supply and demand. However, the triangle has been broken to the upside — a sign of demand strength — with the price: → breaking through resistance at $3.800 per MMBtu; → forming the outlines of an ascending channel (shown in blue). The following factors could act as resistance to the current upward move in natural gas prices: → the upper boundary of the channel; → the psychological level of $4.000 per MMBtu, near the May peak. However, given that the hottest months of summer lie ahead and the situation in the Middle East remains highly volatile, it is reasonable to assume that the upward trend may continue. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold Price Update – XAUUSDGold FX:XAUUSD has experienced rapid and intense volatility but overall remains stable, as investors weigh the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran while focusing on this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. At the time of reporting, spot gold CAPITALCOM:GOLD remains steady at $3,380/oz, down from yesterday’s (Tuesday) high of $3,403/oz. Israel and Iran continued exchanging fire into a fifth day on Tuesday, as U.S. President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital, Tehran, and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada. Reports claim he had instructed the National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room. According to Reuters, Tehran has requested Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel toward a ceasefire in exchange for Iran’s willingness to show flexibility in nuclear negotiations. Trump’s latest post on Truth Social stated: "I have had ZERO communication with Iran in any way, shape, or form regarding (peace talks). It’s fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to contact me. They should take the deal on the table—it will save many lives!!!" Forexlive commented that anyone familiar with Trump knows he will definitely wait for Iran to approach him. Reports suggest Iran is attempting to negotiate a ceasefire, but no substantive developments have emerged yet. Gold, a non-yielding asset, is widely seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it tends to perform well in low interest rate environments. Therefore, fundamentally, gold should maintain a positive outlook in the current market context—even though sudden pullbacks can unsettle new traders. Personally, I’ve had many moments this year when I doubted myself and didn’t trust the uptrend—only to suffer bad outcomes… sigh. The Fed’s interest rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech are scheduled for today (Wednesday). Traders currently expect the Fed to cut rates twice by year-end. According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Watch” on June 18: There is a 97.3% chance the Fed will keep rates unchanged in June, and a 2.7% chance of a 25bps rate cut. In July, there is an 85.3% chance of holding rates steady, a 14.4% chance of a cumulative 25bps cut, and a 0.3% chance of a 50bps cut. Technical Outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) On the daily chart, gold has been oscillating around the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the psychological price of $3,400—previously highlighted as key support/resistance in our earlier analysis. However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged, with the dominant trend still bullish. The 21-day EMA continues to act as a crucial support line, and trendline (a) remains the primary trend direction. Meanwhile, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement serves as the nearest support, with price channel (b) defining the short-term trend. In terms of momentum, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains above 50, which is also acting as a support level in this case. The distance from the overbought zone suggests further upside potential remains. Intraday, a breakout above the psychological $3,400 level would provide a bullish signal, with the next target seen around $3,435 in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $3,371 – $3,350 Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GOLD → Consolidation. Awaiting the FOMC meetingFX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3403 - 3373. The problem is that there is news ahead. FOMC and interest rate meeting. The market may react in any unpredictable way... On Wednesday, the price of gold retreated from $3,400 as sentiment stabilized and investors focused on the upcoming Fed decision. Tensions in the Middle East remain high, but there is less panic in the markets. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged. The focus is on forecasts for rates, growth, and inflation. Dovish signals could support gold and weaken the dollar. If the Fed is more cautious due to oil and the conflict in the Middle East, the dollar could rise and gold could fall. Technical nuances are irrelevant in this case, as price behavior depends on the market's interpretation of fundamental factors. Resistance levels: 3403, 3420 Support levels: 3373, 3339 BUT! Technically, I would say that there is pressure from the bears. The price is compressing towards the support level of 3373. The market remains unbalanced in favor of buyers, and it is logical that market makers will be interested in testing the trend support zone or the 3339 level (due to the liquidity pool) before continuing to rise (gold may continue to rise both if rates are lowered and if they remain at the same level. However, the tone of the Fed will play a major role here) Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
17
AUDNZD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently trading around 1.078 and is on the verge of a classic falling wedge breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen after a downtrend. Price action has been compressing within this wedge formation, suggesting an imminent breakout as market pressure builds. A decisive close above the descending trendline would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation, with a near-term upside target of 1.086. The structure has held multiple rejections at both resistance and support, highlighting strong accumulation behavior from institutional participants. Fundamentally, the Australian dollar is gaining relative strength due to the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a hawkish tone, supported by persistent inflation and labor market resilience. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently surprised the market by signaling a potential end to its hiking cycle, citing slower growth and inflation moderation. This divergence in monetary policy outlook is creating favorable conditions for AUDNZD bulls, particularly as global risk appetite improves and commodity-linked currencies gain traction. Technically, this 4-hour chart pattern aligns perfectly with recent AUD strength across the board, particularly in pairs like AUDUSD and AUDJPY which have broken key resistance levels. The tight consolidation near the wedge’s upper boundary, coupled with bullish candlestick formations, suggests buyers are stepping in ahead of the breakout. With a clean invalidation below 1.075, the risk-reward ratio here is compelling, especially for momentum traders looking to catch an impulsive leg higher toward 1.086 and beyond. This setup is high-conviction. AUDNZD is poised for a breakout that aligns with both technical and macro fundamentals. As a professional trader, I’m tracking this setup closely, and any confirmation candle above the trendline will trigger my entry. I expect bullish continuation in line with AUD’s broader strength and NZD’s underperformance.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
USOIL:A long trading strategy Oil prices also fell sharply under the stimulus of the news, and then completed the correction rebound in the sub-session, and now back to around 71 again. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will be mainly in the form of shock consolidation. Trading ideas than yesterday did not change too much, adjust the appropriate profit point. Trading Strategy: BUY@70.5-70.8 TP: 71.8-72.3 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
Silver Up Slightly as Markets Await PowellXAG/USD rose 0.3% to $37.23 on Wednesday, though gains were capped by a stronger U.S. dollar as investors turned to safe assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision. Silver’s safe-haven appeal remained, but the firmer dollar made it less attractive for non-dollar buyers. Markets are now watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on future policy and near-term direction for silver. Resistance is set at 37.50, while support stands at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Steady Near $3,390 Ahead of Fed DecisionGold rebounded from early losses on Wednesday, returning to around $3,390 as the Iran-Israel conflict entered its sixth day. Israel confirmed strikes near Tehran and reported missile launches from Iran, while President Trump’s national security meeting fueled speculation about potential U.S. involvement. Investors also focused on the Federal Reserve meeting, with no rate change expected but attention on guidance amid trade tensions and global uncertainty. Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,350.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) 🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard... While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal... 🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive… 🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities... 📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets. 📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective) Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO… EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers… Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills… 🎯 Trade Setup 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343 Stop-Loss: 3339 Take Profits: 3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ??? 🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444 Stop-Loss: 3448 Take Profits: 3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase. 🧠 Final Thoughts Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever. Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you. 📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold at a Crossroads — Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Hello traders, what’s your take on gold today? At the moment, gold continues to benefit from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, a healthy correction is underway, pushing prices slightly lower. XAUUSD is currently trading in a tight range near $3,380, and technical indicators suggest the metal is entering a consolidation phase — potentially a setup for the next breakout. All eyes are now on this week’s FOMC meeting, which kicks off today with a policy statement and press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While markets do not expect the Fed to cut interest rates at this meeting, dovish signals will be closely watched. This may leave bullish traders on the sidelines for now, waiting for clearer confirmation. On the flip side, geopolitical uncertainty remains a powerful driver for gold, offering psychological support and keeping buyers engaged in the short term. From a technical standpoint, bulls are aiming for a breakout above the key $3,500 resistance level. Meanwhile, bears are eyeing a short-term push below the $3,345–$3,330 support zone. So what’s your view — are we about to see a breakout or another dip? Let me know your thoughts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Edward_TradingFX
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 19Gold technical analysis Daily level upper resistance 3500 lower support 3338 4-hour upper resistance 3419 lower support 3361 1-hour upper resistance 3400 lower support 3366 Gold news analysis: This week, gold rose to 3450 with the help of regional conflicts and then fell, eventually falling below the 3400 integer mark. Combining the intraday trend and the gradually downward movement of the high point in the weekly chart, it can be seen that the short-sellers' control in the market is gradually increasing. From a technical point of view, yesterday's decline drove the gold price to run below the middle track of the Bollinger band again, and the short-term 5-day moving average also fell. Although there is still a possibility of a rebound in the short term, the overall pattern is bearish. The Bollinger band has signs of closing, which means that there may be a shock adjustment in the future, especially the rebound strength after the support is worth paying attention to. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3365 and the one-hour level 3366 support, and the upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 3419. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is near 3361. Continue to buy on dips before the four-hour level falls below this position. Buy: 3361near SL: 3355 Buy: 3400near SL: 3995
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Trading strategy june 18Yesterday's D1 candle was a Doji candle. It shows the hesitation of buyers and sellers at the price near ATH. The h4 structure is a sustainable bullish wave structure and is heading towards higher hooks. The 3400 zone is the immediate resistance zone that Gold is heading towards. This zone will be the breakout zone for the confirmation of the candle closing above 3400. The profit-taking reaction zone of sellers at 3415 acts as a price reaction when the price uptrends again and creates momentum towards 3443. On the opposite side, the breakout point of 3472, if broken, will push the price to the support zone of 3342 Break out zone: 3400; 3372 Resistance: 3415; 3443 Support: 3343
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
1