SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-24-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to make a Breakaway move.
I believe this breakaway will be to the downside after watching the rejection near the 609 level on the SPY play out and the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2+ days.
However, if the breakdown I suggested (above) does not happen, I suggest the markets continue to FLAG SIDEWAYS into a FLAG APEX near the end of this week.
The SPY's trend is such that I see it either breaking down hard over the next 2-3 days (confirming the Excess Phase Peak breakdown) or stalling back into the FLAG formation and reaching the Apex near the end of this week.
That means traders need to prepare for one of two major price events: a continued major breakdown or a consolidation/reversion back to the 605-608 level within a sideways FLAG.
What I expect is a breakdown in price. That seems the most logical. But, after watching the markets continue to flag sideways over the past few weeks, I know the markets can stay illogical for longer than I can try to short this top. lol
Gold and Silver look ready to rally. This could be a huge upward move and very powerful for skilled traders.
BTCUSD looks ready to break downward. And I think a breakdown in Bitcoin would be timed with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ as well.
This is going to be an interesting week. Start off by letting the markets try to settle today (for the first 10 to 30 minutes). You can't kick the markets to do what you want.
After watching this moderate pullback in pre-market trading, we need to see how the price will attempt to trend.
Get Some.
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Commodities
GOLD INTRADAY consolidation supported at 2920The GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the all-time high on 20th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 2920 level, the consolidation price range and also the current daily pivot level. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 2920 level could target the upside resistance at 2955 followed by the 2968 and 3000 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2920 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2890 support level followed by 2880 and 2663. .
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | GOLD pullback from resistanceGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper trend line and resistance level.
The chart formed a bearish engulfment during the resistance retest.
We expect the pullback to continue.
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LONG ON USOILOil is currently rising from a major demand zone.
It has broken out of a nice double/triple bottom and a downtrend line.
I expect price to tap into the demand zone as a pullback from its recent break of a high and then continue to rise.
I am buying oil and expecting it to rise to the next supply level for just about 200 pips or a $2 move on.
BURGERUSDT Falling Wedge Breakout – 120%-130% Gains BURGERUSDT has recently completed a breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern, and it has already retested the breakout level successfully. A Falling Wedge breakout often signals a shift from a downtrend to a potential uptrend, and this retest confirms that the breakout level is now acting as a strong support. With the price stabilizing and holding above this key support level, BURGERUSDT is set to continue its bullish move. The projected gains from this point are significant, with an estimated range of 120% to 130%+, as the market looks ready to resume its upward momentum.
The volume accompanying this breakout is a key indicator of the strength behind the move. Good volume during the breakout and retest confirms that market participants are supporting this price action, and the move is not likely to be a false signal. With the retest successfully holding at support, BURGERUSDT has solidified its position for the next leg up. This suggests that the asset is primed for continued growth as it begins its upward trajectory, offering substantial gains to those who act at this critical point.
Investors have been showing increased interest in BURGERUSDT, recognizing the potential for growth after the breakout and retest. As more traders see the strength in the price action and volume, more buying pressure could be expected, further propelling the price higher. With the breakout behind it and strong investor confidence, BURGERUSDT is well-positioned for a rally toward its projected 120% to 130%+ target. The technicals are looking favorable, and the market sentiment appears to be positive.
Traders should keep an eye on BURGERUSDT as it consolidates above the retest level. Any signs of further bullish continuation could provide an opportunity to enter before the price moves higher. With the technical setup and market dynamics aligning, BURGERUSDT represents an exciting opportunity for those looking to capture high returns in the next phase of its rally.
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XAUUSD The top isn't very far off.Gold (XAUUSD) has been rising non-stop since the November 2024 bottom, which later transitioned into a Channel Up. The market is no stranger at all to such Channel Up patterns, in fact it has been the most dominant rising formation of this Bull Cycle since the September - October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The previous 4 completed Channel Up patterns, rose by a minimum of +18.57% and a maximum of +23.48%, so the average rise since a pull-back low has been more than +20%. Those technical pull-backs hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level in 3 out of 4 occasions.
Base on the above conditions, we believe that Gold will top either by the end of this month (+18.57%) or the next (+23.48%), with the Sell Zone designated within those ranges. Similarly, the Buy Zone can be between the two potential 0.382 Fib levels.
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24/2 Today's Market Analysis and SignalsGold technical analysis.
Daily resistance 3000,
Support below 2892
Four-hour resistance 3000,
Support below 2930
Gold operation suggestions: Gold 4-hour level enters high-level fluctuations, with 2920-2915 area as support below, maintaining high-level strong fluctuations, the daily level upward trend remains unchanged, gold prices will rebound every time they step back on the 10-day moving average, the key support area, bulls will strengthen after touching it. The short-term bullish trend remains unchanged.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2930, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2940-45 line. Focus on the 2930 line support at the four-hour level. If the four-hour closing price falls below 30, it will be bearish. The overall trend continues to rely on this range to maintain high selling and low buying, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2930near SL:2925
BUY:2892near SL:2888
Use small size, control risk
GOLD short-term analysis, shock range 2915~2950Gold has risen for 8 consecutive weeks. According to the time period calculation, it has reached the key time window. In the general upward trend, 7-9 consecutive rises are regarded as a turning point in the medium and short cycle (changing time window). Therefore, the upward space of this round of bullish trend is gradually compressed. Entering the end, the daily chart price maintains the previous high and adjusts below. The price has formed a wide range of high-level fluctuations for three consecutive trading days.
At present, the MA10/7-day moving average is shrinking, and the RSI indicator is running above the high 70 value. Be careful of the high-rise and fall of the medium. The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band closes to the upper track 2950 and the lower track 2924. The current price is adjusted at the middle track 2937, and the moving average sticks to the RS1 indicator at the middle axis 50. The trading idea of gold at the beginning of the week is to sell at the rebound high (pay attention to the opportunity of band layout).
Last week, the price of gold hit a record high of $2,955 before falling back, indicating that the selling pressure at high levels has increased, but the overall trend is still bullish. After eight consecutive weeks of rising, the market has a need for technical corrections. The daily line has been sideways, indicating that the long and short forces are evenly matched, the market has entered a high-level consolidation, and the MACD has crossed, and there is a need for a correction!
The answer is to exchange time for space, waiting for further strong breakthroughs, or brewing a wave of downward corrections? This week, continue to pay attention to the breakthrough of the 2916-2955 range, and follow up after the break.
The strength of Monday this week is the key point for the long and short choices of gold. If gold continues to break upward steadily on Monday, then gold is now showing the form of refueling in the air. If it goes down, gold may be the beginning of a change. The key to gold this week is still at 2955.
Key points:
First support: 2915, second support: 2908, third support: 2893
First resistance: 2933, second resistance: 2946, third resistance: 2955
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2916, SL: 2909, TP: 2940-2950;
SELL: 2947-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2920-2910;
Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts.
Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so USOIL is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 73.00.
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"WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (568.0) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
1st Target - 594.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target - 616.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
🌾"WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🌿Fundamental Analysis
Supply and Demand: Global wheat production is expected to increase by 2% in 2025, driven by favorable weather conditions in major producing countries
Weather Conditions: Weather forecasts indicate a high probability of drought in key wheat-producing regions, which could impact yields and support prices
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for wheat, particularly from emerging markets
Trade Policies: The recent trade agreements between major wheat-producing countries are expected to increase global wheat trade and support prices
🌿Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting commodity prices
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
🌿COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have increased their net long positions in wheat to 55%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has risen to 2.2, indicating a bullish trend
Open Interest: Open interest in wheat futures has increased by 10% over the past month, indicating growing investor interest
🌿Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +30
🌿Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 565.0, 200-period SMA: 540.0.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 62.21, daily chart: 58.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 580.0 (upper band), 560.0 (lower band).
🌿Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 600.0-620.0.
Key Support Levels: 565.0, 540.0.
Key Resistance Levels: 600.0, 620.0.
🌿Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for wheat is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in global wheat demand, favorable weather conditions, and low interest rates are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected weather events.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
COTTON Cash CFD Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the COTTON Cash CFD Commodities Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (65.700) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
1st Target - 68.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target - 71.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
COTTON Cash CFD Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🌳Fundamental Analysis
Supply and Demand: Global cotton production is expected to decline by 1.5% in 2024-25, while consumption is forecasted to increase by 2.5%.
Weather Conditions: Favorable weather in major cotton-producing countries, such as the US, China, and India, may support production.
🌳Macroeconomic Analysis
Global Economic Growth: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global economic growth to slow down to 3.2% in 2024, which may impact cotton demand.
Trade Tensions: Ongoing trade tensions between the US and China may influence cotton trade and prices.
🌳COT Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short
Large Speculators: 52% long, 48% short
Commercial Traders: 60% short, 40% long
🌳Market Sentimental Analysis
Market Sentiment: 45% bullish, 55% bearish
Trader Sentiment: 42% long, 58% short
Option Skew: 25-delta put option skew at 12.5
🌳Positioning Data Analysis
Bullish Trend: 40% likely.
Bearish Trend: 60% likely.
Neutral Trend: 10% likely.
🌳Overall Outlook
However, some analysts predict a bullish continuation, targeting 71.000. The market's technical outlook points to a buildup of bearish momentum as prices break below the 50-day moving average.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2935.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2820.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
💠 Fundamental Analysis
The GC1 contract is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policies, and commodity market fluctuations. Central banks' cautious approach to interest rates and inflation management impacts gold prices.
💠 Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP Growth Rate: Global economic growth slows down, with the US GDP growth rate at 3.3% in Q4.
Inflation Rate: Inflation trends show moderation, with the US inflation rate at 1.0% annualized.
Employment and Labor Market: The US job market remains solid, with 353,000 jobs added in January.
💠 COT Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short.
Retail Traders: 52% short, 48% long.
Large Banks: 57% long, 43% short.
💠 Market Sentimental Analysis
Market Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish.
Trader Sentiment: 29% long, 71% short.
💠 Market Sentiment by Trader Type
- Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
💠 Positioning Data Analysis
Bullish Trend: 45% likely.
Bearish Trend: 55% likely.
💠 Overall Outlook
GC1 prices may fluctuate due to central banks' monetary policies, inflation trends, and geopolitical tensions. Investors are cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and innovation-driven sectors.
Key Factors Influencing GC1 Prices
Monetary Policy Adjustments: Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Inflation Trends: Global inflation rates.
Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions and commodity market fluctuations.
Technology Sector Resilience: Growth potential in AI and semiconductor fields.
Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Bitcoin's impact on traditional markets.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
MY WEEKLY FORECASTING AS WELL AS AND TODAY TARGET INCULDED 2970XAUUSD market currently on 2945.00 Acoording to time frame H4 bullish trend if market WILL break the key point 2955. then it WILL BE TOUCH on 2970 if MARKET break my resistance level then IT WILL BE BEARISH on 2900.00
target 1 2960
target 2 2980
target 3 3000
resistance level 2930
World gold price today"Gold's increase over the past two months has exceeded the normal trend, so there may be a correction. However, I think this decline will only be short-lived and insignificant. The reasons why investors buy gold are still there, while North American investors have not increased strongly."
"Gold reached a record high of nearly 2,955 USD/ounce on February 20. However, technically, it is starting to show signs of being susceptible to a downward correction. The increase of more than 13% from the beginning of the year until now may cause investors to falter and slow down their buying momentum."
The world gold market continues to fluctuate strongly due to the impact of President Donald Trump's policies. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show that industry experts are cautious about the yellow metal's short-term prospects. Meanwhile, retail traders are optimistic, with prices forecast to continue rising this week.
XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff EventSimple Trading: Distribution Phase
First, we can see that gold has started to consolidate. Once we see this, we look back at previous candles to identify the patterns in this phase:
(1) preliminary resistance
(2) the last buy
(3) a retest to confirm support
(4) confirm resistance without making a higher high.
(5) Higher high (typically a FAKEOUT)
We are waiting for the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the pattern. If the price falls to SUPPORT, creating a LOWER LOWER, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish.
Falling as low as 2815.