Commodities
GOLD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GOLD went down from
The resistance of 2942$ just
As we predicted in our previous
Analysis and keeps falling
So now Gold is locally oversold
And after the retest of the
Horizontal demand level below
Around 2868$ a local bullish
Correction is to be expected
LONG🚀
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XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊
Key Observations:
Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄
The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in.
Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯
The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders.
A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈
The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case.
This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone.
Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀
The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone.
A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963).
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899).
Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880).
Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level).
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution).
Final Thoughts:
🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942.
🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement.
🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅
XAU/USD Breakout – Targeting $2,950?XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆📊
🔹 Current Price: $2,926.285
🔹 Recent High: $2,927.305
🔹 Recent Low: $2,923.840
🔹 200 EMA Support: $2,870.242 (far below current price)
Key Observations & Setup
✅ Breakout Confirmed: The price has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Target Zone: The red resistance zone near $2,945 - $2,950 is the next potential target.
✅ Potential Move: Price is expected to climb toward this resistance area before facing rejection or continuation.
✅ Support Levels: If the breakout fails, the previous resistance (now support) around $2,915 - $2,920 could be tested.
Trading Plan 📈💡
Bullish Play: If price holds above the breakout level, targeting $2,945 - $2,950 could be a solid setup.
Bearish Rejection: Watch for rejection at the resistance zone for possible short opportunities.
EMA Support: The 200 EMA remains far below, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment unless a major pullback occurs.
📢 Final Thoughts: This is a classic breakout & retest scenario. If momentum sustains, we could see a push into the resistance zone. Stay cautious for any rejection signals! 🚀🔥
USOIL(WTI) Price ActionHello Traders,
I hope you all had a great weekend and made some profits last week! As the market opens today, I’ve identified another setup on USOIL (WTI) . Here’s the breakdown:
1. Zones Marked:
- On the 4H chart, I’ve marked two key zones: a Supply Zone and a Demand Zone.
- Switching to the M30 chart, I’ve marked an additional Demand Zone.
2. Liquidity Line:
- You’ll notice a Liquidity Line on the chart. Wait for a sweep of this level before considering any trades.
3. Entry Strategy:
- Move to the M15 chart for a precise entry to lower your risk.
- Look for bullish momentum to confirm a long position.
4. Take Profit (TP):
- The TP levels will remain the same as planned.
5. Volume Observation:
- Volume is currently low, which could indicate a potential divergence. Keep an eye on this as it may impact the trade.
6. Risk Management:
- Always manage your risk carefully. Avoid trading blindly and stick to your plan.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Let’s make it a profitable week. Thank you!
GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a strong
Bearish correction and
Looks locally oversold so
After it hits the horizontal
Support level of 2868$
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
OIL CallsThe market structure remains bullish as the Daily price broke the last swing high of $77.89 to make a new market top of $79.44.
Even though in the short term the price is retracing down to fill inefficiencies left by the last rally, we can expect a reversal of the trend at either $69 or $67 supply zones. In case of such reversal the price can with high probability retest the last swing high or the first supply zone which sits outside the current structure at $80.
On the other hand, if the price breaks below $66.80, it will signal the market is entering another bear run.
Russia-Ukraine negotiations, next oil market analysis!!On Friday (February 15), international oil prices fell slightly, mainly affected by the expectation of easing the situation between Russia and Ukraine. The market generally believes that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine make substantial progress, the lifting of sanctions on Russia will greatly improve the global energy supply. However, the postponement of the implementation of the US reciprocal tariffs has provided support for oil prices and limited the decline in oil prices. Brent crude oil futures closed at $7,451 per barrel, while WTI crude oil fell to $70.57 per barrel.
This week, Brent crude oil fell slightly by 0.23%, while WTI crude oil fell slightly by 0.69%. Despite the weak performance of oil prices, market sentiment remains relatively complex, greatly affected by the supply and demand pattern and global political dynamics.
Market Dynamics Analysis
Russia-Ukraine Situation: Changes in Supply and Demand Expectations Brought by Peace Talks
One of the most important market news this week was that US President Trump instructed US officials to launch Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Both Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed their willingness to reach a peace agreement in separate phone calls with Trump. Market expectations for a possible turnaround in the Russia-Ukraine conflict are rising. If a peace agreement is reached and sanctions on Russia are lifted, the pressure on global energy supply will be significantly eased.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently mentioned in its oil market report that if Russia's oil exports can circumvent new sanctions, they may still be able to remain at the current level, which will have an important impact on the global oil market. Nevertheless, the market still needs to pay attention to the further development of the situation between Russia and Ukraine, and there is still great uncertainty in the final realization of the peace agreement.
US trade policy: The postponement of reciprocal tariffs provides support for oil prices
US President Trump recently announced that he plans to postpone the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, and the relevant report is expected to be submitted on April 1. The market responded positively to this, and the decision to postpone tariffs has increased optimism about the outlook for global trade. IG market strategist Ye Junrong pointed out that Trump's tariff policy adjustment has warmed up the market's expectations for the global trade environment, driving a certain rebound in oil prices.
However, it is worth noting that although the postponement of tariffs has brought support to the market, the final direction of this policy is still uncertain, and it may have a greater impact on the trend of global oil prices in the future.
Global demand recovery and supply dynamics: energy market tends to balance
Analysts at JPMorgan Chase pointed out that global oil demand has increased to 103.4 million barrels per day (bpd), an increase of 1.4 million bpd from the same period last year. In particular, the recovery in demand for travel and heating fuels has further increased the actual demand for oil. At the same time, the number of oil drilling rigs in the United States has increased for three consecutive weeks. The latest report from Baker Hughes shows that the number of active drilling rigs in the United States increased by 2 this week to 588. The increase in the number of drilling rigs usually indicates a recovery in future production and indicates that the US oil industry is gradually recovering.
However, despite the recovery in demand, supply concerns remain. The economic pressure imposed by the Trump administration on Iran may also limit the growth of crude oil supply in the short term.
Technical aspects and market sentiment: the pattern of oil price shocks
From a technical perspective, Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil have been operating in a shock range recently, and there is great uncertainty in the short-term trend. Although the market is optimistic about the recovery in demand, potential disturbances in global supply and geopolitical risks still put pressure on oil prices. In terms of technical indicators, the prices of Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil have not broken through the upper limit of the recent fluctuation range, indicating that market sentiment is still in a wait-and-see state.
Outlook for next week
Looking ahead to next week, the crude oil market will still face the test of multiple uncertainties. First, whether the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks can make substantial progress will be an important factor affecting oil prices. If the situation between Russia and Ukraine eases and sanctions on Russia are lifted, global energy supply may ease and oil prices may be under great pressure.
Second, whether the Trump administration's reciprocal tariff policy will continue to be postponed and its impact on global trade may continue to affect market sentiment. The market's expectations for the adjustment of the US trade policy are still relatively optimistic, which may provide some support for oil prices in the short term.
In addition, the recovery trend of global oil demand is expected to continue, especially as the global economy gradually recovers, the increase in fuel and heating demand may further drive up oil prices. However, uncertainties on the global supply side, especially supply problems in Iran and Russia, will have a lasting impact on oil price trends.
The increase in the number of drilling rigs in the United States indicates that the recovery of US oil production may have an impact on market supply in the coming months. If the US energy production capacity continues to expand, oil prices may face downward pressure. TVC:USOIL
Breaking news, an important news that will affect the market! ! According to the news, senior US and Russian officials will meet in Saudi Arabia next week to prepare for the Trump-Putin summit, which will be held at the end of the month at the earliest. The details of the meeting and the list of participants are still being worked out. Saudi Arabia has invited representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine to attend the meeting in Riyadh.
According to the report, the goal is to finalize a date for Ramadan, which starts in March.
1. At first glance, this news may not be very relevant to businessmen, but it is not.
There are three major themes dominating the current global financial market:
First, the Trump administration;
Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut
Third, the possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine
The market has been hyped for many rounds on the first two points, and the market has become immune to these two factors in the short term (lost interest). The third point is the speculation that has just emerged, and the market has not yet fully priced it. 50% of the factors for the decline of the US dollar this week are due to news from Russia and Ukraine. The market also has a probability expectation for the "possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine", just like the expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This probability has exceeded 50% this week (30% last week).
2. Judging from the news itself, Trump seems eager to reach an agreement with Russia, prompting Russia and Ukraine to accelerate the ceasefire. It means that the geopolitical game has entered a new stage of "open talks and secret wars", and the market pricing mechanism will switch between risk on/off modes more frequently.
More content:
The location is Saudi Arabia, and Saudi Arabia may mediate in the middle - Saudi Arabia had a tense relationship with the United States before, but recently it has also cooperated with Russia in OPEC+
The United States bypassed Europe and directly contacted Russia at a high level - the two sides may be testing a certain "post-conflict framework", and "interest exchanges" in certain areas are not ruled out (possibly involving energy cooperation or lifting of some sanctions)
3. The subsequent progress of negotiations will have a certain impact on the financial market.
The analysis strategy is as follows:
As far as the crude oil market is concerned, any progress in negotiations may trigger a decline.
For the gold market, if the sudden plunge on Friday night is related to the "increased probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine", then there may be further declines in the future.
The agricultural product market may also be a major trading country, because Ukraine is a food exporter, and any ceasefire or agreement may improve food exports and lower prices.
In addition, Russian assets may also be revalued.
It is important to note that the Ramadan time window is mentioned as (March 10-April 9) - history shows that the conflicting parties often reach a temporary ceasefire at this stage. If it fails to achieve this time, it may trigger a reverse bet in the market.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 32.147
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 32.524
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold poised to extend rally to 3010 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at this chart, we can observe that a few days ago the price entered an upward channel and began to rise steadily. Shortly after, it climbed to the 2660 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone, and even broke through it. However, before making further progress, XAU corrected to the channel’s support line. Following this correction, the price retested the level and resumed its upward movement, eventually reaching the second support level located within a support area. Initially, there was another correction to the channel’s support line, but soon after, the price broke through the 2770 level as well and kept moving higher. Eventually, the price broke out of the first channel and transitioned into a new upward channel, where it reached the current support level, which also coincided with another support area. Gold managed to surpass the 2880 level and continued its bullish momentum. At the moment, the price is still climbing, and I anticipate that XAU will correct back to the channel’s support line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. For this scenario, I’ve set my TP at 3010 points, which aligns with the channel’s resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2905 and a gap below at 2872. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2928 with a correction target above at 2890 before that with ema5 lagging and due a touch above. We need ema5 to cross below 2890 to open 2857 and lock above 2928 to open the range above.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2890
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3024
BEARISH TARGETS
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2890 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2813 - 2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2744 - 2713
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking and playing out perfectly, as analysed.
2904 AXIS target was hit last week completing this level and also into the channel top for the perfect finish and rejection.
We now have body close above 2904 AXIS but will need ema5 lock to confirm 2959, although the channel top is acting as resistance and therefore will need some ranging movement within the channel so it can slowly ascend into the 2959 respecting the channel dynamics.
We also need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
After completing 2729 and 2856, we were left with a very small body close above 2856 last week leaving 2976 open and we stated that will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
EMA5 is still yet to lock, however the body close already gave us a nice push up with over 700 pips. The full long term gap still remains open with a further candle body close left from last week.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Gold did not manage to update the All-Time High on Friday,
retracing from a key daily resistance.
The market is now trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 2943,
a bullish continuation will be expected to the new highs.
Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks a demand zone based on a rising trend line
and a support of the range and closes below that,
a correctional movement will follow.
Alternatively, with the absence of fundamentals,
the market may stay within the range for a while, so be patient.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OXY: Bullish Breakout PotentialA break above the 50.80 level could confirm the stock is ready to clear its descending channel and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. This price has acted as a pivotal zone in recent sessions, and a decisive close above it would suggest the downtrend may be reversing. A surge in volume above 50.80 would further strengthen the long setup, potentially targeting the high 50s or low 60s if buyers follow through. The RSI on this 2W chart is hovering near the middle (accumulation) range. It’s neither showing an extreme overbought nor deeply oversold condition. That gives price room to run in either direction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
Gold Weekly Analysis – Bullish & Bearish ScenariosCurrent Market Structure:
Gold is trending upward within a well-defined weekly ascending channel and has not broken out yet.
The market is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, meaning a breakout or a potential rejection could occur.
Expected Movement This Week:
Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability If Momentum Holds):
A clean breakout above the channel resistance would signal continued bullish momentum.
The price could consolidate briefly at the breakout level before pushing higher toward $3,000+.
If a pullback happens after breaking out, we expect a retest of previous resistance (now support) before continuing upward.
Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with increasing volume.
Bearish Scenario (If Gold Fails to Break Above Resistance):
If gold fails to break out and rejects from the upper boundary, a correction is likely.
The first key downside target is around $2,760 (weekly level), aligning with previous structure.
A deeper decline could lead to $2,571, which is another weekly support zone.
Confirmation: A strong rejection wick, bearish engulfing pattern, or increased selling pressure.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk and can result in substantial losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
Why I Believe Brent Crude Oil is Headed to $125 by 2026www.tradingview.com 1. Supply Constraints: Geopolitics & Trade Wars
One of the biggest drivers of higher oil prices is geopolitical instability and trade policy shifts. We're already seeing major disruptions that could tighten supply further:
Middle East Tensions – The ongoing conflicts in the Red Sea, Iran, and Israel continue to create uncertainty. Attacks on shipping routes and production facilities raise the cost of transporting oil and increase the risk of supply disruptions.
Russia-Ukraine War – With Russian oil facing sanctions and restrictions, global supply chains have had to adjust, making energy markets more fragile.
OPEC+ Output Cuts – OPEC has repeatedly restricted production to keep prices elevated, and there’s no indication they’ll reverse course anytime soon.
U.S.-China Trade War & Tariffs – With Trump leading in the 2024 election polls, there’s a growing possibility that tariffs on China will return. If this happens, energy trade flows could be further disrupted, and retaliatory tariffs could add to price pressures.
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Depletion – The U.S. used a huge portion of its SPR to lower oil prices in 2022-2023, but refilling those reserves will create additional demand, pushing prices even higher.
With these factors at play, supply is becoming more constrained, making it easier for prices to rise with even small increases in demand.
2. Demand Boom: AI, Bitcoin Mining, and Agriculture
While supply is tightening, demand for energy is skyrocketing in unexpected ways.
AI Data Centers & Industrial Demand
AI computing is extremely energy-intensive, and as companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon continue to expand cloud computing infrastructure, demand for electricity is surging.
Many data centers still rely on fossil fuels for backup power and cooling systems, meaning oil and gas usage will continue to increase.
Bitcoin (BTC) Mining
Bitcoin mining requires massive amounts of electricity, and as BTC prices rise, mining activity expands in energy-dependent regions.
With the 2024 BTC halving, miners will have to run at full efficiency, which translates to higher global energy consumption.
Agriculture & Food Production
The world’s growing population and extreme weather events (like El Niño) are driving higher food production needs.
Fertilizer production, transportation, and machinery all require oil, meaning agricultural commodities are directly contributing to higher energy demand.
Together, these factors suggest that demand for oil is only going to increase, making it harder for supply to keep up.
3. Oil Price vs. Stock Market: The $100 Warning Zone
Historically, when oil prices get too high, the stock market struggles. Some key examples:
2008 Recession: Oil peaked at $147 per barrel, right before the financial crisis.
2018 Market Drop: When oil hit $80+, stocks sold off sharply.
2022 Inflation Shock: Oil reached $120+, leading to Fed rate hikes and market turmoil.
Why $100+ Oil is a Warning Sign for Stocks
Higher oil prices = higher inflation. This forces central banks like the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high, making borrowing more expensive.
Energy costs impact corporate profits. Companies across multiple sectors will see shrinking profit margins as transportation and production costs rise.
Consumer spending takes a hit. Gasoline prices cut into disposable income, which weakens overall economic growth.
If Brent crude pushes above $100, expect increased market volatility and a potential selloff in equities.
4. Brent Crude Technicals: Price Targets for 2026
Current Setup
Price Holding Key Support (~$70-$74) – Brent is respecting major trendlines, signaling strong demand in this area.
Breakout Zone Around $80-$82 – If price moves above this level, it could trigger a rally to $100+.
Fibonacci Levels Align with $125 Target:
0.618 Fib retracement at $106 → First major resistance.
0.786 Fib extension at $119 → Likely next target.
1.272 Fib extension near $125 → Final upside target for 2026.
This technical setup aligns with macro fundamentals and historical oil cycles, making a move to $125 increasingly probable.
5. Investment & Trading Strategy
Long-Term Bullish Strategy
Accumulation Zone: $70-$74 (solid support).
Upside Targets: $106, $119, $125.
Stop Loss Consideration: Below $68 (invalidates thesis).
Hedging Against Market Risk
SPX Put Options / VIX Calls – If oil rises toward $100+, consider hedging against an equity downturn.
Energy Stocks (XLE, Exxon, Chevron) – These stocks tend to outperform during oil bull markets.
Gold & Commodities – Hard assets often rally when energy prices increase.
Conclusion: The Path to $125 Brent Oil
Geopolitical instability + supply cuts = higher prices.
AI, Bitcoin, and food production = rising demand.
If oil approaches $100, watch for an equities pullback.
While no forecast is perfect, all signs point to oil prices rising into 2026. If this trend plays out, investors should be prepared for higher inflation, tighter Fed policy, and increased market volatility.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you think oil will hit $125, or are we headed lower? 🚀📊
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 17-21stThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
FOMC on Wednesday. The news could impact the direction of the USD Index, so be mindful of it. The markets had a relatively bullish week. Trumps reciprocal tariffs study announcement eased some of the tension in the markets also allowed equities to run higher.
The metals saw a bearish turn at the end of the week, but caution should be taken if considering shorting these markets. The overall bullish trend is still in tact.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.