Silver M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reading near our sell entry at 33.38, a pullback resistance close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 33.24, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 33.53, which is a swing-high resistance.
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Commodities
XAUUSD Breakdown from Rising Wedge - Watch Key Support at 3285Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour chart has completed a bearish breakout from a Rising Wedge pattern, a formation often associated with potential trend reversals or corrections. The price action had been moving steadily higher within the wedge, but momentum began to slow down near the upper boundary, eventually breaking downward through the support line.
This breakout is visually confirmed with a small consolidation box before the move lower, indicating sellers are gaining control. The breakdown aligns with weakening bullish momentum, and sellers may target key horizontal supports next.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3360 - Recent minor swing high and the wedge top.
Immediate Support: 3285 - Horizontal level where price may stall or bounce.
Lower Support Zone: 3210 - Previous structure support and demand area.
Trade Setup (Short Bias):
Entry: After retest of the wedge bottom or minor consolidation below 3285
Target 1: 3285
Target 2: 3210
Stop Loss: Above 3360 or the upper limit of the wedge (tight SL option around 3340)
Bias: Bearish
As long as price remains below the wedge and fails to reclaim 3360, the bearish outlook remains intact. Watch for price reaction at 3285. a clean break of this level could accelerate downside momentum.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )✅ Bias: Long (Buy)
Rationale:
• 4H Chart shows price reclaiming the 20/50 SMA zone after the recent pullback — a bullish reset after a shallow correction.
• 15M Chart confirms trend resumption — clean higher highs and higher lows, with strong price support above the 20/50 SMA crossover.
• 3M Chart shows a breakout with higher volume and sustained move above recent consolidation. White 20 SMA is holding price well.
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup: Buy XAUUSD
• Entry: 3345.00 (wait for a small pullback or price base just above current level for better RR)
• Stop-Loss: 3332.00 (below last intraday swing low and the SMA base)
• Take-Profit: 3371.00 (near previous resistance zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 2:1
⸻
📍 Move SL to Breakeven When:
Price reaches 3358.00 (midway point = 1:1 RR) and:
• 3M chart shows no strong bearish engulfing or reversal candle.
• Volume on the move is rising or stable (not collapsing).
This protects capital without choking the trade.
⸻
🧠 Confluence Summary:
• Trend Alignment across all timeframes.
• 20/50 SMA bullish stack on 15M and 4H.
• Volume Expansion on breakout leg.
• RSI (15M) near 67 — strong but not overbought yet (room to run).
⸻
⚠️ Fundamental Notes:
• Gold has been rising with Fed pivot expectations and equity uncertainty — momentum is on the bulls’ side unless sharp risk-on news appears.
• Caution near major US data releases tomorrow or speeches from Fed members.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GOLD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading along the rising support
And as it will soon retest the line
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 3,361$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,287.49
1st Support: 3,240.33
1st Resistance: 3,413.48
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Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3343 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3332 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3366
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3331
Strong Rejection from 3356 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3288 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3343 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3332 – Liquidity Engineered
XAGUSD: Wait for a clear breakout to buy.Silver turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.038, MACD = 0.169, ADX = 26.102) but that alone isn't enough to turn us into buyers again just yet, as the Channel Up on the 4H timeframe has failed so far twice to break over the R1 level. If it does, then we will turn bullish, aiming for a +5.75% rise from the last 4H MA50 contact with TP = 34.4500.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Analysis of the latest gold trend next week:
Core logic analysis
Driving factors
Safe-haven demand: The widening US fiscal deficit (US$36 trillion in debt), sovereign rating downgrades, and political uncertainty (debt concerns caused by Trump's policies) continue to support gold.
Weakened US dollar: The weak US dollar index has increased the attractiveness of gold to non-US investors, and physical buying is active.
Technical breakthrough: Gold prices have stabilized at key support levels, forming a long structure.
Risk warning
If US economic data exceeds expectations (such as inflation rebound, strong employment) or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, gold prices may be suppressed.
Geopolitical easing or short-term relief of debt problems may weaken risk aversion.
Technical analysis refinement
Key price levels
Support range: 3315-3320 (trend line + hourly moving average adhesion area), 3305 (Bollinger middle track & long-short watershed).
Resistance range: 3375-3380 (previous high concentration area), 3428 (open upside space after breakthrough).
Indicator signal: If the Bollinger Bands open upward after closing, the bullish momentum can be confirmed with the MACD golden cross.
Pattern observation:
If the 4-hour chart forms a "high point rise, low point rise" structure, the upward trend will be strengthened; if it falls below 3305, be alert to the callback to 3280.
Operation strategy optimization
1. Long strategy (main idea)
Entry area: 3315-3320 (light position), 3305 (covering position).
Stop loss setting: below 3300 (avoid false breakthrough and loss).
Target position:
The first target is 3350 (short-term profit-taking of some positions).
The second target is 3380 (hold and look to 3428 after breaking through).
Adding position conditions: breaking through 3380 with large volume and confirming by stepping back.
2. Short hedging strategy (backup)
Trigger condition: breaking through 3305 and confirmed by 1-hour closing.
Entry point: 3300-3305.
Stop loss: above 3320.
Target: 3280 (previous low support), 3250 (lower track of medium-term channel).
Events to watch next week
Policy trends:
Speech by Fed officials (especially the tone before the June interest rate meeting).
Debt progress:
The result of the Senate vote on the US fiscal bill and the market reaction.
Summary
Trend dominance: fundamentals and technical resonance are more bullish, but be wary of profit-taking at high levels.
Position management: It is recommended that the total position is ≤5%, and the stop loss strictly follows the 1%-2% account risk principle.
Flexible response: If 3380 cannot be broken for a long time, some positions can be closed and wait and see; if it breaks through, increase the position accordingly.
Oil Prices Up as Trump Delays EU Tariffs (Temporary Relief?) The global oil market, a sensitive barometer of economic health and geopolitical stability, registered a slight uptick in prices following the news that the Trump administration would extend the deadline for imposing new tariffs on a range of European Union goods. This minor rally, however, comes against a backdrop of a broader downtrend that has characterized the oil markets since mid-January. The persistent downward pressure has been largely attributed to the chilling effect of existing and threatened tariffs, not just between the US and the EU, but on a global scale, which have cast a long shadow over the outlook for global energy demand.
To understand the significance of this deadline extension and its nuanced impact on oil prices, it's crucial to first appreciate the environment in which it occurred. For several months, the dominant narrative surrounding oil has been one of demand-side anxiety. President Trump's "America First" trade policy, which has seen the imposition of sweeping tariffs on goods from various countries, most notably China, and the persistent threat of more to come against allies like the European Union, has injected a significant dose of uncertainty into the global economic system.
Tariffs, at their core, are taxes on imported goods. Their imposition typically leads to a cascade of negative economic consequences. Businesses that rely on imported components face higher input costs, which can either be absorbed, thereby reducing profit margins, or passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Higher consumer prices can dampen spending, a key driver of economic growth. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by an unpredictable trade policy environment often leads businesses to postpone investment decisions and hiring, further stagnating economic activity.
This economic slowdown, or even the fear of it, directly translates into weaker demand for oil. Manufacturing activity, a significant consumer of energy, tends to decline. Global shipping and freight, which rely heavily on bunker fuel and diesel, slow down as trade volumes shrink. Consumer demand for gasoline and jet fuel can also wane if economic hardship leads to reduced travel and leisure activities. The retaliatory measures often taken by targeted nations – imposing their own tariffs on US goods – only serve to exacerbate this negative feedback loop, creating a tit-for-tat escalation that further erodes business confidence and global trade flows.
It is this overarching concern about a tariff-induced global economic slowdown that has been weighing heavily on oil prices since the middle of January. Market participants, from large institutional investors to commodity traders, have been pricing in the potential for significantly reduced oil consumption in the months and years ahead if these trade disputes were to escalate or become entrenched. Every new tariff announcement or threat has typically sent ripples of concern through the market, often pushing oil prices lower.
Against this gloomy backdrop, the news of an extension to the tariff deadline on EU goods, while not a resolution, acts as a momentary pause button on further immediate escalation. It offers a temporary reprieve, a brief window where the worst-case scenario of new, damaging tariffs being instantly applied is averted. This is likely why oil prices "edged higher."
The market's reaction can be interpreted in several ways. Firstly, it reflects a slight easing of immediate downside risk to the European economy. The EU is a massive economic bloc and a significant consumer of oil. The imposition of new US tariffs on key European goods, such as automobiles or luxury products, would undoubtedly have a detrimental impact on European industries, potentially tipping already fragile economies closer to recession. An extension of the deadline pushes this immediate threat further down the road, offering a sliver of hope that a negotiated solution might yet be found, or at least that the economic pain is deferred. This deferral, however slight, can lead to a marginal upward revision of short-term oil demand expectations from the region.
Secondly, the extension can be seen as a signal, however faint, that dialogue and negotiation are still possible. In the fraught world of international trade diplomacy, any indication that parties are willing to continue talking rather than immediately resorting to punitive measures can be interpreted positively by markets. It reduces, fractionally, the "uncertainty premium" that has been built into asset prices, including oil.
However, it is crucial to temper any optimism. The fact that oil only "edged higher" rather than surged indicates the market's deep-seated caution. An extension is not a cancellation. The underlying threat of tariffs remains very much on the table. The fundamental disagreements that led to the tariff threats in the first place have not been resolved. Therefore, while the immediate pressure point has been alleviated, the chronic condition of trade uncertainty persists.
The oil market is acutely aware that this extension could simply be a tactical move, buying time for political reasons without altering the fundamental trajectory of trade policy. If, at the end of the extended period, no agreement is reached and tariffs are indeed imposed, the negative impact on oil demand expectations would likely resurface with renewed force. The market is therefore likely to adopt a "wait and see" approach, with traders hesitant to make significant bullish bets based solely on a deadline postponement.
Furthermore, the US-EU trade dynamic is just one piece of a larger global puzzle. The ongoing trade tensions with China, for instance, continue to be a major drag on global growth projections and, by extension, oil demand. Progress, or lack thereof, on that front often has a more substantial impact on oil prices than developments in the US-EU relationship, given the sheer scale of US-China trade and China's role as the world's largest oil importer.
The slight rise in oil prices also needs to be seen in the context of other market-moving factors. Supply-side dynamics, such as OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East, and fluctuations in US shale output, constantly interact with demand-side sentiment. A deadline extension on EU tariffs might provide a small boost, but it can be easily overshadowed by a surprise inventory build, an unexpected increase in OPEC production, or signs of weakening economic data from other major economies.
In conclusion, the decision by the Trump administration to extend the tariff deadline on EU goods offered a moment of temporary relief to an oil market that has been under duress from trade war anxieties. This relief manifested as a marginal increase in oil prices, reflecting a slight reduction in immediate perceived risk to global economic activity and oil demand, particularly from Europe. However, this should not be mistaken for a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a resolution to the underlying trade disputes. The threat of tariffs remains, and the broader concerns about a global economic slowdown fueled by protectionist policies continue to loom large. The oil market's cautious reaction underscores the prevailing uncertainty, suggesting that while this extension provides a brief breathing space, the path ahead for oil prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the unpredictable currents of international trade policy.
Silver Continues to Face Broad Lateral ChannelOver the past five trading sessions, silver has managed to sustain a significant short-term bullish move, posting a steady gain of just over 4%. The current bullish bias has remained relatively consistent, as global risk perception stays elevated, mainly due to the ongoing back-and-forth of the trade war.
In his recent comments, President Trump announced that he might impose tariffs of up to 50% on European products if negotiations failed to progress quickly. Although a temporary truce has been reached following this statement, the European Union may continue preparing countermeasures in case no concrete agreement is achieved.
In this context, silver plays a crucial role, as XAG/USD is widely regarded as one of the quintessential safe-haven assets. As global economic risk perception—tied to the growing trade conflict—continues to rise, silver will likely attract enough capital to sustain steady buying pressure.
Additionally, it's important to note that the U.S. dollar is currently showing marked weakness against its major peers. If this weakness persists, buying pressure on silver could become even more relevant in upcoming sessions, provided these macroeconomic factors remain in place.
Broad Lateral Channel:
Since October 2024, silver has remained within a broad lateral channel between resistance at $34.43 and support at $30.38. Recently, a short-term bullish trend has begun to form, although buying momentum still seems insufficient to break out of this range. Therefore, this remains the most important technical pattern to monitor in the short term. As long as the top of the channel holds, it could serve as a key level triggering pullbacks in the current buying trend.
RSI:
Although the RSI line has started to rise steadily, it remains close to the neutral 50 level, suggesting equilibrium between buying and selling forces in the market. As long as the RSI continues to hover around this level, such neutrality may start to weigh on the current upward trend.
ADX:
The ADX line remains below the 20 mark, indicating that average volatility in recent movements is not decisive. This may signal that a phase of persistent neutrality is reemerging in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$32.75 – Near-term resistance marked by the 50-period moving average. This level could serve as a barrier in case of downside corrections.
$31.45 – A critical support level, aligned with the 200-period moving average. Selling movements reaching this area could invalidate the ongoing bullish setup.
$34.43 – Main resistance, representing the upper boundary of the broad lateral range. Breakouts above this level would reinforce a stronger bullish bias.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,339.22 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.383 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.469.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD - Potential Breakout/Rejection at Trendline ResistanceXAUUSD is currently consolidating within a potential ascending triangle pattern on the 2-hour chart, supported by an upward sloping trendline (in green). Price is nearing a critical juncture as it approaches a downward-sloping resistance trendline (in red).
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout: A decisive break above the red resistance trendline could signal a continuation of the upward trend. Look for confirmation with strong bullish candle closes and increased volume. Potential targets could be previous highs.
Bearish Rejection: A rejection at the red resistance trendline, confirmed by bearish candle patterns, could indicate a potential move back down towards the green support trendline.
Risk Management:
Always use proper risk management.
Only risk what you can afford to lose.
Adjust position size according to your account size and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4H chart levels and targets for the coming week.
Price is currently ranging sideways between the two key weighted levels at 3378 and 3312, with both gaps still open. We are closely monitoring these areas for a potential breakout. Until then, we expect continued sideways action within this range.
We are watching for the EMA5 to cross and lock above or below these levels to confirm the next directional move. Once that happens, we will adapt accordingly, either to the upside or downside for buying dips.
Until a clear break occurs, we anticipate price to test both levels. Our strategy remains to buy dips, using smaller timeframe support levels to capture 20–40 pip bounces, as we’ve consistently done. These intraday moves offer solid entry and exit opportunities in line with the current market structure.
As always, our updated weighted levels and swing ranges provide the framework to identify key reaction points, helping us trade both short and mid term moves effectively.
BULLISH TARGET
3378
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3496
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3496 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3555
BEARISH TARGETS
3312
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3312 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3249
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3249 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3198
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3249 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3046
2988
As always, we will continue to provide regular updates throughout the week as we manage and execute the setups.
Thank you all for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are always appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3338.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3350.1
Safe Stop Loss - 3332.2
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold H4 Technical update and key levels bulls/bears📊 Technical Outlook Update H4
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️stuck in range for now
▪️overhead resistances will limit upside
▪️Bears key S/R: 3410/3460 USD
▪️Bulls key S/R: 3160/3240 USD
▪️Expect range price action
▪️Focus on selling high / buying low
▪️volatility likely to remain low
▪️next few weeks as no major headlines
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️short high and buy low
▪️detailed price levels above
▪️right now no trade recommended
Latest gold market updates:
📈 Gold surges as renewed tariff threats and geopolitical tensions drive safe-haven demand.
💳 Fiscal concerns escalate after the U.S. credit rating is downgraded, increasing investor interest in gold.
📊 Analysts identify $3,300 as a crucial support level, with strong buying interest keeping prices elevated.
🔮 Major banks project gold to surpass $4,000 per ounce within the next year, citing robust demand from both investors and central banks.
💍 Record gold prices prompt jewelry designers to shift toward 14-karat gold and alternative materials to control costs.
📉 Gold jewelry demand in India continues to decline due to high prices, while investment gold purchases rise.
🌍 Central banks, especially in emerging markets, sustain gold purchases to hedge against currency volatility and inflation.
🛡 Gold maintains key support above $3,200 despite market volatility and profit-taking pressures.
📈 Leading investment banks remain bullish, forecasting significant upside for gold through year-end.
💰 Gold is currently trading near $3,358 per ounce, reflecting ongoing volatility and global economic uncertainty.
THE KOG REPORT Bank Holiday tomorrow so we'll keep it simple and update the KOG Report on Tuesday ready for the week ahead. Please have a look at the last few KOG Reports to see how it went, wasn't a bad week at all.
This week, immediate red boxes are on the chart, there is a red box active above and the indicator is suggesting a potential retracement on the move. So we'll look for price to attempt the high, if failed we can expect the move downside into the order region where we may settle.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3370, 3376, 3381, 3390 and 3403 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3343, 3335, 3330, 3323 and 3310 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Will Natural Gas Prices Increase?Weekly Cash Data shows a sharp downtrend that stopped at 2.05 and then formed a sideways trend. Given the size of wave-(c) and the time of the waves, it seems that a reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming.
Currently, wave-(d) has ended and wave-(e) has begun. Under normal circumstances, we expect this wave to decrease to the point indicated by the red arrow, and in terms of time, this wave can continue until the time range of August 12-September 12 unless a political or geopolitical event occurs that causes wave-(e) to be shortened.
So, to trade, you must have a strategy along with analysis.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
SILVER Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,333.6.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,538.8 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD This is the level to look for a break-out.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 30 2024 High, which then transitioned inside it into a Bullish Megaphone. The recent May 15 rebound took place on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the pattern's Support since basically the start of the year (January 08 2025).
Today however we see this rebound taking a pause on the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the April 22 High and until it breaks we can't speculate on a bullish price action as it is more likely to test again the 1D MA50, if not break the pattern downwards.
If however Gold closes a 1D candle above the Lower Highs trend-line, we will turn bullish again, targeting 3700 (+18.29% from the bottom, similar to the previous Bullish Leg).
Notice also that the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, which favors the buyer's case.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USOIL:Long at 61.3-61.5
Last week's long target has been completed, the current decline is mainly due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, from the technical trend, the objective trend of the middle line downward, short term long and short frequently alternate, pay attention to the support point of 60.3-60.5 within the day. Considering that it has been around this point of shock and not broken, short - term trading to do more.
So the trading strategy :BUY@61.3-61.5 TP@62.5-62.7
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→