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Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower following the non-farm payroll data release. As noted in yesterday’s analysis, the possibility of a sharp drop in the third wave of selling on the 240-minute chart was highlighted and has largely materialized. The monthly 5-day moving average (20,880) emphasized this month acted as support, forming a lower wick. On the weekly chart, the MACD has crossed below the Signal line, generating a sell signal. The index is positioned between the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day moving averages above and the 20-day moving average below, suggesting the possibility of a range-bound market this week. If the market moves upward at the beginning of the week, it may decline later, and conversely, if it drops initially, a rebound may occur later in the week. The upper range is projected at 21,360–21,400, while the lower range is expected to be below 20,880. Flexible responses to early-week movements are crucial, especially with Wednesday’s CPI release likely to serve as a key turning point. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, making sell-side strategies near the 3-day or 5-day moving averages preferable during rebounds. Downward movement toward the 120-day moving average is possible, but there’s a strong likelihood of a rebound after forming a lower wick, so avoid chasing the sell-off. On the 240-minute chart, while selling pressure remains strong in the third wave of the downtrend, support and a potential trend reversal could occur below 20,700. Overall, a sell-on-rebound strategy is advantageous today. Oil Crude oil surged on the possibility of U.S. sanctions on Russian crude exports. As previously noted, oil continues to display a pattern of reversing trends and sharply rising from the bottom. In pre-market trading, prices have already surpassed $78, but with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, caution is warranted today. On the weekly chart, the divergence from the 5-week moving average and the presence of previous highs around the $78 range suggest that even if prices rise further, chasing the rally should be avoided. The most favorable scenario this week involves buying on dips near the 5-week moving average, with corrections potentially reaching $73.4–$74. On the daily chart, more time is needed for shorter-term moving averages, such as the 20-day and 60-day, to align with current prices. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, generating a buy signal. However, if prices fail to surge further, divergence in the MACD could occur. Pay attention to potential sell signals and additional declines. As the rapid rise calls for a correction, prices are likely to consolidate around $78 during pre-market trading, making range-bound strategies favorable. Gold Gold surged on Friday due to reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut following employment surprises. On the weekly chart, gold has formed a bullish candle, breaking above key short-term moving averages. However, the significant divergence between the MACD and Signal lines suggests that surpassing the previous high near 2,760 will be challenging. On the daily chart, the MACD is above the zero line, and the Signal line is trending upward, showing a buying trend. Buying on dips near the strong support zone at the 5-day and 60-day moving averages around 2,690 is a favorable short-term strategy. With additional upward movement possible, a buy-on-dips approach is recommended. However, volatility is expected to increase with Tuesday’s PPI and Wednesday’s CPI data, so plan accordingly. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, with the RSI entering the overbought zone, making premature selling risky. Weekly Overview This week, early movements are likely to continue last week’s trends, with a potential inflection point around Wednesday’s CPI data. Manage risks carefully, and have a successful trading week! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,945 / 20,900 / 20,780 / 20,740 / 20,680 -Sell Levels: 21,110 / 21,210 / 21,310 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 76.55 / 76.00 / 75.60 / 74.60 -Sell Levels: 78.35 / 78.85 / 79.45 / 80.00 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,713 / 2,703 / 2,695 / 2,685 / 2,677 -Sell Levels: 2,726 / 2,735 / 2,742 / 2,753 / 2,759 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
XAUUSD 12/1/24XAUUSD remains our second pair as usual. Orion is clear as always, giving us a bullish bias to target the highs. Similar to EU, we only have one high to aim for, so the options are the same as mentioned in that write-up. We could pull back from the current position, creating a new low in the process, which would lead us into the lows and present a long entry opportunity in line with the bias. Alternatively, we might take the high first and then drop down into the lows, which would also provide a potential long entry. Overall, we are anticipating a higher shift and need to monitor the lows for this to materialize. Follow Orion, stick to your plan, and manage your risk properly.
FX:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I want to be bearish with a stop 2761 but so far bears have not done enough. Market is still above the 1h 20ema and until we have consecutive closes below, I won’t take shorts. My bear trend line is good and market showed the expected reaction there but the risk of another test of 2735 is too high to take early shorts. Bulls also closed above 2710, which is pretty bullish but I would never buy so close to a big bear trend line. Downside potential is about 100 points while upside is most likely limited to 2761, so r:r is clearly on the bear side. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2620 - 2761 bull case: Strongly bullish week and despite having many tails above the bull bars, we are only going up. Bulls want to break above the bear trend line and test 2761 again. Gold has been in a trading range 2560 - 2761 for more than 2 months and betting on a breakout is low probability. Bulls are buying this on momentum but once that is gone, they likely have to cover and try lower again. If bulls want 2800 bad, we would stay above 2700 and continue upwards. I currently see this 50/50 for both sides. Invalidation is below 2670. bear case: Bears tried on Friday but bulls got a big bullish reversal bar and closed above 2700. Best bears could do right now is to turn the market neutral around 2700 before they can try to sell this down again. Bulls are in full control and bears have not done much since beginning of 2025. First target for the bears is to stop the market from making new highs and staying below the 2024-12 high at 2761. Next target down would be 2680 and a 4h close below the 20ema, which has not happened since last Monday. Invalidation is above 2761. short term: Neutral around 2700. Bullish above 2740 for 2761 or higher and bearish only below 2650. Market most likely needs more sideways movement before we can go down. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-02: If we break strongly above 2700, we will likely retest 2740-2760 and depending on that move, we will either stay inside the big range 2560 - 2760 or retest 2800 or even higher. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Another huge bull surprise last week and we made a higher high above the 2024-10 high 77.38. A measured move target is 78.04 and the high was 77.86. Close is always close enough. I would like to see another try at 78 and another huge rejection for me to short. I do think shorting right now is too early but buying after a 244 point rejection is not good either, since the upside is likely limited. Bulls are still in full control here but the last time we traded above 78 was July, so I have zero interest in buying. Still. Did I miss most of the up move? Yes. Do I care? No. I try to never buy high in trading ranges and every time I can refrain from doing it I practice following my rules and that is much more valuable than catching some of the breakouts. current market cycle: trading range - on lower time frames it’s also obviously a bull trend key levels: 73 - 80 bull case: Bulls have made a higher high above 77, which is obviously bullish. We have a clear bull channel on the daily chart, which is where the problem for the bulls is. They are at so many prior highs and the top of the channel, that buying above 76 is a tough spot and hard to structure a good long trade around it. If you buy 76, your stop has to be 72.6 and that’s 340 ticks. For this to be a 1:1 trade we would have to hit 79.4 and the last time we did was July. It could work but the probability is likely not on your side here. Any long below 75 or closer to 73 would be a very different story and a reasonable trade. 80 is the obvious next target above. Invalidation is below 72.6. bear case: Bears still have not much. We are trading at many prior resistances but until they can generate more selling pressure than one 1h bar, they don’t have anything going for them. I do think the sell spike down to 75.42 was already enough to fulfill the breakout-retest and we could continue up from here. Bears would need a 1h close below 75 to get some arguments on their side but given the current strength of the move, it will probably be another bull flag to break out above again. Invalidation is above 80. outlook last week: short term: Bullish until bears come around. Longing pullbacks is decent until we make lower lows again. Every touch of the 2h 20ema was bought, so keep looking for longs close to it. → Last Sunday we traded 73.96 and now we are at 76.57. Bulls kept at it, decent outlook. short term: Bullish again but buying above 76 is probably not a good idea. I want to get long closer to 73/74 once momentum upwards gets going again. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-02: Still no better medium-long term outlook to write about. The triangle has been going on for so long, it’s highly unlikely that we will break above it. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bear trend line and added bull channel.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
Quick Gains from Black Gold: A Short-Term Strategy for Oil🚀 Bullish Analysis for Crude Oil: Current Price: 73.11 USD. Support: The price is bouncing off the lower trend line of our ascending channel, acting like a solid floor! 🛑 RSI: At 39.10, we're not even halfway to overbought territory, plenty of room to climb! 📈 Entry: Buy now at 73.11 USD. Take Profit Levels: 🎯 Take Profit 1: 73.60 USD 🎯 Take Profit 2: 74.25 USD 🏆 Take Profit 3: 75.00 USD Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 72.40 USD, just below our support line. 🛡 This setup is not just good, it's electrifying! With a stop loss that's a safe distance away, you're setting up for a potential win with a solid risk-reward ratio. Let's ride this wave! 🌊
TVC:USOILLong
by ValchevFinance
1
Oil is heading for $80Light Crude Oil (CL) is showing bullish signs after the confirmation of an upside break of the long term downtrend line “K” at $73. Now the contract is hitting the resistance of $76 where if it breaks to the upside then the space that can be stretched "unfortunately" goes up to $80. Above that, inflation alarm bells will start to ring. It is a thorny element that can spoil the upward momentum of the markets since it will make central bankers more frugal in their decisions to further reduce interest rates. For something to change here, the contract will have to declare a strong weakness of permeability at the level of $76 to $77.
NYMEX:CL1!
by manthos
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?XAG/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 30.69 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 31.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 29.88 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAGUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold completes bearish move and re-orbits towards $2800The gold contract appears on the two-week price chart to have completed its downward movement that it made in the two months of November - December 2024 and is preparing to resume the upward path that will lead it towards the level of highs between $2,750 and $2,800. In order for us to be able to say in the coming days that the bullish scenario remains in force, the contract must not slip below the $2,600 limit. A fall now of the highs to $2,800 will open a communication channel with the psychological limit of $3,000.
TVC:GOLDLong
by manthos
EURAUD - Start 2025 with a BIG Win!EURAUD has given us a fantastic opportunity to get in at the very start of a BIG move. We are currently in an ABC correction. We'e completed waves A and B and now currently in wave C. We're expecting 5 waves from wave C and looks as if we've completed wave 1 and currently in wave 2. We're looking to catch the rest of the move on the break of the trendline. Trade Idea: - Safe entry on break of trendline - Riskier entry within the fibs or anywhere below invalidation - stops above invalidation - Targets: 1.6 (700pips), 1.156 (1100pips) - Taper as we move lower What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
7
USOIL USOIL is still in an uptrend. Previous analysis on 1/12/2024, the price is up as expected and we expect the price to test the resistance zone 78-79. If the price cannot break through the 79 level, we expect the price to go down in the short term. Consider selling the red zone. 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
FX:USOILShort
by Serana2324
7
USOIL Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 76.54 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 75.36 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 13 - January 17]Over the past week, international OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 2,614 USD/oz to 2,698 USD/oz and closed at 2,688 USD/oz. The main reason is concerns about rising inflation in the US due to President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary fiscal policies, tariffs and tightening immigration policies. Although high interest rates are often detrimental to gold prices, in the context of strong inflation, real interest rates decrease, creating a positive impact on gold prices. That is also the reason why the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for December 2024 increased by 256,000 jobs, far exceeding Reuters' forecast of 160,000 jobs and surpassing November's revised figure of 227,000 jobs, but gold prices still increased sharply this week. With the inauguration day (January 20, 2025) of President-elect Donald Trump approaching, it is likely that next week's gold price will still be supported. Because Mr. Trump's expected policies, especially expansionary fiscal policy, tariff policy, and immigration policy, will all have the risk of increasing inflation. In particular, although tariff policy can reduce the US trade deficit, it will push up consumer prices. Tighter immigration policies will increase labor costs, causing product prices to increase, thereby also risking increasing the consumer price index... Meanwhile, the FED has announced that it may only cut interest rates once this year, or may not even cut interest rates this year, if Mr. Trump's above-mentioned policies push US inflation to skyrocket. 📌Looking at the chart, next week's gold price will likely continue to move upward with the next important resistance levels being 2,725 - 2,790 USD/oz. Meanwhile, the level of 2,585 USD/oz is an important support level for gold prices next week. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,676 – 2,664USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,700USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2761 - 2759⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2765 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2649 - 2651⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2645
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
HelenP. I Gold will rebound down from resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and broke it. Then price continued to grow and later reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and even broke this level and rose a little more. After this, Gold turned around and made impulse down to the support level, breaking the resistance level, after which turned around and started to grow. Later, Gold reached the 2690 level one more time and broke it one more time, but this time it rose a little higher than the past breakout, to 2726 points. After this movement, the price in a short time declined to the support zone, breaking resistance with the support level and also the trend line too, and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, the price grew to the trend line and recently it even entered to resistance zone, exiting from the channel. But soon, Gold started to decline and for this case, I expect that XAUUSD will enter to resistance zone and then rebound down to the channel, where it falls to 2655 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
1
Gold can exit from wedge and rebound down from resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to downward wedge, where it at once started to decline and soon reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. Next, the price continued to fall and later declined to support line of the wedge, breaking the support level as well. But when Gold touched the support line, it at once made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time. Then price little grew higher than the seller zone, after which it turned around and made a correction to the support level, breaking the 2690 level one more time. After this, Gold some time traded near the support level and then backed up to the seller zone rose higher than this area again, and then rebounded down to the support line of the wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow and in a short time rose almost to the resistance line of the wedge. So, in my opinion, Gold can exit from the wedge, reach resistance level, and then start to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2620 points, which coincides with the support line of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
11
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2691 and a gap below at 2679. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2691 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2706 POTENTIALLY 2719 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2736 BEARISH TARGETS 2679 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2679 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2668 - 2654 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2640 - 2624 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2694 and a gap below at 2665. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2726 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2753 BEARISH TARGETS 2665 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2633 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2600 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range. Last week we confirmed we had ema5 lock above 2629 further confirming the previous candle body close opening 2686 We continued to buy dips all the way into 2686 completing this gap. This played out perfectly. We now have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 but will need ema5 lock to further confirm this, only as a along range/term gap. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5